Saturday, January 6, 2018

Championship game scenarios



Good evening everyone.  It's been a while since I managed to get around to updating the Bowl pool.  The final game is Monday, and after all the games last weekend, there are only 4 people left alive for 3 spots.

Here are the overall rankings:
1. Grant F.: 559 (-261)
2. Scott H. #2: 556 (-264)
3. Matt N.: 534 (-286)
4. Dustin B.: 531 (-289)
5. Scott H. #1: 527 (-293)
6. Jim W.: 499 (-321)
6. Brad R.: 499 (-321)
8. Brent S.: 498 (-322)
9. Dylan B.: 493 (-327)
10. Mike W.: 488 (-332)
10. Mike S. #1: 488 (-332)
12. Ryan W.: 482 (-338)
13. Joel S. #2: 480 (-340)
14. Mike S. #2: 479 (-341)
15. Kevin W.: 478 (-342)
16. Michelle L. #1: 473 (-347)
17. Roth W.: 466 (-354)
17. Michelle L. #2: 466 (-354)
17. Clucko the Chicken: 466 (-354)
20. Jay H. #2: 465 (-355)
21. Damien R. #2: 460 (-360)
22. Klei - Consensus: 458 (-362)
23. Nikolajs B.: 456 (-364)
23. Hutch H.: 456 (-364)
25. Nichole W.: 455 (-365)
26. Hal #2: 447 (-373)
27. Pete J. #2: 446 (-374)
28. Brett W.: 443 (-377)
28. Becky H.: 443 (-377)
30. Pete J. #1: 438 (-382)
31. Brent E. #3: 437 (-383)
32. Tim N.: 434 (-386)
33. Myles G.: 430 (-390)
34. Brent E. #2: 429 (-391)
35. Brent E. #1: 423 (-397)
36. Adam E.: 422 (-398)
37. Dan Du.: 421 (-399)
38. Klei R.: 420 (-400)
39. Joel S. #5: 418 (-402)
40. Hal #1: 417 (-403)
41. Sanjay T.: 407 (-413)
42. Ben S. #3: 398 (-422)
43. Ben S. #2: 390 (-430)
43. Joel S. #4: 390 (-430)
45. Ally H.: 381 (-439)
46. Bartosz R. #1: 380 (-440)
47. Ben S. #1: 379 (-441)
48. Marc R.: 378 (-442)
49. Bartosz R. #2: 374 (-446)
50. Joel S. #1: 372 (-448)
50. Jay H. #3: 372 (-448)
52. Dan Dz.: 366 (-454)
53. Jay H. #1: 359 (-461)
54. Damien R. #1: 345 (-475)
55. Joel S. #3: 343 (-477)
56. Sally R.: 336 (-484)
57. Ashley D.: 316 (-504)
58. Mindi W.: 234 (-586)

So, you can see that it's still pretty close at the top.  Then there's a little bit of a gap until you get to the second set of 2 entries.  The good news if you are Grant or Scott is that you are both guaranteed some kind of payout.  Which it is depends on the results of the Championship game.

Here are the payouts of the two possible outcomes:

If Georgia wins:
Grant F. wins 1st place.
Dustin B. wins 2nd place.
Scott H. #2 wins 3rd place.

If Alabama wins:
Scott H. #2 wins 1st place.
Matt N. wins 2nd place.
Grant F. wins 3rd place.

I don't think that I mentioned what the final payout was, but I decided to make it 60/30/10.  I realized why I didn't pay out 3rd place last year.  It's because 3rd place doesn't really win much in this scenario.  the alternative would've paid 1st and 2nd more money.  No biggie, I guess.  I'm sure whoever wins 3rd place won't complain too loudly.

Enjoy the games.  I'll be back with a summary after the game is done.  It's been a fun ride so far.

Good luck!!!!

Monday, January 1, 2018

New odds before Champ semi-finals



Just a little update before the last 3 games start:

Here are the net points, teams that eliminated sheets from contention and odds remaining:
Net Rank
1st Place
2nd Place
3rd Place
1st
2nd
3rd
1. Grant F.: 297



37.50%
50.00%
6.25%
2. Dustin B.: 241


Auburn
25.00%
12.50%

3. Matt N.: 234
Michigan



6.25%
25.00%
4. Scott H. #1: 233



18.75%
6.25%
6.25%
5. Scott H. #2: 227



6.25%
18.75%
12.50%
6. Joel S. #2: 201

Miami-FL

6.25%

6.25%
7. Mike S. #1: 188
Memphis
Washington



6.25%
8. Mike W.: 185
Miami-FL
LSU



6.25%
8. Ryan W.: 185
LSU



6.25%
12.50%
10. Dylan B.: 184
Washington
LSU
LSU



10. Kevin W.: 184
Washington
Utah St.



6.25%
12. Nikolajs B.: 171

LSU
Auburn
6.25%


13. Jim W.: 161
Washington
Miami-FL
Miami-FL



13. Clucko the Chicken: 161
Washington
Washington



6.25%
15. Brent S.: 158
Initial
Memphis
Michigan



16. Brad R.: 145
Washington
Michigan



6.25%
17. Mike S. #2: 143
Texas A&M
Utah St.
Memphis



18. Michelle L. #2: 137
Washington
Washington
Michigan



19. Klei - Consensus: 111
USC
Louisville
Louisville



20. Roth W.: 103
USC
USC
Memphis



20. Michelle L. #1: 103
Utah St.
Washington
Washington



22. Damien R. #2: 101
Initial
Texas A&M
Utah St.



23. Nichole W.: 89
Utah St.
Utah St.
Utah St.



24. Hutch H.: 77
Initial
Initial
Texas A&M



25. Pete J. #2: 73
USC
USC
USC



26. Jay H. #2: 71
Kentucky
Louisville
Washington



27. Hal #2: 69
Initial
Initial
Utah St.



27. Adam E.: 69
USC
USC
Miami-FL



29. Brent E. #3: 60
Initial
Az State
Louisville



30. Becky H.: 59
Az State
USC
Washington



31. Klei R.: 58
Texas A&M
Az State
Az State



32. Brett W.: 57
Washington
Miami-FL
Miami-FL



33. Pete J. #1: 55
Initial
Initial
Initial



34. Tim N.: 49
Az State
Az State
Az State



35. Joel S. #4: 30
Washington
Washington
Washington



36. Brent E. #1: 27
Initial
Initial
Initial



37. Myles G.: 23
Washington
Washington
Washington



38. Joel S. #5: 17
Louisville
Memphis
Washington



39. Hal #1: 9
Initial
Initial
Initial



40. Joel S. #1: 3
USC
USC
USC



41. Jay H. #3: 1
Kentucky
Utah St.
Utah St.



42. Brent E. #2: -3
Initial
Initial
Initial



43. Ben S. #2: -7
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Utah St.



44. Dan Dz.: -22
USC
USC
Miami-FL



45. Jay H. #1: -23
Az State
Memphis
Memphis



46. Dan Du.: -28
USC
USC
USC



47. Sanjay T.: -30
Initial
Az State
Az State



48. Bartosz R. #1: -43
Initial
Initial
Initial



49. Ally H.: -48
Kentucky
Kentucky
Kentucky



50. Bartosz R. #2: -55
Initial
Initial
Initial



51. Ben S. #1: -58
Initial
Texas A&M
Texas A&M



51. Marc R.: -58
USC
USC
Memphis



53. Ben S. #3: -59
Initial
Initial
Texas A&M



54. Joel S. #3: -90
Initial
Initial
Initial



55. Sally R.: -115
Az State
Kentucky
Utah St.



56. Damien R. #1: -128
Initial
Initial
Initial



57. Ashley D.: -207
Initial
Initial
Texas A&M



58. Mindi W.: -285
Initial
Initial
Initial