Tuesday, December 20, 2022

MAC domination edition

 Everything came up MAC today.  My crazy plan to only pick MAC teams to win is finally paying dividends.  When I say dividends, I mean that I am slightly closer to the mid-point of the standings, so I need other parts of my crazy plan to actually win – but the MAC is living up to their end of the bargain, so far.

There were two games today, of which I watched maybe a grand total of 15 minutes combined.  The Potato Bowl looked to be just as miserable as I thought it would be.  Boca Raton was at least in a warmer part of the country and appeared to be the better game.  I wouldn’t know.  I only really looked at the final scores.

I’m not sure I mentioned this yesterday, but these games so far (with a few exceptions) have been more or less not worth much by way of points wagered.  For example, of the bottom 8 games in terms of points wagered, we’ve already played 6 – including both of today’s games.  I’m hoping that when the big points come out, so do the upsets.  We had one today between the two games, so that was nice.  Only 22.03% of points wagered in the Potato Bowl were won.

With that one upset, that means that we only had 15 people go 2/2.  The big winner on the day was my Dad, who took in 53 points across his two wins.  That’s great because I really hate to see my Dad in the lower reaches of the standings.  The unlucky winners of the day were the 5 CAAT entries, who also went 2/2, but only got 10 points respectively.  On the flip side, there were 14 people that went 0/2.  The lucky loser for the day was Baily T. who lost both games but only lost 9 points as a result.  That’s how it works.  Maximize wins, minimize losses.

As a group, we averaged 1.02 correct guesses today.  We averaged 14.55 points won and 15.48 points lost – so a net negative day on average.  That checks out.  Here are the standings on points alone:

1. Mark B.: 248 (-11)

2. Michelle L.: 238 (-42)

3. Hutch H.: 237 (-44)

4. Rich F.: 234 (-42)

5. CAAT 5: 232 (0)

5. CAAT 3: 232 (0)

7. Grant F.: 228 (-59)

8. Steve D.: 222 (-22)

9. Harrell R. #1: 222 (-46)

10. Andrew Du.: 220 (-9)

11. Jim W.: 220 (-59)

12. Kylee T.: 219 (-44)

13. Harrell R. #2: 219 (-49)

14. Mike S.: 217 (-82)

15. Pete J. #1: 213 (-57)

16. CAAT 1: 212 (0)

17. CAAT 2: 212 (-36)

18. Scott H. #2: 210 (-22)

19. Brian K.: 206 (-23)

20. CAAT 4: 205 (0)

21. Dylan B.: 202 (-51)

22. Marc R. #2: 202 (-110)

23. Larry G.: 201 (-34)

24. Otis L.: 198 (-38)

25. Matt M.: 198 (-41)

26. Scott H. #1: 197 (-49)

27. Matt N.: 194 (-83)

28. Pete J. #2: 193 (-77)

29. Kylar G.: 192 (-40)

30. Dan E.: 188 (-9)

31. Mike N.: 187 (-24)

32. Paul K.: 178 (-49)

33. Josiah T.: 174 (-38)

34. Mike W.: 171 (-28)

35. Ryan W.: 166 (-48)

36. Hero R.: 165 (-59)

37. Dave M.: 164 (-85)

38. Eric K.: 163 (-40)

39. Brad R.: 162 (-48)

40. Jay H. #1: 161 (-34)

40. Jay H. #2: 161 (-34)

42. Brett G.: 161 (-48)

43. Hurley 357: 155 (-54)

44. Marc R. #1: 154 (-23)

45. Emily T.: 152 (-46)

46. Fr. Guido S. #1: 149 (-47)

47. Miela 314: 149 (-80)

48. Adam E.: 144 (-44)

49. Brett W.: 142 (-33)

50. Fr. Guido S. #2: 136 (-60)

51. Dan D.: 123 (-32)

52. Klei R.: 119 (-78)

53. Dustin B.: 118 (-106)

54. Brent E. #2: 116 (-43)

55. Becky H.: 116 (-106)

56. Vincent W.: 108 (-153)

57. Mason A.: 100 (-54)

58. Ally H.: 98 (-88)

59. Quinn 1130: 97 (-89)

60. Baily T.: 93 (-54)

61. Peter F.: 84 (-67)

62. Jason S.: 77 (-37)

63. Brent E. #1: 75 (-84)

64. Christa M.: 65 (-46)

65. Tim N.: 59 (-7)

66. Dennis R.: 38 (-120)

…and the net points:

1. Mark B.: 237

2. CAAT 5: 232

2. CAAT 3: 232

4. CAAT 1: 212

5. Andrew Du.: 211

6. CAAT 4: 205

7. Steve D.: 200

8. Michelle L.: 196

9. Hutch H.: 193

10. Rich F.: 192

11. Scott H. #2: 188

12. Brian K.: 183

13. Dan E.: 179

14. Harrell R. #1: 176

14. CAAT 2: 176

16. Kylee T.: 175

17. Harrell R. #2: 170

18. Grant F.: 169

19. Larry G.: 167

20. Mike N.: 163

21. Jim W.: 161

22. Otis L.: 160

23. Matt M.: 157

24. Pete J. #1: 156

25. Kylar G.: 152

26. Dylan B.: 151

27. Scott H. #1: 148

28. Mike W.: 143

29. Josiah T.: 136

30. Mike S.: 135

31. Marc R. #1: 131

32. Paul K.: 129

33. Jay H. #1: 127

33. Jay H. #2: 127

35. Eric K.: 123

36. Ryan W.: 118

37. Pete J. #2: 116

38. Brad R.: 114

39. Brett G.: 113

40. Matt N.: 111

41. Brett W.: 109

42. Hero R.: 106

42. Emily T.: 106

44. Fr. Guido S. #1: 102

45. Hurley 357: 101

46. Adam E.: 100

47. Marc R. #2: 92

48. Dan D.: 91

49. Dave M.: 79

50. Fr. Guido S. #2: 76

51. Brent E. #2: 73

52. Miela 314: 69

53. Tim N.: 52

54. Mason A.: 46

55. Klei R.: 41

56. Jason S.: 40

57. Baily T.: 39

58. Christa M.: 19

59. Peter F.: 17

60. Dustin B.: 12

61. Becky H.: 10

61. Ally H.: 10

63. Quinn 1130: 8

64. Brent E. #1: -9

65. Vincent W.: -45

66. Dennis R.: -82


Back to one game tomorrow.

New Orleans Bowl

Vegas Line: South Alabama -4

Median Pick: South Alabama for 11.5 points

Picks for South Alabama: 46 (average points: 18.59)

Picks for Western Kentucky: 20 (average points: 12.15)

 


Based on the stats I put out earlier, you’d think there wouldn’t be this kind of distribution.  I am pretty surprised to see so many big picks for South Alabama.  This game has the 33rd most points wagered on it, but it has the 25th in the picks in the Top 10.  Maybe people know more than I do about this game.  I just kind of thought it was a generic game between directional mid-major schools.

Since there isn’t much more to way about this game.  I hope that there is an appearance by Toppy at the game.  Great mascot. Other than that, I have a small grip with ESPN.  When I go to the website, they have the times of the games in EST, except that that don’t say that anywhere and I don’t live in the Eastern time zone.  That is poor design.  I go elsewhere to get the time the game is going to be on in my local time zone.  It’s useful when there are multiple games in the same day.  Not a huge pet peeve, but an annoyance nonetheless.

As for me, I may watch some of this game.  I am off from work for the next week, so I am planning on doing a short hike tomorrow and then eat some pizza.  I should be back in plenty of time to watch some of the Jaguars / Hilltoppers.  My best guess is that I’ll have it on the iPad instead of the regular TV.  Good times.

Good luck everyone!


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