After 1/1 games

I actually watched part of this last game, but I really didn't need to.  As a matter of fact, you could have been excused from watching any of the games today.  The closest game of the day was a 16 point win for Ohio State.  Those are some pretty heavy duty blowouts.

As a result, there are now only 6 people left alive for 2 payouts, so everyone left has a decent chance to make the money.   Here are the probabilities for 1st place:

1. Klei R. (65.625%)

2. Brent E. #1 (26.5625%)

3. Dan D. (6.25%)

4. Michelle L. #2 (1.5625%)

It turns out that virtually none of the 4 games tomorrow matter for me, since I would win if Clemson wins the National Championship game regardless of anything else.  I guess there are ways I could win if Alabama wins, but a combination of other things would also have to happen.  Then again, there are 4 games, and who knows what will happen.

Here are the probabilities for 2nd place:

1. Michelle L. #1 (37.5%)

2. Klei R. (18.75%)

2. Brent E. #1 (18.75%)

4. Dustin B. (12.5%)

5. Dan D. (6.25%)

5. Michelle L. #2 (6.25%)

Here are the overall point totals:

1. Klei R.: 622 (-161)

2. Brent E. #1: 598 (-194)

3. Michelle L. #2: 576 (-199)

4. Michelle L. #1: 569 (-195)

5. Brent E. #2: 560 (-202)

6. Dan D.: 552 (-218)

7. Matt N.: 549 (-233)

8. Jim W.: 549 (-285)

9. Pete J. #2: 548 (-227)

10. Brad R.: 548 (-303)

12. Marc R. #2: 541 (-230)

11. Scott H. #2: 541 (-218)

13. Brent S. #2: 540 (-234)

14. Craig G.: 528 (-265)

15. Jay H. #1: 527 (-235)

16. Mike W.: 526 (-251)

17. Marc R. #1: 524 (-239)

18. Dustin B.: 523 (-197)

19. Mike S. #2: 513 (-256)

20. Dave M.: 509 (-261)

21. Sally R.: 509 (-275)

22. Chris L.: 507 (-267)

23. Scott H. #1: 498 (-259)

24. Damien R. #1: 494 (-313)

25. Brent S. #1: 488 (-265)

26. Ray R.: 482 (-290)

27. Brett W.: 481 (-258)

28. Mike S. #1: 467 (-312)

29. Roth W. #1: 466 (-302)

30. Jay H. #3: 456 (-319)

32. Ryan W.: 444 (-324)

31. Ashley D.: 444 (-321)

33. Becky H.: 443 (-333)

34. Adam E.: 435 (-344)

35. Pete J. #1: 431 (-344)

36. Dylan B.: 426 (-291)

37. James R.: 421 (-371)

38. Damien R. #2: 420 (-295)

39. Roth W. #2: 416 (-287)

40. Mindi W.: 394 (-377)

41. Nichole W.: 388 (-392)

42. Ally H.: 359 (-399)

43. Jay H. #2: 351 (-352)

44. Tim N.: 317 (-434)

As I mentioned, there are 4 more games tomorrow.  As there are only 6 people left, there probably aren't a ton of eliminations to be had, but we will see.  The day starts off  with the TaxSlayer Bowl.  Here are the eliminations:

If Georgia Wins:

No one is eliminated.

If Penn State Wins:

Michelle L. #2 is eliminated from 1st & 2nd place (Georgia for 32)

That's it.  So this game doesn't seem like it's going to decide much.  You can watch it if you want.  I'm more than likely going to watch a movie or something.

Good luck!!!!!!