Before Alamo Bowl

I skipped the second game of the day, but no one was eliminated in the first one, and the second one only culled one sheet.  That sheet belonged to Dan D.  That means we are down to 3 people that can win the whole thing and 5 that can get second.

Here are the current probabilities for 1st place:

1. Klei R. (62.5%)

2. Brent E. #1 (31.25%)

3. Michelle L. #2 (6.25%)

...and the probabilities for 2nd:

1. Michelle L. #1 (37.5%)

2. Brent E. #1 (18.75%)

2. Michelle L. #2 (18.75%)

4. Klei R. (12.5%)

4. Dustin B. (12.5%)

Unfortunately for those of us that chose TCU before the pool began, the next game looks a little assured given that their Heisman trophy finalist QB is no longer playing.  Such are the perils of the pool, I guess.  Here are the eliminations in the Alamo Bowl:

If Oregon Wins:

Brent E. #1 is eliminated from 2nd place contention (Oregon for 3)

Michelle L. #2 is eliminated from 1st place contention (TCU for 4)

If TCU Wins:

Dustin B. is eliminated from 2nd place contention (Oregon for 33)

Klei R. is eliminated from 2nd place contention (TCU for 5)

For Brent E. #1 and Klei R, depending on the outcome of this game, one of us will be eliminated from 2nd place contention, but still very much alive for 1st place.

Good luck!!!!!