Remember when I said that I was going to give $50 to whoever scored the most points in each region? The data below is related to that.
I am only giving out prizes for 1st in each
region. If you finish 2nd,
you get nothing.
If you assume that each game is a coin flip, I can figure
out the odds of winning the region.
Below is the matrix of your chances to win each region. It is sorted by total percentage chance of
winning anything. If there is a red team
name in a region, that means that you can’t win that region, and the reason you
can’t is because the team listed lost.
So, here is the initial matrix for the regional winners:
Name |
South |
West |
East |
MW |
Reid D. |
5.6315% |
1.9273% |
6.8931% |
8.1462% |
Marshmallow |
2.4139% |
8.8256% |
5.3426% |
0.8252% |
Amber Dolly |
0.9074% |
0.3208% |
6.8715% |
5.5452% |
Dianna A. |
0.1668% |
6.4405% |
2.7960% |
4.0771% |
Steve Muc #1 |
2.8752% |
5.9741% |
2.9852% |
High Point |
Scarlett H. |
8.1263% |
0.2955% |
0.9967% |
2.3589% |
Leighton N. |
5.6486% |
3.3455% |
0.6775% |
Georgia |
Steve Muc #4 |
2.0365% |
6.2220% |
0.1811% |
Georgia |
Harrell #6 |
0.0517% |
1.7956% |
5.9730% |
Georgia |
Jo Jo D. |
1.1058% |
6.1524% |
0.1632% |
Clemson |
Daisy N. #3 |
2.1102% |
0.4163% |
4.2867% |
0.5087% |
Laura Muc |
Louisville |
1.2644% |
5.9230% |
Georgia |
Hero R. - Cats
Only |
Louisville |
5.8428% |
0.9827% |
High Point |
Zoe W. |
1.5202% |
1.6315% |
2.5940% |
0.8789% |
Otis L. |
0.1184% |
1.3632% |
1.1536% |
3.7856% |
Faye N. |
3.1148% |
2.8980% |
Montana |
0.1507% |
My Sister is
Skibidy |
3.8182% |
2.1286% |
0.0111% |
Clemson |
Daisy N. #7 |
2.0864% |
2.1489% |
0.0366% |
1.5292% |
Tim Dz #3 |
5.7576% |
0.0406% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Steve Muc #2 |
2.4318% |
2.3182% |
0.1574% |
0.5371% |
Steve Muc #3 |
4.9023% |
0.2848% |
VCU |
Georgia |
Michael Vill #1 |
0.2156% |
0.0030% |
3.2227% |
1.4876% |
Adam Elm |
0.7446% |
0.0292% |
0.0804% |
3.9795% |
Tucker D. |
1.4966% |
3.3351% |
VCU |
Georgia |
Dan Dz. |
0.1775% |
0.0731% |
0.1573% |
4.1748% |
PV |
Alabama St. |
0.7049% |
0.5249% |
3.3055% |
Missy W. |
0.8219% |
0.2709% |
2.3844% |
0.3825% |
Mustard |
0.1261% |
0.0207% |
0.0427% |
3.5360% |
Jim W. |
0.0211% |
0.4199% |
0.0895% |
2.9012% |
Mark Bar |
1.0534% |
0.0579% |
VCU |
2.2786% |
Harrell #2 |
0.0444% |
0.0350% |
3.1209% |
Georgia |
Brandie H. |
Louisville |
0.0735% |
0.0635% |
3.0355% |
Daisy N. #2 |
0.4362% |
0.0943% |
2.6123% |
0.0284% |
Adalyn H. |
0.8377% |
0.2033% |
0.0127% |
2.0743% |
John Mack #2 |
0.0749% |
0.2592% |
2.7893% |
Georgia |
Beau H. |
0.3822% |
1.5369% |
1.1226% |
Georgia |
Jackson I. |
1.6009% |
0.1701% |
1.2569% |
Georgia |
Daisy N. #11 |
0.7263% |
0.1978% |
0.8362% |
1.2573% |
Dirk F. |
0.9625% |
0.2604% |
0.0150% |
1.7627% |
WaPo |
0.4115% |
0.8361% |
VCU |
1.5141% |
Kiah H. |
Louisville |
0.5149% |
1.9928% |
0.2441% |
Erin Muc |
1.7924% |
0.0563% |
0.8606% |
Georgia |
Howard S. #2 |
0.0122% |
0.0141% |
VCU |
2.6465% |
John Mack #1 |
1.3940% |
0.9934% |
0.0215% |
0.2129% |
Daisy N. #1 |
0.0218% |
0.0052% |
2.5119% |
Georgia |
Jay H. #1 |
0.0211% |
0.0056% |
2.4790% |
Clemson |
Brett K. #2 |
0.3310% |
0.1137% |
1.9130% |
0.1302% |
Tim Dz #2 |
0.0846% |
0.3527% |
0.5406% |
1.3102% |
Tina H. |
0.3052% |
0.2686% |
0.8366% |
0.7853% |
Rob I. #2 |
2.1261% |
0.0269% |
0.0061% |
Georgia |
Derek H. |
0.0048% |
0.1294% |
0.0023% |
2.0190% |
Bryan K. |
0.0102% |
0.3276% |
0.0023% |
1.7287% |
Shawn D. |
Louisville |
0.3168% |
0.9425% |
0.6804% |
Sam MG #1 |
Louisville |
1.1142% |
0.0299% |
0.7324% |
Mark Sp #3 |
1.0044% |
0.1527% |
0.0273% |
0.6711% |
Mark Sp #4 |
1.0044% |
0.1527% |
0.0273% |
0.6711% |
Valerie D. |
0.0236% |
1.1446% |
0.0178% |
0.6022% |
Daisy N. #4 |
0.2415% |
0.0483% |
1.4612% |
Georgia |
Off Eff |
Louisville |
0.0573% |
0.0244% |
1.6321% |
Tim Dz #1 |
0.8105% |
0.3151% |
0.5406% |
Georgia |
Colston W. |
0.7469% |
0.2040% |
Montana |
0.6711% |
Brett K. #3 |
0.7385% |
0.0118% |
0.2067% |
0.6592% |
Brad E. |
0.5056% |
0.0078% |
0.0299% |
1.0661% |
Michael Vill #2 |
0.1103% |
0.0041% |
VCU |
1.4876% |
Michael Vill #3 |
0.1103% |
0.0030% |
VCU |
1.4876% |
Jace D. |
1.4687% |
0.1158% |
VCU |
Georgia |
Michelle L. #4 |
0.0306% |
0.0545% |
1.4242% |
0.0407% |
Nick Vos |
0.5096% |
0.0339% |
0.0305% |
0.9757% |
Chris Elm |
1.0539% |
0.2662% |
0.1872% |
Clemson |
Paul K. #4 |
0.9052% |
0.1140% |
0.4117% |
0.0195% |
Paul K. #2 |
0.3376% |
0.9598% |
VCU |
0.1465% |
Mike Lu #4 |
0.0257% |
0.9780% |
0.1086% |
0.3235% |
Jay H. #2 |
0.6799% |
0.5627% |
0.1906% |
Georgia |
Michelle L. #5 |
Louisville |
0.2270% |
0.0081% |
1.1678% |
Andrew S. |
0.3337% |
0.0057% |
0.0065% |
1.0486% |
Adam S. #1 |
1.1688% |
0.2160% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Max70 #1 |
0.7529% |
0.0070% |
0.0254% |
0.5859% |
Bryce O. |
Louisville |
0.0760% |
1.2330% |
0.0326% |
Noah N. |
Louisville |
0.0324% |
1.2016% |
0.1058% |
Brandon H. #1 |
0.0436% |
0.1668% |
0.0671% |
1.0303% |
Daisy N. #10 |
0.2578% |
0.0234% |
0.0292% |
0.9664% |
Jacob A. #1 |
Louisville |
0.7090% |
0.0127% |
0.5412% |
Paul K. #3 |
0.0061% |
0.0629% |
0.7894% |
0.3929% |
Erica H. |
Louisville |
0.9327% |
0.3133% |
Clemson |
Roth W. |
1.1571% |
0.0232% |
VCU |
0.0070% |
Chrissy S. |
1.0472% |
0.1375% |
VCU |
Georgia |
Howard S. #1 |
0.0065% |
0.0194% |
VCU |
1.1076% |
Irene H. #3 |
Louisville |
0.0079% |
0.2257% |
0.8635% |
Becky H. |
0.0676% |
0.4206% |
0.5859% |
Georgia |
Mike San |
0.0238% |
0.0100% |
0.8789% |
0.1229% |
Doug H. |
0.2210% |
0.7657% |
0.0488% |
High Point |
Kylee Tr |
0.7773% |
0.1978% |
0.0366% |
Clemson |
Rob I. #1 |
0.0422% |
0.8718% |
VCU |
0.0977% |
Klei R CR |
0.0193% |
0.0594% |
VCU |
0.9326% |
Steve Muc #5 |
0.2258% |
0.0573% |
0.2301% |
0.4761% |
Brandon B. #1 |
0.8641% |
0.0202% |
0.1031% |
SIUE |
Dave A. |
Louisville |
0.0198% |
0.9385% |
Clemson |
Daniel E. |
0.4175% |
0.0173% |
VCU |
0.5068% |
Ray Min |
0.0236% |
0.3625% |
VCU |
0.5371% |
Brett K. #1 |
0.6303% |
0.2032% |
0.0696% |
High Point |
Dustin B. |
0.3823% |
0.1431% |
0.1086% |
0.2468% |
Jacob A #2 |
0.7914% |
0.0574% |
0.0140% |
Clemson |
Greg Ru |
0.1147% |
0.0116% |
0.7161% |
Georgia |
Stefon K. |
0.1123% |
0.7101% |
0.0116% |
Georgia |
Harrell #5 |
0.7813% |
0.0429% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Matt H. |
0.0315% |
0.7838% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Doobie2 |
Louisville |
0.7773% |
0.0262% |
Clemson |
Cicely Koh |
Louisville |
0.0278% |
VCU |
0.7695% |
Daisy N. #5 |
0.0238% |
0.0019% |
0.7534% |
Georgia |
Mike Lu #2 |
0.0680% |
0.0068% |
0.0071% |
0.6836% |
Irene H. #6 |
0.0498% |
0.2691% |
0.0081% |
0.4277% |
Daisy N. #6 |
0.0354% |
0.0057% |
0.6775% |
Georgia |
Mark Sp #2 |
0.4541% |
0.0042% |
0.0273% |
0.2178% |
Ryan W. |
Louisville |
0.1501% |
0.0348% |
0.5087% |
Irene H. #7 |
0.2334% |
0.2246% |
0.1573% |
0.0549% |
Gary W. |
0.1263% |
0.0250% |
0.5009% |
Clemson |
Brandon H. #2 |
0.0093% |
0.6210% |
0.0099% |
Georgia |
Michelle L. #3 |
0.0893% |
0.0489% |
0.0081% |
0.4903% |
Dylan B. |
0.0211% |
0.6078% |
VCU |
High Point |
Gigi I. |
0.1630% |
0.4645% |
VCU |
Georgia |
Andrew D. #1 |
0.0146% |
0.0074% |
VCU |
0.6022% |
Adam S. #2 |
0.1389% |
0.3053% |
VCU |
0.1668% |
Pete J. #6 |
0.0633% |
0.5450% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Chris T. |
0.0763% |
0.0019% |
0.5066% |
Clemson |
Alex I. |
0.0331% |
0.4882% |
0.0628% |
Georgia |
Jaxon S. |
0.1567% |
0.3729% |
VCU |
0.0407% |
Jim Ten |
Louisville |
0.1224% |
0.1465% |
0.3011% |
Brandon B. #2 |
0.4698% |
0.0030% |
VCU |
0.0952% |
Michelle R. |
0.1837% |
0.0426% |
0.3011% |
Georgia |
Elliot N. |
0.1247% |
0.0044% |
0.0854% |
0.3125% |
Regina L. |
0.1247% |
0.0044% |
0.0854% |
0.3125% |
COOL GUY |
0.3418% |
0.1495% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Brad R. |
0.1473% |
0.0830% |
0.2380% |
Clemson |
Lucid Dreams |
Louisville |
0.0731% |
0.0254% |
0.3655% |
Brent E. #8 |
0.0350% |
0.4015% |
0.0127% |
Georgia |
Stan Ch. |
Louisville |
0.0132% |
0.2767% |
0.1465% |
Dawn Tr |
0.0102% |
0.0088% |
0.3949% |
0.0109% |
Michelle L. #1 |
0.0625% |
0.0784% |
0.0500% |
0.2319% |
Craig Ger |
0.2736% |
0.0253% |
0.0952% |
0.0283% |
Harrell #3 |
0.0931% |
0.3237% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Mike Nie |
0.0448% |
0.1518% |
VCU |
0.2178% |
Tim N. |
0.0522% |
0.2493% |
0.0610% |
0.0488% |
Hutch H. #1 |
0.0401% |
0.3640% |
0.0045% |
Clemson |
Chris M |
0.2350% |
0.1137% |
0.0598% |
Georgia |
Klei R. #2 - Upset
Special |
0.0009% |
0.0350% |
VCU |
0.3703% |
Josiah Tr |
0.0618% |
0.2570% |
0.0690% |
Georgia |
Irene H. #9 |
0.0102% |
0.3759% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Mario Muc |
0.3314% |
0.0132% |
0.0330% |
Clemson |
Pete J. #4 |
Louisville |
0.0080% |
0.3680% |
Clemson |
Thomas Val |
0.0111% |
0.1495% |
0.0045% |
0.2014% |
Karen C. |
Louisville |
0.3014% |
0.0633% |
Clemson |
Irene H. #2 |
0.0838% |
0.0760% |
0.0132% |
0.1836% |
Mike Bar |
0.0041% |
0.3472% |
0.0041% |
Clemson |
Daisy N. #8 |
0.0328% |
0.1449% |
0.1628% |
Clemson |
Harrell #4 |
0.2663% |
0.0724% |
VCU |
Georgia |
Kirt R. #2 |
0.1008% |
0.1856% |
0.0366% |
0.0151% |
April Koh |
0.0749% |
0.2419% |
0.0045% |
Georgia |
Jon Fen |
Alabama St. |
0.0339% |
0.2669% |
Clemson |
Szecho L #2 |
Louisville |
0.2419% |
VCU |
0.0551% |
Brent E. #5 |
0.0350% |
0.0016% |
0.2268% |
0.0284% |
Dan McK #2 |
0.0250% |
0.0656% |
0.1933% |
Georgia |
Paint It Black and
Gold |
Louisville |
0.0170% |
0.0126% |
0.2468% |
Max70 #2 |
0.0742% |
0.0316% |
0.1465% |
High Point |
Damien R. #1 |
0.0061% |
0.2398% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Matt N. #4 |
0.0885% |
0.0088% |
0.0081% |
0.1383% |
Elizabeth N. #2 |
Louisville |
0.2346% |
VCU |
0.0089% |
Zachary V. |
0.0475% |
0.0564% |
0.0140% |
0.1229% |
Elizabeth N. #1 |
Louisville |
0.0260% |
0.2136% |
Clemson |
Carl B. |
0.1886% |
0.0093% |
0.0292% |
Clemson |
Ben Silv |
0.0257% |
0.0041% |
0.1906% |
Clemson |
Danielle A. #2 |
0.1342% |
0.0132% |
0.0722% |
Clemson |
Szecho L #1 |
Louisville |
0.0513% |
VCU |
0.1650% |
Stephen C. |
0.1933% |
0.0209% |
VCU |
Georgia |
Irene H. #4 |
0.0651% |
0.1321% |
0.0111% |
Clemson |
Luis B. #3 |
0.1917% |
0.0100% |
0.0045% |
Clemson |
Seth Davis |
0.0195% |
0.0156% |
0.1632% |
High Point |
Brent E. #1 |
0.0064% |
0.0030% |
0.1886% |
High Point |
Brian Ker |
0.1341% |
0.0079% |
0.0468% |
Georgia |
Billy E. |
0.0163% |
0.0194% |
0.0468% |
0.1058% |
Paul K. #1 |
0.0111% |
0.1438% |
0.0228% |
0.0089% |
Green Machine |
0.0203% |
0.0632% |
0.0909% |
0.0122% |
Danielle A. #1 |
0.0122% |
0.0784% |
0.0895% |
Clemson |
Irene H. #1 |
0.1575% |
0.0061% |
VCU |
0.0151% |
John Erick |
0.0391% |
0.1103% |
0.0279% |
Clemson |
Brayden R. |
Louisville |
0.0639% |
0.1086% |
Georgia |
Scott H. #2 |
0.0203% |
0.0452% |
0.0085% |
0.0952% |
Luis B. #5 |
Louisville |
0.0141% |
0.1282% |
0.0122% |
Scott Koh #1 |
0.0514% |
0.0862% |
VCU |
0.0163% |
Damien R. #2 |
0.0221% |
0.0469% |
0.0814% |
Clemson |
Jeff W. |
0.0696% |
0.0299% |
0.0509% |
High Point |
Brent E. #3 |
0.0065% |
0.0330% |
0.0653% |
0.0436% |
Brent E. #4 |
0.0065% |
0.0330% |
0.0653% |
0.0436% |
Luis B. #1 |
0.1419% |
0.0038% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Pete J. #2 |
0.0378% |
0.0915% |
VCU |
0.0151% |
Brent E. #2 |
0.0064% |
0.0680% |
0.0653% |
High Point |
Pat Forde - SI |
0.0928% |
0.0132% |
0.0305% |
High Point |
Ryan Gar |
0.0250% |
0.0849% |
0.0244% |
Georgia |
Mike Lu #5 |
0.0660% |
0.0267% |
0.0071% |
0.0284% |
Alysimoso B. |
0.0203% |
0.1063% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Carolyn |
0.0635% |
0.0382% |
0.0244% |
Clemson |
Kirt R. #1 |
0.0696% |
0.0141% |
0.0423% |
Clemson |
Ally H. |
0.0099% |
0.0421% |
0.0690% |
Clemson |
Scott Koh #2 |
0.1003% |
0.0093% |
VCU |
0.0109% |
Eric V. |
0.0391% |
0.0813% |
VCU |
Georgia |
Matt Mei |
0.0793% |
0.0381% |
VCU |
High Point |
Pat K. |
0.0482% |
0.0056% |
0.0526% |
0.0089% |
TJ Val |
0.0625% |
0.0458% |
0.0045% |
Clemson |
Elizabeth N. #3 |
0.0236% |
0.0710% |
VCU |
0.0151% |
Irene H. #10 |
0.0285% |
0.0061% |
0.0675% |
Georgia |
Luis B. #4 |
0.0580% |
0.0331% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Mary Lou H. |
Louisville |
0.0344% |
0.0262% |
0.0283% |
Pete J. #3 |
Louisville |
0.0062% |
0.0824% |
Georgia |
Jason S. |
0.0366% |
0.0062% |
0.0435% |
Clemson |
Mark Sp #1 |
0.0257% |
0.0582% |
VCU |
Georgia |
Brent E. #7 |
0.0350% |
0.0361% |
0.0127% |
Clemson |
Klei R US |
0.0096% |
0.0129% |
VCU |
0.0610% |
John Lea |
0.0472% |
0.0269% |
VCU |
0.0089% |
Charlotte N |
0.0632% |
0.0080% |
0.0071% |
Georgia |
Niren D. |
Louisville |
0.0250% |
0.0093% |
0.0436% |
Dennis R. #2 |
0.0496% |
0.0231% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Harrell #1 |
0.0140% |
0.0573% |
VCU |
High Point |
Flagg Day |
Louisville |
0.0044% |
0.0669% |
High Point |
Dan McK #1 |
0.0520% |
0.0120% |
0.0065% |
Clemson |
Pete J. #1 |
Louisville |
0.0168% |
0.0441% |
0.0054% |
Wayne D. #1 |
0.0496% |
0.0079% |
0.0065% |
Clemson |
Irene H. #5 |
Louisville |
0.0092% |
0.0510% |
Clemson |
Dennis R. #1 |
Louisville |
0.0148% |
0.0435% |
Clemson |
Def Eff |
Louisville |
0.0574% |
VCU |
Georgia |
Andrew D. #5 |
0.0031% |
0.0380% |
0.0163% |
Clemson |
Michelle L. #2 |
0.0306% |
0.0044% |
0.0215% |
High Point |
Larry G. #2 |
0.0081% |
0.0337% |
0.0140% |
Georgia |
Jared Bock |
Louisville |
0.0092% |
0.0132% |
0.0283% |
Hutch H. #2 |
Louisville |
0.0116% |
0.0371% |
Georgia |
Mike Lu #3 |
0.0350% |
0.0132% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Kyle V. |
Louisville |
0.0129% |
0.0336% |
Clemson |
Scott H. #1 |
0.0238% |
0.0207% |
VCU |
Georgia |
Andrew D. #4 |
Louisville |
0.0133% |
0.0023% |
0.0283% |
Tyler C. |
0.0031% |
0.0194% |
0.0215% |
High Point |
Andrew D. #2 |
0.0093% |
0.0019% |
0.0292% |
Clemson |
Pete J. #5 |
Louisville |
0.0062% |
0.0333% |
Clemson |
Andrew D. #3 |
0.0031% |
0.0078% |
0.0282% |
Clemson |
Mike Lu #1 |
0.0203% |
0.0042% |
0.0135% |
Georgia |
Larry G. #1 |
0.0248% |
0.0102% |
0.0023% |
Clemson |
Larry G. #3 |
0.0248% |
0.0102% |
0.0023% |
Clemson |
Bryce S. |
Alabama St. |
0.0345% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Brandon B. #3 |
0.0257% |
0.0041% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Andrew Spr |
Louisville |
0.0052% |
0.0244% |
Georgia |
Chris L. #1 |
0.0102% |
0.0037% |
0.0135% |
Clemson |
Chris L. #2 |
0.0102% |
0.0037% |
0.0135% |
Clemson |
Chris L. #3 |
0.0102% |
0.0037% |
0.0135% |
Clemson |
Chris L. #4 |
0.0102% |
0.0037% |
0.0135% |
Clemson |
Wayne D. #2 |
0.0244% |
0.0019% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Ely A. |
Louisville |
0.0255% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Wayne D. #4 |
0.0193% |
0.0016% |
0.0023% |
Clemson |
Wayne D. #3 |
0.0122% |
0.0107% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Brent Sw. |
0.0081% |
0.0100% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Rich F. |
Louisville |
0.0092% |
VCU |
0.0089% |
CAAT #1 |
0.0041% |
0.0026% |
0.0111% |
Clemson |
CAAT #2 |
0.0041% |
0.0026% |
0.0111% |
Clemson |
CAAT #3 |
0.0041% |
0.0026% |
0.0111% |
Clemson |
CAAT #4 |
0.0041% |
0.0026% |
0.0111% |
Clemson |
Doobie1 |
0.0031% |
0.0074% |
0.0058% |
Clemson |
Ken Pom |
Louisville |
0.0070% |
0.0085% |
Clemson |
Sam MG #2 |
Louisville |
0.0016% |
VCU |
0.0131% |
Jon L. |
Louisville |
0.0019% |
0.0126% |
Clemson |
Klei
R. #1 |
Louisville |
0.0056% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Luis B. #2 |
Louisville |
0.0056% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Daisy N. #9 |
0.0012% |
0.0030% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Brent E. #6 |
Louisville |
0.0016% |
0.0023% |
Clemson |
Sacrificial
Gutless Bracket |
Louisville |
0.0016% |
0.0023% |
Clemson |
Irene H. #8 |
Louisville |
0.0037% |
VCU |
Clemson |
Linvansanity |
Louisville |
0.0019% |
VCU |
Clemson |
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