Probabilities for 2nd place

There's nothing tricky to these numbers.  They are the probabilities of winning 2nd place.  For all probabilities that I make, the only place that matters is the top.  If you are are in second place in the probabilities to win 1st, that does NOT mean that you are in 1st place to win 2nd place.  If someone gets to 100% in any of these probabilities, that means that they are guaranteed to get that payout position.  That probably won't happen until after the last game, but it's something to strive for.

I already told people that could win nothing yesterday, but there's a mix of people that can't win first, but can win some of the other places.

Here's who's eliminated from 2nd place contention:

Abel R.

Adam E. #1

Adam E. #2

Alex T.

Ava S.

Ben J. #2

Brent E. #2

Brent S. #2

Brett K. #1

Carl B.

Carrie P. #2

Carrie P. #3

Chad C.

Chad L. #1

Chris L. #2

Chris L. #3

Chris M. #1

Christina S. #4

Christina S. #6

Daisy N. #3

Daryl J.

David S. #1

David S. #2

David S. #4

Dennis R. #1

Dennis R. #2

Dimitris M. #2

Dimitris M. #3

Elena S.

Esteban D.

Gary M. #1

Howard S. #4

Hutch H. #1

Hutch H. #2

Jack K. #3

James G. #2

James K.

Jeff W.

Jim D. #2

Joe K. #1

John E.

John M. #2

Josiah T. #1

Josiah T. #3

Josiah T. #5

Julie S.

Justin G.

Kansas C.

Karl K.

Kevin W.

Kirt R.

Klei R. - RND

Klei R. #2

Larry G. #3

Luis B. #3

Marc R. #2

Marissa W. #1

Mark N. #2

Mason A. #2

Matt J. #2

Mike San #2

Missy W. #1

Missy W. #2

Peter J. #4

Shawn S.B.

Steve H.

Steve M. #1

Steve M. #2

Steve M. #4

Sue L.

Terry F. #2

Todd K. #4

William G. #1

William G. #2

William G. #4

...and here are the probabilities for 2nd place:

1. John M. #1: 5.6376%

2. Miguel D.: 4.4587%

3. Daisy N. #5: 3.9988%

4. Daisy N. #1: 3.6616%

5. Howard S. #3: 3.3905%

6. Marissa W. #2: 2.8192%

7. Paul W.: 2.7795%

8. Matt J. #3: 2.7643%

9. Ray W. #1: 2.435%

10. Stephanie P. #3: 2.1102%

11. Mason A. #1: 2.0717%

12. Michelle L. #2: 1.9078%

13. Ray W. #3: 1.8765%

14. Ally H.: 1.7227%

15. Christina S. #5: 1.7166%

16. Robert H. #2: 1.6937%

17. Irene L. #1: 1.6764%

18. Sally R.: 1.5719%

19. Mark N. #1: 1.566%

20. Chad L. #2: 1.4777%

21. Dan S.: 1.3671%

22. Mason A. #4: 1.2939%

23. Jack K. #4: 1.2751%

24. David S. #3: 1.2699%

25. Klei - Alex O.: 1.1367%

26. Luis B. #2: 1.0281%

27. Brett K. #2: 0.9943%

28. Michelle L. #3: 0.9521%

29. Hal R. #2: 0.9068%

30. Scott K. #1: 0.8717%

31. Andrzej R.: 0.8577%

32. James G. #1: 0.8515%

33. Zachary V.: 0.7858%

34. Chris M. #3: 0.768%

35. Rich F.: 0.7563%

36. Tomas L. #4: 0.7516%

37. Scott Her. #2: 0.6781%

38. Eric C.: 0.6652%

39. Christina S. #3: 0.6627%

40. Christina S. #1: 0.6408%

41. Ray W. #4: 0.6347%

42. Damien R. #1: 0.6324%

43. Klei R. #1: 0.6266%

44. Brent S. #1: 0.6164%

45. Brent E. #6: 0.6103%

46. Greg F.: 0.6085%

47. Hal R. #1: 0.5956%

48. Carrie P. #4: 0.5854%

49. Mike L. #3: 0.5798%

50. Gene B. #2: 0.5737%

51. Jay K.: 0.5578%

52. Carrie P. #1: 0.547%

53. Damien R. #2: 0.5355%

54. KenPom: 0.533%

55. Virginia L. #1: 0.5299%

56. Tomas L. #1: 0.5121%

57. Chun W. #2: 0.5111%

58. Jay H. #3: 0.5072%

59. Tracy V.: 0.4974%

60. Stephanie P. #5: 0.4943%

61. Todd K. #3: 0.4933%

62. Chun W. #1: 0.4918%

63. Josiah T. #4: 0.4913%

64. Joe K. #2: 0.4831%

65. Matt J. #1: 0.4791%

66. Scott Hass.: 0.4571%

67. Meredith R.: 0.4536%

68. Stephanie P. #2: 0.4516%

69. Ron B.: 0.4501%

70. Chun W. #3: 0.445%

71. Jay H. #2: 0.4394%

72. Gary W.: 0.436%

73. Jay H. #1: 0.4333%

74. Brett W.: 0.4241%

75. Howard S. #2: 0.415%

76. Jim W.: 0.3997%

77. Peter J. #5: 0.3906%

78. Todd K. #2: 0.3692%

79. Josiah T. #2: 0.3616%

80. Kyle V.: 0.357%

81. Mike L. #1: 0.3318%

82. Peter J. #3: 0.3234%

83. Tomas L. #3: 0.3112%

84. Ryan G.: 0.2899%

85. Matt N.: 0.2726%

86. Eric V.: 0.2675%

87. Ryan H.: 0.2665%

88. Steve D.: 0.2655%

89. Mike Sm.: 0.2456%

90. Tim N.: 0.2441%

91. Peter J. #1: 0.2349%

92. Brent E. #3: 0.2227%

93. Bhav R.: 0.2166%

93. Jeff D.: 0.2166%

95. Dan D. #2: 0.2136%

96. Ben W.: 0.2109%

97. Roth W.: 0.2054%

98. Marissa W. #3: 0.1983%

98. Terry F. #1: 0.1983%

100. Larry G. #2: 0.1885%

101. Stan C. #1: 0.1831%

102. Stephanie P. #4: 0.1759%

103. Christina S. #2: 0.1739%

104. Damien R. #3: 0.1698%

105. William G. #3: 0.1668%

106. Josh S. #2: 0.1647%

107. Joseph H.: 0.1599%

108. Ben J. #3: 0.1515%

109. Marc R. #1: 0.1464%

110. April K.: 0.1444%

111. Chris M. #4: 0.1403%

112. Michelle L. #1: 0.1383%

113. Josh C.: 0.1342%

114. Chris M. #2: 0.1302%

115. Robert H. #1: 0.1281%

116. Daisy N. #2: 0.1251%

117. Dimitris M. #4: 0.122%

117. Scott Her. #1: 0.122%

119. Erica A.: 0.12%

120. Brent E. #5: 0.119%

121. Josh S. #1: 0.1098%

122. Karen C. #3: 0.1078%

123. Becky H.: 0.1027%

124. Virginia L. #2: 0.0976%

125. Dennis R. #3: 0.0915%

126. Amelia H.: 0.0915%

127. Ben J. #1: 0.0805%

128. Sarah G.: 0.0793%

129. Gary M. #2: 0.0773%

130. Brent E. #4: 0.0762%

131. Larry G. #1: 0.0757%

132. Marissa W. #4: 0.0732%

133. Brent E. #1: 0.0671%

133. Matt J. #4: 0.0671%

135. Daisy N. #4: 0.064%

135. Karen C. #1: 0.064%

137. Jack K. #1: 0.064%

138. Michelle L. #4: 0.059%

139. Luis B. #1: 0.0581%

140. Taima B. #2: 0.0549%

141. Taima B. #1: 0.0493%

142. Amos W.: 0.0488%

143. Larry G. #4: 0.0473%

144. Dimitris M. #5: 0.0457%

145. Howard S. #1: 0.0427%

146. Chun W. #4: 0.0366%

146. Gutless Dimitris: 0.0366%

148. Dominic M.: 0.032%

149. Ray W. #2: 0.0305%

150. Brad R.: 0.0295%

151. Chris L. #1: 0.0274%

152. Bosun S.: 0.0244%

152. Brian G.: 0.0244%

152. Stephanie P. #1: 0.0244%

152. Steve M. #3: 0.0244%

156. Gene B. #1: 0.0233%

157. Irene L. #2: 0.0213%

157. Karen C. #2: 0.0213%

159. Scott K. #2: 0.0193%

160. Mason A. #3: 0.0183%

161. Jim D. #1: 0.0167%

162. Andrea A.: 0.0157%

162. Mike L. #2: 0.0157%

164. Amy D.: 0.0122%

165. Dan D. #1: 0.0111%

166. Tomas L. #2: 0.0091%

167. Jack K. #2: 0.0081%

167. Stan C. #2: 0.0081%

169. Todd K. #1: 0.003%

170. Mike San #1: 0.002%

171. Peter J. #2: 0.0012%

Good luck!!!!