The Rat Mouth Preview Edition

I hope everyone enjoyed their Sunday.  It was a good rest from all the football on Saturday, but we are back at it again tomorrow.  The nice thing about the next few days is that we don't get flooded with games.  They come one at a time, so you can see just how much you went up or down as a result of that game alone.  A lot of the other times I don't send out updates after every game because by the time I finish writing up things, another game has finished and I'd have to start all over again.

Anyway, just one game tomorrow - the Boca Raton Bowl.  This promises to be one of the worst games of the entire Bowl season.  Take a look at the distribution for the game:

That's a pretty heavily weighted distribution.  I was a little surprised, looking at this graph that this was not the game with the most points wagered on it.  It is actually 3rd (behind the Peach Bowl and the Championship Game).  It is, however, the game that Vegas thinks will be the most lopsided - and it's not even close.  Florida Atlantic is a 23 point favorite.  That's 7.5 points more points than the second biggest point spread (Independence Bowl).

Here are the particulars:

Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic (-23)

Median: Florida Atlantic for 39.5 points

Mean: Florida Atlantic for 23.1 points

Picks for Florida Atlantic: 48 (Average: 31.71 points)

Points for Florida Atlantic: 1522 (3rd overall)

Picks for Akron: 10 (Average: 18.1 points)

Points for Akron: 181 (71st overall)

People with Florida Atlantic as a top 10 pick: 34

People with Akron as a Top 10 pick: 1 (Joel S. #3)

I'm pulling for Akron to win this one.  I only have Florida Atlantic for 23 points, so a loss would move me up the net points standings, if not the gross point rankings.  A few other reasons I would like to see Akron win is because I graduated from a MAC school, so I always root for MAC schools in Bowl games.  I also am not a big fan of Lane Kiffin.  He seems like a bit of a jerk, and I like to see jerks get their come-uppance.  Also, I like to reward teams for taking risks.  If Akron wins, that would be at least a 40 point swing in the standings for whoever put their money on the Zips.  It's quite a long shot, but we will see tomorrow if that was a risk worth taking.

I'll post updated standings and a preview of the Frisco Bowl after the game finishes.  Good luck to everyone!!!!