After Duke's Mayo Bowl

 Lots to get through, as I’ll be putting out single game eliminations later.  Just want to say that the Duke’s Mayo Bowl missed a golden opportunity to have Duke play.  Some big moves in the percentages today.  Jim W. is getting close to the 50% overall chance of winning something.  He is currently sitting at 42.34% of getting one of the top 3 places after his big 23 point win this morning.

Here are the overall points:

1. Jim W.: 508 (-149)

2. Mark B.: 488 (-155)

3. Pete J. #1: 485 (-180)

4. Hutch H.: 477 (-204)

5. Rich F.: 476 (-185)

6. Michelle L.: 475 (-174)

7. Pete J. #2: 474 (-191)

8. Steve D.: 468 (-162)

9. Scott H. #2: 467 (-142)

10. Emily T.: 464 (-163)

11. Marc R. #2: 459 (-209)

12. Dylan B.: 456 (-166)

13. Harrell R. #2: 453 (-202)

14. Harrell R. #1: 451 (-204)

15. Brian K.: 445 (-192)

16. Andrew Du.: 439 (-145)

17. Matt M.: 433 (-154)

18. Scott H. #1: 432 (-179)

19. Mike N.: 431 (-203)

20. Adam E.: 428 (-154)

21. Paul K.: 427 (-153)

22. CAAT 3: 425 (-159)

23. Otis L.: 425 (-226)

24. Matt N.: 423 (-204)

25. Larry G.: 422 (-177)

26. Mike W.: 415 (-116)

27. Ally H.: 414 (-177)

28. Jay H. #1: 413 (-178)

28. Jay H. #2: 413 (-178)

30. Kylee T.: 408 (-204)

31. Grant F.: 408 (-218)

32. Marc R. #1: 407 (-126)

33. CAAT 4: 405 (-177)

34. CAAT 5: 404 (-180)

34. CAAT 1: 404 (-180)

36. Eric K.: 399 (-119)

37. Brett G.: 395 (-198)

38. Kylar G.: 393 (-268)

39. Dan E.: 384 (-138)

40. CAAT 2: 382 (-202)

41. Brett W.: 379 (-184)

42. Dan D.: 374 (-218)

43. Vincent W.: 368 (-227)

44. Brent E. #2: 363 (-187)

45. Dave M.: 361 (-198)

46. Ryan W.: 360 (-170)

47. Brad R.: 358 (-238)

48. Fr. Guido S. #2: 354 (-293)

49. Quinn 1130: 351 (-268)

50. Hero R.: 348 (-277)

51. Josiah T.: 340 (-285)

52. Mike S.: 339 (-199)

53. Mason A.: 337 (-195)

54. Hurley 357: 335 (-259)

55. Dustin B.: 332 (-286)

56. Fr. Guido S. #1: 326 (-237)

57. Brent E. #1: 323 (-227)

58. Tim N.: 316 (-155)

59. Peter F.: 313 (-178)

60. Miela 314: 291 (-378)

61. Becky H.: 269 (-336)

62. Klei R.: 263 (-298)

63. Baily T.: 250 (-233)

64. Christa M.: 183 (-292)

65. Dennis R.: 173 (-396)

66. Jason S.: 159 (-328)

…and the matrix

Row Labels	1st Place	2nd Place	3rd Place
Jim W.	19.2505%	14.0930%	8.9966%
Mark B.	11.8530%	11.5092%	8.0973%
Mike W.	9.3058%	7.6955%	5.7627%
Steve D.	10.1522%	5.6488%	4.9611%
Michelle L.	7.2550%	5.7088%	5.2470%
Eric K.	6.3558%	6.6121%	5.1676%
Scott H. #2	4.7282%	5.2195%	6.1920%
Adam E.	5.5278%	5.1656%	4.9398%
Pete J. #1	6.0099%	4.2765%	5.1290%
Emily T.	1.6663%	3.3346%	5.2917%
Pete J. #2	2.0487%	3.4810%	4.0812%
Dylan B.	1.0376%	3.2043%	4.3803%
CAAT 5	2.5106%	2.9500%	2.6611%
Marc R. #1	2.2257%	2.7995%	3.0090%
Matt M.	1.4893%	2.4241%	3.0141%
Andrew Du.	1.6805%	2.0691%	3.1230%
Brian K.	0.7507%	1.8392%	2.2909%
Ally H.	0.7629%	1.6907%	2.3438%
CAAT 3	0.7121%	1.7334%	1.9694%
Paul K.	1.0600%	1.2716%	1.8453%
CAAT 4	0.9705%	1.1149%	1.4933%
Dan E.	0.8667%	1.1434%	1.4242%
Mike N.	0.2136%	0.9074%	1.4303%
Otis L.	0.1587%	0.9623%	1.4079%
Tim N.	0.4456%	0.4517%	0.6897%
Brent E. #2	0.2930%	0.5920%	0.6714%
Dan D.	0.1770%	0.4028%	0.5615%
Vincent W.	0.1648%	0.3052%	0.4456%
Brett W.	0.0610%	0.3113%	0.5005%
Rich F.	0.0122%	0.1689%	0.5595%
Larry G.	0.0244%	0.2055%	0.4313%
Kylee T.	0.0793%	0.2136%	0.2970%
Harrell R. #2	0.0041%	0.0712%	0.3092%
CAAT 1	Initial	0.0488%	0.3113%
Hero R.	0.0305%	0.1221%	0.1404%
Mason A.	0.0854%	0.0610%	0.1465%
Peter F.	0.0183%	0.0244%	0.1221%
Scott H. #1	0.0122%	0.0366%	0.0916%
Jay H. #1	NC State	0.0376%	0.0926%
Jay H. #2	NC State	0.0376%	0.0926%
Brett G.	Initial	0.0122%	0.1160%
Ryan W.	Initial	0.0183%	0.0488%
Fr. Guido S. #1	Oklahoma	0.0122%	0.0366%
Marc R. #2	Initial	NC State	0.0366%
Harrell R. #1	Texas	NC State	0.0346%
Dave M.	Texas	0.0122%	0.0061%
Baily T.	Syracuse	Syracuse	Texas
Becky H.	Initial	Initial	Initial
Brad R.	Initial	Initial	Oklahoma
Brent E. #1	Oklahoma	Oklahoma	Texas
CAAT 2	Initial	Syracuse	Texas
Christa M.	Syracuse	Syracuse	Texas
Dennis R.	Initial	Initial	Initial
Dustin B.	Initial	Initial	Initial
Fr. Guido S. #2	Initial	Initial	Initial
Grant F.	Oklahoma	Oklahoma	Oklahoma
Hurley 357	Texas	Texas	NC State
Hutch H.	Initial	Texas	Texas
Jason S.	Initial	Initial	Initial
Josiah T.	Initial	Initial	Initial
Klei R.	Oklahoma	NC State	NC State
Kylar G.	Syracuse	Syracuse	Oklahoma
Matt N.	Initial	Syracuse	Oklahoma
Miela 314	Initial	Initial	Initial
Mike S.	Syracuse	Syracuse	Texas
Quinn 1130	Initial	Initial	Texas

Since the next three games overlap, I’m going to do them all here.  The downside is that you may not get knocked out by a single game, but if things don’t go your way in the first game, you may get eliminated in game 2 when you might not have if they just played game 2 on its own.  The eliminations for game 2 & 3 will be a minimum of the knockouts.  Pay close attention to the matrix after this run of games is over.  I’m guessing it will be a sea of red.

Sun Bowl

Vegas Line: UCLA -4

Median Pick: UCLA for 28 points

Picks for UCLA: 61 (average pick: 27.82 points)

Picks for Pittsburgh: 5 (average pick: 23.40 points)

Eliminations if UCLA wins:

	Pick	Points
Brian K. is eliminated from 1st, 2nd & 3rd place contention.	Pittsburgh	26
CAAT 1 is eliminated from 2nd place contention.	UCLA	13
Hero R. is eliminated from 1st, 2nd & 3rd place contention.	Pittsburgh	12

Eliminations if Pittsburgh wins:

	Pick	Points
Brett G. is eliminated from 2nd place contention.	UCLA	35
Dave M. is eliminated from 2nd & 3rd place contention.	UCLA	38
Fr. Guido S. #1 is eliminated from 2nd & 3rd place contention.	UCLA	40
Harrell R. #1 is eliminated from 3rd place contention.	UCLA	30
Harrell R. #2 is eliminated from 1st & 2nd place contention.	UCLA	30
Larry G. is eliminated from 1st place contention.	UCLA	28
Marc R. #2 is eliminated from 3rd place contention.	UCLA	31
Peter F. is eliminated from 2nd place contention.	UCLA	34
Rich F. is eliminated from 1st place contention.	UCLA	25
Scott H. #1 is eliminated from 1st place contention.	UCLA	27

 

Gator Bowl

Vegas Line: Notre Dame -2

Median Pick: Notre Dame for 8 points

Picks for Notre Dame: 41 (average pick: 18.00 points)

Picks for South Carolina: 25 (average pick: 16.52 points)

Eliminations if Notre Dame wins:

	Pick	Points
Brett G. is eliminated from 2nd & 3rd place contention.	South Carolina	12
Brett W. is eliminated from 1st, 2nd & 3rd place contention.	South Carolina	34
Harrell R. #2 is eliminated from 1st place contention.	Notre Dame	4
Hero R. is eliminated from 2nd place contention.	South Carolina	24
Jay H. #1 is eliminated from 2nd & 3rd place contention.	South Carolina	6
Jay H. #2 is eliminated from 2nd & 3rd place contention.	South Carolina	6
Mason A. is eliminated from 1st & 2nd place contention.	South Carolina	17
Rich F. is eliminated from 1st place contention.	Notre Dame	11

Eliminations if South Carolina wins:

	Pick	Points
Brent E. #2 is eliminated from 1st place contention.	Notre Dame	32
Dave M. is eliminated from 2nd & 3rd place contention.	Notre Dame	14
Fr. Guido S. #1 is eliminated from 2nd & 3rd place contention.	Notre Dame	41
Larry G. is eliminated from 1st & 2nd place contention.	Notre Dame	24
Peter F. is eliminated from 1st, 2nd & 3rd place contention.	Notre Dame	26
Ryan W. is eliminated from 2nd & 3rd place contention.	Notre Dame	25
Scott H. #1 is eliminated from 1st, 2nd & 3rd place contention.	Notre Dame	25

Arizona Bowl

Vegas Line: Ohio -1

Median Pick: Ohio for 1.5 points

Picks for Ohio: 34 (average pick: 19.35 points)

Picks for Wyoming: 32 (average pick: 15.38 points)

Eliminations if Ohio wins:

	Pick	Points
Brett G. is eliminated from 2nd & 3rd place contention.	Wyoming	32
Dan D. is eliminated from 1st & 2nd place contention.	Wyoming	37
Fr. Guido S. #1 is eliminated from 2nd place contention.	Wyoming	3
Larry G. is eliminated from 1st place contention.	Wyoming	17
Marc R. #2 is eliminated from 3rd place contention.	Wyoming	6
Mike N. is eliminated from 1st place contention.	Wyoming	22
Peter F. is eliminated from 1st, 2nd & 3rd place contention.	Wyoming	35

Eliminations if Wyoming wins:

	Pick	Points
CAAT 1 is eliminated from 2nd & 3rd place contention.	Ohio	34
CAAT 3 is eliminated from 1st place contention.	Ohio	34
CAAT 4 is eliminated from 1st place contention.	Ohio	34
Dave M. is eliminated from 2nd & 3rd place contention.	Ohio	13
Harrell R. #2 is eliminated from 1st place contention.	Wyoming	7
Hero R. is eliminated from 1st & 2nd place contention.	Ohio	39
Otis L. is eliminated from 1st place contention.	Ohio	18
Rich F. is eliminated from 1st place contention.	Ohio	2
Ryan W. is eliminated from 2nd & 3rd place contention.	Ohio	26
Scott H. #1 is eliminated from 1st, 2nd & 3rd place contention.	Ohio	11

Remember, these are a minimum of the eliminations.  I’ll send something out before the late game with updates and eliminations in the last game of the day later.

Enjoy and good luck!!!!!