After Alamo Bowl

What a game!!!!  I had pretty much given up TCU for dead at halftime.  I had even given up a lot of hope in the second overtime, but they came back and won the game.  It is probably a pretty devastating loss for Oregon, but it makes for some interesting things in the pool with only 2 games left.

Here are the probabilities for 1st:

1. Klei R. (75%)

2. Brent E. #1 (12.5%)

2. Michelle L. #2 (12.5%)

...and the probabilities for 2nd:

1. Michelle L. #1 (50%)

2. Brent E. #1 (37.5%)

3. Michelle L. #2 (12.5%)

Fun fact:  Brent, Michelle and I have all finished in the top 2 of this pool at one point or another.  If I were a daily fantasy website, I'd mark that as proof that this is a skill based endeavor, but I feel pretty confident that it's mostly luck.

Here are the points for those that are interested:

1. Klei R.: 691 (-161)

2. Brent E. #1: 662 (-197)

3. Michelle L. #2: 651 (-199)

4. Michelle L. #1: 642 (-210)

5. Matt N.: 625 (-235)

6. Brent E. #2: 624 (-235)

7. Pete J. #2: 619 (-235)

8. Scott H. #2: 617 (-218)

9. Jay H. #1: 607 (-253)

10. Brent S. #2: 605 (-255)

11. Dustin B.: 600 (-230)

12. Mike W.: 597 (-251)

13. Craig G.: 592 (-265)

14. Mike S. #2: 590 (-263)

15. Marc R. #2: 581 (-271)

17. Dan D.: 578 (-261)

16. Brett W.: 578 (-258)

18. Chris L.: 577 (-267)

19. Dave M.: 575 (-276)

20. Jim W.: 570 (-285)

21. Marc R. #1: 564 (-284)

22. Brent S. #1: 563 (-296)

23. Brad R.: 550 (-310)

24. Scott H. #1: 545 (-281)

25. Ray R.: 537 (-309)

26. Damien R. #1: 535 (-319)

27. Roth W. #1: 532 (-311)

28. Mike S. #1: 526 (-315)

29. Damien R. #2: 525 (-295)

30. Becky H.: 524 (-333)

31. Sally R.: 509 (-350)

32. Dylan B.: 504 (-318)

33. Adam E.: 501 (-355)

34. Jay H. #3: 499 (-341)

36. Ryan W.: 493 (-344)

35. Roth W. #2: 493 (-327)

37. Pete J. #1: 471 (-383)

38. Nichole W.: 450 (-392)

39. Ashley D.: 444 (-400)

40. Mindi W.: 437 (-400)

41. Jay H. #2: 428 (-392)

42. James R.: 421 (-402)

43. Ally H.: 364 (-469)

44. Tim N.: 343 (-489)

There's still one game left tonight, and it could be a game changer.  Here's the possiblities:

If Arizona State wins:

Klei R. wins the pool.

Michelle L. #2 is eliminated from 2nd place contention.

If West Virginia wins:

Everything gets decided by the National Championship game, and maybe a tiebreaker.

For my sake, I hope the Sun Devil's can pull it out.  Good luck!!!!!!