Saturday, March 24, 2018

NCAA 2018 - 1/2 the Final 4 decided


Well, it should not be a surprise to anyone who got knocked out today.  Since the first game didn't mean anything at all, and all the eliminations were in yesterday's post, all you needed to do was read to the end of that and you would know if you were out or not.

Most years, if people ask me how to win this pool, I usually say that you have to get the winner right.  I usually add that you probably need to get the other finalist right.  Then, I say that there is usually a wacky region where a semi-surprise team comes out.  You need to get as many points as possible out of that region to put yourself in contention.  This year, there were two regions that met that description.  The South was an extreme case.  No one had Loyola-Chicago making the Final 4.  If you look at the standings, the people that had Michigan coming out of the West at right at the top.  Tomorrow will really be a difference-maker.  I'm going out on a limb and say that in order to win this pool, you probably need to go 2/2 tomorrow.

In the South region, there were 32 points possible.  The average entry got 5.31 points.  That's amazing.  The best anyone did was a tie between Nick I. and Julie S., who both managed to get 12 points.  Compliments of 4 points for Loyola-Chicago in the Elite 8.  I don't have a lot of history to fall back on, but I can't imagine any region in history that is this bad.  Most times, you can get some cheap points compliments of the #1 seed.

In the West region, we fared better, although not great.  The average bracket got 12.75 points.  The best of the bracket was Bosun S., who managed to get a very respectable 26/32 possible points.  As a matter of fact, the only points he lost were Texas A&M (2 points) in the Sweet 16 and Florida State in the Elite 8 (4 points).  That's what is keeping that entry alive, since he has Michigan State in the Finals, but is still alive for 1st and 3rd place.

For those that are concerned about points, here they are:

1. Andrew D. #2: 69 (-59)
2. Irene H. #7: 66 (-94)
3. Pete J. #3: 65 (-103)
4. Dan S. #2: 65 (-119)
5. Bosun S.: 64 (-80)
6. Malcolm X #1: 63 (-49)
6. Irene H. #2: 63 (-49)
8. Jeff M.: 63 (-65)
9. Scott K. #1: 63 (-73)
10. Dennis R.: 63 (-97)
11. Brad R.: 63 (-105)
11. Mindi W.: 63 (-105)
13. Larry G. #2: 62 (-50)
14. Andrzej R.: 62 (-66)
14. Seth D.: 62 (-66)
16. Damien R. #3: 62 (-98)
16. Pete J. #5: 62 (-98)
18. Kirt R. #2: 61 (-51)
19. Adam E.: 61 (-59)
20. Rob S. #1: 61 (-67)
20. CSU #1: 61 (-67)
22. Michelle L. #3: 60 (-60)
23. Grant F.: 59 (-53)
23. Hal R. #2: 59 (-53)
25. Damien R. #2: 59 (-69)
25. Larry G. #5: 59 (-69)
27. Paul W.: 59 (-109)
28. Dan S. #1: 59 (-117)
29. Roth W.: 58 (-54)
30. Taima #2: 58 (-78)
30. Brett G. #1: 58 (-78)
32. April K.: 58 (-102)
32. Becca T.: 58 (-102)
34. Brad E.: 58 (-118)
35. Brett G. #4: 58 (-126)
35. Jay H. #1: 58 (-126)
37. Brent E. #3: 57 (-63)
38. Miguel D.: 57 (-71)
39. Irene H. #6: 57 (-87)
40. Tomas L. #1: 57 (-103)
41. Brent E. #1: 57 (-111)
42. Scott K.: 57 (-127)
43. John M. #2: 57 (-135)
43. Uproxx: 57 (-135)
45. Larry G. #1: 56 (-56)
46. Kiah H.: 56 (-104)
46. Jay H. #3: 56 (-104)
46. Hal R. #3: 56 (-104)
49. Alex N. #3: 56 (-112)
50. Brent S. #1: 56 (-128)
51. Max A. #3: 55 (-73)
51. Nikolajs B.: 55 (-73)
51. Daisy N. #13: 55 (-73)
54. Brett G. #2: 55 (-81)
55. Tomas L. #2: 55 (-105)
55. Jeff Sag. #2: 55 (-105)
57. Josh D. #1: 55 (-129)
58. Chad L. #3: 54 (-58)
59. Bhav D. #2: 54 (-74)
60. Valerie D.: 54 (-82)
61. Ken Pom: 54 (-106)
61. Scott Has.: 54 (-106)
63. Wayne D. #3: 54 (-114)
64. David W. #2: 54 (-130)
65. Sulbum H.: 54 (-138)
66. Pete J. #4: 53 (-67)
67. Missy W. #1: 53 (-75)
67. Josh D. #3: 53 (-75)
67. Jeff Sag. #1: 53 (-75)
67. Elizabeth N. #1: 53 (-75)
67. Luis B. #1: 53 (-75)
72. Michelle L. #4: 53 (-107)
72. Irene H. #1: 53 (-107)
72. Mike S. #1: 53 (-107)
72. Michelle R.: 53 (-107)
72. Amaris S.: 53 (-107)
77. Daisy N. #1: 52 (-76)
77. Brent S. #2: 52 (-76)
77. Eric V. #2: 52 (-76)
80. Jared B.: 52 (-84)
81. Gigi I.: 52 (-108)
82. Matt N.: 52 (-132)
83. Klei R.: 51 (-85)
84. David S.: 51 (-109)
84. Jay C.: 51 (-109)
84. Larry G. #3: 51 (-109)
84. Virginia L.: 51 (-109)
88. CSU #2: 51 (-117)
88. E Rucker #2: 51 (-117)
90. Mike S. #2: 51 (-133)
90. Mason A. #2: 51 (-133)
92. Pete J. #2: 51 (-141)
92. Wayne D. #2: 51 (-141)
94. Tim N.: 50 (-62)
95. Ben P.: 50 (-78)
95. Hutch H. #2: 50 (-78)
95. Josh C.: 50 (-78)
98. Howard S. #2: 50 (-110)
98. David W. #1: 50 (-110)
100. Karen C.: 50 (-118)
100. Trent L.: 50 (-118)
102. Marc R.: 50 (-134)
102. Scott Her. #2: 50 (-134)
104. Alex N. #2: 49 (-79)
104. Brent E. #2: 49 (-79)
104. Chris M.: 49 (-79)
107. Veronica A.: 49 (-87)
108. Ben J. #1: 49 (-111)
109. Joe D. #1: 49 (-119)
110. Howard S. #1: 49 (-135)
111. Ally H.: 49 (-143)
112. Jaxon S.: 48 (-80)
112. Irene H. #3: 48 (-80)
112. Jim D. #2: 48 (-80)
112. Kirt R. #1: 48 (-80)
116. Max A. #1: 48 (-88)
116. Wayne D. #1: 48 (-88)
116. Pete J. #1: 48 (-88)
116. Suki I.: 48 (-88)
116. Taima #1: 48 (-88)
121. Andrew D. #1: 48 (-120)
122. Chad L. #2: 48 (-136)
122. Barack O.: 48 (-136)
122. Kate G.: 48 (-136)
122. Alex N. #1: 48 (-136)
126. Kansas C.: 47 (-81)
127. Ava S.: 47 (-89)
127. Mike McQ.: 47 (-89)
127. Scott Her. #1: 47 (-89)
127. Matt M.: 47 (-89)
127. Stefan K. #1: 47 (-89)
132. Nick I.: 47 (-113)
132. Eric V. #1: 47 (-113)
132. Ben S. #1: 47 (-113)
135. Luis B. #3: 47 (-121)
136. Irene H. #4: 47 (-137)
137. Jim D. #3: 47 (-145)
137. Hal R. #1: 47 (-145)
137. Julie S.: 47 (-145)
140. Malcolm X #2: 46 (-90)
140. Joe D. #2: 46 (-90)
140. Mason A. #1: 46 (-90)
143. Bhav D. #1: 46 (-114)
143. Rob S. #2: 46 (-114)
145. Michelle L. #5: 46 (-122)
145. Craig G.: 46 (-122)
145. Becky H.: 46 (-122)
148. Brett G. #3: 46 (-138)
148. Luis B. #2: 46 (-138)
150. Alyssa B.: 46 (-146)
151. William G.: 45 (-83)
151. Michelle L. #2: 45 (-83)
151. Elizabeth N. #2: 45 (-83)
154. Damien R. #1: 45 (-91)
155. Jace D.: 45 (-123)
155. Daniel C.: 45 (-123)
157. Josh D. #2: 45 (-139)
157. Scott K. #2: 45 (-139)
159. Ben J. #2: 45 (-147)
159. Todd K. #2: 45 (-147)
159. Chrissy I.: 45 (-147)
162. Daisy N. #3: 44 (-84)
162. Hutch H. #1: 44 (-84)
164. Joel S.: 44 (-92)
164. Jay H. #2: 44 (-92)
164. Daisy N. #2: 44 (-92)
164. Dustin B.: 44 (-92)
168. Dylan B.: 44 (-116)
169. Alex N. #4: 44 (-140)
170. Jackson I.: 44 (-148)
171. Jim D. #1: 43 (-85)
172. Ben S. #4: 43 (-117)
173. Ryan W.: 43 (-149)
174. Daisy N. #6: 42 (-86)
174. Adam S. #2: 42 (-86)
176. Ben S. #2: 42 (-118)
177. Chris T. #2: 42 (-142)
177. Todd K. #1: 42 (-142)
177. Arianna S.: 42 (-142)
180. Mike W.: 41 (-95)
180. Jim W.: 41 (-95)
182. Ben J. #4: 41 (-119)
182. Daisy N. #7: 41 (-119)
182. Joe D. #4: 41 (-119)
185. Stefan K. #2: 41 (-127)
186. Daisy N. #11: 41 (-143)
186. Missy W. #2: 41 (-143)
188. Mike N.: 40 (-128)
189. Daisy N. #10: 40 (-144)
189. Ray W. #2: 40 (-144)
189. Rob I.: 40 (-144)
192. Brett K. #2: 40 (-152)
192. Dan D. #2: 40 (-152)
192. Joe D. #3: 40 (-152)
195. Ben J. #3: 39 (-129)
195. Adam S. #1: 39 (-129)
197. Michelle L. #1: 39 (-145)
197. Larry G. #4: 39 (-145)
199. Brett W.: 39 (-153)
200. Chris T. #1: 38 (-98)
200. Chad L. #4: 38 (-98)
202. Allison C.: 38 (-122)
203. John M. #3: 38 (-146)
203. Szecho L. #2: 38 (-146)
205. Chad L. #5: 38 (-154)
205. Chad L. #1: 38 (-154)
207. Szecho L. #1: 37 (-99)
208. Daisy N. #5: 37 (-131)
208. E Rucker #1: 37 (-131)
210. Dane R.: 37 (-147)
210. Daisy N. #4: 37 (-147)
212. Ray W. #1: 37 (-155)
213. Dan D. #1: 36 (-132)
214. Irene H. #5: 36 (-156)
215. Daisy N. #9: 35 (-157)
216. Max A. #2: 34 (-126)
217. John M. #1: 34 (-158)
218. Stephen N.: 33 (-103)
219. Ray W. #3: 33 (-135)
220. Ben S. #3: 31 (-97)
221. Daisy N. #12: 30 (-162)
222. Brett K. #1: 29 (-107)
223. Daisy N. #8: 29 (-139)
224. Brett K. #3: 29 (-163)

...and the elimination matrix:

Name
1st Place
2nd Place
3rd Place
4th Place
Adam E.
Syracuse
Syracuse

Syracuse
Adam S. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Adam S. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Alex N. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Alex N. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Purdue
Purdue
Alex N. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Syracuse
Syracuse
Alex N. #4
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Allison C.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ally H.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Alyssa B.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Amaris S.
Purdue
Purdue
Florida St.
Florida St.
Andrew D. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Andrew D. #2



Purdue
Andrzej R.
Sweet 16
Gonzaga


April K.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Purdue
Purdue
Arianna S.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ava S.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Clemson
Clemson
Barack O.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Becca T.
Sweet 16
Syracuse
Purdue
Purdue
Becky H.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Florida St.
Florida St.
Ben J. #1
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Ben J. #2
Sweet 16
W. Va.
W. Va.
Clemson
Ben J. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ben J. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ben P.
Texas A&M
Purdue
Syracuse
Florida St.
Ben S. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ben S. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ben S. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ben S. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Bhav D. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Bhav D. #2
Texas A&M
Florida St.
Florida St.
Florida St.
Bosun S.

Syracuse

Purdue
Brad E.
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Brad R.
Syracuse
Syracuse
Syracuse
Syracuse
Brent E. #1
Sweet 16
Kentucky
Kentucky
Syracuse
Brent E. #2
Syracuse
Syracuse
Purdue
Purdue
Brent E. #3
Sweet 16
Syracuse
Purdue

Brent S. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Brent S. #2
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Brett G. #1
W. Va.
W. Va.


Brett G. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Brett G. #3
Sweet 16
Gonzaga
Purdue
Purdue
Brett G. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Syracuse
Syracuse
Brett K. #1
Sweet 16
Kentucky
Kentucky
Kentucky
Brett K. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Kentucky
Kentucky
Brett K. #3
W. Va.
Clemson
Gonzaga
W. Va.
Brett W.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Chad L. #1
Sweet 16
Nevada
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Chad L. #2
Sweet 16
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Chad L. #3
Syracuse

Syracuse
Syracuse
Chad L. #4
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Clemson
W. Va.
Chad L. #5
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Chris M.
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Chris T. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Chris T. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Chrissy I.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
Craig G.
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Purdue
CSU #1
Kentucky



CSU #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Daisy N. #1
Clemson
Kentucky
Clemson
Clemson
Daisy N. #10
Sweet 16
Kentucky
Clemson
Purdue
Daisy N. #11
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Daisy N. #12
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Daisy N. #13
Florida St.



Daisy N. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Daisy N. #3
Sweet 16
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Daisy N. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Daisy N. #5
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Daisy N. #6
Sweet 16
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Daisy N. #7
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Daisy N. #8
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Daisy N. #9
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Damien R. #1
Texas A&M
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Purdue
Damien R. #2
Syracuse

Syracuse

Damien R. #3
Sweet 16
Gonzaga


Dan D. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Dan D. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Dan S. #1
Sweet 16
Syracuse
Syracuse
W. Va.
Dan S. #2
Syracuse
Syracuse
Syracuse
Syracuse
Dane R.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Daniel C.
Sweet 16
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
David S.
Syracuse
Kentucky
Purdue
Purdue
David W. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
David W. #2
Texas A&M
Syracuse
W. Va.
Gonzaga
Dennis R.
Florida St.

Florida St.
Florida St.
Dustin B.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Dylan B.
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
E Rucker #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
E Rucker #2
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Elizabeth N. #1
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Purdue
Elizabeth N. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Eric V. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Eric V. #2
Purdue
Florida St.
Syracuse
Purdue
Gigi I.
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Gonzaga
Purdue
Grant F.
Clemson

Purdue

Hal R. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Hal R. #2
Sweet 16



Hal R. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16

W. Va.
Howard S. #1
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Howard S. #2
Texas A&M
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Hutch H. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Hutch H. #2
Sweet 16
Purdue
Florida St.
Florida St.
Irene H. #1
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Purdue
Florida St.
Irene H. #2




Irene H. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Irene H. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Irene H. #5
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Irene H. #6
Clemson
Purdue
Syracuse

Irene H. #7

Florida St.
Purdue
Purdue
Jace D.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Jackson I.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Jared B.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Jaxon S.
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Jay C.
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Purdue
Purdue
Jay H. #1
W. Va.
W. Va.
Syracuse
Syracuse
Jay H. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Jay H. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Syracuse
Jeff M.




Jeff Sag. #1
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Purdue
Jeff Sag. #2
Kentucky
Kentucky


Jim D. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Jim D. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Jim D. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Jim W.
Sweet 16
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
W. Va.
Joe D. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Joe D. #2
W. Va.
W. Va.
Purdue
Purdue
Joe D. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Joe D. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Joel S.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
John M. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
John M. #2
Clemson
Syracuse
Purdue
Purdue
John M. #3
W. Va.
W. Va.
Clemson
Clemson
Josh C.
Sweet 16
Syracuse
Florida St.
Florida St.
Josh D. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Josh D. #2
Purdue
Purdue
W. Va.
Clemson
Josh D. #3
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Purdue
Julie S.
W. Va.
Syracuse
Syracuse
W. Va.
Kansas C.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Karen C.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Kentucky
Kate G.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ken Pom
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Purdue
Purdue
Kiah H.
Sweet 16
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Clemson
Kirt R. #1
Texas A&M
Syracuse
Purdue
Syracuse
Kirt R. #2




Klei R.
Texas A&M
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Syracuse
Larry G. #1
Sweet 16
Clemson


Larry G. #2




Larry G. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Larry G. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Larry G. #5
Sweet 16



Luis B. #1
Texas A&M
Purdue
Florida St.
Florida St.
Luis B. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Luis B. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Malcolm X #1




Malcolm X #2
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Purdue
Purdue
Marc R.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Mason A. #1
Gonzaga
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
Mason A. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Matt M.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
Matt N.
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Syracuse
Max A. #1
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Max A. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Max A. #3
Texas A&M
Florida St.


Michelle L. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Michelle L. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Michelle L. #3
Purdue



Michelle L. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Purdue
Florida St.
Michelle L. #5
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Michelle R.
Florida St.
Clemson


Miguel D.

Syracuse
Purdue
Purdue
Mike McQ.
Kentucky
Kentucky
Kentucky
Kentucky
Mike N.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Mike S. #1
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Florida St.
Mike S. #2
Sweet 16
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Mike W.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Mindi W.




Missy W. #1
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Missy W. #2
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
Nick I.
Gonzaga
Clemson
Clemson
Clemson
Nikolajs B.
Florida St.
Florida St.
Florida St.
Florida St.
Paul W.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Pete J. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Gonzaga
Pete J. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Kentucky
Pete J. #3
Syracuse
Syracuse
Syracuse
Syracuse
Pete J. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Pete J. #5
Kentucky

Florida St.
Florida St.
Ray W. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ray W. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ray W. #3
Sweet 16
Kentucky
Kentucky
Kentucky
Rob I.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
Rob S. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Purdue
Rob S. #2
Sweet 16
W. Va.
Florida St.
Florida St.
Roth W.
Sweet 16



Ryan W.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Scott Has.
Syracuse
Purdue
Purdue
Florida St.
Scott Her. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Scott Her. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Scott K.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Scott K. #1
Syracuse



Scott K. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Seth D.
Sweet 16
Gonzaga


Stefan K. #1
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
Stefan K. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Stephen N.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Suki I.
Purdue
Clemson
Gonzaga
Purdue
Sulbum H.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Szecho L. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Szecho L. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Taima #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Taima #2
Sweet 16
Gonzaga
Syracuse
Syracuse
Tim N.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Purdue
Todd K. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Todd K. #2
Clemson
Clemson
Clemson
Purdue
Tomas L. #1

Clemson
Syracuse
Syracuse
Tomas L. #2
Gonzaga


Syracuse
Trent L.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
Uproxx
Sweet 16
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Syracuse
Valerie D.
Gonzaga
Syracuse
Gonzaga
Syracuse
Veronica A.
Syracuse
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Virginia L.
Sweet 16
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Wayne D. #1
Texas A&M
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Wayne D. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Wayne D. #3
Purdue
Purdue
Syracuse
Syracuse
William G.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16


Here are the updated probabilities for 1st place:

1.: Irene H. #2 (19.7916%)
2.: Larry G. #2 (18.75%)
3.: Tomas L. #1 (15.625%)
4.: Andrew D. #2 (12.5%)
5.: Malcolm X #1 (10.4166%)
6.: Bosun S. (6.25%)
6.: Kirt R. #2 (6.25%)
8.: Jeff M. (3.125%)
8.: Miguel D. (3.125%)
8.: Irene H. #7 (3.125%)
11.: Mindi W. (1.0416%)

...and 2nd place:

1.: Hal R. #2 (18.75%)
2.: Tomas L. #2 (14.0625%)
3.: Damien R. #2 (6.25%)
3.: Pete J. #5 (6.25%)
3.: Larry G. #2 (6.25%)
3.: CSU #1 (6.25%)
3.: Kirt R. #2 (6.25%)
3.: Roth W. (6.25%)
9.: Malcolm X #1 (4.7916%)
10.: Jeff M. (3.75%)
11.: Dennis R. (3.125%)
11.: Michelle L. #3 (3.125%)
11.: Andrew D. #2 (3.125%)
11.: Chad L. #3 (3.125%)
11.: Grant F. (3.125%)
16.: Mindi W. (2.6041%)
17.: Irene H. #2 (1.0416%)
18.: Larry G. #5 (0.625%)
18.: Scott K. #1 (0.625%)
18.: Daisy N. #13 (0.625%)


...and 3rd place:

1.: Bosun S. (18.75%)
2.: Andrew D. #2 (9.375%)
3.: Hal R. #2 (6.25%)
3.: Larry G. #1 (6.25%)
3.: Adam E. (6.25%)
6.: CSU #1 (4.6875%)
6.: Max A. #3 (4.6875%)
6.: Roth W. (4.6875%)
9.: Mindi W. (4.1666%)
10.: Malcolm X #1 (3.2291%)
11.: Kirt R. #2 (3.125%)
11.: Hal R. #3 (3.125%)
11.: Larry G. #2 (3.125%)
11.: Michelle L. #3 (3.125%)
15.: Andrzej R. (2.6041%)
15.: Irene H. #2 (2.6041%)
15.: Seth D. (2.6041%)
18.: Jeff M. (2.1875%)
19.: Jeff Sag. #2 (1.5625%)
19.: Brett G. #1 (1.5625%)
19.: Tomas L. #2 (1.5625%)
19.: Michelle R. (1.5625%)
23.: Damien R. #3 (1.0416%)
24.: Daisy N. #13 (0.625%)
24.: Larry G. #5 (0.625%)
24.: Scott K. #1 (0.625%)


...and 4th place:

1.: Irene H. #6 (15.625%)
2.: Damien R. #2 (9.375%)
3.: CSU #1 (7.8125%)
4.: Kirt R. #2 (6.25%)
4.: Michelle L. #3 (6.25%)
4.: Grant F. (6.25%)
7.: Malcolm X #1 (5.3125%)
8.: Max A. #3 (4.6875%)
8.: Roth W. (4.6875%)
8.: Irene H. #2 (4.6875%)
11.: Larry G. #2 (3.125%)
11.: Hal R. #2 (3.125%)
11.: Brent E. #3 (3.125%)
11.: Larry G. #1 (3.125%)
15.: Andrzej R. (2.6041%)
15.: Seth D. (2.6041%)
17.: Jeff M. (2.1875%)
18.: Michelle R. (1.5625%)
18.: Mindi W. (1.5625%)
18.: Jeff Sag. #2 (1.5625%)
18.: Brett G. #1 (1.5625%)
22.: Damien R. #3 (1.0416%)
23.: Larry G. #5 (0.625%)
23.: Scott K. #1 (0.625%)
23.: Daisy N. #13 (0.625%)


That means that there are only 36 people are still alive for anything.  We lost 14 people today.  We will lose more tomorrow.  The first game of the day is Texas Tech and Villanova.  Here are the eliminations:

If Villanova wins:
Andrew D. #2 is eliminated from 3rd place contention.
Bosun S. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Brett G. #1 is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
Damien R. #2 is eliminated from 2nd & 4th place contention.
Hal R. #2 is eliminated from 3rd place contention.
Hal R. #3 is eliminated from 3rd place contention.
Irene H. #2 is eliminated from 2nd & 3rd place contention.
Kirt R. #2 is eliminated from 3rd place contention.
Larry G. #2 is eliminated from 2nd & 4th place contention.
Michelle L. #3 is eliminated from 2nd place contention.
Michelle R. is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
Mindi W. is eliminated from 1st, 2nd, 3rd & 4th place contention.
Tomas L. #1 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Tomas L. #2 is eliminated from 2nd & 3rd place contention.

If Texas Tech wins:

Adam E. is eliminated from 3rd place contention.
Andrew D. #2 is eliminated from 2nd place contention.
Andrzej R. is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
Brent E. #3 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Chad L. #3 is eliminated from 2nd place contention.
Daisy N. #13 is eliminated from 2nd, 3rd & 4th place contention.
Damien R. #3 is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
Dennis R. is eliminated from 2nd place contention.
Grant F. is eliminated from 2nd place contention.
Hal R. #2 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Irene H. #7 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Jeff M. is eliminated from 1st & 2nd place contention.
Jeff Sag. #2 is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
Kirt R. #2 is eliminated from 2nd place contention.
Larry G. #1 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Larry G. #2 is eliminated from 3rd place contention.
Larry G. #5 is eliminated from 2nd, 3rd & 4th place contention.
Max A. #3 is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
Michelle L. #3 is eliminated from 3rd place contention.
Miguel D. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Scott K. #1 is eliminated from 2nd, 3rd & 4th place contention.
Seth D. is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.

It looks like there are a few people that appear on a both lists.  This means that you are not eliminated, but because the points are getting more spread out, you can't be eligible to win certain places.  It's not the worst place in the world to be.

Remember this is just the first game.  Almost everyone needs something in the second game of the day (Duke / Kansas), but I'll get to that game in the space between games.

Good luck to everyone!!!!





















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