Sunday, March 22, 2026

Half way through the last day of the Round of 32

The reason I love upsets so much is because picking favorites to win is the most boring thing you can do.  I really like it when people take chances and pick underdogs, and then the underdogs win.  It takes a certain amount of guts to do, and it should be a requisite for anyone winning this thing.

So, congratulations to anyone that picked Tennessee.  That probably knocked out a lot of people out already.  I though the line was a little out of whack, but apparently, the Vegas crystal ball gazers saw something that I didn’t in that game.

St. John’s was kind of an upset in that they were the lower seeded team, but they were giving points in Vegas, so I kind of don’t count that one – although it does hurt the Gutless bracket, so maybe I should.  It does set up an interesting matchup against Duke in the next round.

31 people went 4/4 in the early game, and we have new #1s in the rankings.

Speaking of which:

1. Brian Kerb.: 49 (-7) - Iowa State

1. Pete J. #1: 49 (-7) - Michigan

1. Pete J. #4: 49 (-7) - Duke

4. Ally Her. #2: 48 (-8) - Florida

4. DAZE 4: 48 (-8) - Arizona

4. Rock Chalk Not Jayhawk: 48 (-8) - Arizona

7. Ben Sil. #2: 47 (-9) - Arizona

7. Brent E. #2: 47 (-9) - Michigan State

7. Brent E. #3: 47 (-9) - Arizona

7. Don’t Coog It: 47 (-9) - Houston

7. Jaxon S.: 47 (-9) - Florida

7. Jay Bilas: 47 (-9) - Arizona

7. Leuder 2: 47 (-9) - Arizona

7. Mike Lu #3: 47 (-9) - Arizona

7. Mike Lu #4: 47 (-9) - Arizona

7. Pete J. #5: 47 (-9) - Arizona

17. Muccmars-2: 47 (-13) - Iowa State

18. Matt Meis.: 47 (-15) - Michigan

19. CAAT #1: 46 (-10) - Arizona

19. CAAT #2: 46 (-10) - Duke

19. CAAT #3: 46 (-10) - Arizona

19. CAAT #4: 46 (-10) - Florida

19. CAAT #5: 46 (-10) - Michigan

19. Elizabeth N. #3: 46 (-10) - Arizona

19. Got Cluffed: 46 (-10) - Purdue

19. Luis B. #2: 46 (-10) - Duke

19. Mike Wiech.: 46 (-10) - Florida

19. Stan Ch.: 46 (-10) - Arizona

29. Billy Egn.: 45 (-11) - Duke

29. Dani A. #1: 45 (-11) - Arizona

29. DAZE 3: 45 (-11) - Florida

29. Gary: 45 (-11) - Arizona

29. Harrell Rob. #4: 45 (-11) - Florida

29. Irene 3: 45 (-11) - Duke

29. Josiah Tru: 45 (-11) - Duke

29. Luis B. #3: 45 (-11) - Arizona

29. Sarah Chao: 45 (-11) - Purdue

29. Wayne Der. #1: 45 (-11) - Arizona

39. Howard S. #1: 45 (-13) - Illinois

40. Charlotte Niem.: 45 (-15) - Florida

40. Klei R. #1: 45 (-15) - Duke

42. Becky Her. #1: 45 (-19) - Michigan

42. Craig Gerul.: 45 (-19) - Michigan

44. DAZE 6: 45 (-23) - Michigan State

45. Andrew D. #1: 44 (-12) - Arizona

45. Andrew D. #3: 44 (-12) - Arizona

45. Barack O.: 44 (-12) - Arizona

45. Brent E. #5: 44 (-12) - Florida

45. Brent E. #6: 44 (-12) - Michigan State

45. Damien R. #3: 44 (-12) - Duke

45. DAZE 8: 44 (-12) - Arizona

45. Irene 1: 44 (-12) - Arizona

45. Ken Pom: 44 (-12) - Duke

45. Mike Lu #2: 44 (-12) - Florida

45. Mike Niem.: 44 (-12) - Duke

45. Paul W.: 44 (-12) - Arizona

57. April Kohn.: 44 (-16) - Michigan

57. Brent E. #1: 44 (-16) - Michigan

57. DAZE 7: 44 (-16) - Houston

57. Steve Mucc #6: 44 (-16) - Michigan

61. DAZE 2: 44 (-20) - Purdue

61. Luis B. #6: 44 (-20) - Arizona

63. Jason St. #2: 44 (-22) - Arizona

64. Chris Min.: 44 (-24) - Michigan

65. Ben Sil. #1: 43 (-13) - Arizona

65. Brandon Br. #1: 43 (-13) - Florida

65. Brandon H: 43 (-13) - Michigan

65. Bret Torvik: 43 (-13) - Duke

65. DAZE 9: 43 (-13) - Michigan

65. LinVinSanity #2: 43 (-13) - Michigan State

65. Luis B. #1: 43 (-13) - Arizona

65. Mark Sp. #1: 43 (-13) - Arizona

65. Mary Lou H: 43 (-13) - Duke

65. Mike Lu #5: 43 (-13) - Houston

65. Wayne Der. #2: 43 (-13) - Arizona

65. Zach V.: 43 (-13) - Arizona

77. Irene 2: 43 (-17) - Houston

77. Michelle L. #1: 43 (-17) - Duke

77. Michelle L. #2: 43 (-17) - Florida

80. Leuder 1: 43 (-19) - Michigan

81. Brent E. #8: 43 (-21) - Michigan

81. Michelle L. #3: 43 (-21) - Michigan

83. Chris Elm.: 43 (-27) - Houston

84. Brent E. #9: 43 (-29) - Purdue

85. Addie H: 42 (-14) - Duke

85. Brent E. #7: 42 (-14) - St. John's

85. Gutless Bracket: 42 (-14) - Duke

85. Irene 7: 42 (-14) - Iowa State

85. Jacob Able: 42 (-14) - Iowa State

85. Jared Bock: 42 (-14) - Iowa State

85. Szecho L. #1: 42 (-14) - Duke

85. Wayne Der. #3: 42 (-14) - Duke

85. Wayne Der. #4: 42 (-14) - Michigan

94. Andrew D. #2: 42 (-18) - Duke

94. DAZE 5: 42 (-18) - Duke

94. Irene 6: 42 (-18) - Florida

94. Jackson I.: 42 (-18) - Duke

94. Luis B. #4: 42 (-18) - Arizona

94. Marc R. #2: 42 (-18) - Michigan

94. Matt Niem.: 42 (-18) - Michigan

94. Mitchell Slu.: 42 (-18) - Connecticut

102. Andrew D. #4: 42 (-26) - Iowa State

102. Brent E. #4: 42 (-26) - Michigan

102. LinVinSanity #1: 42 (-26) - Duke

102. Mason A. #1: 42 (-26) - Arizona

106. Mike Lu #1: 42 (-30) - Purdue

107. Hutch H. #1: 42 (-74) - Kansas

108. Brent Sw. #1: 41 (-15) - Duke

108. Chris T.: 41 (-15) - Michigan

108. Church On Time: 41 (-15) - Arizona

108. Fly Eagles Fly: 41 (-15) - Duke

108. Max70 #1: 41 (-15) - Michigan State

108. Tyler Chr.: 41 (-15) - Arizona

114. Harrell Rob. #3: 41 (-17) - Houston

114. Jordan Hu.: 41 (-17) - Houston

116. Brent Sw. #2: 41 (-19) - Arizona

116. Irene 8: 41 (-19) - Illinois

116. Klei R - Baysian: 41 (-19) - Duke

116. Leuder 3: 41 (-19) - Duke

116. Leuder 4: 41 (-19) - Duke

116. Shaun Turn.: 41 (-19) - Connecticut

122. Brandon Br. #2: 41 (-21) - Iowa State

123. Bill Pr. #1: 41 (-23) - Duke

123. Elliot N.: 41 (-23) - Arizona

123. Marlee Talb.: 41 (-23) - Arizona

123. Patrick McC. #1: 41 (-23) - Arizona

127. Bryce Sel.: 41 (-27) - Illinois

127. Jay Hum. #2: 41 (-27) - Arizona

129. Jason St. #1: 41 (-89) - Kansas

130. Cicely Kohn.: 40 (-16) - Duke

130. Ely A. #1: 40 (-16) - Arizona

130. Irene 5: 40 (-16) - Michigan

130. Jim Del.: 40 (-16) - Michigan

130. Pete J. #6: 40 (-16) - Florida

135. Seth Davis: 40 (-18) - Arizona

136. DAZE 1: 40 (-20) - Michigan

136. Hutch H. #2: 40 (-20) - Arizona

136. Jacob Able Chalk: 40 (-20) - Arizona

136. Max70 #2: 40 (-20) - Arizona

136. Michelle L. #4: 40 (-20) - Arizona

136. Muccmars 1: 40 (-20) - Connecticut

136. Rich Fron.: 40 (-20) - Duke

136. Scott Her. #2: 40 (-20) - Michigan

144. Brad Rich.: 40 (-24) - Florida

144. Irene 4: 40 (-24) - Duke

144. Kirt R. #1: 40 (-24) - Arizona

144. Steve Mucc #4: 40 (-24) - Purdue

148. Roth W.: 40 (-26) - Duke

149. Patrick McC. #3: 40 (-28) - Arizona

150. Andy Mil.: 40 (-30) - Illinois

150. Finn D.: 40 (-30) - Michigan

152. Scott Kohn. #1: 40 (-32) - Arizona

153. Josh Ch. #1: 40 (-36) - Michigan

154. Rob I. #1: 40 (-76) - Gonzaga

155. Dani A. #2: 39 (-17) - Iowa State

155. Pete J. #3: 39 (-17) - Michigan

155. Scott Her. #1: 39 (-17) - Arizona

158. Beau H: 39 (-21) - Iowa State

158. Derek H: 39 (-21) - Florida

158. Dylan Bow.: 39 (-21) - Michigan

158. Eric V.: 39 (-21) - Iowa State

158. Klei R. #2: 39 (-21) - Houston

158. Noah N.: 39 (-21) - Houston

158. Patrick McC. #4: 39 (-21) - Michigan

158. Shanky G.: 39 (-21) - Duke

166. Jay Hum. #1: 39 (-23) - Arizona

167. Luis B. #5: 39 (-25) - Arizona

167. Marc R. #1: 39 (-25) - Arizona

167. Missy Wyt. 1: 39 (-25) - Florida

167. Tim Talb.: 39 (-25) - Michigan

171. Rob I. #2: 39 (-29) - Iowa State

171. Steve Mucc #5: 39 (-29) - Alabama

173. Scott Kohn. #2: 39 (-31) - Connecticut

174. COOL GUY: 39 (-33) - Arizona

175. Elizabeth N. #2: 39 (-35) - Arizona

176. Brandon Br. #3: 39 (-79) - Kansas

177. Patrick McC. #2: 38 (-18) - Arizona

178. Damien R. #2: 38 (-22) - Duke

178. Dawn Tru: 38 (-22) - Michigan

178. Ray Min.: 38 (-22) - Houston

178. Steve Dziub. #1: 38 (-22) - Florida

178. Szecho L. #3: 38 (-22) - Iowa State

183. Elizabeth N. #1: 38 (-24) - Duke

183. Howard S. #2: 38 (-24) - Michigan

185. Mason A. #2: 38 (-26) - Michigan

185. Matt H.: 38 (-26) - Connecticut

187. Mike Barata: 38 (-30) - Florida

188. Scarlett H: 38 (-32) - Iowa State

189. Jim W: 38 (-42) - Houston

190. Pete J. #2: 37 (-19) - Duke

191. egavala2: 37 (-23) - Arizona

191. Ella D.: 37 (-23) - Duke

191. Harrell Rob. #1: 37 (-23) - Iowa State

191. Lizard: 37 (-23) - Arizona

191. Michelle L. #5: 37 (-23) - Houston

191. Paul Kr.: 37 (-23) - Michigan

197. Dave Sr.: 37 (-27) - Duke

197. Karen Chao #1: 37 (-27) - Arizona

199. Karen Chao #2: 37 (-31) - Michigan

200. Tim Dziub. #2: 37 (-35) - Arizona

201. Andrew Simm.: 37 (-41) - Arkansas

202. Gigi I.: 37 (-47) - Duke

203. Eric D.: 37 (-69) - Utah State

204. Amber Dolly: 36 (-28) - St. John's

204. Dan Dziub.: 36 (-28) - Duke

206. Bill Pr. #2: 36 (-32) - Arizona

207. Stefon K.: 36 (-50) - Duke

208. Szecho L. #2: 36 (-88) - Louisville

209. Aloysius #2: 35 (-21) - Arizona

209. Harrell Rob. #2: 35 (-21) - Arizona

211. Becky Her. #2: 35 (-31) - Purdue

211. Steve Mucc #3: 35 (-31) - Connecticut

213. Mark Sp. #2: 35 (-39) - Purdue

214. Tina H: 35 (-43) - Alabama

215. Jeff Wr.: 35 (-51) - Florida

216. Aloysius #1: 35 (-57) - Arizona

217. Steve Dziub. #2: 34 (-22) - Iowa State

218. Ally Her. #1: 34 (-26) - Duke

218. Tim Dziub. #1: 34 (-26) - Florida

220. Chrissy S.: 34 (-28) - Arizona

221. Valerie D.: 34 (-32) - Arizona

222. Damien R. #1: 34 (-34) - Texas Tech

223. Kirt R. #2: 34 (-38) - Michigan

224. Ryan Wiech.: 33 (-33) - Duke

225. Colston: 33 (-41) - Duke

225. Shawn D.: 33 (-41) - Duke

227. Matt Hoag.: 33 (-65) - Michigan

228. Adam Yankee: 33 (-83) - Houston

229. Jackson I. Freak: 33 (-85) - Gonzaga

230. Missy Wyt. 2: 32 (-24) - Duke

231. Erin Mucc.: 32 (-52) - Florida

232. egavala1: 32 (-58) - Duke

233. Daniel Ell.: 32 (-60) - Michigan

234. Tucker D.: 32 (-132) - Gonzaga

235. Tim N.: 31 (-29) - Arizona

236. Josh Ch. #2: 31 (-45) - Duke

237. Kylee Tru: 30 (-94) - Duke

238. Steve Mucc #7: 30 (-110) - Ohio State

239. Jacob Able Upsets: 29 (-39) - Arizona

240. Faye Niem.: 29 (-89) - Duke

241. Reid D.: 25 (-135) - Texas A&M

242. Leighton Niem.: 24 (-60) - Michigan

243. Jace D.: 23 (-103) - Furman

244. Dianna Alv.: 23 (-105) - Tennessee

245. Jo D.: 21 (-121) - Hawaii

…and net point rankings:

1. Brian Kerb. (42)

1. Pete J. #1 (42)

1. Pete J. #4 (42)

4. Ally Her. #2 (40)

4. DAZE 4 (40)

4. Rock Chalk Not Jayhawk (40)

7. Ben Sil. #2 (38)

7. Brent E. #2 (38)

7. Brent E. #3 (38)

7. Don’t Coog It (38)

7. Jaxon S. (38)

7. Jay Bilas (38)

7. Leuder 2 (38)

7. Mike Lu #3 (38)

7. Mike Lu #4 (38)

7. Pete J. #5 (38)

17. CAAT #1 (36)

17. CAAT #2 (36)

17. CAAT #3 (36)

17. CAAT #4 (36)

17. CAAT #5 (36)

17. Elizabeth N. #3 (36)

17. Got Cluffed (36)

17. Luis B. #2 (36)

17. Mike Wiech. (36)

17. Stan Ch. (36)

27. Muccmars-2 (34)

27. Billy Egn. (34)

27. Dani A. #1 (34)

27. DAZE 3 (34)

27. Gary (34)

27. Harrell Rob. #4 (34)

27. Irene 3 (34)

27. Josiah Tru (34)

27. Luis B. #3 (34)

27. Sarah Chao (34)

27. Wayne Der. #1 (34)

38. Matt Meis. (32)

38. Howard S. #1 (32)

38. Andrew D. #1 (32)

38. Andrew D. #3 (32)

38. Barack O. (32)

38. Brent E. #5 (32)

38. Brent E. #6 (32)

38. Damien R. #3 (32)

38. DAZE 8 (32)

38. Irene 1 (32)

38. Ken Pom (32)

38. Mike Lu #2 (32)

38. Mike Niem. (32)

38. Paul W. (32)

52. Charlotte Niem. (30)

52. Klei R. #1 (30)

52. Ben Sil. #1 (30)

52. Brandon Br. #1 (30)

52. Brandon H (30)

52. Bret Torvik (30)

52. DAZE 9 (30)

52. LinVinSanity #2 (30)

52. Luis B. #1 (30)

52. Mark Sp. #1 (30)

52. Mary Lou H (30)

52. Mike Lu #5 (30)

52. Wayne Der. #2 (30)

52. Zach V. (30)

66. April Kohn. (28)

66. Brent E. #1 (28)

66. DAZE 7 (28)

66. Steve Mucc #6 (28)

66. Addie H (28)

66. Brent E. #7 (28)

66. Gutless Bracket (28)

66. Irene 7 (28)

66. Jacob Able (28)

66. Jared Bock (28)

66. Szecho L. #1 (28)

66. Wayne Der. #3 (28)

66. Wayne Der. #4 (28)

79. Becky Her. #1 (26)

79. Craig Gerul. (26)

79. Irene 2 (26)

79. Michelle L. #1 (26)

79. Michelle L. #2 (26)

79. Brent Sw. #1 (26)

79. Chris T. (26)

79. Church On Time (26)

79. Fly Eagles Fly (26)

79. Max70 #1 (26)

79. Tyler Chr. (26)

90. DAZE 2 (24)

90. Luis B. #6 (24)

90. Leuder 1 (24)

90. Andrew D. #2 (24)

90. DAZE 5 (24)

90. Irene 6 (24)

90. Jackson I. (24)

90. Luis B. #4 (24)

90. Marc R. #2 (24)

90. Matt Niem. (24)

90. Mitchell Slu. (24)

90. Harrell Rob. #3 (24)

90. Jordan Hu. (24)

90. Cicely Kohn. (24)

90. Ely A. #1 (24)

90. Irene 5 (24)

90. Jim Del. (24)

90. Pete J. #6 (24)

108. DAZE 6 (22)

108. Jason St. #2 (22)

108. Brent E. #8 (22)

108. Michelle L. #3 (22)

108. Brent Sw. #2 (22)

108. Irene 8 (22)

108. Klei R - Baysian (22)

108. Leuder 3 (22)

108. Leuder 4 (22)

108. Shaun Turn. (22)

108. Seth Davis (22)

108. Dani A. #2 (22)

108. Pete J. #3 (22)

108. Scott Her. #1 (22)

122. Chris Min. (20)

122. Brandon Br. #2 (20)

122. DAZE 1 (20)

122. Hutch H. #2 (20)

122. Jacob Able Chalk (20)

122. Max70 #2 (20)

122. Michelle L. #4 (20)

122. Muccmars 1 (20)

122. Rich Fron. (20)

122. Scott Her. #2 (20)

122. Patrick McC. #2 (20)

133. Bill Pr. #1 (18)

133. Elliot N. (18)

133. Marlee Talb. (18)

133. Patrick McC. #1 (18)

133. Beau H (18)

133. Derek H (18)

133. Dylan Bow. (18)

133. Eric V. (18)

133. Klei R. #2 (18)

133. Noah N. (18)

133. Patrick McC. #4 (18)

133. Shanky G. (18)

133. Pete J. #2 (18)

146. Chris Elm. (16)

146. Andrew D. #4 (16)

146. Brent E. #4 (16)

146. LinVinSanity #1 (16)

146. Mason A. #1 (16)

146. Brad Rich. (16)

146. Irene 4 (16)

146. Kirt R. #1 (16)

146. Steve Mucc #4 (16)

146. Jay Hum. #1 (16)

146. Damien R. #2 (16)

146. Dawn Tru (16)

146. Ray Min. (16)

146. Steve Dziub. #1 (16)

146. Szecho L. #3 (16)

161. Brent E. #9 (14)

161. Bryce Sel. (14)

161. Jay Hum. #2 (14)

161. Roth W. (14)

161. Luis B. #5 (14)

161. Marc R. #1 (14)

161. Missy Wyt. 1 (14)

161. Tim Talb. (14)

161. Elizabeth N. #1 (14)

161. Howard S. #2 (14)

161. egavala2 (14)

161. Ella D. (14)

161. Harrell Rob. #1 (14)

161. Lizard (14)

161. Michelle L. #5 (14)

161. Paul Kr. (14)

161. Aloysius #2 (14)

161. Harrell Rob. #2 (14)

179. Mike Lu #1 (12)

179. Patrick McC. #3 (12)

179. Mason A. #2 (12)

179. Matt H. (12)

179. Steve Dziub. #2 (12)

184. Andy Mil. (10)

184. Finn D. (10)

184. Rob I. #2 (10)

184. Steve Mucc #5 (10)

184. Dave Sr. (10)

184. Karen Chao #1 (10)

190. Scott Kohn. #1 (8)

190. Scott Kohn. #2 (8)

190. Mike Barata (8)

190. Amber Dolly (8)

190. Dan Dziub. (8)

190. Ally Her. #1 (8)

190. Tim Dziub. #1 (8)

190. Missy Wyt. 2 (8)

198. COOL GUY (6)

198. Scarlett H (6)

198. Karen Chao #2 (6)

198. Chrissy S. (6)

202. Josh Ch. #1 (4)

202. Elizabeth N. #2 (4)

202. Bill Pr. #2 (4)

202. Becky Her. #2 (4)

202. Steve Mucc #3 (4)

207. Tim Dziub. #2 (2)

207. Valerie D. (2)

207. Tim N. (2)

210. Damien R. #1 (0)

210. Ryan Wiech. (0)

212. Jim W (-4)

212. Andrew Simm. (-4)

212. Mark Sp. #2 (-4)

212. Kirt R. #2 (-4)

216. Tina H (-8)

216. Colston (-8)

216. Shawn D. (-8)

219. Gigi I. (-10)

219. Jacob Able Upsets (-10)

221. Stefon K. (-14)

221. Josh Ch. #2 (-14)

223. Jeff Wr. (-16)

224. Erin Mucc. (-20)

225. Aloysius #1 (-22)

226. egavala1 (-26)

227. Daniel Ell. (-28)

228. Hutch H. #1 (-32)

228. Eric D. (-32)

228. Matt Hoag. (-32)

231. Rob I. #1 (-36)

231. Leighton Niem. (-36)

233. Brandon Br. #3 (-40)

234. Jason St. #1 (-48)

235. Adam Yankee (-50)

236. Szecho L. #2 (-52)

236. Jackson I. Freak (-52)

238. Faye Niem. (-60)

239. Kylee Tru (-64)

240. Steve Mucc #7 (-80)

240. Jace D. (-80)

242. Dianna Alv. (-82)

243. Tucker D. (-100)

243. Jo D. (-100)

245. Reid D. (-110)

Game 45

Florida vs Iowa

Vegas Line: Florida -10.5

Picks for Florida: 221

Picks for Iowa: 14

Other: 10

This should really be a contrast in styles.  Iowa used to have a reputation for running up and down the court, but the new coach there runs maybe the slowest offense in D1.  They are very efficient, which is how they win games, but most of the time, you are just watching them pass the ball around the perimeter and looking at the shot clock run down.

Florida is considerably more fast paced than that.  I think they put up 207 points in the first round game against Prairie View.  Coming into this tournament, I thought they were the weakest of the #1 seeds, but as of right now, I’d say Duke has been the only one that has looked vulnerable.  Then again, Iowa is winning at halftime of this game, so could we have our first huge upset of the tournament!!!  I’d love to see it.

Game 46

Arizona vs Utah State

Vegas Line: Arizona -12

Picks for Arizona: 230

Picks for Utah State: 8

Other: 7

I think this was the biggest line of the day.  I thought Utah State looked fantastic in their 1st round game against Villanova, so Arizona must be on some other level.  Charles Barkley keeps calling this the Arizona Invitational, so they are certainly a trendy pick to make the Final 4 at least.  Normally, I’d say Utah State has an advantage playing in San Diego, since they have to play there every year, but Arizona isn’t too far away, so I’m sure there will be plenty of Wildcat fans there.  I just hope they all leave before I have to drive into work tomorrow.

Game 47

Connecticut vs UCLA

Vegas Line: Connecticut -4.5

Picks for Connecticut: 188

Picks for UCLA: 49

Other: 8

I have to admit, I don’t really see the big deal for this year’s version of Connecticut.  All year long, I follow Joe Lunardi and he updates his brackets pretty much every week.  He had Connecticut as a #1 seed most of the season.  It was only recently that he dropped them to even #2.  They were very good for a good chunk of the year, but I had them much lower.  That, and they recently lost to Marquette, who up until then, was the worst team in any Power 5 conference.  That’s not great going into March.

UCLA seems to be a really trendy pick to win this game.  I’ve been kind of surprised at how many of these brackets look very, very similar.  For the most part, except for 4/5 games in this round, all the picks have been overwhelmingly in the same direction.  I’m not sure if that’s a byproduct of last year being so chalky, people adjusting to a more chalky bracket in general, or AI advising that type of pick, but it’s going to make a lot of the later games very, very important.

Game 48

Alabama vs Texas Tech

Vegas Line: Texas Tech -1

Picks for Alabama: 131

Picks for Texas Tech: 80

Other: 34

I think this was the part of the bracket everyone expected there to be some upsets.  Akron was a pretty popular pick here.  Texas Tech is missing their best player, and Alabama is missing their 2nd best player due to him being thrown out of school.

For the most part, our picks have aligned with the Vegas line, but this is the rare instance where they don’t.  I’m a little surprised at the line, which probably means that Texas Tech is going to win comfortably.  Something I’ve learned in all my years of betting on sports is this: if the line seems quite a bit out of whack, you almost always are better served going against your internal judgement, since you are probably missing something.  That’ what has been happening in the Tennessee / Virginia game, and I assume it is what will happen here.

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