Monday, December 30, 2013

12/30 - After Music City Bowl



We are half way done with today's games, and I think that maybe the interesting games of the day are over.  The last two games are really for the Hail Mary passes and gathering of a lot of points, as almost everyone has picked in the same direction on both remaining games.

Before we get there, let's look at the big movers up from the Music City Bowl:

1. Abel R. (29 points - 65th to 46th)
2. Marc R. #2 (26 points - 63rd to 44th)
2. Tim N. (26 points - 51st to 32nd)
4. Ally H. (24 points - 70th to 60th)
4. Larry G. #3 (24 points - 12th to 6th)
4. Dre (24 points - 41st to 17th)

As the favorite has won both games today, it should come as no surprise that 48 people have managed to go 2-0 so far today, while only 9 people have eked out a 0-2 record.

Without any further fanfare, here are the rankings after 2 games today:

1. Brent S. #1: 215 (-89)
2. Adam E.: 205 (-74)
3. Jim W.: 201 (-133)
4. Carl B.: 198 (-43)
5. Kansas C.: 192 (-53)
6. Larry G. #3: 192 (-65)
7. BAD: 191 (-106)
8. Kevin F.: 185 (-122)
9. Roth W. #1: 182 (-62)
10. Damien R. #2: 179 (-71)
11. Michelle L. #1: 176 (-90)
12. Bosun Ava: 173 (-143)
13. Brett W.: 173 (-146)
14. Klei R. #2: 168 (-68)
15. Brent S. #2: 168 (-100)
16. Chris L. #2: 167 (-61)
17. Matt N.: 167 (-111)
18. CJ: 166 (-72)
19. Bruce G.: 166 (-80)
20. Miguel D.: 166 (-82)
21. Scott Has.: 166 (-94)
22. Kevin W.: 163 (-77)
23. Brent E. #2: 163 (-114)
24. Dre: 163 (-121)
25. Roth W. #2: 162 (-64)
26. Steve D.: 160 (-147)
27. Huki Julie: 159 (-161)
28. Chris L. #1: 158 (-61)
29. Brad R.: 158 (-112)
30. Larry G. #1: 157 (-99)
31. Marc R. #3: 156 (-110)
32. Amos W.: 156 (-129)
32. Tim N.: 156 (-129)
34. Matt J.: 155 (-113)
35. Karl K.: 155 (-121)
36. Andy M.: 154 (-71)
37. Mike L. #2: 152 (-86)
38. Hutch H. #1: 151 (-85)
39. Sally R.: 150 (-141)
40. Erica A.: 148 (-41)
41. Klei R. #1: 148 (-98)
42. Mike L. #1: 146 (-94)
43. Luis B. #1: 144 (-188)
44. Marc R. #2: 143 (-163)
45. Jay H. #1: 141 (-99)
46. Abel R.: 140 (-70)
47. Hutch H. #2: 140 (-96)
48. Scott Her. #1: 139 (-124)
49. Mike W.: 139 (-154)
50. James G. #2: 137 (-66)
51. Damien R. #1: 137 (-135)
52. Max W.: 136 (-142)
53. Mandi A.: 134 (-131)
54. Dave M.: 133 (-105)
55. Larry G. #2: 133 (-109)
56. Sammie B.: 133 (-180)
57. Scott Her. #2: 132 (-82)
58. Luis B. #2: 132 (-188)
59. Justin: 129 (-203)
60. Ally H.: 128 (-240)
61. Chad L.: 127 (-95)
62. Peter J. #1: 125 (-140)
63. Jeff D.: 125 (-155)
64. Michelle L. #2: 123 (-99)
65. Greg F.: 121 (-109)
66. Dennis R.: 120 (-188)
67. Jeff W.: 117 (-81)
68. Shawn S.: 117 (-149)
69. Becky H: 113 (-129)
70. Mike S.: 113 (-141)
71. Howard S.: 111 (-129)
72. Amy D.: 104 (-114)
73. Chad C.: 101 (-139)
74. Brent E. #1: 99 (-54)
75. Ben P.: 99 (-110)
76. Peter J. #2: 98 (-167)
77. Easten S.: 97 (-134)
78. Michelle R.: 94 (-205)
79. Sailor Dan: 93 (-124)
80. James G. #1: 92 (-123)
81. Jay H. #3: 91 (-74)
82. Brent E. #3: 90 (-63)
83. Daryl J.: 89 (-64)
84. Tony S.: 89 (-170)
85. Marc R. #1: 70 (-83)
86. Jackie S.: 65 (-196)
87. Ben W.: 62 (-154)
88. Jay H. #2: 60 (-93)
89. DesGru: 57 (-150)

...and the net point rankings:

1. Carl B.: 155
2. Kansas C.: 139
3. Adam E.: 131
4. Larry G. #3: 127
5. Brent S. #1: 126
6. Roth W. #1: 120
7. Damien R. #2: 108
8. Erica A.: 107
9. Chris L. #2: 106
10. Klei R. #2: 100
11. Roth W. #2: 98
12. Chris L. #1: 97
13. CJ: 94
14. Michelle L. #1: 86
14. Bruce G.: 86
14. Kevin W.: 86
17. BAD: 85
18. Miguel D.: 84
19. Andy M.: 83
20. Scott Has.: 72
21. James G. #2: 71
22. Abel R.: 70
23. Jim W.: 68
23. Brent S. #2: 68
25. Mike L. #2: 66
25. Hutch H. #1: 66
27. Kevin F.: 63
28. Larry G. #1: 58
29. Matt N.: 56
30. Mike L. #1: 52
31. Klei R. #1: 50
31. Scott Her. #2: 50
33. Brent E. #2: 49
34. Brad R.: 46
34. Marc R. #3: 46
36. Brent E. #1: 45
37. Hutch H. #2: 44
38. Dre: 42
38. Matt J.: 42
38. Jay H. #1: 42
41. Jeff W.: 36
42. Karl K.: 34
43. Chad L.: 32
44. Bosun Ava: 30
45. Dave M.: 28
46. Brett W.: 27
46. Amos W.: 27
46. Tim N.: 27
46. Brent E. #3: 27
50. Daryl J.: 25
51. Larry G. #2: 24
51. Michelle L. #2: 24
53. Jay H. #3: 17
54. Scott Her. #1: 15
55. Steve D.: 13
56. Greg F.: 12
57. Sally R.: 9
58. Mandi A.: 3
59. Damien R. #1: 2
60. Huki Julie: -2
61. Max W.: -6
62. Amy D.: -10
63. Ben P.: -11
64. Marc R. #1: -13
65. Mike W.: -15
65. Peter J. #1: -15
67. Becky H: -16
68. Howard S.: -18
69. Marc R. #2: -20
70. Mike S.: -28
71. Jeff D.: -30
72. Sailor Dan: -31
72. James G. #1: -31
74. Shawn S.: -32
75. Jay H. #2: -33
76. Easten S.: -37
77. Chad C.: -38
78. Luis B. #1: -44
79. Sammie B.: -47
80. Luis B. #2: -56
81. Dennis R.: -68
82. Peter J. #2: -69
83. Justin: -74
84. Tony S.: -81
85. Ben W.: -92
86. DesGru: -93
87. Michelle R.: -111
88. Ally H.: -112
89. Jackie S.: -131


But wait, there's yet another game tonight, and if the pick distribution is any indication, it should be terrible.  It's the Alamo Bowl and it pits Oregon vs. Texas.  In years past this might have been pretty good,  but this year promises to be a mismatch.  Here are the facts:

Vegas Line:  Oregon -14.5
Median Pick: Oregon for 31 points (2nd highest of any bowl game)
Mean Pick: Oregon for 26.28 points.
Picks for Oregon: 84
Picks for Oregon in Top 10: 62
Picks for Texas: 5
Picks for Texas in the top 10: 1 (Ally H.)
Picks <=10 points: 3

This game had the third lowest variance of any game, meaning that most of the picks were consolidated in about the same place.  In this case, around Oregon for a lot of points.  Enjoy the game if you are watching it.  I think I'm going to take a break and watch some Korean movie about gangsters.

Good Luck!!!!!!

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