Good afternoon everyone.
I took the early afternoon off from watching football and went to the
movies, although I didn't see the new Star Wars movie yet. All the theaters were sold out by the time I
thought about going. Anyway, the first 2
games went to form, with no upsets, although I was a little scared when North
Carolina A&T didn't score on 4th and goal in the 4th quarter of a tie
game. I didn't watch any of the New
Orleans Bowl, but it looks like Troy pulled away in the 3rd quarter.
The good news for the pool is that there are only 3 people
that don't have any points as of right now.
That means virtually everyone has some points. Here are the gross points rankings after 2
games:
1.
Klei - Consensus: 74 (0)
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2.
Klei R.: 73 (0)
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3.
Clucko the Chicken: 72 (0)
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4.
Dylan B.: 68 (0)
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5.
Roth W.: 67 (0)
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6.
Matt N.: 65 (0)
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7.
Sanjay T.: 61 (0)
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8.
Grant F.: 60 (0)
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9.
Pete J. #1: 57 (0)
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9.
Pete J. #2: 57 (0)
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9.
Hal #1: 57 (0)
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9.
Hal #2: 57 (0)
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9.
Michelle L. #1: 57 (0)
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14.
Brent S.: 56 (0)
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14.
Michelle L. #2: 56 (0)
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16.
Ally H.: 54 (0)
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17.
Hutch H.: 53 (0)
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18.
Mike S. #2: 49 (0)
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19.
Mike W.: 45 (0)
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20.
Dustin B.: 41 (0)
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21.
Adam E.: 40 (0)
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22.
Brad R.: 40 (-21)
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23.
Jay H. #1: 39 (0)
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23.
Jay H. #3: 39 (0)
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25.
Dan Du.: 35 (0)
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26.
Mike S. #1: 35 (-8)
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27.
Kevin W.: 34 (-1)
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28.
Damien R. #2: 33 (-5)
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29.
Tim N.: 31 (0)
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30.
Jim W.: 30 (-1)
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31.
Mindi W.: 26 (-9)
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32.
Brent E. #1: 23 (-11)
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33.
Brent E. #3: 22 (-2)
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34.
Becky H.: 19 (0)
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35.
Damien R. #1: 18 (-14)
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36.
Brent E. #2: 17 (-7)
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37.
Myles G.: 15 (0)
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38.
Marc R.: 12 (-1)
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39.
Ashley D.: 11 (-13)
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40.
Ben S. #3: 7 (0)
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41.
Dan Dz.: 5 (-1)
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42.
Joel S. #3: 5 (-40)
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43.
Scott H. #2: 4 (0)
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44.
Ben S. #1: 4 (-2)
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45.
Brett W.: 4 (-5)
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46.
Joel S. #1: 3 (0)
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46.
Joel S. #4: 3 (0)
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46.
Nikolajs B.: 3 (0)
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46.
Scott H. #1: 3 (0)
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50.
Nichole W.: 3 (-1)
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51.
Bartosz R. #2: 2 (-11)
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52.
Sally R.: 2 (-14)
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53.
Joel S. #2: 1 (-2)
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53.
Joel S. #5: 1 (-2)
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55.
Bartosz R. #1: 1 (-11)
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56.
Ryan W.: 0 (-5)
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56.
Ben S. #2: 0 (-5)
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58.
Jay H. #2: 0 (-36)
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...and the net points:
1. Klei - Consensus: 74
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2. Klei R.: 73
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3. Clucko the Chicken: 72
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4. Dylan B.: 68
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5. Roth W.: 67
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6. Matt N.: 65
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7. Sanjay T.: 61
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8. Grant F.: 60
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9. Pete J. #1: 57
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9. Pete J. #2: 57
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9. Hal #1: 57
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9. Hal #2: 57
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9. Michelle L. #1: 57
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14. Brent S.: 56
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14. Michelle L. #2: 56
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16. Ally H.: 54
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17. Hutch H.: 53
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18. Mike S. #2: 49
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19. Mike W.: 45
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20. Dustin B.: 41
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21. Adam E.: 40
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22. Jay H. #1: 39
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22. Jay H. #3: 39
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24. Dan Du.: 35
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25. Kevin W.: 33
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26. Tim N.: 31
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27. Jim W.: 29
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28. Damien R. #2: 28
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29. Mike S. #1: 27
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30. Brent E. #3: 20
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31. Brad R.: 19
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31. Becky H.: 19
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33. Mindi W.: 17
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34. Myles G.: 15
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35. Brent E. #1: 12
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36. Marc R.: 11
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37. Brent E. #2: 10
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38. Ben S. #3: 7
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39. Damien R. #1: 4
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39. Dan Dz.: 4
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39. Scott H. #2: 4
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42. Joel S. #1: 3
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42. Joel S. #4: 3
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42. Nikolajs B.: 3
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42. Scott H. #1: 3
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46. Ben S. #1: 2
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46. Nichole W.: 2
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48. Brett W.: -1
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48. Joel S. #2: -1
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48. Joel S. #5: -1
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51. Ashley D.: -2
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52. Ryan W.: -5
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52. Ben S. #2: -5
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54. Bartosz R. #2: -9
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55. Bartosz R. #1: -10
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56. Sally R.: -12
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57. Joel S. #3: -35
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58. Jay H. #2: -36
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I'm a little disturbed that the consensus rankings are doing
so good. Then again, we haven't had any
upsets that people could've predicted. I
feel that's where people make up ground on the consensus rankings. It's like forecasting the average. You'll avoid having a bad forecast accuracy,
but you also won't have a great forecast accuracy either.
So, there was another two games in quick succession, so
let's go over those:
The Las Vegas Bowl:
Vegas Line: Oregon
(-7.5)
Median: Oregon for
11.5 points
Mean: Oregon for
10.7 points
Picks for Oregon:
40 (Average: 21.3 points)
Points for Oregon:
852 (20th overall)
Picks for Boise
State: 18 (Average: 12.83 points)
Points for Boise
State: 231 (65th overall)
People with Oregon
as a top 10 pick: 10
People with Boise
State as a Top 10 pick: 2 (Ashley D., Brad R.)
...and here's the stats for the New Mexico Bowl:
Vegas Line: Colorado
State (-5.5)
Median: Colorado
State for 13 points
Mean: Colorado
State for 11 points
Picks for Colorado
State: 46 (Average: 18.74 points)
Points for Colorado
State: 862 (19th overall)
Picks for Marshall:
12 (Average: 18.83 points)
Points for Marshall:
226 (66th overall)
People with Colorado
State as a top 10 pick: 7
People with Marshall
as a Top 10 pick: 4
Oddly, less people
picked Marshall to win this game, but the average pick was higher. That's strange. Usually the team with the most picks also has
the higher average points applied.
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