Alabama / Connecticut eliminations

That game was…. Not good.   I’ve been to 3 Final 4s, and it seems like every time, there is a game where both teams go ice cold from the field, and there is a 4-10 minute segment where the crowd just gets bored since there is nothing to cheer for.  I feel like that’s what this game was.  I think it has something to do with playing in a football stadium.  There’s something about the depth perception I think messes with shooters.  Throw in nerves and you often times get a terrible game.

With NC State out, we only dropped down from 19 people to 16 people alive for 5 spots and 2 games to go.  The good news is that there will be no ties for 3^rd or 4^th.  There could still be a tie for 1^st / 2^nd and another tie-breaker for 5^th.

Here’s the overall points:

1. Howard S. #2: 111 (-33) - Purdue

2. Guillermo V.: 101 (-43) - Connecticut

2. Off Efficiency: 101 (-43) - Connecticut

4. Greg R.: 100 (-44) - Purdue

5. Michelle L. #4: 98 (-46) - Purdue

5. Dan L. #2: 98 (-46) - Purdue

7. Brad R.: 97 (-47) - Connecticut

8. Mike N.: 96 (-48) - Connecticut

9. John Mack #1: 94 (-50) - Connecticut

9. Luis B. #2: 94 (-50) - Connecticut

11. Becky H.: 94 (-66) - Purdue

12. Michael S. #2: 93 (-51) - Purdue

12. Niren D.: 93 (-51) - Connecticut

12. Brent E. #3: 93 (-51) - Connecticut

12. Brent E. #4: 93 (-51) - Connecticut

12. Derek H.: 93 (-51) - Connecticut

17. Stefon K.: 93 (-67) - Purdue

18. Chris L. #2: 92 (-52) - Purdue

18. Chris L. #1: 92 (-52) - Connecticut

18. Jay B. - ESPN: 92 (-52) - Connecticut

18. Jay H. #2: 92 (-52) - Connecticut

22. Chris L. #3: 92 (-100) - North Carolina

23. Ryan G.: 91 (-53) - Purdue

23. D. Mag #3: 91 (-53) - Connecticut

23. CAAT #1: 91 (-53) - Connecticut

26. Dave A.: 91 (-69) - Purdue

26. Ally H.: 91 (-69) - Purdue

28. Brad E.: 90 (-54) - Purdue

28. Andy L.: 90 (-54) - Purdue

30. Eric S. #2: 90 (-70) - Purdue

31. Beau H.: 89 (-55) - Alabama

32. Brooklynn B.: 89 (-71) - Purdue

33. Emily T.: 89 (-103) - Arizona

34. Jared V.: 88 (-56) - Connecticut

34. John E. #2: 88 (-56) - Purdue

34. Matt N.: 88 (-56) - Purdue

34. Shanky G.: 88 (-56) - Connecticut

38. April K.: 88 (-72) - Purdue

39. Dan Mck.: 87 (-73) - Purdue

40. CAAT #2: 86 (-58) - Connecticut

41. John Mack #2: 86 (-74) - Purdue

42. Wayne D. #3: 85 (-59) - Purdue

43. Kirt R. #2: 85 (-75) - Purdue

43. Wayne D. #4: 85 (-75) - Purdue

45. Brooke M. #2: 85 (-107) - Arizona

46. Luis B. #3: 84 (-60) - Connecticut

46. Patrick McC. #1: 84 (-60) - Connecticut

46. Larry G. #2: 84 (-60) - Connecticut

46. Melody K.: 84 (-60) - Connecticut

50. Marc R.: 84 (-108) - Arizona

51. Deanna T.: 83 (-77) - Purdue

51. Jaxon S.: 83 (-77) - Purdue

53. Scott H. #1: 82 (-62) - Connecticut

54. Daisy N. #2: 81 (-63) - Purdue

54. Irene H. #3: 81 (-63) - Purdue

54. Craig G.: 81 (-63) - Purdue

54. Daisy N. #1: 81 (-63) - Connecticut

58. Dirk F.: 81 (-79) - Purdue

59. Pete J. #1: 80 (-64) - Connecticut

60. Kevin F. #2: 80 (-80) - Purdue

61. Dan Dug. #1: 79 (-65) - Connecticut

61. Shawn D.: 79 (-65) - Purdue

63. Adam S.: 79 (-113) - North Carolina

64. Larry G. #1: 78 (-66) - Purdue

65. Michelle L. #3: 78 (-98) - Houston

66. Daisy N. #4: 77 (-67) - Connecticut

66. Damien R. #2: 77 (-67) - Connecticut

66. Michael S. #1: 77 (-67) - Connecticut

69. Klei R. #2: 77 (-83) - Purdue

70. Brent E. #2: 77 (-115) - North Carolina

71. Pat K.: 76 (-68) - Connecticut

71. Mason A. #1: 76 (-68) - Connecticut

71. Melissa M.: 76 (-68) - Connecticut

71. Brandon B. #1: 76 (-68) - Connecticut

75. Wayne D. #2: 76 (-116) - Auburn

76. Michelle L. #5: 75 (-69) - Alabama

76. Danielle A.: 75 (-69) - Connecticut

76. Ken Pom: 75 (-69) - Connecticut

76. David F. #1: 75 (-69) - Purdue

80. Kirt R. #1: 75 (-117) - Houston

80. Brandon B. #2: 75 (-117) - North Carolina

82. Adalyn H.: 74 (-86) - Purdue

83. Pete J. #5: 74 (-118) - Auburn

84. Gutless Bracket: 73 (-71) - Connecticut

85. Larry G. #3: 73 (-87) - Purdue

86. Kristin G.: 73 (-103) - Houston

87. Mary Lou H.: 73 (-119) - Houston

87. Mark A.: 73 (-119) - Arizona

87. Mike W.: 73 (-119) - Iowa State

87. John N.: 73 (-119) - San Diego State

91. Irene H. #7: 72 (-72) - Connecticut

91. Luis B. #1: 72 (-72) - Connecticut

93. Klei R. #3: 72 (-88) - Purdue

94. Kiah H. #1: 72 (-104) - Houston

94. John A. #2: 72 (-104) - Houston

96. Andrew D. #1: 72 (-120) - Houston

96. Paul W.: 72 (-120) - North Carolina

96. Irene H. #6: 72 (-120) - North Carolina

99. Brandon H. #2: 71 (-121) - Arizona

100. Brent S. #2: 70 (-74) - Connecticut

100. Ben S.: 70 (-74) - Connecticut

102. Nick I.: 70 (-90) - Purdue

103. Michelle L. #2: 70 (-122) - North Carolina

103. Kristina H.: 70 (-122) - Kentucky

105. Elizabeth N. #1: 69 (-75) - Connecticut

106. Adam E.: 69 (-123) - North Carolina

106. Missy W. #1: 69 (-123) - Marquette

106. John A. #1: 69 (-123) - Houston

106. Cicely K.: 69 (-123) - North Carolina

106. Daisy N. #8: 69 (-123) - Tennessee

111. CAAT #3: 68 (-76) - Connecticut

111. CAAT #4: 68 (-76) - Connecticut

111. Luis B. #5: 68 (-76) - Connecticut

114. Roth W.: 68 (-108) - Houston

115. Wayne D. #1: 68 (-124) - North Carolina

115. Daisy N. #3: 68 (-124) - Houston

115. Chris L. #4: 68 (-124) - North Carolina

118. Carlo G.: 67 (-77) - Connecticut

118. Brent S. #1: 67 (-77) - Connecticut

120. John E. #1: 67 (-125) - Houston

120. Chun W. #2: 67 (-125) - North Carolina

120. Dawn T.: 67 (-125) - North Carolina

123. Seth D.: 66 (-78) - Connecticut

123. Michelle L. #1: 66 (-78) - Connecticut

125. Veronica G.: 66 (-110) - Houston

125. Chun W. #1: 66 (-110) - Tennessee

125. Mario M.: 66 (-110) - Tennessee

128. Irene H. #2: 66 (-126) - Houston

128. Irene H. #4: 66 (-126) - Arizona

128. Tim N.: 66 (-126) - Marquette

128. Paul K. #1: 66 (-126) - North Carolina

132. Elliot N.: 65 (-79) - Connecticut

133. Kyle V.: 65 (-111) - Houston

134. Derek B.: 65 (-127) - North Carolina

134. Nate R.: 65 (-127) - Houston

136. David F. #2: 64 (-80) - Connecticut

136. Josh V.: 64 (-80) - Connecticut

136. Kevin F. #1: 64 (-80) - Connecticut

139. Dustin B.: 64 (-112) - Creighton

139. Klei R. #1: 64 (-112) - Houston

139. Pete J. #3: 64 (-112) - Houston

142. Chrissy I.: 64 (-128) - Arizona

142. Szecho L.: 64 (-128) - Houston

144. Amber D.: 63 (-81) - Connecticut

145. Scarlett H.: 63 (-113) - Houston

145. Pete J. #2: 63 (-113) - Kentucky

147. Noah G.: 63 (-129) - Kentucky

147. Dan L. #1: 63 (-129) - Tennessee

147. Ryan W.: 63 (-129) - Kentucky

150. CAAT #5: 62 (-82) - Connecticut

150. Patrick McC. #2: 62 (-82) - Connecticut

150. Luis B. #4: 62 (-82) - Connecticut

150. Zach V.: 62 (-82) - Connecticut

154. Baily T.: 62 (-114) - South Carolina

154. Pete J. #4: 62 (-114) - Tennessee

156. Dan P.: 61 (-83) - Connecticut

156. Dennis R.: 61 (-83) - Connecticut

156. Irene H. #1: 61 (-83) - Connecticut

159. Jim D. #2: 61 (-115) - Houston

159. Hutch H. #1: 61 (-115) - Kansas

159. Elizabeth P. #3: 61 (-115) - Kentucky

162. Scott K. #2: 61 (-131) - Houston

162. Harrell R. #2: 61 (-131) - NC State

162. Vang L.: 61 (-131) - Iowa State

162. Hutch H. #2: 61 (-131) - Houston

162. Eric V.: 61 (-131) - Auburn

167. Colston W.: 60 (-84) - Connecticut

167. Jim D. #1: 60 (-84) - Connecticut

167. James G.: 60 (-84) - Connecticut

167. Matt H.: 60 (-84) - Connecticut

171. Moochie #2: 60 (-132) - Tennessee

171. Mitchell S.: 60 (-132) - North Carolina

171. Eric G.: 60 (-132) - Houston

171. Joe C.: 60 (-132) - Houston

171. Kealoha G.: 60 (-132) - North Carolina

171. Mason A. #2: 60 (-132) - North Carolina

177. Daisy N. #11: 59 (-85) - Connecticut

178. Harrell R. #3: 59 (-117) - Tennessee

179. Gary W.: 59 (-133) - Arizona

179. Ryan Green: 59 (-133) - Houston

179. Brent E. #1: 59 (-133) - Houston

179. Connor W.: 59 (-133) - Houston

179. Noah N.: 59 (-133) - Kentucky

184. Tim Dz. #1: 58 (-86) - Connecticut

184. Henry A.: 58 (-86) - Connecticut

186. Tyler C.: 58 (-118) - Houston

186. Scott H. #2: 58 (-118) - Houston

188. Tomas L.: 58 (-134) - Houston

188. Legend of Zelli: 58 (-134) - Duke

190. Pete J. #6: 57 (-87) - Connecticut

191. Brandon H. #1: 57 (-119) - Houston

192. Brett W.: 57 (-135) - Arizona

192. Matt W.: 57 (-135) - Arizona

192. Bryce S.: 57 (-135) - Creighton

192. Damien R. #3: 57 (-135) - Houston

192. Paul K. #2: 57 (-135) - Illinois

197. Mike V.: 56 (-88) - Connecticut

198. Daisy N. #7: 56 (-136) - Kentucky

198. Damien R. #1: 56 (-136) - Houston

198. Daisy N. #6: 56 (-136) - Iowa State

198. Jared B.: 56 (-136) - Iowa State

198. D. Mag #2: 56 (-136) - North Carolina

203. Moochie #4: 55 (-89) - Connecticut

203. Mark B.: 55 (-89) - Connecticut

205. Eric S. #1: 55 (-121) - Houston

206. Jackson I.: 55 (-137) - Tennessee

206. Larry G. #4: 55 (-137) - Tennessee

206. Jim W.: 55 (-137) - North Carolina

206. Rich F.: 55 (-137) - Marquette

210. Brett G. (Upset): 54 (-90) - Connecticut

210. Rob C.: 54 (-90) - Connecticut

212. Irene H. #5: 54 (-122) - Tennessee

213. Brooke M. #1: 54 (-138) - Houston

213. Chris E.: 54 (-138) - Marquette

213. Dan Dug. #2: 54 (-138) - North Carolina

213. Gigi I.: 54 (-138) - Arizona

213. Daisy N. #10: 54 (-138) - Arizona

213. Daniel E.: 54 (-138) - Arizona

213. Howard S. #1: 54 (-138) - Auburn

220. Moochie #5: 53 (-91) - Connecticut

221. Chris M.: 53 (-139) - Houston

221. Kim F.: 53 (-139) - Creighton

221. Daisy N. #12: 53 (-139) - Tennessee

224. Grant F.: 52 (-140) - Houston

224. D. Mag #1: 52 (-140) - Auburn

224. Daisy N. #9: 52 (-140) - Houston

224. Miles D.: 52 (-140) - Arizona

228. Valerie D.: 51 (-93) - Connecticut

229. Scott K. #1: 51 (-141) - Tennessee

229. DESGRU8 (Dan Dz.): 51 (-141) - North Carolina

229. Josh C.: 51 (-141) - Auburn

232. Brett G. (Quinnie): 50 (-142) - Arizona

232. Brett G. (Devils): 50 (-142) - Houston

232. Christopher K.: 50 (-142) - Illinois

232. Brian K.: 50 (-142) - Illinois

232. Missy W. #2: 50 (-142) - Tennessee

232. Alyssa B.: 50 (-142) - Arizona

232. Andrew D. #2: 50 (-142) - Houston

232. Chris T.: 50 (-142) - North Carolina

232. Rob I.: 50 (-142) - Arizona

232. Moochie #1: 50 (-142) - North Carolina

242. Brett G. (Sleeper): 49 (-143) - Iowa State

242. Harrell R. #1: 49 (-143) - North Carolina

242. Dylan B.: 49 (-143) - Houston

245. Stephen C.: 47 (-129) - Nebraska

246. Bryce O.: 47 (-145) - Houston

246. Elizabeth N. #2: 47 (-145) - North Carolina

248. Faye N.: 46 (-130) - Texas A&M

249. Tim Dz. #2: 46 (-146) - Arizona

250. Def Efficiency: 45 (-147) - Iowa State

251. Daisy N. #5: 44 (-148) - North Carolina

251. Jacob A.: 44 (-148) - Iowa State

251. Karen C.: 44 (-148) - Kentucky

254. Steve Dz. #2: 43 (-149) - Illinois

254. Harrell R. #4: 43 (-149) - Iowa State

254. Josiah T.: 43 (-149) - North Carolina

257. Steve Dz. #1: 42 (-150) - Iowa State

257. Damien R. #4: 42 (-150) - Long Beach State

259. Kiah H. #2: 41 (-151) - Texas Tech

260. Jay H. #1: 40 (-152) - Houston

261. Marshmellow (Nik B.): 38 (-154) - Howard / Wagner

261. Amanda R.: 38 (-154) - Wisconsin

263. Finn D.: 37 (-155) - Kansas

264. Matt M.: 36 (-156) - Auburn

265. Wayne D. #5: 35 (-157) - Houston

265. Dianna A.: 35 (-157) - Kansas

265. D. Mag #4: 35 (-157) - Illinois

268. Charlotte N.: 34 (-158) - San Diego State

268. Brandie H.: 34 (-158) - Nebraska

270. Mustard (Nikolajs B.): 32 (-160) - Oregon

271. Moochie #3: 29 (-163) - James Madison

272. Constance McA.: 28 (-164) - Gonzaga

273. Ali A. #1: 21 (-171) - Washington State

273. Ali A. #2: 21 (-171) - Arizona

…and the matrix, but only for the people that are still alive:

Name	1st Place	2nd Place	3rd Place	4th Place	5th Place
Howard S. #2 - Purdue	25.0000%	NC State	25.0000%	Duke	25.0000%
Greg R. - Purdue	25.0000%	Duke	25.0000%	NC State	Illinois
Michelle L. #4 - Purdue	Illinois	25.0000%	Duke	25.0000%	NC State
Dan L. #2 - Purdue	N. Carolina	25.0000%	Duke	25.0000%	Clemson
Guillermo V. - Connecticut	12.5000%	12.5000%	NC State	NC State	NC State
Off Efficiency - Connecticut	12.5000%	12.5000%	NC State	NC State	NC State
Brad R. - Connecticut	Marquette	Creighton	25.0000%	Duke	Creighton
Mike N. - Connecticut	Clemson	Clemson	Clemson	25.0000%	Duke
Becky H. - Purdue	Marquette	Creighton	Clemson	Clemson	25.0000%
Michael S. #2 - Purdue	Houston	Creighton	25.0000%	Duke	Clemson
Chris L. #2 - Purdue	Sweet 16	N. Carolina	Houston	25.0000%	Duke
Ryan G. - Purdue	Creighton	Duke	Clemson	Clemson	25.0000%
Beau H. - Alabama	25.0000%	NC State	Gonzaga	SDSU	Gonzaga
Michelle L. #5 - Alabama	NC State	25.0000%	Creighton	Tennessee	Duke
John Mack #1 - Connecticut	NC State	Tennessee	NC State	Clemson	12.5000%
Luis B. #2 - Connecticut	Arizona	Clemson	Clemson	Clemson	12.5000%

Here are the eliminations for Alabama / Connecticut

If Connecticut wins:

Beau H. is eliminated from 1st place contention.

Becky H. is eliminated from 5th place contention.

Dan L. #2 is eliminated from 4th place contention.

Greg R. is eliminated from 1st & 3rd place contention.

Howard S. #2 is eliminated from 3rd & 5th place contention.

Michelle L. #4 is eliminated from 2nd & 4th place contention.

Michelle L. #5 is eliminated from 2nd place contention.

If Alabama wins:

Brad R. is eliminated from 3rd place contention.

Chris L. #2 is eliminated from 4th place contention.

Dan L. #2 is eliminated from 2nd place contention.

Guillermo V. is eliminated from 1st & 2nd place contention.

Howard S. #2 is eliminated from 1st place contention.

John Mack #1 is eliminated from 5th place contention.

Luis B. #2 is eliminated from 5th place contention.

Michael S. #2 is eliminated from 3rd place contention.

Mike N. is eliminated from 4th place contention.

Off Efficiency is eliminated from 1st & 2nd place contention.

Ryan G. is eliminated from 5th place contention.

Good luck!!!!!

Purdue / NC State eliminations

 It’s been almost a full week since we last had NCAA Men’s basketball to watch, and today is a very crucial day for anyone that is still alive to win something.  There are a few people that can still win with multiple scenarios, but most of the 19 people still alive need one specific set of outcomes from these last 3 games.

Based on the point spreads, these games don’t really promise to be all that great.  The first game of the day has the shortest line in Vegas, and that is 9 points.  Based on the data I have, games where the favorite is favored by 9 point, the favorite wins about 85% of the time.  It will have to be quite an upset for NC State to win this one.  Then again, they weren’t supposed to win A game in this tournament.  They were only favored in one game because Oakland knocked off Kentucky.  Still, they beat a 6, a 2 and a 4 already, so they’ve got a chance.  AS they say, they’ve definitely got a chance.  They are playing the game.  You know who doesn’t have a chance?  - every other team in the South region.

So, here’s what happens depending on the outcome of the first game:

If Purdue wins:

Beau H. is eliminated from 2nd place contention.

Greg R. is eliminated from 4th place contention.

Guillermo V. is eliminated from 3rd, 4th & 5th place contention.

Harrell R. #2 is eliminated from 2nd & 3rd place contention.

Howard S. #2 is eliminated from 2nd place contention.

John Mack #1 is eliminated from 1st place contention.

Luis B. #3 is eliminated from 4th & 5th place contention.

Michelle L. #4 is eliminated from 5th place contention.

Michelle L. #5 is eliminated from 1st place contention.

Off Efficiency is eliminated from 3rd, 4th & 5th place contention.

Patrick McC. #1 is eliminated from 4th & 5th place contention.

If NC State wins:

Beau H. is eliminated from 1st place contention.

Becky H. is eliminated from 5th place contention.

Brad R. is eliminated from 3rd place contention.

Chris L. #2 is eliminated from 4th place contention.

Dan L. #2 is eliminated from 2nd & 4th place contention.

Greg R. is eliminated from 1st place contention.

Guillermo V. is eliminated from 1st place contention.

Howard S. #2 is eliminated from 1st & 3rd place contention.

John Mack #1 is eliminated from 5th place contention.

Luis B. #2 is eliminated from 5th place contention.

Michael S. #2 is eliminated from 3rd place contention.

Michelle L. #4 is eliminated from 2nd place contention.

Michelle L. #5 is eliminated from 2nd place contention.

Mike N. is eliminated from 4th place contention.

Off Efficiency is eliminated from 1st place contention.

Ryan G. is eliminated from 5th place contention.

   

It looks like we are getting down to the point where there are so few games left that no matter what happens, some people will be eliminated from something.  For instance, Guillermo V. will either be eliminated from 1^st or 3^rd, 4^th & 5^th.  The swings left when every game is worth 16 or 32 points makes it so that one of those two outcomes has to be true.

There are also some scenarios that could end in a tie.  When that happens, I say that you have a 50/50 chance to win either of the payouts.  That’s also how someone could be eliminated from 2 place at once.

All right.  Virtually everyone has something at stake in this game.  It should be fun.  Purdue and NC State have been fun to watch all tournament, so I’m looking forward to a good game.

Good luck everyone!!!!!