After Foster Farms Bowl

The good news for today is that there were a lot of points available for people to get.  The bad news is that a lot of people had the same picks, so movement was a little more difficult than you would have thought.  We also had our biggest upset of the pool so far with Notre Dame beating LSU.  Since only 7 people actually had any points on Notre Dame, this became a game about minimizing losses than racking up points.

As a group, we averaged 1.93 / 3 games picked correctly.  No one was shutout today (compliments of Stanford winning with 96% of people picking them.  7 people managed to go 3/3, with the best of them being Chad C. who managed to get 83 big points today.  Unfortunately, that was only good enough to move him up from 53rd to 46th (and he actually dropped 2 spots after the Foster Farms Bowl).  Still good picking from Chad, so congratulations to him for the day.

As I mentioned earlier, there was no one who went 0/3 today, but 11 people went 1/3, and the worst of them depends on your definition.  Bruce G. lost the most points (72), but Jim W. lost the most net points (43).  Being as I'm a fan of the net points, I'm giving it to him.  Tough break, Jim.  The picks today moved him from 17th to 43rd on the day.

Overall, it was a day to  take some chances, and hope they paid off.  For the people taking Notre Dame, they did.  For anyone taking the other underdogs, it really hurt them in the standings.

Speaking of which, here are the standings:

1. CBS Hinnen: 385 (-113)

2. CBS Fornelli: 356 (-125)

3. Mark N. #2: 349 (-96)

4. Ray R.: 344 (-159)

5. Mike W.: 335 (-180)

6. Adam E.: 334 (-112)

7. Ryan W.: 322 (-169)

8. Mike S.: 320 (-98)

9. Hal R. #3: 312 (-166)

10. Brett W.: 308 (-234)

11. Ryan G.: 307 (-133)

12. Hutch H. #1: 307 (-173)

13. Carl B.: 304 (-83)

14. Brent E. #1: 302 (-120)

15. Hal R. #2: 301 (-160)

17. Hal R. #1: 300 (-161)

16. Daniel D.: 300 (-143)

18. Sarah G.: 297 (-136)

19. Damien R. #2: 295 (-197)

20. Hutch H. #2: 294 (-155)

22. Brent S. #1: 286 (-175)

21. Brent S. #2: 286 (-146)

23. Brent E. #2: 285 (-120)

24. Scott H. #1: 284 (-152)

25. Mark N. #1: 283 (-169)

26. Andrew D.: 281 (-205)

27. Bruce G.: 279 (-231)

28. Pete J. #2: 278 (-207)

29. Matt N.: 276 (-167)

30. Scott H. #2: 273 (-109)

31. Marc R.: 272 (-164)

32. Pete J. #1: 270 (-215)

33. Dustin B.: 268 (-113)

34. Andrew O.: 267 (-209)

35. Kevin W.: 264 (-102)

36. Michelle L. #1: 264 (-161)

37. Klei R.: 263 (-220)

38. Ben W.: 258 (-221)

39. Chad L.: 256 (-170)

40. Tim N.: 255 (-161)

41. Lance L.: 253 (-141)

42. Amos W.: 252 (-219)

43. Jim W.: 248 (-221)

44. Michelle L. #2: 243 (-199)

45. Dave M.: 236 (-158)

46. Chad C.: 228 (-86)

47. Damien R. #1: 223 (-146)

48. Presley J.: 222 (-231)

49. Ally H.: 222 (-306)

50. Mandi A.: 212 (-223)

51. Becky H.: 203 (-277)

52. Brad R.: 187 (-260)

53. Sally R.: 184 (-220)

54. Dylan B.: 167 (-157)

55. Jay H. #2: 158 (-175)

56. Jay H. #1: 151 (-149)

....and the net standings:

1. CBS Hinnen: 272

2. Mark N. #2: 253

3. CBS Fornelli: 231

4. Adam E.: 222

4. Mike S.: 222

6. Carl B.: 221

7. Ray R.: 185

8. Brent E. #1: 182

9. Ryan G.: 174

10. Brent E. #2: 165

11. Scott H. #2: 164

12. Kevin W.: 162

13. Sarah G.: 161

14. Daniel D.: 157

15. Mike W.: 155

15. Dustin B.: 155

17. Ryan W.: 153

18. Hal R. #3: 146

19. Chad C.: 142

20. Hal R. #2: 141

21. Brent S. #2: 140

22. Hal R. #1: 139

22. Hutch H. #2: 139

24. Hutch H. #1: 134

25. Scott H. #1: 132

26. Mark N. #1: 114

27. Lance L.: 112

28. Brent S. #1: 111

29. Matt N.: 109

30. Marc R.: 108

31. Michelle L. #1: 103

32. Damien R. #2: 98

33. Tim N.: 94

34. Chad L.: 86

35. Dave M.: 78

36. Damien R. #1: 77

37. Andrew D.: 76

38. Brett W.: 74

39. Pete J. #2: 71

40. Andrew O.: 58

41. Pete J. #1: 55

42. Bruce G.: 48

43. Michelle L. #2: 44

44. Klei R.: 43

45. Ben W.: 37

46. Amos W.: 33

47. Jim W.: 27

48. Dylan B.: 10

49. Jay H. #1: 2

50. Presley J.: -9

51. Mandi A.: -11

52. Jay H. #2: -17

53. Sally R.: -36

54. Brad R.: -73

55. Becky H.: -74

56. Ally H.: -84

After tomorrow, I should be able to provide the probabilities of winning.  I'll still post the standings based on points, but I'll also provide the eliminations for upcoming games as well.

There are 3 more games tomorrow.  Here are the stats for them:

Peach Bowl:

Vegas Line: TCU  -3.5 over Mississippi

Total points wagered: 1247 (15th overall)

Picks for TCU: 42 (average pick: 24.93 points)

Picks for Mississippi: 14 (average pick: 14.29 points)

Average points: TCU for 15.1 points.

Median pick: TCU for 20.5 points.

Picks for TCU:

Chad C.: 37

Daniel D.: 37

Jim W.: 37

Ally H.: 36

Dave M.: 36

Kevin W.: 36

Mandi A.: 35

Scott H. #2: 35

Jay H. #2: 34

Ben W.: 33

Lance L.: 33

Brad R.: 32

Dylan B.: 32

Ray R.: 31

Scott H. #1: 31

Chad L.: 28

Marc R.: 28

Becky H.: 27

Presley J.: 27

Jay H. #1: 25

Andrew O.: 24

Brent S. #1: 24

Damien R. #1: 24

Hal R. #1: 24

Hal R. #2: 24

Hal R. #3: 24

Dustin B.: 23

Ryan W.: 21

Adam E.: 20

Pete J. #1: 19

Pete J. #2: 19

Brent E. #1: 18

Brent E. #2: 18

Hutch H. #1: 18

Mike W.: 18

Ryan G.: 16

Sarah G.: 16

Hutch H. #2: 13

Brent S. #2: 12

Mark N. #1: 10

Mike S.: 9

CBS Fornelli: 3

Picks for Mississippi:

Carl B.: 27

Damien R. #2: 24

Tim N.: 22

Klei R.: 17

Andrew D.: 16

CBS Hinnen: 16

Sally R.: 16

Michelle L. #1: 13

Amos W.: 10

Mark N. #2: 10

Brett W.: 10

Michelle L. #2: 9

Bruce G.: 7

Matt N.: 3

Fiesta Bowl:

Vegas Line: Arizona -3.5 over Boise State

Total points wagered: 1238 (16th overall)

Picks for Arizona: 50 (average pick: 22.88 points)

Picks for Mississippi: 6 (average pick: 15.67 points)

Average points: Arizona for 18.8 points.

Median pick: Arizona for 22 points.

Picks for Arizona:

Adam E.: 37

Tim N.: 37

Andrew D.: 36

Brent E. #2: 35

Mike S.: 35

Jim W.: 33

Marc R.: 33

Bruce G.: 32

Kevin W.: 31

Klei R.: 31

Lance L.: 30

Andrew O.: 29

CBS Hinnen: 28

Ryan W.: 28

Amos W.: 27

Brent E. #1: 27

Jay H. #1: 26

Scott H. #1: 26

Damien R. #1: 25

Michelle L. #2: 25

Ray R.: 25

Chad C.: 24

Matt N.: 24

Pete J. #1: 24

Pete J. #2: 24

Dave M.: 23

Jay H. #2: 23

Hal R. #1: 22

Hal R. #2: 22

Hal R. #3: 22

Brent S. #2: 21

Dylan B.: 21

Scott H. #2: 21

Brent S. #1: 20

CBS Fornelli: 20

Michelle L. #1: 19

Mark N. #1: 17

Mark N. #2: 17

Hutch H. #1: 16

Presley J.: 16

Carl B.: 15

Ryan G.: 15

Sarah G.: 15

Brad R.: 14

Hutch H. #2: 12

Damien R. #2: 11

Mike W.: 11

Ben W.: 9

Mandi A.: 5

Brett W.: 5

Picks for Boise State:

Dustin B.: 21

Ally H.: 20

Sally R.: 17

Chad L.: 13

Daniel D.: 12

Becky H.: 11

Orange Bowl:

Vegas Line: Mississippi State -7 over Georgia Tech

Total points wagered: 1350 (10th overall)

Picks for Mississippi State: 42 (average pick: 26.62 points)

Picks for Mississippi State: 14 (average pick: 16.57 points)

Average points: Mississippi State for 15.8 points.

Median pick: Mississippi State for 26.5 points.

Mississippi State picks:

Matt N.: 38

Andrew D.: 37

CBS Fornelli: 37

Scott H. #1: 37

Brent E. #2: 36

Daniel D.: 36

Dylan B.: 36

Tim N.: 35

Ben W.: 34

Mike S.: 34

Sally R.: 34

Scott H. #2: 34

Chad L.: 33

Damien R. #2: 33

Brent S. #2: 32

Kevin W.: 32

Hutch H. #2: 31

Presley J.: 31

Ryan G.: 31

Sarah G.: 31

Carl B.: 29

CBS Hinnen: 29

Marc R.: 29

Lance L.: 28

Brent S. #1: 27

Jay H. #1: 27

Mark N. #1: 27

Mark N. #2: 27

Brent E. #1: 26

Dustin B.: 25

Adam E.: 24

Jim W.: 21

Dave M.: 17

Michelle L. #1: 17

Becky H.: 16

Hal R. #2: 15

Hal R. #3: 15

Pete J. #2: 11

Ally H.: 10

Mandi A.: 7

Bruce G.: 6

Ryan W.: 3

Georgia Tech picks:

Klei R.: 36

Amos W.: 29

Andrew O.: 26

Damien R. #1: 26

Chad C.: 25

Jay H. #2: 18

Hal R. #1: 15

Michelle L. #2: 14

Brad R.: 13

Mike W.: 13

Pete J. #1: 11

Brett W.: 3

Hutch H. #1: 2

Ray R.: 1

Based on the point spreads, I'm a little surprised to see so many points wagered tomorrow.  For example, the point spread for the Peach Bowl is 3.5 points, but the points wagered are 15th most.  That is roughly the same point spread as in the Camellia bowl earlier this year, and that game was 37th.  Maybe people feel they know more about these teams because they are on TV more often.  Maybe people just like to weight later games more.  I'm not sure.

Good luck to everyone tomorrow!!!!