Probabilities for 4th place

Here are the people that can no longer get 4th place:

Abel R.

Adam E. #1

Adam E. #2

Ava S.

Brent E. #2

Brent S. #2

Carl B.

Carrie P. #2

Chad C.

Chad L. #1

Chris L. #2

Chris L. #3

Daisy N. #3

David S. #4

Dennis R. #1

Dennis R. #2

Dimitris M. #2

Dimitris M. #3

Elena S.

Esteban D.

Gary M. #1

Howard S. #4

Hutch H. #1

Hutch H. #2

Jack K. #3

James K.

Jeff W.

Jim D. #2

Joe K. #1

John E.

John M. #2

Josiah T. #1

Josiah T. #3

Justin G.

Kansas C.

Karl K.

Kevin W.

Kirt R.

Klei R. - RND

Klei R. #2

Larry G. #3

Marissa W. #1

Mark N. #2

Mason A. #2

Matt J. #2

Missy W. #1

Missy W. #2

Peter J. #4

Steve H.

Steve M. #1

Steve M. #2

Steve M. #4

Sue L.

Terry F. #2

William G. #4

...and the initial probabilities for 4th place:

1. Stephanie P. #5: 3.1646%

2. Marissa W. #2: 2.6953%

3. Michelle L. #2: 2.2749%

4. Chad L. #2: 2.111%

5. Ray W. #1: 2.0001%

6. Matt J. #3: 1.9663%

7. Christina S. #5: 1.7598%

8. Dan S.: 1.6988%

9. Meredith R.: 1.6428%

10. Robert H. #2: 1.6331%

11. Mason A. #4: 1.5965%

12. Jack K. #4: 1.5327%

13. Mason A. #1: 1.4794%

14. Andrzej R.: 1.4198%

15. Irene L. #1: 1.3999%

16. David S. #2: 1.3112%

17. Ally H.: 1.2907%

18. Miguel D.: 1.2325%

19. Stephanie P. #3: 1.1961%

20. Paul W.: 1.1814%

21. Eric V.: 1.1693%

22. Sally R.: 1.1494%

23. Ray W. #3: 1.1326%

24. Howard S. #3: 1.122%

25. Tracy V.: 1.1138%

26. Hal R. #2: 1.0991%

27. Todd K. #3: 1.0777%

28. Mark N. #1: 1.0774%

29. Luis B. #2: 1.0479%

30. Bhav R.: 0.9933%

31. Chris M. #3: 0.991%

32. Christina S. #1: 0.9852%

33. Carrie P. #4: 0.976%

34. James G. #1: 0.973%

35. Marissa W. #4: 0.9668%

36. Zachary V.: 0.9623%

37. Brett K. #2: 0.9516%

38. Daisy N. #5: 0.9297%

39. David S. #3: 0.9242%

40. Christina S. #2: 0.9134%

41. Ray W. #4: 0.9048%

42. Brent S. #1: 0.8931%

43. Daisy N. #1: 0.8509%

44. Jay K.: 0.8454%

45. Hal R. #1: 0.8249%

46. Chun W. #2: 0.7858%

47. Klei R. #1: 0.7781%

48. Brent E. #6: 0.7771%

49. Damien R. #1: 0.7694%

50. Klei - Alex O.: 0.745%

51. Tomas L. #4: 0.7219%

52. Eric C.: 0.709%

53. Scott Her. #2: 0.6938%

54. Peter J. #5: 0.6912%

55. Greg F.: 0.6823%

56. Michelle L. #3: 0.6805%

57. Jim W.: 0.6785%

58. Scott K. #1: 0.669%

59. Jay H. #3: 0.6527%

60. Joe K. #2: 0.6474%

61. Brent E. #3: 0.6378%

62. Ryan H.: 0.6108%

63. Tomas L. #3: 0.6042%

64. Rich F.: 0.5859%

65. Ron B.: 0.5825%

66. Tomas L. #1: 0.5564%

67. Scott Hass.: 0.5551%

68. Todd K. #2: 0.5171%

69. Christina S. #3: 0.5096%

70. Stephanie P. #4: 0.5017%

71. Gary W.: 0.4996%

72. Mike L. #1: 0.4964%

73. Stephanie P. #2: 0.475%

74. Matt J. #1: 0.474%

75. Chun W. #1: 0.4704%

76. William G. #3: 0.4623%

77. Marc R. #1: 0.4526%

78. Christina S. #6: 0.4516%

79. Virginia L. #1: 0.4414%

80. Chun W. #3: 0.4384%

81. Dan D. #2: 0.4272%

82. Damien R. #2: 0.4252%

83. Terry F. #1: 0.4247%

84. Jeff D.: 0.418%

85. Ben J. #3: 0.3992%

86. Josiah T. #4: 0.3926%

87. Ryan G.: 0.3702%

88. Peter J. #3: 0.3611%

89. Jay H. #2: 0.354%

90. Howard S. #2: 0.3433%

91. KenPom: 0.3423%

92. Josiah T. #2: 0.3417%

93. Dennis R. #3: 0.3356%

94. Matt J. #4: 0.3275%

95. William G. #2: 0.3214%

96. Amos W.: 0.3209%

97. Mike Sm.: 0.3209%

98. Matt N.: 0.3204%

99. Gene B. #2: 0.3194%

100. Josh S. #2: 0.3122%

101. Jay H. #1: 0.3112%

102. Roth W.: 0.3005%

103. Carrie P. #1: 0.2983%

104. Michelle L. #1: 0.2962%

105. Larry G. #2: 0.2935%

106. Steve D.: 0.2909%

107. John M. #1: 0.2843%

108. Tim N.: 0.2822%

109. Peter J. #1: 0.2756%

110. Gary M. #2: 0.27%

111. Ben W.: 0.2683%

112. Virginia L. #2: 0.2667%

113. Brett W.: 0.2648%

114. Joseph H.: 0.2612%

115. Chris L. #1: 0.2604%

116. Amelia H.: 0.2527%

117. Erica A.: 0.2471%

118. Julie S.: 0.238%

118. Sarah G.: 0.238%

120. Marissa W. #3: 0.2349%

121. Stan C. #2: 0.229%

122. Josh S. #1: 0.2283%

123. Damien R. #3: 0.2141%

124. Daryl J.: 0.2115%

125. Josh C.: 0.2105%

126. Dimitris M. #5: 0.2054%

127. Daisy N. #2: 0.2019%

128. Taima B. #2: 0.2016%

129. Becky H.: 0.1825%

130. Gutless Dimitris: 0.178%

131. Brent E. #4: 0.1729%

132. Ben J. #1: 0.1721%

133. James G. #2: 0.1708%

134. Luis B. #1: 0.1644%

135. April K.: 0.1626%

136. Robert H. #1: 0.1561%

137. Daisy N. #4: 0.1495%

138. Brent E. #1: 0.1413%

139. Scott Her. #1: 0.1383%

140. Brett K. #1: 0.1383%

141. Stan C. #1: 0.1337%

142. Larry G. #1: 0.1269%

143. Brent E. #5: 0.1251%

144. Michelle L. #4: 0.1185%

145. Taima B. #1: 0.1176%

146. Kyle V.: 0.1129%

147. Brad R.: 0.1113%

148. Karen C. #3: 0.1057%

149. Irene L. #2: 0.1037%

149. Ray W. #2: 0.1037%

151. Tomas L. #2: 0.0925%

152. Mike L. #3: 0.089%

153. Chun W. #4: 0.0885%

153. Mason A. #3: 0.0885%

155. Dan D. #1: 0.0879%

156. Larry G. #4: 0.0868%

157. Karen C. #1: 0.0854%

158. Dimitris M. #4: 0.0834%

159. Scott K. #2: 0.0813%

160. Chris M. #2: 0.0804%

161. Gene B. #1: 0.0801%

162. Jack K. #1: 0.0762%

163. David S. #1: 0.0736%

164. Dominic M.: 0.0666%

165. Todd K. #4: 0.061%

166. Brian G.: 0.059%

166. Christina S. #4: 0.059%

168. Marc R. #2: 0.0586%

169. Bosun S.: 0.0569%

170. Chris M. #4: 0.0518%

171. Todd K. #1: 0.0518%

172. Shawn S.B.: 0.0488%

173. Jack K. #2: 0.0478%

174. Howard S. #1: 0.0478%

175. Andrea A.: 0.0449%

175. Mike L. #2: 0.0449%

177. Karen C. #2: 0.0391%

178. Amy D.: 0.0362%

179. Alex T.: 0.0345%

180. Peter J. #2: 0.0338%

181. Mike San #2: 0.0305%

182. Mike San #1: 0.0295%

183. Josiah T. #5: 0.0244%

184. Ben J. #2: 0.0213%

185. Carrie P. #3: 0.0183%

186. Jim D. #1: 0.0174%

187. Stephanie P. #1: 0.0122%

187. William G. #1: 0.0122%

189. Chris M. #1: 0.0091%

190. Luis B. #3: 0.0061%

190. Steve M. #3: 0.0061%

Good luck!!!!!