Sunday, March 16, 2014

March Madness 2014 Invitation

Hello again everyone.  If you look at your calendar, you will probably notice that it is currently March.  That means that March Madness is just around the corner.  I’ve had a year to relax in preparation for this tournament, but I’ve been watching a lot of basketball so far this season and I’m really curious about how this tournament will be played out.  There doesn’t seem to be a really clear front-runner in this year’s field, which makes it especially fun for me.  Maybe we’ll get a repeat of last year, when a #1 seed, 2 #4 seeds and a 9 seed all made the Final 4 and a #15 team made the Sweet 16  This year it looks like we might have an undefeated team in the pool (Wichita State).  I am curious to see what people do with them since they come from a mid-major conference and a lot of people were burned with Gonzaga last year under somewhat similar circumstances.

For those that are getting into the pool for the first time, let me give you a little introduction.  I’ve been running this pool since 2006, and it has grown every year, although with me recently changing jobs that may change.  In 2005, I put together a spreadsheet so that I could tell if my entry in a pool had any chance of winning (or what had to happen to keep me from being eliminated).   After that, I figured I could provide that type of information to anyone in a pool, as well as provide some rough probabilities of winning at various stages of the tournament.  Every year, I spend the first Thursday and Friday at my brother’s place in front of 4 screens watching a ton of basketball, eating bad food and scoring all of the entries.  After the opening weekend, I am able to generate preliminary probabilities of getting all of the payouts.  I can also tell if and when entries are eliminated from contention for the various payouts.  It makes it much more interesting than just figuring out who has the most points at any particular time.

Changes

There are some changes to the pool this year.  The first involves entering on-line.  If you are going to enter on-line (as described later), you MUST send me an e-mail telling me which entries are yours and how you intend to pay for them.  I won’t even look at on-line entries that are not claimed using this method.  The single worst part of running this pool is the bookkeeping around entries.  This way makes me job on that front much easier.

Another big change is one that people that entered my bowl pool will be familiar with.  I stopped sending out personal e-mails and started keeping a blog where I am writing all of the information that I would have been emailing in years past.  This is easier and more convenient for me.  There is an icon on the site if you want email updates whenever I post anything if you still like the email notification.  The site is located at: http://kleisports.blogspot.com/.  There is no password required.  Those are the only major changes.

Who can Enter

Basketball fans…  Fans of pools….  Anyone with five bucks…..  Anyone can enter.  Feel free to forward this on to anyone that wants to enter.  All are welcome as long as they follow the instructions laid out here.  You can enter as many times as you want.  There is a 5-sheet limit if you enter on-line.  There is no limit if you enter any other way.

How to Enter

There are a few ways to enter.  The easiest way is to print out a bracket, fill it out and hand it to me.  I recently changed jobs so I no longer work at Pratt & Whitney.  If you go by my desk, I’m pretty sure that it will be vacant.  However, if you want to go the hard copy way, you can still give your sheets and money to Joe Kallio.  I’ll stop by at lunchtime on Wednesday to pick anything up, so there’s a bit of a deadline if you go that route.

You can fill out a sheet and send me a scanned version.  That works as well.  Just make sure that you let me know how you are going to pay for it when you send me the sheet.

You can enter on-line via the Yahoo fantasy games site.  While you are there, you can enter the perfect bracket contest for a chance at $1 Billion dollars.  That’s a nice bonus.  The address for the entry is: https://tournament.fantasysports.yahoo.com/.  Click on "Find a Pool" and then "Join a Private Pool".  The group ID is: 16472 and the password is: nittmo.  Once you are there, give your bracket a name and fill it out.  Once you’ve finished, you MUST send me an email claiming your entries and how you intend to pay for your entry.  I will be ignoring all entries that don’t follow this direction.

If you do enter on-line, it would make my job a lot easier if you could export a PDF file of your entry and send me a copy in advance.  I have to transcribe all entries into a spreadsheet to score them and run analyses.  The way the on-line entries work, I can’t see anyone’s picks until tip off of the first game.  Last year, it probably took me 4-5 hours to transcribe all of the on-line entries.  If I could get a jump on that workload, it would make my Thursday morning much more enjoyable.

Play-in Games

I think this is a hidden value and as these pools get bigger they may make a bigger difference to who wins.  There are 4 play-in games that go off on Tuesday and Wednesday. 
They call them “1st round games”, but my cold, lifeless body will be 6 feet underground before I call them that.  They are play-in games.  Whatever you call them, if you want to pick one of those teams to advance, you essentially get whoever wins that game.  For instance last year, if you liked Boise State to advance to the Sweet 16, you still got points for La Salle advancing because La Salle beat Boise State in the play-in game.  I think that at least one team from the play-in game has made the Sweet 16 the last 3 years and VCU made it to the Final 4 as a play-in winner.  That’s a lot of points to leave on the table.

Tiebreaker

I never like deciding places via a tiebreaker, but sometimes 63 games aren’t enough to determine who gets what, so I need one.  The tiebreaker is the total points scored in the championship game.  If you enter on-line, there should be a place to put the score for each team.  The winner of the tiebreaker is the entry that is closest to the actual number of points, regardless of whether or not it is higher or lower.

How to pay

The cost is $5 per entry.  There are no volume discounts or anything like that.

There are a few ways to pay, but I’ll accept most types of payment except for PayPal.  I had everyone use that a few years back and it got flagged for “suspicious activity”.  That seems so strange since I never use my Paypal account except for about a week where I would receive a ton of activity in $5 increments.  Anyway, I don’t use PayPal since I don’t want my account frozen.

You can pay in cash.  This will be harder since I switched jobs, but if you are used to handing me cash, you can still pay Joe Kallio if you work at Pratt in San Diego.
If you want to mail me payments or set up a payment from your bank, here’s my address:

Klei Richards
2168 Carol View Dr. #B205
Cardiff, CA 92007

As I mentioned above, if you enter on line, you MUST send me an email claiming your entry and how you intend to pay for it.

Deadlines

The deadline for entry is tip off of the first game on Thursday, March 20th.  Brackets will be released on Sunday, March 16th.  The only exception to this is if you are handing in a sheet and payment to Joe Kallio at Pratt & Whitney San Diego.  I’ll come by during lunch on Wednesday, March 19th to pick up whatever he’s got.  Anything submitted after that will have to come through one of the other channels that I’ve outlined.

Scoring

The scoring is the same as it’s been in years past.  There will be 32 points available in each round for a total of 192 points in all.  That means that every game you get right on the opening Thursday and Friday will be worth 1 point, every game on the opening Saturday and Sunday will be worth 2 pts.  It also means that picking the Champion gets you 32 points.  With a pool as big as mine has turned into, you almost certainly need to get the winner right to have any chance at the money.

Payouts

Last year, I think I paid out 4 places.  I said that if I managed to get 250 entries, I would pay out 5 places.  I pay out everything that I take in, so this whole escapade is charity work on my behalf.  If I pay out 4 places, the breakdown will be: 1st – 50%, 2nd – 25%, 3rd – 10%, 4th – 5%.  If it turns out to be 5 places, the breakdown will be: 1st – 45%, 2nd – 25%, 3rd – 15%, 4th – 10%, 5th – 5%.  I won’t know what the actual dollar amounts will be until I know how many entries I have.

I think that more or less covers everything.  If you’ve read all the way through this, congratulations!!!  It’s a bit of a long-winded message, but there’s a lot of information in there that people have asked about in the past as well as things that have caused me grief in the past.  I hope everyone can join.  It promises to be a fun tournament.  I’ll be hoping for a ton of upsets.  That always makes for a fun tournament.  I don’t like it as much when all the higher seeds win.  I actively discourage people from entering a bracket only by the seeds.  My favorite day of the tournament is selection Sunday, and my second favorite day is the day all gutless brackets are mathematically eliminated from any money.  I really can’t stand those types of picks.

Good luck to everyone!!!!

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