Bowl Pool 2016 - Almost 3/3 on upsets today edition

Good evening.  It was another interesting day of Bowl games.  There was one game that was exactly 50/50 as half the people took Miami-Florida and the other half took West Virginia.  Aside from that, we almost went 3/3 on upsets - and I really thought that Indiana was going to pull it out.  For those scoring at home, that means that favorites are 15 - 10 straight up in the 25 games we've seen so far.  However, due to the homoscedasticity of the pick distribution, there weren't the wild swings in the standings that you'd think would go along with a lot of upsets.

Unlike yesterday, no one managed to go 4/4 today.  The best we had was 5 people that went 3/4 (Dan Dz., Chad L., Josiah T. #2, Marc S. & Dave M.).  Dan Dz was the big winner for the day, hauling in 76 points.  Unfortunately, we also 1 person go 0/4 today.  Kevin F. #2 didn't get any points, and managed to lose 86 points.  The averages for the day were 1.75 games correct, 38.36 points won and 40.57 points lost.  It was a rough day all the way around.

We did have a change at the top of the standings, as Mark ESPN fell to #2.  Brent E. #2 took over the top spot, although only by 5 points.  Here are the points standings:

1. Brent E. #2: 399 (-173)

2. Mark ESPN: 394 (-194)

3. Brent E. #1: 383 (-189)

4. Roth W.: 375 (-232)

5. Tim N.: 360 (-232)

6. Nick B.: 355 (-207)

7. Dave M.: 354 (-225)

8. Josiah T. #2: 350 (-220)

9. Freitag B.: 349 (-240)

10. Klei R.: 344 (-171)

11. Mike W.: 344 (-216)

12. Hal R. #1: 343 (-207)

13. Marc S.: 339 (-215)

14. Hal R. #2: 337 (-213)

15. Adam E.: 330 (-224)

16. Hutch H.: 327 (-220)

17. Deborah G.: 324 (-237)

18. Mike S.: 323 (-219)

19. Michelle L. #2: 320 (-206)

20. Marc R.: 319 (-230)

21. Pete J. #1: 315 (-202)

22. Michelle L. #1: 307 (-217)

23. Mason A.: 296 (-238)

24. Scott Her. #2: 294 (-205)

25. Scott H.: 281 (-289)

26. Stephanie P.: 280 (-239)

27. Damien R.: 278 (-220)

28. Ben S.: 273 (-229)

29. Brent S.: 272 (-143)

30. Josiah T. #1: 270 (-290)

31. Jim P.: 268 (-220)

32. Dorthea R.: 264 (-210)

33. Kevin F. #1: 261 (-245)

34. Matt N.: 260 (-247)

35. Dan Dz.: 253 (-240)

36. Ray R.: 250 (-279)

37. Pete J. #2: 244 (-273)

38. Ryan W.: 238 (-241)

39. Chad L.: 236 (-233)

40. Jay H. #3: 234 (-252)

41. Dan S.: 232 (-269)

42. Scott Her. #1: 231 (-226)

43. Julie S.: 224 (-277)

44. Jim W.: 221 (-280)

45. Kevin F. #2: 221 (-290)

46. Becky H.: 219 (-212)

47. Brad R.: 213 (-345)

48. Ally H.: 212 (-197)

49. Dan Du.: 203 (-352)

50. Dylan B.: 187 (-314)

51. Jay H. #2: 163 (-162)

52. Brett W.: 144 (-203)

53. Ash D.: 139 (-314)

54. Dustin B.: 132 (-253)

55. Nichole W.: 127 (-211)

56. Jay H. #1: 118 (-331)

...and the net points standings:

1. Brent E. #2: 226

2. Mark ESPN: 200

3. Brent E. #1: 194

4. Klei R.: 173

5. Nick B.: 148

6. Roth W.: 143

7. Hal R. #1: 136

8. Josiah T. #2: 130

9. Dave M.: 129

9. Brent S.: 129

11. Tim N.: 128

11. Mike W.: 128

13. Marc S.: 124

13. Hal R. #2: 124

15. Michelle L. #2: 114

16. Pete J. #1: 113

17. Freitag B.: 109

18. Hutch H.: 107

19. Adam E.: 106

20. Mike S.: 104

21. Michelle L. #1: 90

22. Marc R.: 89

22. Scott Her. #2: 89

24. Deborah G.: 87

25. Mason A.: 58

25. Damien R.: 58

27. Dorthea R.: 54

28. Jim P.: 48

29. Ben S.: 44

30. Stephanie P.: 41

31. Kevin F. #1: 16

32. Ally H.: 15

33. Matt N.: 13

33. Dan Dz.: 13

35. Becky H.: 7

36. Scott Her. #1: 5

37. Chad L.: 3

38. Jay H. #2: 1

39. Ryan W.: -3

40. Scott H.: -8

41. Jay H. #3: -18

42. Josiah T. #1: -20

43. Ray R.: -29

43. Pete J. #2: -29

45. Dan S.: -37

46. Julie S.: -53

47. Jim W.: -59

47. Brett W.: -59

49. Kevin F. #2: -69

50. Nichole W.: -84

51. Dustin B.: -121

52. Dylan B.: -127

53. Brad R.: -132

54. Dan Du.: -149

55. Ash D.: -175

56. Jay H. #1: -213

But there are 3 more games tomorrow.  Here are the particulars:

Alamo Bowl:

Vegas Line: Colorado -3

Median pick: Colorado for 8.5

Picks:

Colorado: 38 (average points: 16.74)

Oklahoma State: 18 (average points: 20.22)

Birmingham Bowl:

Vegas Line: South Florida -10

Median pick: South Florida for 26

Picks:

South Florida : 46 (average points: 25.87)

South Carolina : 10 (average points: 21.60)

Belk Bowl:

Vegas Line: Virginia Tech -7

Median pick: Virginia Tech for 24

Picks:

Virginia Tech : 48 (average points: 22.96)

Arkansas : 8 (average points: 20.75)

After tomorrow, there will be 14 games left, so I should be able to calculate odds of winning, and also eliminations.  That's always the best time of the pool for me.  It marks the final stretch of games, and the goal is to just avoid getting mathematically eliminated.

Good luck to everyone!!!!!