Bowl Pool update - after Duke's Mayo Bowl

 All right.  It looks like the standings didn’t change a whole lot after the Duke Mayo Bowl, mostly because most only about 7 or 8 people actually took South Carolina to win that game.  I saw that the winning coach was going to get doused with 5.5 gallons of mayonnaise after the game?!  As someone that doesn’t really like mayo, that didn’t seem like much of a reward.  Anyway, here’s the updated scores:

1. Scott H. #2: 387 (-406)

2. Hutch H.: 365 (-369)

3. Klei R.: 362 (-366)

4. Becky H.: 355 (-302)

5. Mark A.: 351 (-347)

6. Daniel E.: 348 (-385)

7. Michelle L. #1: 340 (-409)

8. Matt N.: 336 (-334)

9. Chad L.: 336 (-366)

10. Josiah T. #1: 334 (-422)

11. Brian K.: 325 (-366)

12. Adam O. #3: 325 (-380)

13. Mike N.: 324 (-417)

14. Larry G. #2: 324 (-465)

15. Pete J. #2: 315 (-415)

16. Josiah T. #2: 313 (-433)

17. Mike W.: 307 (-360)

18. Jason S.: 304 (-365)

19. Adam O. #2: 304 (-401)

20. Adam O. #1: 300 (-405)

21. Michelle L. #2: 296 (-434)

22. Cam L.: 292 (-342)

23. Adam O. #4: 292 (-405)

24. Jay H. #2: 290 (-415)

25. Ben S.: 290 (-436)

26. Stefan K.: 287 (-363)

27. Pete J. #1: 286 (-444)

28. Dylan B.: 284 (-400)

29. Marc R.: 271 (-311)

30. Brad R.: 269 (-360)

31. Ryan W.: 269 (-382)

32. Dan D.: 261 (-362)

33. Amy L.: 257 (-453)

34. Dylan L.: 256 (-416)

35. Weston T. (Shane): 244 (-495)

36. Emily T.: 241 (-473)

37. Ally H.: 239 (-400)

38. Damien R.: 237 (-455)

39. Adam E.: 236 (-410)

40. Grant F.: 236 (-478)

41. Brett W.: 235 (-421)

42. Matt M.: 228 (-454)

43. Larry G. #1: 225 (-546)

44. Scott H. #1: 221 (-453)

45. Brent S.: 209 (-354)

46. Dustin B.: 205 (-402)

47. Lee K.: 191 (-444)

48. Creighton H.: 180 (-524)

49. Jay H. #1: 178 (-445)

50. Tom B.: 134 (-485)

51. Doug L.: 122 (-472)

..and the updated matrix:

Row Labels	1st Place	2nd Place	3rd Place
Becky H.	31.91%	11.58%	7.24%
Mark A.	14.66%	9.35%	7.81%
Klei R.	10.91%	9.86%	7.82%
Matt N.	7.12%	10.91%	9.15%
Marc R.	8.21%	5.56%	5.69%
Stefan K.	5.20%	5.80%	5.20%
Hutch H.	3.41%	5.31%	5.95%
Brad R.	2.55%	7.52%	4.27%
Chad L.	2.92%	3.72%	5.32%
Mike W.	1.66%	4.05%	5.49%
Brian K.	1.31%	4.06%	4.61%
Jason S.	0.99%	2.93%	3.27%
Cam L.	1.22%	2.44%	3.46%
Adam E.	1.93%	2.43%	2.45%
Adam O. #3	1.69%	2.40%	2.61%
Pete J. #2	1.12%	2.05%	2.84%
Dan D.	1.29%	1.88%	2.25%
Ryan W.	0.68%	1.66%	2.15%
Michelle L. #1	0.22%	1.56%	2.02%
Daniel E.	0.23%	1.09%	2.14%
Scott H. #2	0.07%	0.79%	2.29%
Ally H.	0.38%	0.52%	1.03%
Josiah T. #1	0.02%	0.63%	1.20%
Adam O. #4	Initial	0.57%	0.90%
Brent S.	0.21%	0.44%	0.70%
Dylan B.	0.06%	0.52%	0.66%
Adam O. #2	Initial	0.15%	0.45%
Ben S.	0.02%	0.07%	0.16%
Dustin B.	Initial	0.05%	0.21%
Jay H. #2	Initial	0.05%	0.20%
Jay H. #1	Initial	0.04%	0.12%
Adam O. #1	Initial	Initial	0.12%
Brett W.	Initial	Initial	0.10%
Mike N.	Initial	N. Car	0.07%
Josiah T. #2	Initial	Initial	0.05%
Larry G. #2	Initial	Initial	Initial
Michelle L. #2	Initial	N. Car	N. Car
Pete J. #1	Initial	Initial	Initial
Amy L.	Initial	N. Car	N. Car
Dylan L.	Initial	Initial	Initial
Weston T. (Shane)	Initial	Initial	Initial
Emily T.	Initial	Initial	Initial
Damien R.	Initial	Initial	Initial
Grant F.	Initial	Initial	Initial
Matt M.	Initial	Initial	Initial
Larry G. #1	Initial	Initial	Initial
Scott H. #1	Initial	Initial	Initial
Lee K.	Initial	Initial	Initial
Creighton H.	Initial	Initial	Initial
Tom B.	Initial	Initial	Initial
Doug L.	Initial	Initial	Initial

Compliments of that last game, Becky H. has > 50% chance to win one of the three payouts.

But there’s another game coming up, and I think this one will have a much bigger impact than the first:

Music City Bowl:

 

If Tennessee Wins:

Brent S. is eliminated from 1^st place contention.

Dustin B. is eliminated from 2^nd & 3^rd place contention.

Jay H. #2 is eliminated from 2^nd place contention.

Josiah T. #1 is eliminated from 1^st place contention.

Josiah T. #2 is eliminated from 3^rd place contention.

 

If Purdue Wins:

Adam O. #1 is eliminated from 3^rd place contention.

Adam O. #2 is eliminated from 2^nd & 3^rd place contention.

Adam O. #4 is eliminated from 2^nd place contention.

Ben S. is eliminated from 1^st, 2^nd & 3^rd place contention.

Brett W. is eliminated from 3^rd place contention.

Daniel E. is eliminated from 1^st & 2^nd place contention.

Dylan B. is eliminated from 1^st & 2^nd place contention.

Jay H. #1 is eliminated from 2^nd & 3^rd place contention.

Michelle L. #1 is eliminated from 1^st place contention.

Mike N. is eliminated from 3^rd place contention.

 

Something else fun I kind of threw together since we are going one game at a time: 

Rank for 1st	Pick	Points
1.: Becky H. (31.9051%)	Purdue	26
2.: Mark A. (14.6565%)	Purdue	30
3.: Klei R. (10.909%)	Tennessee	29
4.: Marc R. (8.2112%)	Tennessee	26
5.: Matt N. (7.1248%)	Tennessee	17
6.: Stefan K. (5.1961%)	Tennessee	2
7.: Hutch H. (3.4138%)	Purdue	1
8.: Chad L. (2.9174%)	Purdue	2
9.: Brad R. (2.5512%)	Purdue	23
10.: Adam E. (1.9287%)	Tennessee	22
11.: Adam O. #3 (1.6927%)	Tennessee	30
12.: Mike W. (1.6601%)	Purdue	15
13.: Brian K. (1.3061%)	Purdue	20
14.: Dan D. (1.2939%)	Tennessee	31
15.: Cam L. (1.2207%)	Purdue	30
16.: Pete J. #2 (1.123%)	Tennessee	19
17.: Jason S. (0.9887%)	Purdue	15
18.: Ryan W. (0.6795%)	Purdue	28
19.: Ally H. (0.3784%)	Purdue	35
20.: Daniel E. (0.2319%)	Tennessee	23
21.: Michelle L. #1 (0.2197%)	Tennessee	29
22.: Brent S. (0.2075%)	Purdue	26
23.: Scott H. #2 (0.0732%)	Purdue	11
24.: Dylan B. (0.061%)	Tennessee	32
25.: Ben S. (0.0244%)	Tennessee	26
25.: Josiah T. #1 (0.0244%)	Tennessee	16

It helps to know who everyone else has.  You’ll be able to get an idea of what the probabilities will be after the game based on who people took and for how much.

Good luck!!!!