Good morning everyone.
I attended the Final 4 in Houston last night, and I went in with a real
chance to win my own pool. Sadly, that
chance was dashed pretty quickly as Oklahoma suffered the biggest single loss
in Final 4 history. I had some hope with
the score 17-16 Oklahoma, but in short order, it was 26-17 Villanova, and it
was never closer than that. My wife and
I decided to go get an early dinner with about 6 minutes left to go in the
game, since it was pretty much a foregone conclusion that Villanova was going
to win.
The second game was a little closer, but only because the
first game was such a blowout. North
Carolina slowly built a 10 point lead and more or less maintained it for the
entire second half. That makes the
Finals, Villanova vs. North Carolina.
A grand total of 6 people managed to get the final 2 write. Of those 6 people, only 1 (Irene H. #4) is not
alive for one of the four payout positions, as she was knocked out way back
with the Oregon loss to Oklahoma in the Elite 8.
Here are the eliminations for the two games:
For Oklahoma:
Adam E. (3rd)
|
Alex I. (4th)
|
Craig G. (3rd)
|
Irene H. #1 (2nd, 4th)
|
James R. (2nd, 3rd)
|
Julie S. (1st, 4th)
|
Klei R. #1 (1st, 2nd)
|
Mike C. #2 (4th)
|
Mike W. (4th)
|
For Syracuse:
Adam S. (2nd)
|
Brian K. (4th)
|
Daisy N. #4 (2nd, 4th)
|
Daisy N. #5 (1st)
|
Jim D. #2 (4th)
|
Jonathan O. (3rd)
|
Missy W. #1 (1st)
|
That leaves us with only two possible outcomes, it also
guarantees that after a great run, Daisy is not going to repeat as Champion.
Here are the only outcomes possible:
If North Carolina wins:
1st: Adam S.
2nd: Jeff D.
3rd: Klei R. #1
4th: Michelle R.
If Villanova wins:
1st: Jonathan O.
2nd: Winner of
tie-breaker between Dan Dz. and Missy W. #1
3rd: Loser of
tie-breaker between Dan Dz. and Missy W. #1
4th: Howard S. #2
Some interesting notes:
I don't think that Adam was on my original e-mail
distribution about the pool, since we used to work together at my old job and
all I had was his old e-mail address.
Luckily, he got a hold of the introductory e-mail and was able to
enter. I think a lost a lot of people
because of my old company shuttering, so thanks to Adam for making a little
extra effort to make sure to get in this year.
Jonathan O. was one of my favorite entrants last year, as he
had some whacky brackets that somehow managed to stay alive for much longer
than I would have thought possible. This
year, I think that he must have figured something out, since he's one of the
last 2 alive for first. I just want to
point out to anyone that uses "I don't know anything about college
basketball" as an excuse, that Jonathan O. is someone you need to talk
to. Jonathan O. is from Spain, and only
got in because he is married to a friend of mine. My understanding is that he may know about
the NBA, but not so much about NCAA basketball.
Yet, here he is, on the verge of winning this pool. I think this proves that with the seeding
that the NCAA has, you can make a somewhat intelligent guess and maybe
win. Plus, it takes a lot of luck to win
this pool. Everyone who wins has to have
about 7-8 games break your way. That's
why it's so hard to do, and also why "experts" have such a hard time
doing well.
One more thing that is interesting, but not really a trend
that I love is that the two potential winners both submitted only one
bracket. That's going to be a maximum
amount of return on a small investment.
I heard from a number of people that I had listed as not
having paid. Here's the list of those I
have NOT heard from yet:
Alex
I.
|
Chrissy
I.
|
Dave
M.
|
Gary
W.
|
Gigi
I.
|
Jackson
I.
|
Kansas
C. #1
|
Kansas
C. #2
|
Presley
J.
|
Rob
I. #1
|
Rob
I. #2
|
Roth
W.
|
Taran
B.
|
Please remedy that ASAP.
How much the payouts will be will depend on how many people
stiff me, so I'm not 100% on the payouts, but it will be 50/25/15/10 depending
on how much the final count is.
Good luck to everyone still alive - and go Tar Heels!!!!!
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