After Rose Bowl

Well, in a rout, Oregon became the first team to stake their claim to the National Championship game.  This didn't come as a shock to too many people, since only 2 sheets lost out:

Jim W. is eliminated from 1st place contention.

Hal R. #1 is eliminated from 3rd place contention.

Here are the raw points standings:

1. Mark N. #2: 425 (-158)

2. Ray R.: 420 (-216)

3. Daniel D.: 413 (-199)

4. CBS Hinnen: 401 (-227)

5. Ryan W.: 393 (-215)

6. Mike W.: 389 (-237)

7. Brent E. #1: 387 (-198)

8. Hal R. #3: 387 (-262)

9. Adam E.: 383 (-211)

10. Ryan G.: 383 (-219)

11. Hutch H. #1: 383 (-226)

12. CBS Fornelli: 379 (-205)

13. Hal R. #2: 376 (-256)

14. Scott H. #2: 373 (-192)

15. Sarah G.: 373 (-222)

16. Scott H. #1: 372 (-237)

17. Chad C.: 371 (-139)

18. Hal R. #1: 370 (-244)

19. Brent E. #2: 369 (-216)

20. Brent S. #1: 369 (-248)

21. Brent S. #2: 368 (-231)

22. Pete J. #1: 368 (-249)

22. Pete J. #2: 368 (-249)

24. Amos W.: 368 (-256)

25. Marc R.: 368 (-265)

26. Andrew O.: 368 (-302)

27. Dustin B.: 366 (-199)

28. Hutch H. #2: 364 (-234)

29. Carl B.: 362 (-209)

30. Mark N. #1: 360 (-235)

31. Matt N.: 358 (-258)

32. Michelle L. #2: 357 (-233)

33. Mike S.: 356 (-236)

34. Damien R. #2: 353 (-277)

35. Kevin W.: 352 (-217)

36. Klei R.: 350 (-298)

37. Lance L.: 349 (-250)

38. Brett W.: 349 (-283)

39. Damien R. #1: 336 (-201)

40. Becky H.: 332 (-293)

41. Ally H.: 330 (-334)

42. Michelle L. #1: 327 (-261)

43. Jim W.: 326 (-308)

44. Ben W.: 317 (-313)

45. Dave M.: 315 (-249)

46. Presley J.: 313 (-304)

47. Andrew D.: 302 (-299)

48. Tim N.: 299 (-311)

49. Brad R.: 298 (-274)

50. Chad L.: 297 (-265)

51. Mandi A.: 289 (-292)

52. Bruce G.: 284 (-366)

53. Jay H. #2: 278 (-261)

54. Dylan B.: 257 (-261)

55. Jay H. #1: 237 (-259)

56. Sally R.: 231 (-355)

...and the net point standings:

1. Mark N. #2: 267

2. Chad C.: 232

3. Daniel D.: 214

4. Ray R.: 204

5. Brent E. #1: 189

6. Scott H. #2: 181

7. Ryan W.: 178

8. CBS Hinnen: 174

8. CBS Fornelli: 174

10. Adam E.: 172

11. Dustin B.: 167

12. Ryan G.: 164

13. Hutch H. #1: 157

14. Brent E. #2: 153

14. Carl B.: 153

16. Mike W.: 152

17. Sarah G.: 151

18. Brent S. #2: 137

19. Scott H. #1: 135

19. Kevin W.: 135

19. Damien R. #1: 135

22. Hutch H. #2: 130

23. Hal R. #1: 126

24. Hal R. #3: 125

24. Mark N. #1: 125

26. Michelle L. #2: 124

27. Brent S. #1: 121

28. Hal R. #2: 120

28. Mike S.: 120

30. Pete J. #1: 119

30. Pete J. #2: 119

32. Amos W.: 112

33. Marc R.: 103

34. Matt N.: 100

35. Lance L.: 99

36. Damien R. #2: 76

37. Andrew O.: 66

37. Brett W.: 66

37. Michelle L. #1: 66

37. Dave M.: 66

41. Klei R.: 52

42. Becky H.: 39

43. Chad L.: 32

44. Brad R.: 24

45. Jim W.: 18

46. Jay H. #2: 17

47. Presley J.: 9

48. Ben W.: 4

49. Andrew D.: 3

50. Mandi A.: -3

51. Ally H.: -4

51. Dylan B.: -4

53. Tim N.: -12

54. Jay H. #1: -22

55. Bruce G.: -82

56. Sally R.: -124

...and the probabilities for 1st place:

1.: Mark N. #2 (39.1493%)

2.: Chad C. (23.2638%)

3.: Ryan W. (10.4166%)

4.: Ray R. (5.5555%)

5.: Dustin B. (5.2083%)

6.: Daniel D. (3.9062%)

7.: Scott H. #2 (2.8645%)

8.: Adam E. (2.6041%)

9.: Kevin W. (2.0833%)

10.: CBS Hinnen (1.9531%)

11.: Damien R. #1 (1.1718%)

12.: CBS Fornelli (1.0416%)

13.: Mike W. (0.5208%)

14.: Jay H. #2 (0.2604%)

...and the probabilities of getting 2nd place:

1.: Mark N. #2 (16.1024%)

2.: Chad C. (11.4149%)

3.: Daniel D. (10.4166%)

4.: Dustin B. (9.375%)

5.: Brent E. #1 (8.2031%)

6.: Ray R. (7.769%)

7.: Ryan W. (6.1197%)

8.: Scott H. #2 (5.2083%)

9.: Adam E. (4.8177%)

10.: CBS Hinnen (4.2968%)

11.: CBS Fornelli (3.125%)

12.: Mike W. (2.7343%)

13.: Kevin W. (2.6041%)

14.: Damien R. #1 (2.3437%)

15.: Carl B. (2.0833%)

16.: Hutch H. #1 (1.1718%)

17.: Jay H. #2 (0.7812%)

18.: Brent E. #2 (0.651%)

19.: Ryan G. (0.5208%)

20.: Brent S. #1 (0.2604%)

...and the probabilities for 3rd place:

1.: Daniel D. (12.8906%)

2.: Mark N. #2 (11.6753%)

3.: Chad C. (8.8107%)

4.: Ray R. (7.5086%)

5.: Ryan W. (7.0312%)

6.: Dustin B. (6.7708%)

7.: Brent E. #1 (6.25%)

8.: Scott H. #2 (5.3385%)

9.: CBS Hinnen (4.9479%)

10.: Adam E. (4.8177%)

11.: Mike W. (4.5572%)

12.: Carl B. (3.776%)

13.: Brent E. #2 (3.6458%)

14.: CBS Fornelli (3.3854%)

15.: Hutch H. #1 (1.9531%)

16.: Damien R. #1 (1.6927%)

17.: Kevin W. (1.5625%)

18.: Ryan G. (1.0416%)

19.: Jay H. #2 (0.5208%)

19.: Michelle L. #2 (0.5208%)

21.: Scott H. #1 (0.3906%)

22.: Brent S. #1 (0.2604%)

22.: Pete J. #1 (0.2604%)

22.: Jim W. (0.2604%)

25.: Sarah G. (0.1302%)

There are still 25 people alive for places in the pool.  I think that may be trimmed with the last game of the day:  the Sugar Bowl.

If Alabama wins:

Brent S. #1 is eliminated from 2nd place contention.   CBS Hinnen is eliminated from 1st & 2nd place contention.

Jay H. #2 is eliminated from 1st, 2nd & 3rd place contention.   Jim W. is eliminated from 3rd place contention.

Kevin W. is eliminated from 1st, 2nd & 3rd place contention.

Mike W. is eliminated from 1st & 2nd place contention.

If Ohio State wins:

Brent E. #2 is eliminated from 2nd & 3rd place contention. Brent S. #1 is eliminated from 3rd place contention. Carl B. is eliminated from 2nd place contention.   CBS Fornelli is eliminated from 1st & 2nd place contention.

Damien R. #1 is eliminated from 1st place contention.   Hutch H. #1 is eliminated from 2nd place contention.   Michelle L. #2 is eliminated from 3rd place contention.

Mike W. is eliminated from 1st place contention.   Pete J. #1 is eliminated from 3rd place contention.

Ryan G. is eliminated from 2nd & 3rd place contention. Sarah G. is eliminated from 3rd place contention. Scott H. #1 is eliminated from 3rd place contention.

Some explanation needs to be said for Mike W. appearing to be eliminated from 1st place regardless of the outcome.  The reason for this is because I allowed you to pick a winner of the national championship game this is different from the winner of the semi-final games.  In Mike W.'s case, he chose Ohio State to win the Sugar Bowl for 1 point, but had Alabama winning the National Championship for 30 points.  One way or another, one of those picks will be incorrect after tonight, dropping him from 1st place contention.

I also thought it was nice to see at least one of the CBS "Experts" will be out after tonight as well.  It would be especially sweet if it was CBS Hinnen, since he has been in the lead for a lot of this pool.

Good Luck!!!!