Monday, January 1, 2024

Rose Bowl Preview

 Surprisingly, not much has been decided yet, with only 3 games to go.  The games today were pretty much exactly what people though, so if you didn’t pick up maximum points on LSU, Tennessee and Oregon, you probably lost a little ground.  It’s probably why there’s still a chance for anyone not named Dennis R. to win this thing.

The other good news, at least for me, is that there is no longer a scenario that would require a tiebreaker.  I hate tiebreakers, so the fact that we won’t need one is great.  It’s a lot less likely given the amount of points in the Bowl pool, but every year, I dread needing to decide things doing that.

So, Dennis R. has now officially clinched one of the 3 payouts.  Ally H. has reached the 50% marker, and everyone else is lower.

Here is the matrix:

Total

1st Place

2nd Place

3rd Place

1. Dennis R.: 650 (-248)

50.0000%

37.5000%

12.5000%

3. Ally H.: 606 (-256)

25.0000%

12.5000%

12.5000%

6. Brian K.: 594 (-278)

12.5000%

Iowa

25.0000%

2. Mike S.: 611 (-285)

Initial

25.0000%

Iowa

4. Matt Mal.: 606 (-292)

Liberty

Wisconsin

25.0000%

5. Moochi the Man: 595 (-285)

12.5000%

Iowa

12.5000%

7. Slave to Trends: 590 (-278)

Auburn

12.5000%

Iowa

8. Matt Mei.: 582 (-289)

Liberty

12.5000%

Wisconsin

9. Jason S.: 581 (-287)

Initial

Toledo

12.5000%

10. Daniel E.: 575 (-300)

SMU

Iowa St.

Wisconsin

11. Josaih T. #2: 572 (-328)

Initial

Oklahoma

Iowa St.

12. Matt N.: 571 (-327)

Initial

SMU

NC State

13. Jay H. #2: 568 (-332)

Initial

NC State

Kentucky

14. Josaih T. #1: 566 (-334)

Miami

Oklahoma

Ohio St.

15. Andrew D.: 558 (-318)

SMU

SMU

Auburn

16. Mario M.: 551 (-310)

Oklahoma

Kentucky

Kentucky

17. Steve Dz.: 551 (-349)

SMU

Miami

Oregon St.

18. Klei R.: 548 (-321)

Kentucky

Ohio St.

Ohio St.

19. Dylan B.: 544 (-328)

Initial

NC State

Iowa St.

20. Rich F.: 540 (-360)

Initial

Initial

Initial

21. Michelle L. #1: 537 (-344)

Initial

Initial

Initial

22. Marc R. #1: 537 (-349)

Oregon St.

Penn St.

Penn St.

23. Jon F.: 536 (-357)

Initial

Initial

SMU

24. Sports Illustrated: 529 (-327)

Initial

SMU

NC State

25. Mike N.: 526 (-333)

SMU

Oklahoma

Ohio St.

26. Michelle L. #2: 524 (-350)

Miami

Oregon St.

Oregon St.

27. Jay H. #1: 521 (-335)

Oklahoma

Oklahoma

Kentucky

28. Hutch H. #1: 516 (-368)

Initial

Initial

Initial

29. CAAT #4: 514 (-352)

Initial

SMU

SMU

29. CAAT #3: 514 (-352)

Initial

SMU

SMU

29. CAAT #1: 514 (-352)

Initial

SMU

SMU

32. Tim N.: 513 (-317)

Initial

NC State

Iowa St.

33. Hutch H. #2: 513 (-371)

Initial

Initial

Initial

34. Brent E. #2: 510 (-362)

SMU

SMU

Oklahoma

34. Brent E. #3: 510 (-362)

SMU

SMU

Oklahoma

36. CAAT #2: 509 (-357)

Initial

SMU

SMU

37. Brent E. #1: 507 (-351)

Oklahoma

Kentucky

Kentucky

38. Sally R.: 507 (-357)

Florida St.

Florida St.

Florida St.

39. Brent E. #4: 502 (-355)

Oregon St.

Oregon St.

Penn St.

40. Paul Kr.: 501 (-347)

Kentucky

Kentucky

Penn St.

41. Jim D.: 499 (-358)

SMU

Oklahoma

Ohio St.

42. Amber the Beast: 498 (-332)

Toledo

Liberty

Liberty

43. Eric G.: 496 (-330)

Iowa

Florida St.

Wisconsin

44. Scott H. #2: 494 (-386)

Initial

Initial

SMU

45. Pete J. #2: 491 (-401)

Initial

Initial

Initial

46. Pete J. #1: 488 (-404)

Initial

Initial

Initial

47. Steve M. #1: 488 (-407)

Wisconsin

Wisconsin

Toledo

48. Marc R. #2: 487 (-333)

Oregon St.

Penn St.

Penn St.

49. Jaxon S.: 481 (-348)

Kentucky

Kentucky

Iowa St.

50. Henry A.: 481 (-371)

SMU

SMU

Oklahoma

51. Brett W.: 472 (-382)

Miami

Oklahoma

Oklahoma

52. Mike W.: 467 (-396)

Initial

SMU

Miami

53. Larry G.: 463 (-435)

Initial

SMU

Miami

54. Carrie F.: 459 (-419)

Initial

Initial

Initial

55. CAAT #5: 458 (-408)

Initial

Initial

Initial

56. Becky H.: 454 (-372)

NC State

Kentucky

Kentucky

57. Ryan W.: 453 (-412)

SMU

Oklahoma

Oklahoma

58. Steve M. #2: 450 (-420)

Florida St.

Florida St.

Florida St.

59. Scott H. #1: 449 (-415)

Miami

NC State

Oklahoma

60. Faye N.: 438 (-421)

Auburn

Florida St.

Florida St.

61. Charlotte N.: 437 (-385)

Auburn

Florida St.

Florida St.

62. Jim W.: 433 (-405)

Initial

Oklahoma

Oklahoma

63. Howard S.: 431 (-429)

Miami

Miami

Kentucky

64. Adam E.: 427 (-416)

Oregon St.

Oregon St.

Iowa St.

65. Brad R.: 419 (-433)

Initial

Initial

Oklahoma

66. Dan Du.: 416 (-435)

SMU

Oregon St.

Oregon St.

67. Max A. #1: 392 (-477)

Initial

Initial

Initial

68. Damien R.: 386 (-459)

SMU

Oklahoma

Iowa St.

69. Max A. #2: 375 (-515)

Initial

Initial

Initial

70. Kirt R.: 322 (-500)

NC State

Oklahoma

Oklahoma

…but the Rose Bowl is up next.  Here’s who everyone has:

Name

Points Won

Pick

Points

Dennis R.

650

Michigan

1

Ally H.

606

Alabama

31

Brian K.

594

Michigan

16

Mike S.

611

Michigan

4

Matt Mal.

606

Alabama

3

Moochi the Man

595

Michigan

22

Slave to Trends

590

Alabama

21

Matt Mei.

582

Michigan

27

Jason S.

581

Alabama

15

   

If Michigan Wins:

Ally H. is eliminated from 1st, 2nd & 3rd place contention.

Dennis R. is eliminated from 3rd place contention.

Jason S. is eliminated from 3rd place contention.

Slave to Trends is eliminated from 2nd place contention.


If Alabama Wins:

Brian K. is eliminated from 1st & 3rd place contention.

Matt Mei. is eliminated from 2nd place contention.

Moochi the Man is eliminated from 1st & 3rd place contention.

This will be the first game of the season that has secondary repercussions.  For example,  Ally H. has Alabama winning this game for 31 points.  She also has Alabama winning the Championship game for another 35 points, so if she loses here. She essentially loses 66 points, which is why losing this game will eliminate her from any payout.

In another interesting wrinkle, if Michigan wins, Dennis R. gets 1 point, but he also is eliminated from 3rd place contention because he will have clinched either 1st or 2nd.

Should be a fun game.  Good luck!!!!!

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