Probabilities for 3rd place

Here are the people that can no longer win 3rd place:

Abel R.

Adam E. #1

Adam E. #2

Ava S.

Brent E. #2

Brent S. #2

Carl B.

Carrie P. #2

Carrie P. #3

Chad C.

Chad L. #1

Chris L. #2

Chris L. #3

Chris M. #1

Christina S. #4

Daisy N. #3

David S. #4

Dennis R. #1

Dennis R. #2

Dimitris M. #2

Dimitris M. #3

Elena S.

Esteban D.

Gary M. #1

Howard S. #4

Hutch H. #1

Hutch H. #2

Jack K. #3

James G. #2

James K.

Jeff W.

Jim D. #2

Joe K. #1

John E.

John M. #2

Josiah T. #1

Josiah T. #3

Josiah T. #5

Justin G.

Kansas C.

Karl K.

Kevin W.

Kirt R.

Klei R. - RND

Klei R. #2

Larry G. #3

Marissa W. #1

Mark N. #2

Mason A. #2

Matt J. #2

Missy W. #1

Missy W. #2

Peter J. #4

Steve H.

Steve M. #1

Steve M. #2

Steve M. #4

Sue L.

Terry F. #2

William G. #4

...and the initial probabilities of winning 3rd:

1. Marissa W. #2: 3.512%

2. Matt J. #3: 3.1433%

3. Miguel D.: 2.7584%

4. Michelle L. #2: 2.6219%

5. Ray W. #1: 2.2585%

6. Paul W.: 2.1778%

7. Daisy N. #1: 2.1001%

8. Robert H. #2: 2.0548%

9. Howard S. #3: 1.9088%

10. Mark N. #1: 1.8409%

11. Dan S.: 1.8117%

12. Daisy N. #5: 1.7903%

13. Mason A. #4: 1.6794%

14. Stephanie P. #3: 1.6713%

15. Chad L. #2: 1.6272%

16. Christina S. #5: 1.5914%

17. Jack K. #4: 1.5635%

18. Ally H.: 1.4119%

19. Irene L. #1: 1.4114%

20. Mason A. #1: 1.379%

21. Brett K. #2: 1.3615%

22. Stephanie P. #5: 1.2908%

23. Andrzej R.: 1.2673%

24. Ray W. #3: 1.2585%

25. Klei - Alex O.: 1.2273%

26. Sally R.: 1.1853%

27. Meredith R.: 1.1362%

28. Hal R. #2: 1.0838%

29. Michelle L. #3: 0.9918%

30. Carrie P. #4: 0.9821%

31. David S. #2: 0.9816%

32. David S. #3: 0.9752%

33. Luis B. #2: 0.964%

34. Chris M. #3: 0.947%

35. Chun W. #2: 0.946%

36. Todd K. #3: 0.914%

37. Tomas L. #4: 0.89%

38. James G. #1: 0.8584%

39. Zachary V.: 0.8346%

40. Bhav R.: 0.801%

41. Christina S. #1: 0.7985%

42. Marissa W. #4: 0.7827%

43. Tracy V.: 0.7588%

44. Brent E. #6: 0.7568%

45. Klei R. #1: 0.7497%

46. Damien R. #1: 0.7422%

47. Ray W. #4: 0.74%

48. Greg F.: 0.7201%

49. Jay K.: 0.6896%

50. Scott Her. #2: 0.6826%

51. Brent S. #1: 0.6795%

52. Eric V.: 0.6647%

53. Todd K. #2: 0.6632%

54. Gary W.: 0.6588%

55. John M. #1: 0.6352%

56. Jay H. #3: 0.635%

57. Hal R. #1: 0.621%

58. Peter J. #5: 0.62%

59. Christina S. #3: 0.6113%

60. Tomas L. #3: 0.595%

61. Rich F.: 0.5874%

62. Ryan H.: 0.5833%

63. Eric C.: 0.5818%

64. Ron B.: 0.5777%

65. Mike L. #1: 0.5624%

66. Scott K. #1: 0.5533%

67. Jim W.: 0.5249%

68. Damien R. #2: 0.5193%

69. Chun W. #3: 0.5147%

70. Stephanie P. #2: 0.5004%

71. Scott Hass.: 0.4511%

71. Stephanie P. #4: 0.4511%

73. Chun W. #1: 0.435%

74. Joe K. #2: 0.4247%

75. Daryl J.: 0.4211%

76. Jay H. #2: 0.4165%

77. Virginia L. #1: 0.4018%

78. Matt J. #1: 0.4007%

79. Christina S. #2: 0.3987%

80. Peter J. #3: 0.3936%

80. Terry F. #1: 0.3936%

82. Josiah T. #2: 0.3931%

83. Marissa W. #3: 0.389%

84. Ben W.: 0.3802%

85. Tomas L. #1: 0.3784%

86. Carrie P. #1: 0.3389%

87. Howard S. #2: 0.3224%

88. Matt N.: 0.3214%

89. Brent E. #3: 0.3092%

90. Josiah T. #4: 0.3082%

91. Ryan G.: 0.2939%

92. Marc R. #1: 0.2929%

93. William G. #3: 0.2827%

94. Ben J. #3: 0.2782%

95. Brett W.: 0.2699%

96. Dennis R. #3: 0.2649%

97. Steve D.: 0.2644%

98. Jay H. #1: 0.2614%

99. KenPom: 0.2604%

100. Erica A.: 0.2502%

101. Becky H.: 0.2497%

102. Peter J. #1: 0.239%

103. Roth W.: 0.237%

104. Michelle L. #1: 0.2354%

105. Amos W.: 0.2349%

105. Chris L. #1: 0.2349%

107. Tim N.: 0.2339%

108. Larry G. #2: 0.2268%

109. Damien R. #3: 0.2197%

110. Mike Sm.: 0.2161%

111. Jeff D.: 0.2044%

112. Daisy N. #2: 0.2014%

113. Taima B. #2: 0.1988%

114. Karen C. #3: 0.1973%

115. Ben J. #1: 0.1965%

116. Mike L. #3: 0.1912%

117. Karen C. #1: 0.1892%

118. Amelia H.: 0.18%

119. Gary M. #2: 0.1739%

120. Josh S. #1: 0.1708%

121. Stan C. #2: 0.1708%

122. Gene B. #2: 0.1647%

122. Kyle V.: 0.1647%

124. Christina S. #6: 0.1617%

124. Robert H. #1: 0.1617%

126. Dan D. #2: 0.1586%

127. Joseph H.: 0.1494%

128. Virginia L. #2: 0.1469%

129. April K.: 0.1416%

130. Josh C.: 0.1378%

131. Josh S. #2: 0.1312%

132. Dimitris M. #4: 0.1281%

133. Brent E. #5: 0.122%

134. Brent E. #4: 0.121%

135. Brent E. #1: 0.12%

136. Larry G. #1: 0.1184%

137. Stan C. #1: 0.118%

138. Luis B. #1: 0.1161%

139. Michelle L. #4: 0.1159%

140. Matt J. #4: 0.1118%

141. Scott Her. #1: 0.1042%

142. Chris M. #2: 0.1015%

143. Gutless Dimitris: 0.0946%

144. Taima B. #1: 0.0935%

145. Mason A. #3: 0.0885%

146. Jack K. #1: 0.0864%

147. Scott K. #2: 0.0783%

148. Dimitris M. #5: 0.0722%

149. Chris M. #4: 0.0701%

149. Irene L. #2: 0.0701%

151. Brian G.: 0.0671%

152. Gene B. #1: 0.066%

153. Julie S.: 0.061%

153. Ray W. #2: 0.061%

155. Brett K. #1: 0.0579%

156. Howard S. #1: 0.0549%

157. Larry G. #4: 0.0534%

158. Chun W. #4: 0.0488%

159. Dominic M.: 0.0462%

160. William G. #2: 0.0427%

161. Dan D. #1: 0.0422%

162. Brad R.: 0.0401%

163. Tomas L. #2: 0.0401%

164. Sarah G.: 0.0396%

165. Todd K. #1: 0.0386%

166. Karen C. #2: 0.0361%

167. David S. #1: 0.0334%

168. Bosun S.: 0.0305%

168. Todd K. #4: 0.0305%

170. Daisy N. #4: 0.0274%

171. Andrea A.: 0.0269%

171. Mike L. #2: 0.0269%

173. Steve M. #3: 0.0244%

174. Jack K. #2: 0.0233%

175. Marc R. #2: 0.0193%

176. Luis B. #3: 0.0183%

177. Jim D. #1: 0.0172%

178. Amy D.: 0.017%

179. Mike San #1: 0.0142%

180. Mike San #2: 0.0122%

180. Shawn S.B.: 0.0122%

180. Stephanie P. #1: 0.0122%

183. Peter J. #2: 0.011%

184. William G. #1: 0.0091%

185. Alex T.: 0.0061%

186. Ben J. #2: 0.004%