Friday, March 23, 2018

Friday update - Final 50 edition


In a lot of ways, today was more important than yesterday in regards to who is left alive and who is not.  Almost everyone got some points today, so that means that there were a lot of games that separated the field a little.  You will be able to see the field spread out a little more than before.  That's a good thing.  At the end of the day yesterday, I think we had 112 people alive for at least one payout.  Today that number is down to 50.

Yesterday, I think the average entry won about 1.5 points out of 16.  Today that number was 9.5.  There were 16 people that got all 4 games right today.  Amazingly enough, 4 of those people were already eliminated from any payout, so today will just help with their final rankings.  Also, 5 of the people that won all 4 games today wound up mathematically eliminated from 1 or more payout spot.  That happens as we get closer to the end.  People wind up with no way to get 4th place for instance, but can still get 1st, 2nd or 3rd.  With the points per game going from 8 to 16 to 32, it's harder to find space between entries as far as points go.

If anyone is interested in the actual points race, here it is:

1. Dennis R.: 63 (-97)
2. Andrew D. #2: 61 (-59)
3. Irene H. #7: 58 (-94)
4. Tomas L. #1: 57 (-103)
4. Pete J. #3: 57 (-103)
6. Dan S. #2: 57 (-119)
7. Bosun S.: 56 (-80)
8. Irene H. #2: 55 (-49)
8. Malcolm X #1: 55 (-49)
10. Jeff M.: 55 (-65)
11. Scott K. #1: 55 (-73)
11. Max A. #3: 55 (-73)
11. Nikolajs B.: 55 (-73)
11. Daisy N. #13: 55 (-73)
15. Brad R.: 55 (-105)
15. Tomas L. #2: 55 (-105)
15. Mindi W.: 55 (-105)
18. Larry G. #2: 54 (-50)
19. Andrzej R.: 54 (-66)
19. Seth D.: 54 (-66)
21. Bhav D. #2: 54 (-74)
22. Valerie D.: 54 (-82)
23. Damien R. #3: 54 (-98)
23. Pete J. #5: 54 (-98)
25. Ken Pom: 54 (-106)
25. Scott Has.: 54 (-106)
27. Wayne D. #3: 54 (-114)
28. David W. #2: 54 (-130)
29. Kirt R. #2: 53 (-51)
30. Adam E.: 53 (-59)
31. Rob S. #1: 53 (-67)
31. CSU #1: 53 (-67)
33. Missy W. #1: 53 (-75)
33. Josh D. #3: 53 (-75)
33. Jeff Sag. #1: 53 (-75)
33. Elizabeth N. #1: 53 (-75)
33. Luis B. #1: 53 (-75)
38. Mike S. #1: 53 (-107)
38. Michelle R.: 53 (-107)
38. Michelle L. #4: 53 (-107)
38. Irene H. #1: 53 (-107)
38. Amaris S.: 53 (-107)
43. Michelle L. #3: 52 (-60)
44. Daisy N. #1: 52 (-76)
44. Brent S. #2: 52 (-76)
44. Eric V. #2: 52 (-76)
47. Jared B.: 52 (-84)
48. Gigi I.: 52 (-108)
49. Matt N.: 52 (-132)
50. Grant F.: 51 (-53)
50. Hal R. #2: 51 (-53)
52. Damien R. #2: 51 (-69)
52. Larry G. #5: 51 (-69)
54. Klei R.: 51 (-85)
55. Paul W.: 51 (-109)
55. Larry G. #3: 51 (-109)
55. Virginia L.: 51 (-109)
55. David S.: 51 (-109)
55. Jay C.: 51 (-109)
60. E Rucker #2: 51 (-117)
60. Dan S. #1: 51 (-117)
62. Mike S. #2: 51 (-133)
63. Roth W.: 50 (-54)
64. Taima #2: 50 (-78)
64. Ben P.: 50 (-78)
64. Josh C.: 50 (-78)
64. Brett G. #1: 50 (-78)
64. Hutch H. #2: 50 (-78)
69. April K.: 50 (-102)
69. Becca T.: 50 (-102)
71. Howard S. #2: 50 (-110)
71. David W. #1: 50 (-110)
73. Karen C.: 50 (-118)
73. Trent L.: 50 (-118)
73. Brad E.: 50 (-118)
76. Brett G. #4: 50 (-126)
76. Jay H. #1: 50 (-126)
78. Scott Her. #2: 50 (-134)
78. Marc R.: 50 (-134)
80. Brent E. #3: 49 (-63)
81. Miguel D.: 49 (-71)
82. Chris M.: 49 (-79)
82. Alex N. #2: 49 (-79)
82. Brent E. #2: 49 (-79)
85. Irene H. #6: 49 (-87)
85. Veronica A.: 49 (-87)
87. Ben J. #1: 49 (-111)
87. Brent E. #1: 49 (-111)
89. Joe D. #1: 49 (-119)
90. Scott K.: 49 (-127)
90. John M. #2: 49 (-127)
92. Uproxx: 49 (-135)
92. Howard S. #1: 49 (-135)
94. Ally H.: 49 (-143)
95. Larry G. #1: 48 (-56)
96. Jaxon S.: 48 (-80)
96. Jim D. #2: 48 (-80)
96. Irene H. #3: 48 (-80)
96. Kirt R. #1: 48 (-80)
100. Max A. #1: 48 (-88)
100. Wayne D. #1: 48 (-88)
100. Taima #1: 48 (-88)
100. Suki I.: 48 (-88)
104. Kiah H.: 48 (-104)
104. Jay H. #3: 48 (-104)
104. Hal R. #3: 48 (-104)
107. Alex N. #3: 48 (-112)
108. Andrew D. #1: 48 (-120)
109. Brent S. #1: 48 (-128)
110. Alex N. #1: 48 (-136)
110. Barack O.: 48 (-136)
110. Kate G.: 48 (-136)
110. Chad L. #2: 48 (-136)
114. Brett G. #2: 47 (-81)
114. Kansas C.: 47 (-81)
116. Ava S.: 47 (-89)
116. Mike McQ.: 47 (-89)
116. Scott Her. #1: 47 (-89)
116. Stefan K. #1: 47 (-89)
116. Matt M.: 47 (-89)
121. Jeff Sag. #2: 47 (-105)
122. Nick I.: 47 (-113)
122. Eric V. #1: 47 (-113)
122. Ben S. #1: 47 (-113)
125. Luis B. #3: 47 (-121)
126. Josh D. #1: 47 (-129)
127. Irene H. #4: 47 (-137)
128. Jim D. #3: 47 (-145)
128. Hal R. #1: 47 (-145)
128. Julie S.: 47 (-145)
131. Chad L. #3: 46 (-58)
132. Mason A. #1: 46 (-90)
132. Malcolm X #2: 46 (-90)
132. Joe D. #2: 46 (-90)
135. Bhav D. #1: 46 (-114)
135. Rob S. #2: 46 (-114)
137. Michelle L. #5: 46 (-122)
137. Craig G.: 46 (-122)
137. Becky H.: 46 (-122)
140. Sulbum H.: 46 (-138)
140. Luis B. #2: 46 (-138)
140. Brett G. #3: 46 (-138)
143. Alyssa B.: 46 (-146)
144. Pete J. #4: 45 (-67)
145. William G.: 45 (-83)
145. Elizabeth N. #2: 45 (-83)
145. Michelle L. #2: 45 (-83)
148. Damien R. #1: 45 (-91)
149. Jace D.: 45 (-123)
149. Daniel C.: 45 (-123)
151. Josh D. #2: 45 (-139)
151. Scott K. #2: 45 (-139)
153. Ben J. #2: 45 (-147)
153. Chrissy I.: 45 (-147)
153. Todd K. #2: 45 (-147)
156. Daisy N. #3: 44 (-84)
156. Hutch H. #1: 44 (-84)
158. Joel S.: 44 (-92)
158. Daisy N. #2: 44 (-92)
158. Jay H. #2: 44 (-92)
158. Dustin B.: 44 (-92)
162. Dylan B.: 44 (-116)
163. Alex N. #4: 44 (-140)
164. Jackson I.: 44 (-148)
165. Jim D. #1: 43 (-85)
166. CSU #2: 43 (-117)
166. Ben S. #4: 43 (-117)
168. Mason A. #2: 43 (-133)
169. Pete J. #2: 43 (-141)
169. Wayne D. #2: 43 (-141)
171. Tim N.: 42 (-62)
172. Daisy N. #6: 42 (-86)
172. Adam S. #2: 42 (-86)
174. Ben S. #2: 42 (-118)
175. Todd K. #1: 42 (-142)
175. Chris T. #2: 42 (-142)
175. Arianna S.: 42 (-142)
178. Mike W.: 41 (-95)
178. Jim W.: 41 (-95)
180. Daisy N. #7: 41 (-119)
180. Ben J. #4: 41 (-119)
180. Joe D. #4: 41 (-119)
183. Stefan K. #2: 41 (-127)
184. Daisy N. #11: 41 (-143)
184. Missy W. #2: 41 (-143)
186. Pete J. #1: 40 (-88)
187. Mike N.: 40 (-128)
188. Ray W. #2: 40 (-144)
188. Rob I.: 40 (-144)
188. Daisy N. #10: 40 (-144)
191. Brett K. #2: 40 (-152)
191. Dan D. #2: 40 (-152)
191. Joe D. #3: 40 (-152)
194. Ben J. #3: 39 (-129)
194. Adam S. #1: 39 (-129)
196. Larry G. #4: 39 (-145)
196. Michelle L. #1: 39 (-145)
198. Brett W.: 39 (-153)
199. Chris T. #1: 38 (-98)
199. Chad L. #4: 38 (-98)
201. Allison C.: 38 (-122)
202. John M. #3: 38 (-146)
202. Szecho L. #2: 38 (-146)
204. Chad L. #5: 38 (-154)
204. Chad L. #1: 38 (-154)
206. Szecho L. #1: 37 (-99)
207. Daisy N. #5: 37 (-131)
207. E Rucker #1: 37 (-131)
209. Dane R.: 37 (-147)
209. Daisy N. #4: 37 (-147)
211. Ray W. #1: 37 (-155)
212. Dan D. #1: 36 (-132)
213. Irene H. #5: 36 (-156)
214. Ryan W.: 35 (-149)
215. Daisy N. #9: 35 (-157)
216. Max A. #2: 34 (-126)
217. John M. #1: 34 (-158)
218. Stephen N.: 33 (-103)
219. Ray W. #3: 33 (-135)
220. Ben S. #3: 31 (-97)
221. Daisy N. #12: 30 (-162)
222. Brett K. #1: 29 (-107)
223. Daisy N. #8: 29 (-139)
224. Brett K. #3: 29 (-163)

The bracket with the lowest ranking that can still won any money belongs to Becky H., who is in 137th in points.  She has Texas Tech in the Championship, so I'm guessing if that happens, she might have a chance at the money.   She probably needs some help along with that, but it's better than Pete J. #3, who is at the other end of the spectrum.  He's currently in 4th place, but can't win anything.

Here is the elimination matrix:

Name
1st Place
2nd Place
3rd Place
4th Place
Adam E.
Syracuse
Syracuse

Syracuse
Adam S. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Adam S. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Alex N. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Alex N. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Purdue
Purdue
Alex N. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Syracuse
Syracuse
Alex N. #4
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Allison C.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ally H.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Alyssa B.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Amaris S.
Purdue
Purdue


Andrew D. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Andrew D. #2



Purdue
Andrzej R.
Sweet 16
Gonzaga


April K.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Purdue
Purdue
Arianna S.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ava S.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Clemson
Clemson
Barack O.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Becca T.
Sweet 16
Syracuse
Purdue
Purdue
Becky H.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16


Ben J. #1
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Ben J. #2
Sweet 16
W. Va.
W. Va.
Clemson
Ben J. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ben J. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ben P.
Texas A&M
Purdue
Syracuse

Ben S. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ben S. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ben S. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ben S. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Bhav D. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Bhav D. #2
Texas A&M



Bosun S.

Syracuse

Purdue
Brad E.
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Brad R.
Syracuse
Syracuse
Syracuse
Syracuse
Brent E. #1
Sweet 16
Kentucky
Kentucky
Syracuse
Brent E. #2
Syracuse
Syracuse
Purdue
Purdue
Brent E. #3
Sweet 16
Syracuse
Purdue

Brent S. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Brent S. #2
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Brett G. #1
W. Va.
W. Va.


Brett G. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Brett G. #3
Sweet 16
Gonzaga
Purdue
Purdue
Brett G. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Syracuse
Syracuse
Brett K. #1
Sweet 16
Kentucky
Kentucky
Kentucky
Brett K. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Kentucky
Kentucky
Brett K. #3
W. Va.
Clemson
Gonzaga
W. Va.
Brett W.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Chad L. #1
Sweet 16
Nevada
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Chad L. #2
Sweet 16
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Chad L. #3
Syracuse

Syracuse
Syracuse
Chad L. #4
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Clemson
W. Va.
Chad L. #5
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Chris M.
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Chris T. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Chris T. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Chrissy I.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
Craig G.
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Purdue
CSU #1
Kentucky



CSU #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Daisy N. #1
Clemson
Kentucky
Clemson
Clemson
Daisy N. #10
Sweet 16
Kentucky
Clemson
Purdue
Daisy N. #11
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Daisy N. #12
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Daisy N. #13




Daisy N. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Daisy N. #3
Sweet 16
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Daisy N. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Daisy N. #5
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Daisy N. #6
Sweet 16
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Daisy N. #7
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Daisy N. #8
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Daisy N. #9
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Damien R. #1
Texas A&M
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Purdue
Damien R. #2
Syracuse

Syracuse

Damien R. #3
Sweet 16
Gonzaga


Dan D. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Dan D. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Dan S. #1
Sweet 16
Syracuse
Syracuse
W. Va.
Dan S. #2
Syracuse
Syracuse
Syracuse
Syracuse
Dane R.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Daniel C.
Sweet 16
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
David S.
Syracuse
Kentucky
Purdue
Purdue
David W. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
David W. #2
Texas A&M
Syracuse
W. Va.
Gonzaga
Dennis R.




Dustin B.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Dylan B.
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
E Rucker #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
E Rucker #2
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Elizabeth N. #1
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Purdue
Elizabeth N. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Eric V. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Eric V. #2
Purdue

Syracuse
Purdue
Gigi I.
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Gonzaga
Purdue
Grant F.
Clemson

Purdue

Hal R. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Hal R. #2
Sweet 16



Hal R. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16

W. Va.
Howard S. #1
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Howard S. #2
Texas A&M
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Hutch H. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Hutch H. #2
Sweet 16
Purdue


Irene H. #1
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Purdue

Irene H. #2




Irene H. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Irene H. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Irene H. #5
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Irene H. #6
Clemson
Purdue
Syracuse

Irene H. #7


Purdue
Purdue
Jace D.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Jackson I.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Jared B.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Jaxon S.
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Jay C.
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Purdue
Purdue
Jay H. #1
W. Va.
W. Va.
Syracuse
Syracuse
Jay H. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Jay H. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Syracuse
Jeff M.




Jeff Sag. #1
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Purdue
Jeff Sag. #2
Kentucky
Kentucky


Jim D. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Jim D. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Jim D. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Jim W.
Sweet 16
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
W. Va.
Joe D. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Joe D. #2
W. Va.
W. Va.
Purdue
Purdue
Joe D. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Joe D. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Joel S.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
John M. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
John M. #2
Clemson
Syracuse
Purdue
Purdue
John M. #3
W. Va.
W. Va.
Clemson
Clemson
Josh C.
Sweet 16
Syracuse


Josh D. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Josh D. #2
Purdue
Purdue
W. Va.
Clemson
Josh D. #3
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Purdue
Julie S.
W. Va.
Syracuse
Syracuse
W. Va.
Kansas C.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Karen C.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Kentucky
Kate G.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ken Pom
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Purdue
Purdue
Kiah H.
Sweet 16
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Clemson
Kirt R. #1
Texas A&M
Syracuse
Purdue
Syracuse
Kirt R. #2




Klei R.
Texas A&M
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Syracuse
Larry G. #1
Sweet 16
Clemson


Larry G. #2




Larry G. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Larry G. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Larry G. #5
Sweet 16



Luis B. #1
Texas A&M
Purdue


Luis B. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Luis B. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Malcolm X #1




Malcolm X #2
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Purdue
Purdue
Marc R.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Mason A. #1
Gonzaga
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
Mason A. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Matt M.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
Matt N.
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Syracuse
Max A. #1
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Max A. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Max A. #3
Texas A&M



Michelle L. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Michelle L. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Michelle L. #3
Purdue



Michelle L. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Purdue

Michelle L. #5
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Michelle R.

Clemson


Miguel D.

Syracuse
Purdue
Purdue
Mike McQ.
Kentucky
Kentucky
Kentucky
Kentucky
Mike N.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Mike S. #1
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Texas A&M

Mike S. #2
Sweet 16
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Mike W.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Mindi W.




Missy W. #1
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Missy W. #2
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
Nick I.
Gonzaga
Clemson
Clemson
Clemson
Nikolajs B.




Paul W.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Pete J. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Gonzaga
Pete J. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Kentucky
Pete J. #3
Syracuse
Syracuse
Syracuse
Syracuse
Pete J. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Pete J. #5
Kentucky



Ray W. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ray W. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ray W. #3
Sweet 16
Kentucky
Kentucky
Kentucky
Rob I.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
Rob S. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Purdue
Rob S. #2
Sweet 16
W. Va.


Roth W.
Sweet 16



Ryan W.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Scott Has.
Syracuse
Purdue
Purdue

Scott Her. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Scott Her. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Scott K.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Scott K. #1
Syracuse



Scott K. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Seth D.
Sweet 16
Gonzaga


Stefan K. #1
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
Stefan K. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Stephen N.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Suki I.
Purdue
Clemson
Gonzaga
Purdue
Sulbum H.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Szecho L. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Szecho L. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Taima #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Taima #2
Sweet 16
Gonzaga
Syracuse
Syracuse
Tim N.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Purdue
Todd K. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Todd K. #2
Clemson
Clemson
Clemson
Purdue
Tomas L. #1

Clemson
Syracuse
Syracuse
Tomas L. #2
Gonzaga


Syracuse
Trent L.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
Uproxx
Sweet 16
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Syracuse
Valerie D.
Gonzaga
Syracuse
Gonzaga
Syracuse
Veronica A.
Syracuse
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Virginia L.
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Wayne D. #1
Texas A&M
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Wayne D. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Wayne D. #3
Purdue
Purdue
Syracuse
Syracuse
William G.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16


Imagine my surprise to see none other than Seth Davis sitting in 19th place in points.  His bracket can't win 1st or 2nd, but has a very real chance at 3rd or 4th.  I give that guy a lot of grief, but he nailed all 4 games today.  Since almost all my other brackets are destroyed, it was a pleasant surprise to see I still had a chance with his bracket.  Strange tournament, indeed.

No one can get all 4 Final 4 teams.  The best anyone can do from here on out is be one of the 10 people that can get 3/4, plus both Championship game participants.  You would think that would keep you in the money, but Tim N. has the distinction of being the only person that get all those points and still not make the money.  He didn't do good enough in points up until now, and at least 4 more people have the same picks as he does and are currently ahead of him in points.  That's too bad.

There are another 21 people that can no longer get any points.  They managed to miss all picks for Final 4.  This year, that doesn't seem so strange.  Ally H. currently leads that group in points with 49 (94th place).  64 people don't have either of their finalists alive.  It wasn't obvious to me given the way this tournament has been going, but all of those brackets are eliminated from all payouts.

All right, let's get to the probabilities for 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th.

Here's 1st:

1.: Tomas L. #1 (20.3125%)
2.: Irene H. #2 (19.2708%)
3.: Andrew D. #2 (18.75%)
4.: Larry G. #2 (9.375%)
5.: Malcolm X #1 (7.0312%)
6.: Dennis R. (3.9062%)
7.: Jeff M. (3.3854%)
8.: Bosun S. (3.125%)
8.: Kirt R. #2 (3.125%)
8.: Daisy N. #13 (3.125%)
8.: Michelle R. (3.125%)
12.: Nikolajs B. (1.8229%)
13.: Miguel D. (1.5625%)
13.: Irene H. #7 (1.5625%)
15.: Mindi W. (0.5208%)


...and 2nd:

1.: Tomas L. #2 (19.5312%)
2.: Hal R. #2 (9.375%)
2.: Damien R. #2 (9.375%)
4.: Bhav D. #2 (7.8125%)
5.: Max A. #3 (6.25%)
6.: Pete J. #5 (4.6875%)
7.: Malcolm X #1 (4.2187%)
8.: Jeff M. (3.6979%)
9.: Irene H. #2 (3.6458%)
10.: Larry G. #2 (3.125%)
10.: CSU #1 (3.125%)
10.: Kirt R. #2 (3.125%)
10.: Roth W. (3.125%)
10.: Irene H. #7 (3.125%)
10.: Eric V. #2 (3.125%)
16.: Dennis R. (2.3437%)
17.: Nikolajs B. (1.8229%)
18.: Michelle L. #3 (1.5625%)
18.: Andrew D. #2 (1.5625%)
18.: Chad L. #3 (1.5625%)
18.: Grant F. (1.5625%)
22.: Mindi W. (1.302%)
23.: Larry G. #5 (0.3125%)
23.: Scott K. #1 (0.3125%)
23.: Daisy N. #13 (0.3125%)

...and 3rd:

1.: Bosun S. (9.375%)
2.: Dennis R. (7.0312%)
3.: Kirt R. #2 (6.25%)
3.: Becky H. (6.25%)
5.: CSU #1 (5.4687%)
5.: Max A. #3 (5.4687%)
7.: Andrew D. #2 (4.6875%)
7.: Hal R. #3 (4.6875%)
9.: Malcolm X #1 (3.4375%)
9.: Daisy N. #13 (3.4375%)
11.: Hal R. #2 (3.125%)
11.: Larry G. #1 (3.125%)
11.: Luis B. #1 (3.125%)
11.: Adam E. (3.125%)
15.: Jeff M. (2.9166%)
16.: Pete J. #5 (2.6041%)
16.: Bhav D. #2 (2.6041%)
18.: Roth W. (2.3437%)
19.: Mindi W. (2.0833%)
20.: Nikolajs B. (1.8229%)
21.: Larry G. #2 (1.5625%)
21.: Michelle L. #3 (1.5625%)
21.: Amaris S. (1.5625%)
21.: Hutch H. #2 (1.5625%)
21.: Josh C. (1.5625%)
26.: Andrzej R. (1.302%)
26.: Irene H. #2 (1.302%)
26.: Seth D. (1.302%)
29.: Rob S. #2 (1.0416%)
30.: Jeff Sag. #2 (0.7812%)
30.: Brett G. #1 (0.7812%)
30.: Tomas L. #2 (0.7812%)
30.: Michelle R. (0.7812%)
34.: Damien R. #3 (0.5208%)
35.: Larry G. #5 (0.3125%)
35.: Scott K. #1 (0.3125%)


...and 4th:

1.: Irene H. #6 (7.8125%)
1.: Kirt R. #2 (7.8125%)
3.: CSU #1 (7.6562%)
4.: Michelle R. (7.0312%)
5.: Becky H. (6.25%)
6.: Max A. #3 (5.4687%)
7.: Damien R. #2 (4.6875%)
8.: Luis B. #1 (3.75%)
9.: Malcolm X #1 (3.4375%)
10.: Ben P. (3.125%)
10.: Michelle L. #3 (3.125%)
10.: Grant F. (3.125%)
10.: Larry G. #2 (3.125%)
14.: Andrzej R. (2.8645%)
14.: Seth D. (2.8645%)
16.: Roth W. (2.3437%)
16.: Irene H. #2 (2.3437%)
18.: Jeff M. (1.875%)
19.: Hal R. #2 (1.5625%)
19.: Brent E. #3 (1.5625%)
19.: Scott Has. (1.5625%)
19.: Hutch H. #2 (1.5625%)
19.: Larry G. #1 (1.5625%)
19.: Amaris S. (1.5625%)
19.: Josh C. (1.5625%)
26.: Pete J. #5 (1.0416%)
26.: Bhav D. #2 (1.0416%)
26.: Rob S. #2 (1.0416%)
29.: Dennis R. (0.7812%)
29.: Mindi W. (0.7812%)
29.: Jeff Sag. #2 (0.7812%)
29.: Nikolajs B. (0.7812%)
29.: Brett G. #1 (0.7812%)
34.: Irene H. #1 (0.625%)
34.: Michelle L. #4 (0.625%)
34.: Mike S. #1 (0.625%)
37.: Damien R. #3 (0.5208%)
38.: Larry G. #5 (0.3125%)
38.: Scott K. #1 (0.3125%)
38.: Daisy N. #13 (0.3125%)


There are 2 games tomorrow, so let's go through the eliminations for the first game.  I'll update the standings between games.

If Loyola-Chicago wins:
No one is eliminated from any payouts.

If Kansas State wins:
No one is eliminated from any payouts.


Honestly, I am pretty sure that the probabilities won't even change based on the outcome of this game.  There was only person in the whole pool that had Kansas State in the Final 4, and no one had Loyola-Chicago.  The person with Kansas State was eliminated for all contention with the Purdue loss, so everyone's odds will be exactly the same after this game.

That makes for a pretty boring post, so I'll go ahead and do the eliminations for the 2nd game:

If Michigan wins:

Amaris S. is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
Becky H. is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
Ben P. is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Bhav D. #2 is eliminated from 2nd, 3rd & 4th place contention.
Daisy N. #13 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Dennis R. is eliminated from 1st, 3rd & 4th  place contention.
Eric V. #2 is eliminated from 2nd place contention.
Hutch H. #2 is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
Irene H. #1 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Irene H. #7 is eliminated from 2nd place contention.
Josh C. is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
Luis B. #1 is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
Max A. #3 is eliminated from 2nd place contention.
Michelle L. #4 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Michelle R. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Mike S. #1 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Nikolajs B. is eliminated from 1st, 2nd, 3rd & 4th  place contention.
Pete J. #5 is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
Rob S. #2 is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
Scott Has. is eliminated from 4th place contention.

If Florida State wins:

Adam E. is eliminated from 3rd place contention.
Andrew D. #2 is eliminated from 2nd & 3rd place contention.
Andrzej R. is eliminated from 3rd place contention.
Bosun S. is eliminated from 1st & 3rd place contention.
Brent E. #3 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Brett G. #1 is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
Chad L. #3 is eliminated from 2nd place contention.
CSU #1 is eliminated from 2nd place contention.
Daisy N. #13 is eliminated from 2nd & 4th place contention.
Damien R. #2 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Damien R. #3 is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
Grant F. is eliminated from 2nd & 4th place contention.
Hal R. #2 is eliminated from 2nd, 3rd & 4th place contention.
Irene H. #2 is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
Irene H. #6 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Irene H. #7 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Jeff Sag. #2 is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
Kirt R. #2 is eliminated from 1st & 2nd place contention.
Larry G. #1 is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
Larry G. #2 is eliminated from 1st, 2nd & 3rd place contention.
Larry G. #5 is eliminated from 2nd, 3rd & 4th place contention.
Michelle L. #3 is eliminated from 2nd, 3rd & 4th place contention.
Michelle R. is eliminated from 3rd place contention.
Miguel D. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Mindi W. is eliminated from 1st, 2nd, 3rd & 4th place contention.
Roth W. is eliminated from 2nd, 3rd & 4th place contention.
Scott K. #1 is eliminated from 2nd, 3rd & 4th place contention.
Seth D. is eliminated from 3rd place contention.
Tomas L. #2 is eliminated from 3rd place contention.


That's a lot of losses if the Seminoles make the Final 4.  If that happens, it guarantees that no one is getting any points in the national semi-final game.  That's probably why this game is so important.  There are a lot of people that need Michigan to get 8 or even 8+16 points, and a lot of people ahead of them in the standings that can't catch up if that happens.  I'm guessing for most of the people left, this is more or less a must win game.

Good luck to everyone!!!

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