Final Analysis

It's all over with, and for the 2 people that won, I hope you enjoy the spoils of your picking.  As I mentioned yesterday, I'm pretty disappointed in having to pay out to only 2 people this year.  This bowl pool had a disturbing trend as 36 of the 89 sheets that were entered were multiples, including 8 of the top 10 and 13 of the top 20.

I don't like this outcome at all, although I haven't decided what to do about it.  I'm debating the idea of limiting people to one entry a piece next year.  The goal for me is to make the pool as enjoyable for as many people as possible.  If one person tries to corner the market by submitting virtually the exact sheet multiple times and is successful, that is only entertaining for one person at the end of the day.

Here are the final standings:

1. Brent E. #3: 458 (-172)

2. Brent E. #1: 435 (-195)

3. James G. #2: 411 (-219)

4. Marc R. #1: 410 (-220)

5. Roth W. #1: 407 (-223)

6. Damien R. #2: 405 (-225)

7. Carl B.: 403 (-227)

8. Roth W. #2: 399 (-231)

9. Jim W.: 396 (-234)

10. Brent E. #2: 394 (-236)

11. Erica A.: 393 (-237)

11. Kansas C.: 393 (-237)

11. Klei R. #2: 393 (-237)

14. Adam E.: 391 (-239)

14. Michelle L. #1: 391 (-239)

16. Chris L. #1: 390 (-240)

17. BAD: 389 (-241)

17. Mike L. #2: 389 (-241)

19. CJ: 388 (-242)

20. Mike L. #1: 383 (-247)

21. Brent S. #1: 380 (-250)

21. Marc R. #3: 380 (-250)

23. Brett W.: 378 (-252)

24. Scott Her. #2: 372 (-258)

25. Miguel D.: 371 (-259)

26. Marc R. #2: 368 (-262)

27. Dave M.: 366 (-264)

28. Andy M.: 365 (-265)

29. Jay H. #3: 364 (-266)

29. Tim N.: 364 (-266)

31. Hutch H. #1: 361 (-269)

32. Matt N.: 360 (-270)

32. Scott Her. #1: 360 (-270)

34. Kevin W.: 359 (-271)

35. Chris L. #2: 353 (-277)

35. Damien R. #1: 353 (-277)

37. Bosun Ava: 352 (-278)

37. Larry G. #1: 352 (-278)

39. Jay H. #1: 351 (-279)

39. Klei R. #1: 351 (-279)

41. Chad C.: 350 (-280)

42. Huki Julie: 349 (-281)

43. Hutch H. #2: 348 (-282)

43. Sailor Dan: 348 (-282)

45. Amos W.: 346 (-284)

46. Larry G. #3: 344 (-286)

47. Scott Has.: 343 (-287)

48. Brent S. #2: 342 (-288)

49. Abel R.: 341 (-289)

50. Becky H: 339 (-291)

51. Michelle L. #2: 332 (-298)

52. Howard S.: 330 (-300)

52. Peter J. #1: 330 (-300)

54. Chad L.: 329 (-301)

54. Larry G. #2: 329 (-301)

56. Jeff W.: 327 (-303)

57. Jeff D.: 326 (-304)

57. Mike W.: 326 (-304)

59. Brad R.: 325 (-305)

59. DesGru: 325 (-305)

61. Peter J. #2: 322 (-308)

61. Shawn S.: 322 (-308)

63. Ben P.: 321 (-309)

64. Bruce G.: 319 (-311)

65. Sally R.: 318 (-312)

66. Karl K.: 315 (-315)

66. Matt J.: 315 (-315)

68. Amy D.: 313 (-317)

69. Mike S.: 300 (-330)

70. Steve D.: 299 (-331)

71. Ben W.: 298 (-332)

72. Luis B. #2: 297 (-333)

73. Luis B. #1: 295 (-335)

74. Dre: 294 (-336)

75. Kevin F.: 292 (-338)

76. Daryl J.: 287 (-343)

76. Mandi A.: 287 (-343)

78. Dennis R.: 286 (-344)

79. Justin: 285 (-345)

80. Greg F.: 281 (-349)

81. James G. #1: 275 (-355)

82. Tony S.: 273 (-357)

83. Jay H. #2: 272 (-358)

84. Sammie B.: 257 (-373)

85. Ally H.: 238 (-392)

86. Jackie S.: 227 (-403)

87. Michelle R.: 226 (-404)

88. Max W.: 223 (-407)

89. Easten S.: 214 (-416)

I've got some interesting stats:

Total Points: 89*630 = 56,070

Total combined points:  28,895/56,070 = 51.53%

Average wins per sheet:  18.93 - (Down from 19.88 wins/sheet last year).

Percentage of top 10 games picked correctly: 52.36%  (Down from 67.50% last year)

Percentage of Top 5 Games picked correctly: 47.87% (Down from 65.97% last year)

Rank of game picked correct most often: 24 (61/89)

Rank of game picked correct least often: 35 (33/89) - Quite the opposite of how it's supposed to go.

Games where the team picked most often by the group lost: 13  (Avg. rank = 17)

Games in the top 10 of lopsided picks that lost outright: 4 (Arizona State: 28, Baylor: 31, Alabama: 33, Arkansas State: 22)

Highest finish for a sheet that was mathematically eliminated from finishing 1st at initial calculation: 17th (Mike L. #2 , BAD)

Highest finish for a sheet that was mathematically eliminated from any place at initial calculation: 20th (Mike L. #1)

Highest finish for a member of my family (other than me): Michelle L. #1 (14th)
Highest finish for a current co-worker:  Jim W. (10th)
Highest finish for a person that only entered one sheet: Carl B.

Highest finish for a person I have never met in person: James G. (3rd)
Highest finish by a former winner of the Bowl Pool: Damien R #2. (6th)
Highest finish by a female: Kansas C. (11th)

Number of people that held the #1 place in the points totals after any game: 12

Worst finish for any of those people: Sammie B. (87th)

Best lowest ranking after any game: Kansas C. (never lower than 12th)

Number of sheets where one team eliminated them from all contention: 23

Most common team to accomplish the above: Boston College - 6 sheets (Tim N., Larry G. #1, Shawn S., Ben W., Mandi A., Easten S.)

Sheets that were never lower than 45th in the standings after any games: 12

Sheets that were never above 45th in the standings: 9

Most wins overall: 24 (Brent E. #1, Brent E. #2, Brent E. #3)

Most wins in the top 10: 8 (Tim N.)

Here are the total wins rankings:

1. Brent E. #1: 24

1. Brent E. #3: 24

1. Brent E. #2: 24

4. Carl B.: 23

4. Roth W. #1: 23

4. Chris L. #1: 23

7. James G. #2: 22

7. Klei R. #2: 22

7. Kansas C.: 22

7. Mike L. #1: 22

7. Mike L. #2: 22

7. Roth W. #2: 22

7. Chris L. #2: 22

7. Damien R. #2: 22

15. Marc R. #3: 21

15. Marc R. #1: 21

15. Scott Her. #2: 21

15. Jay H. #1: 21

15. Marc R. #2: 21

15. Jim W.: 21

15. BAD: 21

15. CJ: 21

15. Becky H: 21

15. Andy M.: 21

15. Erica A.: 21

15. Hutch H. #1: 21

27. Adam E.: 20

27. Klei R. #1: 20

27. Abel R.: 20

27. Huki Julie: 20

27. Mike W.: 20

27. Michelle L. #1: 20

27. Brent S. #2: 20

27. Miguel D.: 20

27. Damien R. #1: 20

27. Jay H. #3: 20

37. Sailor Dan: 19

37. Matt N.: 19

37. Daryl J.: 19

37. Brett W.: 19

37. Mike S.: 19

37. Bruce G.: 19

37. Larry G. #3: 19

37. Jeff W.: 19

37. Matt J.: 19

37. Justin: 19

37. Dave M.: 19

37. Kevin F.: 19

37. Brent S. #1: 19

37. Larry G. #1: 19

37. Scott Her. #1: 19

37. Larry G. #2: 19

37. Amos W.: 19

54. Peter J. #1: 18

54. Luis B. #1: 18

54. Chad L.: 18

54. Steve D.: 18

54. Luis B. #2: 18

54. Tim N.: 18

54. Peter J. #2: 18

54. Bosun Ava: 18

54. Sally R.: 18

54. Kevin W.: 18

54. DesGru: 18

54. Hutch H. #2: 18

66. Howard S.: 17

66. Scott Has.: 17

66. Jeff D.: 17

66. Dre: 17

66. Michelle L. #2: 17

66. Greg F.: 17

66. Shawn S.: 17

66. Chad C.: 17

66. Brad R.: 17

66. Tony S.: 17

66. Ben P.: 17

77. Ben W.: 16

77. Sammie B.: 16

77. Karl K.: 16

77. Amy D.: 16

81. Jay H. #2: 15

81. Mandi A.: 15

81. James G. #1: 15

81. Dennis R.: 15

85. Michelle R.: 14

86. Jackie S.: 13

86. Ally H.: 13

86. Easten S.: 13

86. Max W.: 13

That's all the stats I can think of off the top of my head.  I hope you had a good time, even if you didn't win, and even if you were never in contention.  If anyone can think of an interesting stat that may shed some light on the pool, let me know.  I'm sure there are a lot of ways to look at this data.  If anyone wants a copy of the spreadsheet, let me know as well.  I built a lot of interesting things in there.

I was also glad to see that no one stiffed me this year (so far - some money is still coming in).  I think that my improvement to the accounting worked pretty well as I was able to send reminders to people.  Also, the blog was a little hit and miss this time around.  A lot of people didn't know it was there and were wondering where the updates were.  I have to do a better job of telling people that it exists or else I'm going to be fielding a lot more "I haven't been getting updates" inquiries in the future.

So that's it for this year.  Congratulations to the winners.  Next year will be different because of the playoff, but I'm sure we'll figure it out.  In the mean time, feel free to bone up on College Basketball.

Thanks,

Klei