Monday, December 23, 2013

After Beef O'Brady's Bowl



I'm not sure how many of you actually watched the Beef O'Brady's Bowl today, but Ohio was winning the game at the start of the 4th quarter.  If you were watching, you might have  been sweating this one out a bit.  As it turned out, East Carolina managed to pull away at the end and win comfortably.  I think they even covered the 14 point spread at the end.

What that means for our little pool is that we earned a total of 1677 points (average: 18.84).  That means there was a lot of movement in the standings, and that we have a new name at the top of the leader board.

The good news is that we no longer have anyone that hasn't won a game.   On the other end, we still have the one person (Huki Julie) that has managed to go 5/5 so far.  Given that 4 of the 5 games resulted in the favorite winning the game, it should come as no surprise that 35 people have 4/5.  That's almost half the field.

The biggest droppers in the standings were Greg F. (#17 - #51) who had East Carolina, but for only 2 points and Jay H. #3 (#34 - #68) who had Ohio for 12 points.  The biggest movers up were Tim N. (#83 - #59) who had East Carolina for 35 and Brett W. (#89 - #65) who had East Carolina for 32.

Those who are keeping track at home may notice that there are now 89 entrants to the pool.  4 people pre-paid, but sent their sheets to my work address, so I added them to the list.  There will be no further adjustments to the pool from this point on.

Here's the standings so far:
1. Huki Julie: 84 (0)
2. Miguel D.: 81 (-15)
3. Marc R. #3: 81 (-25)
4. Sammie B.: 77 (-12)
5. Jim W.: 77 (-26)
6. Kansas C.: 75 (-26)
7. Marc R. #2: 72 (-18)
8. Roth W. #2: 71 (-8)
9. Roth W. #1: 69 (-10)
10. Sally R.: 68 (-22)
11. Brad R.: 67 (-12)
12. Michelle L. #1: 67 (-16)
13. Adam E.: 67 (-27)
14. Dennis R.: 66 (-49)
15. Michelle L. #2: 65 (-13)
16. Matt N.: 65 (-43)
17. Luis B. #1: 64 (-17)
18. BAD: 61 (-7)
19. Bosun Ava: 61 (-36)
20. Chad L.: 60 (-5)
21. Hutch H. #1: 60 (-16)
22. Kevin F.: 59 (-16)
23. Easten S.: 59 (-20)
24. Justin: 59 (-23)
25. Ally H.: 59 (-69)
26. Carl B.: 58 (-17)
27. Scott Has.: 56 (-8)
28. Mike W.: 56 (-22)
29. Brent S. #1: 56 (-36)
30. Becky H: 54 (-27)
31. Erica A.: 52 (-11)
32. Amos W.: 52 (-22)
33. Klei R. #1: 52 (-35)
34. Luis B. #2: 51 (-16)
35. Brent E. #2: 50 (-13)
35. Kevin W.: 50 (-13)
37. Bruce G.: 50 (-22)
38. Amy D.: 49 (-1)
39. Chris L. #1: 47 (-6)
39. Chris L. #2: 47 (-6)
41. Andy M.: 47 (-20)
42. Hutch H. #2: 46 (-30)
43. Ben P.: 45 (-1)
44. Abel R.: 45 (-13)
45. Tony S.: 44 (-20)
46. Jeff W.: 42 (-12)
47. Damien R. #2: 42 (-14)
48. Jeff D.: 42 (-18)
49. Scott Her. #1: 42 (-37)
50. Steve D.: 41 (-16)
51. Greg F.: 40 (-1)
52. Mike L. #2: 40 (-20)
53. Damien R. #1: 39 (-30)
54. Max W.: 39 (-56)
55. Jay H. #1: 38 (-17)
56. Scott Her. #2: 38 (-26)
57. Chad C.: 38 (-31)
58. Brent S. #2: 38 (-40)
59. Tim N.: 37 (-11)
60. Sailor Dan: 37 (-17)
61. Dre: 36 (-22)
62. Mike L. #1: 35 (-25)
63. Dave M.: 35 (-32)
64. Karl K.: 33 (-53)
65. Brett W.: 32 (-82)
66. Howard S.: 31 (-24)
67. Larry G. #3: 30 (-3)
68. Jay H. #3: 29 (-21)
69. Larry G. #2: 28 (-3)
70. Shawn S.: 28 (-11)
71. James G. #1: 28 (-18)
72. Jackie S.: 28 (-41)
73. CJ: 25 (-5)
74. Larry G. #1: 25 (-6)
75. Peter J. #1: 25 (-17)
76. Mandi A.: 24 (-64)
77. James G. #2: 20 (-26)
78. Mike S.: 19 (-35)
79. Klei R. #2: 19 (-38)
80. Matt J.: 15 (-40)
81. Brent E. #1: 14 (-1)
81. Brent E. #3: 14 (-1)
81. Marc R. #1: 14 (-1)
84. Daryl J.: 11 (-4)
85. Michelle R.: 11 (-52)
86. Jay H. #2: 10 (-5)
87. DesGru: 4 (-41)
88. Ben W.: 3 (-20)
89. Peter J. #2: 3 (-39)

I also have been keeping track of net points (points won - points lost).  I think this statistic is almost a better gauge of the health of your sheet.  For example, Dennis R. is in 14th overall in total points, but he is in 55th place in net points because while he has won 66 points, he has also managed to lose 49 points, for a net of 17 points.  On the flip side, someone like Chad L. is in 20th in total points (60), but in 7th in net points because he has only lost 5 points.  I think Chad L.'s sheet looks better than Dennis R.'s at this point.  So here's the net point rankings.

1. Huki Julie: 84
2. Miguel D.: 66
3. Sammie B.: 65
4. Roth W. #2: 63
5. Roth W. #1: 59
6. Marc R. #3: 56
7. Brad R.: 55
7. Chad L.: 55
9. Marc R. #2: 54
9. BAD: 54
11. Michelle L. #2: 52
12. Jim W.: 51
12. Michelle L. #1: 51
14. Kansas C.: 49
15. Scott Has.: 48
15. Amy D.: 48
17. Luis B. #1: 47
18. Sally R.: 46
19. Hutch H. #1: 44
19. Ben P.: 44
21. Kevin F.: 43
22. Carl B.: 41
22. Erica A.: 41
22. Chris L. #1: 41
22. Chris L. #2: 41
26. Adam E.: 40
27. Easten S.: 39
27. Greg F.: 39
29. Brent E. #2: 37
29. Kevin W.: 37
31. Justin: 36
32. Luis B. #2: 35
33. Mike W.: 34
34. Abel R.: 32
35. Amos W.: 30
35. Jeff W.: 30
37. Bruce G.: 28
37. Damien R. #2: 28
39. Becky H: 27
39. Andy M.: 27
39. Larry G. #3: 27
42. Tim N.: 26
43. Bosun Ava: 25
43. Steve D.: 25
43. Larry G. #2: 25
46. Tony S.: 24
46. Jeff D.: 24
48. Matt N.: 22
49. Jay H. #1: 21
50. Brent S. #1: 20
50. Mike L. #2: 20
50. Sailor Dan: 20
50. CJ: 20
54. Larry G. #1: 19
55. Dennis R.: 17
55. Klei R. #1: 17
55. Shawn S.: 17
58. Hutch H. #2: 16
59. Dre: 14
60. Brent E. #1: 13
60. Brent E. #3: 13
60. Marc R. #1: 13
63. Scott Her. #2: 12
64. Mike L. #1: 10
64. James G. #1: 10
66. Damien R. #1: 9
67. Jay H. #3: 8
67. Peter J. #1: 8
69. Chad C.: 7
69. Howard S.: 7
69. Daryl J.: 7
72. Scott Her. #1: 5
72. Jay H. #2: 5
74. Dave M.: 3
75. Brent S. #2: -2
76. James G. #2: -6
77. Ally H.: -10
78. Jackie S.: -13
79. Mike S.: -16
80. Max W.: -17
80. Ben W.: -17
82. Klei R. #2: -19
83. Karl K.: -20
84. Matt J.: -25
85. Peter J. #2: -36
86. DesGru: -37
87. Mandi A.: -40
88. Michelle R.: -41
89. Brett W.: -50

That was fun.  But wait, there's more.  There's another game tomorrow, and this one is a pretty even matchup.  That usually means that people didn't wager much on it, but it also means that if you did and you win, you can really move up quite a bit.  The Hawaii Bowl is the 30th ranked game in terms of points wagered with a total of 1150 points (12.92 average).  Vegas has Oregon State listed as a 3 point favorite, but we, as a group have Oregon State as an even more slight favorite.  The median pick is Oregon State for 2 points, with the mean at Oregon State for only 1.08 points.  You'd think that was the most evenly split game, but there is one later where the average points taken is <1 point.  46 people took Oregon State (11.46 points on average) and 43 people took Boise State (14.49 points on average).  I think it's games like this that separate winners of the pool from donators - unless you can nail a huge upset.

Only Sally R. has Oregon State listed as a top 10 pick.  5 people have Boise State (Ally H., Mandi A., Shawn S. , Luis B. #1, Luis B. #2).  Those 6 people really have a good reason to watch the game tomorrow.   I don't have much of a reason to watch, but I bet I will watch a bunch of it anyway.  Why?  Because I'm a glutton for these games.

Good Luck!!!!!

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