Sunday, March 23, 2025

NCAA Pool - After 2nd round

We finally had a buzzer-beater, although I thought Queen travelled on the last shot.  I got the Iowa State totally backwards, as Ole Miss dominated throughout.  Form held on the other 2 games, leaving us with 16 teams.  Only 1 double-digit seed is still alive (Arkansas), and most of the brackets look pretty chalky.

What that means is that probably a lot of people are still alive for one of the 5 payouts.  More on that later.

Here are the updated standings after 2 rounds:

1. Luis B. #3: 59 (-33) - Duke

2. Luis B. #5: 57 (-7) - Michigan State

3. Mike Lu #5: 55 (-9) - Florida

4. Hutch H. #1: 55 (-69) - Kansas

5. Dustin B.: 53 (-15) - Tennessee

5. Howard S. #1: 53 (-15) - Houston

7. Ally H.: 52 (-12) - Florida

7. Thomas Val: 52 (-12) - Duke

7. Kirt R. #2: 52 (-12) - Texas Tech

10. Jon L.: 52 (-20) - Houston

11. TJ Val: 52 (-24) - Auburn

12. Adam S. #1: 51 (-13) - Duke

13. Brent E. #6: 51 (-17) - Michigan

13. Jared Bock: 51 (-17) - Florida

15. Charlotte N: 51 (-21) - Auburn

16. Ben Silv: 51 (-73) - St. John's

17. Larry G. #1: 50 (-18) - Florida

17. Larry G. #3: 50 (-18) - Florida

17. Mike Lu #3: 50 (-18) - Duke

17. Wayne D. #4: 50 (-18) - Auburn

21. Michelle L. #4: 50 (-26) - Houston

22. Daisy N. #10: 50 (-78) - St. John's

23. Brent E. #7: 49 (-15) - Michigan State

23. Ken Pom: 49 (-15) - Duke

25. Brent E. #8: 49 (-19) - Michigan State

25. Irene H. #10: 49 (-19) - Duke

25. Kirt R. #1: 49 (-19) - Auburn

25. Luis B. #1: 49 (-19) - Duke

25. Michelle L. #3: 49 (-19) - Duke

25. Michelle L. #5: 49 (-19) - Texas Tech

25. Mike Bar: 49 (-19) - Florida

25. Sacrificial Gutless Bracket: 49 (-19) - Auburn

33. Colston W.: 49 (-23) - Florida

33. Irene H. #3: 49 (-23) - Tennessee

35. Irene H. #4: 49 (-31) - Auburn

36. Kyle V.: 49 (-35) - Auburn

36. Stan Ch.: 49 (-35) - Florida

38. Scott H. #2: 49 (-43) - Duke

39. Mike San: 49 (-47) - Houston

40. Dennis R. #2: 48 (-16) - Florida

40. Derek H.: 48 (-16) - Duke

40. Elizabeth N. #1: 48 (-16) - Houston

40. Mary Lou H.: 48 (-16) - Auburn

40. Pete J. #1: 48 (-16) - Florida

40. Pete J. #3: 48 (-16) - Auburn

40. Dawn Tr: 48 (-16) - Tennessee

40. Matt N. #4: 48 (-16) - Houston

48. Brandon B. #2: 48 (-20) - Houston

48. Dan McK #1: 48 (-20) - Auburn

48. Irene H. #8: 48 (-20) - Alabama

48. Luis B. #2: 48 (-20) - Florida

52. Adam S. #2: 48 (-24) - Auburn

52. Craig Ger: 48 (-24) - Duke

52. Paint It Black and Gold: 48 (-24) - Florida

55. Elliot N.: 48 (-28) - Florida

55. Regina L.: 48 (-28) - Florida

57. Josiah Tr: 48 (-32) - Auburn

58. Daisy N. #6: 48 (-36) - Auburn

59. Andrew D. #3: 48 (-44) - Houston

60. Brent E. #5: 48 (-48) - Michigan State

60. Mark Sp #3: 48 (-48) - Duke

60. Mark Sp #4: 48 (-48) - Duke

63. Brandon B. #3: 48 (-76) - St. John's

64. Pete J. #6: 47 (-17) - Alabama

64. Seth Davis: 47 (-17) - Duke

66. Adalyn H.: 47 (-21) - Florida

66. Chris L. #1: 47 (-21) - Florida

66. Chris L. #2: 47 (-21) - Houston

66. Chris L. #3: 47 (-21) - Duke

66. Chris L. #4: 47 (-21) - Duke

66. Daisy N. #9: 47 (-21) - Florida

66. Irene H. #6: 47 (-21) - Texas Tech

66. Brian Ker: 47 (-21) - Tennessee

66. Chris T.: 47 (-21) - Florida

66. COOL GUY: 47 (-21) - Houston

66. Pat K.: 47 (-21) - Florida

77. Brent Sw.: 47 (-25) - Duke

77. CAAT #1: 47 (-25) - Auburn

77. CAAT #2: 47 (-25) - Florida

77. CAAT #3: 47 (-25) - Duke

77. CAAT #4: 47 (-25) - Houston

77. Becky H.: 47 (-25) - Alabama

83. Andrew D. #4: 47 (-29) - Auburn

83. Daisy N. #3: 47 (-29) - Florida

83. Jay H. #2: 47 (-29) - Houston

83. Rich F.: 47 (-29) - Florida

83. Howard S. #2: 47 (-29) - Auburn

88. Brad E.: 47 (-33) - Michigan

89. Jim Ten: 47 (-45) - Tennessee

90. Carolyn: 47 (-61) - Florida

90. Michelle R.: 47 (-61) - Houston

92. Daisy N. #11: 47 (-89) - UC San Diego

92. Jacob A. #1: 47 (-89) - Kansas

94. Alysimoso B.: 46 (-18) - Houston

94. Pete J. #5: 46 (-18) - Houston

96. Andrew D. #2: 46 (-22) - Duke

96. Dennis R. #1: 46 (-22) - Auburn

96. Green Machine: 46 (-22) - Auburn

96. Mike Lu #1: 46 (-22) - Florida

96. Pete J. #4: 46 (-22) - Tennessee

96. Wayne D. #2: 46 (-22) - Florida

96. Wayne D. #3: 46 (-22) - Florida

96. Chris M: 46 (-22) - Duke

96. Scott Koh #2: 46 (-22) - Florida

105. Daisy N. #1: 46 (-26) - Florida

105. Ely A.: 46 (-26) - Duke

105. Pat Forde - SI: 46 (-26) - Florida

105. Sam MG #2: 46 (-26) - Tennessee

105. Stephen C.: 46 (-26) - Duke

110. Andrew S.: 46 (-30) - Florida

111. Mike Nie: 46 (-38) - Duke

111. Danielle A. #2: 46 (-38) - Florida

111. Steve Muc #5: 46 (-38) - Duke

114. Bryan K.: 46 (-46) - Duke

114. Zachary V.: 46 (-46) - Houston

116. John Mack #1: 46 (-82) - Connecticut

117. Jason S.: 45 (-19) - Alabama

118. Tim N.: 45 (-23) - Houston

118. Carl B.: 45 (-23) - Duke

118. Niren D.: 45 (-23) - Florida

118. Tyler C.: 45 (-23) - Florida

118. Irene H. #5: 45 (-23) - Michigan State

118. John Erick: 45 (-23) - Houston

124. Andrew Spr: 45 (-27) - Duke

124. Mario Muc: 45 (-27) - Florida

124. Mark Sp #2: 45 (-27) - Houston

127. Luis B. #4: 45 (-31) - Houston

128. Brandon H. #1: 45 (-35) - Michigan State

128. Billy E.: 45 (-35) - Florida

128. Jon Fen: 45 (-35) - Michigan State

131. Brett K. #3: 45 (-39) - Florida

131. Jaxon S.: 45 (-39) - Duke

133. Michael Vill #3: 45 (-55) - Florida

134. Michael Vill #2: 45 (-63) - Michigan State

135. Michelle L. #2: 44 (-20) - Florida

136. Bryce O.: 44 (-24) - Duke

136. Hutch H. #2: 44 (-24) - Florida

136. Ray Min: 44 (-24) - Auburn

136. Brent E. #1: 44 (-24) - Alabama

136. Irene H. #1: 44 (-24) - Florida

136. Klei R. #1: 44 (-24) - Duke

142. Off Eff: 44 (-28) - Florida

143. Mark Sp #1: 44 (-32) - Duke

143. Scott Koh #1: 44 (-32) - Auburn

145. April Koh: 44 (-36) - Duke

145. Dan McK #2: 44 (-36) - Duke

145. Kylee Tr: 44 (-36) - Alabama

148. Daisy N. #5: 44 (-40) - Tennessee

148. Erica H.: 44 (-40) - Houston

150. Brent E. #4: 44 (-48) - Tennessee

150. Ryan W.: 44 (-48) - Duke

152. Brent E. #3: 44 (-80) - St. John's

153. Cicely Koh: 43 (-25) - Auburn

153. Jeff W.: 43 (-25) - Florida

155. Eric V.: 43 (-29) - Florida

155. Mike Lu #2: 43 (-29) - Duke

155. Larry G. #2: 43 (-29) - Duke

155. Szecho L #1: 43 (-29) - Florida

159. Max70 #1: 43 (-41) - Florida

160. Szecho L #2: 43 (-45) - Duke

161. Gary W.: 43 (-57) - Florida

162. Daisy N. #7: 43 (-61) - Alabama

163. Andrew D. #1: 43 (-85) - St. John's

164. Mark Bar: 43 (-97) - St. John's

165. Irene H. #7: 43 (-105) - St. John's

166. Brayden R.: 42 (-26) - Florida

166. Elizabeth N. #2: 42 (-26) - Duke

166. Scott H. #1: 42 (-26) - Houston

169. Wayne D. #1: 42 (-30) - Duke

170. Linvansanity: 42 (-34) - Michigan State

171. Chris Elm: 42 (-38) - Florida

172. Doobie1: 42 (-42) - Auburn

172. Noah N.: 42 (-42) - Duke

174. Klei R CR: 42 (-50) - Auburn

175. Danielle A. #1: 42 (-66) - Auburn

175. Jo Jo D.: 42 (-66) - Duke

177. Ryan Gar: 42 (-82) - St. John's

177. Andrew D. #5: 42 (-82) - St. John's

179. Michael Vill #1: 42 (-98) - Gonzaga

180. Dan Dz.: 42 (-106) - St. John's

181. Elizabeth N. #3: 41 (-23) - Florida

182. Brent E. #2: 41 (-27) - Florida

183. Bryce S.: 41 (-31) - Tennessee

184. Roth W.: 41 (-35) - Florida

185. Irene H. #2: 41 (-39) - Houston

186. My Sister is Skibidy: 41 (-43) - Florida

186. Jacob A #2: 41 (-43) - Duke

186. Nick Vos: 41 (-43) - Duke

186. Daisy N. #2: 41 (-43) - Tennessee

190. Lucid Dreams: 41 (-47) - Duke

191. Daniel E.: 41 (-51) - Duke

192. Damien R. #2: 40 (-28) - Houston

192. Pete J. #2: 40 (-28) - Florida

194. Greg Ru: 40 (-32) - Auburn

194. Rob I. #1: 40 (-32) - Duke

196. Dylan B.: 40 (-36) - Duke

197. Brad R.: 40 (-40) - Houston

197. Irene H. #9: 40 (-40) - Duke

199. Karen C.: 40 (-48) - Duke

199. Stefon K.: 40 (-48) - Auburn

201. Michelle L. #1: 40 (-52) - Auburn

202. Brett K. #2: 40 (-56) - Alabama

202. Kiah H.: 40 (-56) - Michigan State

204. Matt H.: 40 (-64) - Duke

205. Daisy N. #8: 40 (-76) - Michigan State

206. Sam MG #1: 40 (-80) - Auburn

207. Beau H.: 40 (-88) - Georgia

208. Flagg Day: 39 (-29) - Duke

209. Dave A.: 39 (-33) - Michigan State

209. Doobie2: 39 (-33) - Auburn

209. Max70 #2: 39 (-33) - Florida

212. Paul K. #3: 39 (-37) - Florida

213. Mike Lu #4: 39 (-45) - Auburn

213. Doug H.: 39 (-45) - Duke

213. Missy W.: 39 (-45) - Florida

213. Tim Dz #1: 39 (-45) - Auburn

217. Alex I.: 39 (-89) - St. John's

217. Harrell #2: 39 (-89) - St. John's

219. Def Eff: 39 (-93) - St. John's

220. Gigi I.: 39 (-97) - St. John's

221. Tina H.: 39 (-109) - Wisconsin

222. John Lea: 38 (-30) - Alabama

223. Shawn D.: 38 (-34) - Duke

224. Hero R. - Cats Only: 38 (-42) - Auburn

224. Harrell #3: 38 (-42) - Tennessee

224. Paul K. #1: 38 (-42) - Duke

227. Jim W.: 38 (-46) - Duke

228. Jackson I.: 38 (-50) - Florida

228. Valerie D.: 38 (-50) - Auburn

230. Dirk F.: 38 (-62) - Alabama

231. Chrissy S.: 38 (-102) - St. John's

232. Steve Muc #3: 38 (-122) - Creighton

233. WaPo: 37 (-43) - Duke

233. John Mack #2: 37 (-43) - Florida

235. Jay H. #1: 37 (-47) - Florida

236. Daisy N. #4: 37 (-51) - Florida

237. Tim Dz #2: 37 (-59) - Houston

238. Steve Muc #2: 37 (-75) - Alabama

239. Brett K. #1: 36 (-32) - Texas Tech

239. Damien R. #1: 36 (-32) - Alabama

241. Adam Elm: 36 (-36) - Alabama

242. Brandon B. #1: 36 (-40) - Kentucky

243. Matt Mei: 36 (-44) - Houston

244. Klei R US: 36 (-72) - Duke

245. Rob I. #2: 35 (-73) - Florida

246. Erin Muc: 35 (-81) - Kentucky

247. Harrell #4: 35 (-101) - VCU

248. Mustard: 35 (-113) - Oregon

249. Leighton N.: 35 (-121) - Georgia

250. Paul K. #4: 34 (-38) - Houston

251. Harrell #1: 34 (-66) - Florida

252. Harrell #5: 34 (-106) - UC San Diego

253. Steve Muc #4: 34 (-122) - UC San Diego

254. Tim Dz #3: 33 (-63) - Duke

255. Brandon H. #2: 33 (-95) - Connecticut

256. Scarlett H.: 32 (-148) - Wisconsin

257. Brandie H.: 31 (-85) - Duke

258. Dianna A.: 31 (-141) - Mississippi State

259. Jace D.: 30 (-42) - Florida

260. Faye N.: 30 (-86) - Duke

261. Paul K. #2: 29 (-67) - Auburn

262. Harrell #6: 29 (-111) - Missouri

263. Klei R. #2 - Upset Special: 29 (-115) - St. John's

264. Zoe W.: 29 (-155) - UCLA

265. Amber Dolly: 29 (-159) - North Carolina

266. Otis L.: 28 (-76) - Purdue

267. Steve Muc #1: 28 (-144) - Mississippi State

268. PV: 28 (-160) - UCLA

269. Tucker D.: 27 (-85) - Michigan State

270. Laura Muc: 26 (-154) - St. Mary's

271. Reid D.: 23 (-101) - Texas Tech

272. Marshmallow: 19 (-169) - UCLA

…and the net points:

1. Luis B. #5 (50)

2. Mike Lu #5 (46)

3. Ally H. (40)

3. Thomas Val (40)

3. Kirt R. #2 (40)

6. Dustin B. (38)

6. Howard S. #1 (38)

6. Adam S. #1 (38)

9. Brent E. #6 (34)

9. Jared Bock (34)

9. Brent E. #7 (34)

9. Ken Pom (34)

13. Jon L. (32)

13. Larry G. #1 (32)

13. Larry G. #3 (32)

13. Mike Lu #3 (32)

13. Wayne D. #4 (32)

13. Dennis R. #2 (32)

13. Derek H. (32)

13. Elizabeth N. #1 (32)

13. Mary Lou H. (32)

13. Pete J. #1 (32)

13. Pete J. #3 (32)

13. Dawn Tr (32)

13. Matt N. #4 (32)

26. Charlotte N (30)

26. Brent E. #8 (30)

26. Irene H. #10 (30)

26. Kirt R. #1 (30)

26. Luis B. #1 (30)

26. Michelle L. #3 (30)

26. Michelle L. #5 (30)

26. Mike Bar (30)

26. Sacrificial Gutless Bracket (30)

26. Pete J. #6 (30)

26. Seth Davis (30)

37. TJ Val (28)

37. Brandon B. #2 (28)

37. Dan McK #1 (28)

37. Irene H. #8 (28)

37. Luis B. #2 (28)

37. Alysimoso B. (28)

37. Pete J. #5 (28)

44. Luis B. #3 (26)

44. Colston W. (26)

44. Irene H. #3 (26)

44. Adalyn H. (26)

44. Chris L. #1 (26)

44. Chris L. #2 (26)

44. Chris L. #3 (26)

44. Chris L. #4 (26)

44. Daisy N. #9 (26)

44. Irene H. #6 (26)

44. Brian Ker (26)

44. Chris T. (26)

44. COOL GUY (26)

44. Pat K. (26)

44. Jason S. (26)

59. Michelle L. #4 (24)

59. Adam S. #2 (24)

59. Craig Ger (24)

59. Paint It Black and Gold (24)

59. Andrew D. #2 (24)

59. Dennis R. #1 (24)

59. Green Machine (24)

59. Mike Lu #1 (24)

59. Pete J. #4 (24)

59. Wayne D. #2 (24)

59. Wayne D. #3 (24)

59. Chris M (24)

59. Scott Koh #2 (24)

59. Michelle L. #2 (24)

73. Brent Sw. (22)

73. CAAT #1 (22)

73. CAAT #2 (22)

73. CAAT #3 (22)

73. CAAT #4 (22)

73. Becky H. (22)

73. Tim N. (22)

73. Carl B. (22)

73. Niren D. (22)

73. Tyler C. (22)

73. Irene H. #5 (22)

73. John Erick (22)

85. Elliot N. (20)

85. Regina L. (20)

85. Daisy N. #1 (20)

85. Ely A. (20)

85. Pat Forde - SI (20)

85. Sam MG #2 (20)

85. Stephen C. (20)

85. Bryce O. (20)

85. Hutch H. #2 (20)

85. Ray Min (20)

85. Brent E. #1 (20)

85. Irene H. #1 (20)

85. Klei R. #1 (20)

98. Irene H. #4 (18)

98. Andrew D. #4 (18)

98. Daisy N. #3 (18)

98. Jay H. #2 (18)

98. Rich F. (18)

98. Howard S. #2 (18)

98. Andrew Spr (18)

98. Mario Muc (18)

98. Mark Sp #2 (18)

98. Cicely Koh (18)

98. Jeff W. (18)

98. Elizabeth N. #3 (18)

110. Josiah Tr (16)

110. Andrew S. (16)

110. Off Eff (16)

110. Brayden R. (16)

110. Elizabeth N. #2 (16)

110. Scott H. #1 (16)

116. Kyle V. (14)

116. Stan Ch. (14)

116. Brad E. (14)

116. Luis B. #4 (14)

116. Eric V. (14)

116. Mike Lu #2 (14)

116. Larry G. #2 (14)

116. Szecho L #1 (14)

116. Brent E. #2 (14)

125. Daisy N. #6 (12)

125. Mark Sp #1 (12)

125. Scott Koh #1 (12)

125. Wayne D. #1 (12)

125. Damien R. #2 (12)

125. Pete J. #2 (12)

131. Brandon H. #1 (10)

131. Billy E. (10)

131. Jon Fen (10)

131. Bryce S. (10)

131. Flagg Day (10)

136. Mike Nie (8)

136. Danielle A. #2 (8)

136. Steve Muc #5 (8)

136. April Koh (8)

136. Dan McK #2 (8)

136. Kylee Tr (8)

136. Linvansanity (8)

136. Greg Ru (8)

136. Rob I. #1 (8)

136. John Lea (8)

146. Scott H. #2 (6)

146. Brett K. #3 (6)

146. Jaxon S. (6)

146. Roth W. (6)

146. Dave A. (6)

146. Doobie2 (6)

146. Max70 #2 (6)

153. Andrew D. #3 (4)

153. Daisy N. #5 (4)

153. Erica H. (4)

153. Chris Elm (4)

153. Dylan B. (4)

153. Shawn D. (4)

153. Brett K. #1 (4)

153. Damien R. #1 (4)

161. Mike San (2)

161. Jim Ten (2)

161. Max70 #1 (2)

161. Irene H. #2 (2)

161. Paul K. #3 (2)

166. Brent E. #5 (0)

166. Mark Sp #3 (0)

166. Mark Sp #4 (0)

166. Bryan K. (0)

166. Zachary V. (0)

166. Doobie1 (0)

166. Noah N. (0)

166. Brad R. (0)

166. Irene H. #9 (0)

166. Adam Elm (0)

176. Szecho L #2 (-2)

176. My Sister is Skibidy (-2)

176. Jacob A #2 (-2)

176. Nick Vos (-2)

176. Daisy N. #2 (-2)

181. Brent E. #4 (-4)

181. Ryan W. (-4)

181. Hero R. - Cats Only (-4)

181. Harrell #3 (-4)

181. Paul K. #1 (-4)

181. Brandon B. #1 (-4)

181. Paul K. #4 (-4)

188. Lucid Dreams (-6)

188. Mike Lu #4 (-6)

188. Doug H. (-6)

188. Missy W. (-6)

188. Tim Dz #1 (-6)

188. WaPo (-6)

188. John Mack #2 (-6)

195. Klei R CR (-8)

195. Karen C. (-8)

195. Stefon K. (-8)

195. Jim W. (-8)

195. Matt Mei (-8)

200. Michael Vill #3 (-10)

200. Daniel E. (-10)

200. Jay H. #1 (-10)

203. Michelle L. #1 (-12)

203. Jackson I. (-12)

203. Valerie D. (-12)

203. Jace D. (-12)

207. Hutch H. #1 (-14)

207. Carolyn (-14)

207. Michelle R. (-14)

207. Gary W. (-14)

207. Daisy N. #4 (-14)

212. Brett K. #2 (-16)

212. Kiah H. (-16)

214. Michael Vill #2 (-18)

214. Daisy N. #7 (-18)

216. Ben Silv (-22)

216. Tim Dz #2 (-22)

218. Danielle A. #1 (-24)

218. Jo Jo D. (-24)

218. Matt H. (-24)

218. Dirk F. (-24)

222. Daisy N. #10 (-28)

222. Brandon B. #3 (-28)

224. Tim Dz #3 (-30)

225. Harrell #1 (-32)

226. John Mack #1 (-36)

226. Brent E. #3 (-36)

226. Daisy N. #8 (-36)

226. Klei R US (-36)

230. Steve Muc #2 (-38)

230. Rob I. #2 (-38)

230. Paul K. #2 (-38)

233. Ryan Gar (-40)

233. Andrew D. #5 (-40)

233. Sam MG #1 (-40)

236. Daisy N. #11 (-42)

236. Jacob A. #1 (-42)

236. Andrew D. #1 (-42)

239. Erin Muc (-46)

240. Beau H. (-48)

240. Otis L. (-48)

242. Alex I. (-50)

242. Harrell #2 (-50)

244. Mark Bar (-54)

244. Def Eff (-54)

244. Brandie H. (-54)

247. Michael Vill #1 (-56)

247. Faye N. (-56)

249. Gigi I. (-58)

249. Tucker D. (-58)

251. Irene H. #7 (-62)

251. Brandon H. #2 (-62)

253. Dan Dz. (-64)

253. Chrissy S. (-64)

255. Harrell #4 (-66)

256. Tina H. (-70)

257. Harrell #5 (-72)

258. Mustard (-78)

258. Reid D. (-78)

260. Harrell #6 (-82)

261. Steve Muc #3 (-84)

262. Leighton N. (-86)

262. Klei R. #2 - Upset Special (-86)

264. Steve Muc #4 (-88)

265. Dianna A. (-110)

266. Scarlett H. (-116)

266. Steve Muc #1 (-116)

268. Zoe W. (-126)

269. Laura Muc (-128)

270. Amber Dolly (-130)

271. PV (-132)

272. Marshmallow (-150)

…and here’s the people that can still win one of the 4 regional prizes:

Name

South

West

East

MW

Beau H.

Texas A&M

31.2500%

Vanderbilt

Georgia

Chris Elm

Marquette

25.0000%

Vanderbilt

Clemson

Daisy N. #7

Texas A&M

Missouri

Miss St.

25.0000%

Leighton N.

25.0000%

Oklahoma

Wisconsin

Georgia

Daisy N. #3

Texas A&M

Gr Canyon

12.5000%

6.2500%

Elizabeth N. #1

Louisville

Oklahoma

18.7500%

Clemson

Thomas Val

N. Carolina

Colorado St.

2.5000%

12.5000%

Adalyn H.

12.5000%

Kansas

Liberty

McNeese

Adam S. #1

12.5000%

Colorado St.

VCU

Clemson

Brad E.

12.5000%

Kansas

Vanderbilt

Illinois

Daisy N. #10

12.5000%

Oklahoma

Miss St.

Gonzaga

Dustin B.

Texas A&M

12.5000%

Wisconsin

Illinois

Hero R. - Cats Only

Louisville

Memphis

12.5000%

High Point

Luis B. #5

Louisville

St. John's

12.5000%

McNeese

Mario Muc

Yale

St. John's

12.5000%

Clemson

Ray Min

UCSD

Kansas

VCU

12.5000%

Stan Ch.

Louisville

St. John's

Vanderbilt

12.5000%

Luis B. #3

4.1667%

St. John's

2.5000%

Clemson

Adam S. #2

Yale

Kansas

VCU

6.2500%

Ben Silv

UCSD

Kansas

6.2500%

Clemson

Brett K. #2

Bryant

6.2500%

Akron

McNeese

Chris M

N. Carolina

6.2500%

Wisconsin

Georgia

Dawn Tr

6.2500%

Memphis

Liberty

Utah St.

Harrell #6

UCSD

Missouri

6.2500%

Georgia

Jacob A. #1

Louisville

Kansas

Liberty

6.2500%

Jay H. #2

Iowa St.

Gr Canyon

6.2500%

Georgia

Pat K.

6.2500%

Kansas

Miss St.

McNeese

Ryan W.

Louisville

Memphis

Vanderbilt

6.2500%

WaPo

Yale

6.2500%

VCU

Troy

Ally H.

4.1667%

Memphis

Liberty

Clemson

Billy E.

N. Carolina

4.1667%

Wisconsin

McNeese

Howard S. #1

UCSD

4.1667%

VCU

McNeese

Mike Lu #5

4.1667%

Missouri

Miss St.

Illinois

Tyler C.

UCSD

4.1667%

Liberty

High Point

Andrew D. #4

Louisville

Missouri

Miss St.

2.5000%

April Koh

N. Carolina

Missouri

2.5000%

Georgia

Craig Ger

N. Carolina

Kansas

Vanderbilt

2.5000%

Hutch H. #1

Marquette

Kansas

2.5000%

Clemson

Jared Bock

Louisville

Missouri

Wisconsin

2.5000%

John Mack #1

Creighton

Connecticut

Vanderbilt

2.5000%

Mary Lou H.

Louisville

Kansas

Wisconsin

2.5000%

TJ Val

UCSD

St. John's

2.5000%

Clemson

There are 23 people alive right now that still have all Elite 8 teams alive.  There are another 64 that have 7 of their last 8 alive.  That’s about 40% of the field.  What that means is that a lot of people are going to be alive for one of the top 5 spots, and that the next round promises to be a bloodbath of eliminations.

For those unfamiliar with my pools, from here on out, I’ll still be keeping track of the points, but I will be calculating the probability of each bracket to win each of the 5 payouts.  Once I have that, I can also determine what bracket / payout combinations will be mathematically eliminated in the next game.  I think it’s what separates my pool from any other than you could join.

All fo this is predicated on one thing.  It assumes that all outcomes are equally likely.  It’s too hard to do any other way.  What that means is that it treats a Arkansas v Purdue final the same as an Auburn v Duke final in terms of likelihood that it will happen.  We all know that’s not true, but it makes the math easier.

What that does give you is some strange percentages.  For instance, say you are the only person who picked Arkansas to win it all.  Your odds initially are going to look very good.  The reason for that is because there are lot of ways the games could play out, but in all of them that end with Arkansas winning, you probably win the pool.  That’s a lot of scenarios.  On the contrary, if you chose Florida, your probability of winning will look lower, since you are competing with a lot of other people that also have Florida – so your paths to winning are much fewer.

Anyway, I have to crank some numbers.  I should have something tomorrow.  I will post data as soon as I have it available.

Good Luck!!!!!

No comments:

Post a Comment