Saturday, March 18, 2023

2023 NCAA - SDSU fans can breathe

 The nice thing about having the team I care most about playing in the first game is that you know if you are going to be happy most of the day, or you are going to be grouchy.  The cherry on top of that is if your team makes the game a runaway so that you don’t have to worry about losing for about the last 15 minutes of game time.  That’s the San Diego State team I am used to seeing.  I’m really, really happy for them.  They’ve had marginal success in the tournament in years past, including the year they finished the season 30-2 and they cancelled the tournament because of COVID.  This feels pretty good.  I am going to pull for Maryland later today, but if SDSU can play this good, they have a good chance against anybody.

Here are the updated standings:

1. Luis B. #4: 28 (-10) - Alabama

2. Noah N.: 28 (-12) - Alabama

3. Eric V. #3: 28 (-38) - Texas

4. Irene H. #5: 27 (-11) - Marquette

5. Irene H. #6: 27 (-13) - Houston

6. Deanna T.: 27 (-19) - Kansas

7. Brent E. #3: 27 (-23) - Alabama

7. Irene H. #3: 27 (-23) - Alabama

9. Kristin G.: 27 (-27) - Kansas

10. Matt O.: 27 (-31) - UCLA

11. Kealoha G.: 27 (-43) - Houston

12. Brent S. #2: 27 (-51) - Texas

13. Brent E. #4: 27 (-77) - Purdue

13. CAAT #1 (Adam O.): 27 (-77) - Purdue

15. Chun W. #3: 26 (-12) - Texas

16. House Rules (Jacob S.): 26 (-16) - Houston

16. Luis B. #3: 26 (-16) - Alabama

16. Luis B. #5: 26 (-16) - Alabama

16. Luis B. #6: 26 (-16) - Alabama

16. Michael S.: 26 (-16) - Houston

21. Mason A. #2: 26 (-18) - Gonzaga

21. Quinn1130 (Brett G.): 26 (-18) - Duke

23. Andrew D. #1: 26 (-20) - Houston

23. Hutch H. #1: 26 (-20) - Kansas

25. Brent E. #2: 26 (-22) - Marquette

26. Brent E. #1: 26 (-24) - Alabama

26. Snoop Dogg: 26 (-24) - UCLA

28. Chun W. #4: 26 (-26) - Houston

29. Mason A. #4: 26 (-48) - UCLA

30. Ryan W.: 26 (-84) - Purdue

31. April K.: 26 (-86) - Purdue

31. Marblesox: 26 (-86) - Arizona

33. Andy Katz: 26 (-88) - Purdue

34. Jeremy H.: 25 (-13) - Kentucky

35. Connor W.: 25 (-17) - Alabama

35. Dustin D. #1: 25 (-17) - Houston

35. Emily T.: 25 (-17) - Alabama

38. Karen C.: 25 (-19) - UCLA

39. Dawn G.: 25 (-21) - Gonzaga

39. Eric V. #1: 25 (-21) - Houston

39. Luis B. #1: 25 (-21) - Alabama

42. Jason S.: 25 (-23) - Houston

42. Melody T.: 25 (-23) - Baylor

44. Brent S. #1: 25 (-25) - Duke

45. Mary Lou H.: 25 (-29) - Houston

45. Sacrificial Gutless Bracket: 25 (-29) - Alabama

47. JB Erickson: 25 (-31) - Gonzaga

48. Matt N.: 25 (-41) - Houston

49. Brad R.: 25 (-75) - Arizona

50. Tim D. #2: 25 (-91) - Purdue

51. Barack O.: 24 (-16) - Duke

51. Brandon B.: 24 (-16) - Texas

51. Brian K.: 24 (-16) - Alabama

54. William M. #1: 24 (-18) - Alabama

55. Dan Dz.: 24 (-20) - Kansas

55. Dustin D. #3: 24 (-20) - Houston

57. Devils (Brett G.): 24 (-22) - Houston

57. Dianna A.: 24 (-22) - Texas

59. Chad L. #2: 24 (-24) - Gonzaga

60. Ally H.: 24 (-26) - Alabama

61. Tiggy Tony (Tony N.): 24 (-28) - Duke

62. Amanda R.: 24 (-30) - Baylor

62. Klei R. #3: 24 (-30) - UCLA

62. Scarlett H.: 24 (-30) - Kansas

65. Elliot N.: 24 (-32) - Houston

65. Miela314 (Brett G.): 24 (-32) - Alabama

65. RB Blackburn: 24 (-32) - Indiana

65. Szecho L.: 24 (-32) - UCLA

65. Veronica G.: 24 (-32) - Kansas State

70. Jacob A.: 24 (-42) - UCLA

70. Stefon K.: 24 (-42) - Kansas

72. Mindi W.: 24 (-44) - UCLA

73. Elizabeth N. #1: 24 (-58) - Houston

74. Daniel E.: 24 (-72) - UCLA

75. Kylan G.: 24 (-76) - Purdue

76. James G.: 24 (-86) - Purdue

77. Chad L. #3: 24 (-90) - Arizona

78. Cool Guy (Wytosick): 23 (-25) - Marquette

78. Dylan B.: 23 (-25) - Marquette

80. Mike N.: 23 (-29) - Duke

81. Andrew D. #3: 23 (-31) - Alabama

81. Jim W.: 23 (-31) - Alabama

83. Chad L. #1: 23 (-33) - Duke

83. Craig G.: 23 (-33) - Kansas

83. Nick M.: 23 (-33) - Alabama

86. Schmuidos #1 (Bob & Max): 23 (-35) - Gonzaga

87. Chun W. #1: 23 (-37) - Kansas

87. Samer C.: 23 (-37) - Alabama

89. Nick I.: 23 (-41) - UCLA

90. Chun W. #2: 23 (-49) - Gonzaga

90. Kirt R. #2: 23 (-49) - Houston

92. SD Azteco (Dan McK.): 23 (-53) - Gonzaga

93. Jaxon S.: 23 (-55) - Kansas

94. John A.: 23 (-57) - Texas

94. Kirt R. #1: 23 (-57) - Houston

96. Scott K. #1: 23 (-59) - Gonzaga

97. Baily T.: 23 (-75) - Purdue

98. Dan D.: 23 (-77) - Purdue

98. Hack a Zach (Dave F.): 23 (-77) - Purdue

100. Chris M.: 23 (-79) - Purdue

100. D Row (Dennis R.): 23 (-79) - Purdue

100. Schmuidos #2 (Bob & Max): 23 (-79) - Arizona

103. Nick D.: 23 (-81) - Purdue

104. Bret K. #1: 23 (-83) - Purdue

105. Cicely K.: 22 (-16) - Alabama

106. Pete J. #1: 22 (-18) - Houston

107. Luis B. #2: 22 (-20) - Alabama

107. Stephen C.: 22 (-20) - Alabama

107. Tom W Bel.: 22 (-20) - Kansas

110. Dustin D. #2: 22 (-22) - Kansas

110. Jay H. #2: 22 (-22) - Texas

110. Pete J. #5: 22 (-22) - Alabama

110. Tim D. #1: 22 (-22) - Alabama

114. TJ Val.: 22 (-24) - Houston

114. Tomas L.: 22 (-24) - Houston

116. Becky H.: 22 (-26) - Marquette

116. Damien R. #2: 22 (-26) - Alabama

116. Rob I. #1: 22 (-26) - San Diego State

116. Scott H. #1: 22 (-26) - Alabama

120. Chris L. #3: 22 (-28) - Alabama

120. Chris L. #4: 22 (-28) - Connecticut

120. Pete J. #2: 22 (-28) - Alabama

120. Valerie D.: 22 (-28) - Houston

120. Vang L. #1: 22 (-28) - Gonzaga

125. Eric S. #1: 22 (-30) - Houston

125. Josh C.: 22 (-30) - UCLA

127. Chris L. #1: 22 (-34) - Alabama

127. Chris L. #2: 22 (-34) - Houston

127. Jared B.: 22 (-34) - Kansas

127. Scott H. #2: 22 (-34) - Houston

131. Derek B.: 22 (-38) - Marquette

131. Max A. #2: 22 (-38) - Houston

133. Marshmallow (Nikolajs B.): 22 (-44) - UCLA

134. Pete J. #4: 22 (-46) - Connecticut

134. Shanky G.: 22 (-46) - Houston

136. Dustin B.: 22 (-54) - Gonzaga

137. Max A. #1: 22 (-56) - Houston

138. Carrie F.: 22 (-62) - UCLA

139. Ben S. #1: 22 (-78) - Arizona

139. CAAT #2 (Adam O.): 22 (-78) - Arizona

139. William M. #2: 22 (-78) - Arizona

142. Irene H. #2: 22 (-80) - Arizona

142. Paul K. #2: 22 (-80) - Arizona

144. Eric S. #2: 22 (-90) - Arizona

145. Chad L. #4: 22 (-94) - Purdue

145. Steve D. #1: 22 (-94) - Purdue

147. Josiah T.: 21 (-17) - Houston

148. Hurry Up #1: 21 (-19) - Gonzaga

149. Andrew D. #2: 21 (-21) - Houston

149. Brett W.: 21 (-21) - Gonzaga

149. Mike W.: 21 (-21) - Marquette

152. Irene H. #1: 21 (-25) - Houston

152. Pete J. #6: 21 (-25) - Houston

154. Mustard (Nikolajs B.): 21 (-27) - San Diego State

155. Vang L. #2: 21 (-29) - Gonzaga

156. Klei R. #1: 21 (-31) - Houston

157. Daisy N. #5: 21 (-33) - Houston

158. Daisy N. #2: 21 (-35) - Alabama

159. Charlotte N.: 21 (-39) - Connecticut

160. CAAT #3 (Adam O.): 21 (-47) - Gonzaga

160. Hutch H. #2: 21 (-47) - Houston

160. William M. #3: 21 (-47) - Kansas

163. Adam E.: 21 (-49) - Texas

164. Harrell R. #2: 21 (-57) - Connecticut

164. Jackson I.: 21 (-57) - UCLA

166. Michelle L. #3: 21 (-59) - Kansas

167. Paul K. #1: 21 (-61) - UCLA

168. Kyler T.: 21 (-71) - Houston

169. Chris T.: 21 (-79) - Arizona

169. Dave A.: 21 (-79) - Purdue

171. Daisy N. #4: 21 (-81) - Purdue

172. Rob I. #2: 21 (-93) - Arizona

173. Jon F.: 21 (-95) - Purdue

174. Greg L.: 21 (-97) - Purdue

175. Chris E.: 20 (-18) - Baylor

175. Howard S. #1: 20 (-18) - Houston

177. Howard S. #2: 20 (-22) - Texas

178. Dimitris M.: 20 (-24) - Alabama

178. Harrell R. #3: 20 (-24) - UCLA

180. Pete J. #3: 20 (-26) - Marquette

181. Melissa W.: 20 (-34) - Gonzaga

182. Elizabeth N. #3: 20 (-36) - Kansas

182. Harrell R. #1: 20 (-36) - Texas

182. Stan C.: 20 (-36) - UCLA

185. Hero R.: 20 (-60) - Houston

186. Jonny Y.: 20 (-62) - UCLA

187. Bret K. #2: 20 (-64) - Texas

188. Damien R. #1: 20 (-78) - Arizona

189. Michelle L. #4: 20 (-82) - Purdue

190. James P.: 20 (-86) - Arizona

191. Sally R.: 20 (-88) - Arizona

192. Irene H. #4: 20 (-96) - Purdue

193. Alyssa B.: 20 (-102) - Purdue

194. Adalyn H.: 20 (-128) - Purdue

195. Daisy N. #1: 19 (-19) - Kansas

196. Matt H.: 19 (-21) - Houston

196. Michelle L. #1: 19 (-21) - Alabama

198. Derek H.: 19 (-23) - Duke

199. Ben S. #2: 19 (-25) - UCLA

200. Tyler C.: 19 (-29) - Alabama

201. Michelle L. #2: 19 (-31) - Houston

202. Hurry Up #2: 19 (-37) - Houston

203. Eric G.: 19 (-39) - Gonzaga

204. CAAT #4 (Adam O.): 19 (-49) - Connecticut

205. Damien R. #4: 19 (-55) - Alabama

206. Jay H. #1: 19 (-65) - Kansas

207. Klei R. #4: 19 (-81) - Purdue

207. Upset City (Brett G.): 19 (-81) - Arizona

209. Mason A. #1: 19 (-83) - Arizona

210. Bret K. #3: 19 (-85) - Arizona

211. Niren D.: 18 (-20) - Texas

212. W Lafayette Blues (Dave F.): 18 (-22) - Texas

213. Paul K. #3: 18 (-26) - Houston

214. Eric V. #2: 18 (-28) - Alabama

215. Scott K. #2: 18 (-30) - Houston

216. Damien R. #3: 18 (-34) - Alabama

217. Elizabeth N. #2: 18 (-38) - Alabama

218. Michelle L. #5: 18 (-46) - Marquette

219. Mark B.: 18 (-52) - Kansas

220. Bryce S.: 18 (-56) - Texas

220. Klei R. #2: 18 (-56) - Gonzaga

222. Steve D. #2: 18 (-66) - UCLA

223. Chase L.: 18 (-82) - UCLA

224. Chrissy S.: 18 (-84) - UCLA

225. Shawn D.: 18 (-122) - Purdue

226. Tim N.: 17 (-27) - Marquette

227. Kristina H.: 17 (-53) - Kansas

228. Mason A. #3: 16 (-50) - Kansas

229. Brandie H.: 16 (-52) - Duke

230. Daisy N. #3: 16 (-60) - Gonzaga

231. Aaron E.: 15 (-77) - Creighton

232. Brandon H.: 14 (-78) - UCLA

233. Colonel Sander (Eric S. #3): 13 (-99) - Purdue

….  And the net points:

1. Luis B. #4 (18)

2. Noah N. (16)

2. Irene H. #5 (16)

4. Irene H. #6 (14)

4. Chun W. #3 (14)

6. Jeremy H. (12)

7. House Rules (Jacob S.) (10)

7. Luis B. #3 (10)

7. Luis B. #5 (10)

7. Luis B. #6 (10)

7. Michael S. (10)

12. Deanna T. (8)

12. Mason A. #2 (8)

12. Quinn1130 (Brett G.) (8)

12. Connor W. (8)

12. Dustin D. #1 (8)

12. Emily T. (8)

12. Barack O. (8)

12. Brandon B. (8)

12. Brian K. (8)

21. Andrew D. #1 (6)

21. Hutch H. #1 (6)

21. Karen C. (6)

21. William M. #1 (6)

21. Cicely K. (6)

26. Brent E. #3 (4)

26. Irene H. #3 (4)

26. Brent E. #2 (4)

26. Dawn G. (4)

26. Eric V. #1 (4)

26. Luis B. #1 (4)

26. Dan Dz. (4)

26. Dustin D. #3 (4)

26. Pete J. #1 (4)

26. Josiah T. (4)

36. Brent E. #1 (2)

36. Snoop Dogg (2)

36. Jason S. (2)

36. Melody T. (2)

36. Devils (Brett G.) (2)

36. Dianna A. (2)

36. Luis B. #2 (2)

36. Stephen C. (2)

36. Tom W Bel. (2)

36. Hurry Up #1 (2)

36. Chris E. (2)

36. Howard S. #1 (2)

48. Kristin G. (0)

48. Chun W. #4 (0)

48. Brent S. #1 (0)

48. Chad L. #2 (0)

48. Dustin D. #2 (0)

48. Jay H. #2 (0)

48. Pete J. #5 (0)

48. Tim D. #1 (0)

48. Andrew D. #2 (0)

48. Brett W. (0)

48. Mike W. (0)

48. Daisy N. #1 (0)

60. Ally H. (-2)

60. Cool Guy (Wytosick) (-2)

60. Dylan B. (-2)

60. TJ Val. (-2)

60. Tomas L. (-2)

60. Howard S. #2 (-2)

60. Matt H. (-2)

60. Michelle L. #1 (-2)

60. Niren D. (-2)

69. Matt O. (-4)

69. Mary Lou H. (-4)

69. Sacrificial Gutless Bracket (-4)

69. Tiggy Tony (Tony N.) (-4)

69. Becky H. (-4)

69. Damien R. #2 (-4)

69. Rob I. #1 (-4)

69. Scott H. #1 (-4)

69. Irene H. #1 (-4)

69. Pete J. #6 (-4)

69. Dimitris M. (-4)

69. Harrell R. #3 (-4)

69. Derek H. (-4)

69. W Lafayette Blues (Dave F.) (-4)

83. JB Erickson (-6)

83. Amanda R. (-6)

83. Klei R. #3 (-6)

83. Scarlett H. (-6)

83. Mike N. (-6)

83. Chris L. #3 (-6)

83. Chris L. #4 (-6)

83. Pete J. #2 (-6)

83. Valerie D. (-6)

83. Vang L. #1 (-6)

83. Mustard (Nikolajs B.) (-6)

83. Pete J. #3 (-6)

83. Ben S. #2 (-6)

96. Elliot N. (-8)

96. Miela314 (Brett G.) (-8)

96. RB Blackburn (-8)

96. Szecho L. (-8)

96. Veronica G. (-8)

96. Andrew D. #3 (-8)

96. Jim W. (-8)

96. Eric S. #1 (-8)

96. Josh C. (-8)

96. Vang L. #2 (-8)

96. Paul K. #3 (-8)

107. Eric V. #3 (-10)

107. Chad L. #1 (-10)

107. Craig G. (-10)

107. Nick M. (-10)

107. Klei R. #1 (-10)

107. Tyler C. (-10)

107. Eric V. #2 (-10)

107. Tim N. (-10)

115. Schmuidos #1 (Bob & Max) (-12)

115. Chris L. #1 (-12)

115. Chris L. #2 (-12)

115. Jared B. (-12)

115. Scott H. #2 (-12)

115. Daisy N. #5 (-12)

115. Michelle L. #2 (-12)

115. Scott K. #2 (-12)

123. Chun W. #1 (-14)

123. Samer C. (-14)

123. Daisy N. #2 (-14)

123. Melissa W. (-14)

127. Kealoha G. (-16)

127. Matt N. (-16)

127. Derek B. (-16)

127. Max A. #2 (-16)

127. Elizabeth N. #3 (-16)

127. Harrell R. #1 (-16)

127. Stan C. (-16)

127. Damien R. #3 (-16)

135. Jacob A. (-18)

135. Stefon K. (-18)

135. Nick I. (-18)

135. Charlotte N. (-18)

135. Hurry Up #2 (-18)

140. Mindi W. (-20)

140. Eric G. (-20)

140. Elizabeth N. #2 (-20)

143. Mason A. #4 (-22)

143. Marshmallow (Nikolajs B.) (-22)

145. Brent S. #2 (-24)

145. Pete J. #4 (-24)

145. Shanky G. (-24)

148. Chun W. #2 (-26)

148. Kirt R. #2 (-26)

148. CAAT #3 (Adam O.) (-26)

148. Hutch H. #2 (-26)

148. William M. #3 (-26)

153. Adam E. (-28)

153. Michelle L. #5 (-28)

155. SD Azteco (Dan McK.) (-30)

155. CAAT #4 (Adam O.) (-30)

157. Jaxon S. (-32)

157. Dustin B. (-32)

159. Elizabeth N. #1 (-34)

159. John A. (-34)

159. Kirt R. #1 (-34)

159. Max A. #1 (-34)

159. Mark B. (-34)

159. Mason A. #3 (-34)

165. Scott K. #1 (-36)

165. Harrell R. #2 (-36)

165. Jackson I. (-36)

165. Damien R. #4 (-36)

165. Kristina H. (-36)

165. Brandie H. (-36)

171. Michelle L. #3 (-38)

171. Bryce S. (-38)

171. Klei R. #2 (-38)

174. Carrie F. (-40)

174. Paul K. #1 (-40)

174. Hero R. (-40)

177. Jonny Y. (-42)

178. Bret K. #2 (-44)

178. Daisy N. #3 (-44)

180. Jay H. #1 (-46)

181. Daniel E. (-48)

181. Steve D. #2 (-48)

183. Brent E. #4 (-50)

183. CAAT #1 (Adam O.) (-50)

183. Brad R. (-50)

183. Kyler T. (-50)

187. Kylan G. (-52)

187. Baily T. (-52)

189. Dan D. (-54)

189. Hack a Zach (Dave F.) (-54)

191. Chris M. (-56)

191. D Row (Dennis R.) (-56)

191. Schmuidos #2 (Bob & Max) (-56)

191. Ben S. #1 (-56)

191. CAAT #2 (Adam O.) (-56)

191. William M. #2 (-56)

197. Ryan W. (-58)

197. Nick D. (-58)

197. Irene H. #2 (-58)

197. Paul K. #2 (-58)

197. Chris T. (-58)

197. Dave A. (-58)

197. Damien R. #1 (-58)

204. April K. (-60)

204. Marblesox (-60)

204. Bret K. #1 (-60)

204. Daisy N. #4 (-60)

208. Andy Katz (-62)

208. James G. (-62)

208. Michelle L. #4 (-62)

208. Klei R. #4 (-62)

208. Upset City (Brett G.) (-62)

208. Aaron E. (-62)

214. Mason A. #1 (-64)

214. Chase L. (-64)

214. Brandon H. (-64)

217. Tim D. #2 (-66)

217. Chad L. #3 (-66)

217. James P. (-66)

217. Bret K. #3 (-66)

217. Chrissy S. (-66)

222. Eric S. #2 (-68)

222. Sally R. (-68)

224. Chad L. #4 (-72)

224. Steve D. #1 (-72)

224. Rob I. #2 (-72)

227. Jon F. (-74)

228. Greg L. (-76)

228. Irene H. #4 (-76)

230. Alyssa B. (-82)

231. Colonel Sander (Eric S. #3) (-86)

232. Shawn D. (-104)

233. Adalyn H. (-108)

Game 34

Tennessee / Duke

Vegas Line: Duke -3.5

Picks for Tennessee: 68

Picks for Duke: 149

Picks for Other: 15

If you remember my commentary on the opening game with Tennessee, you know that they are a team that has a history of choking in the tournament.  This Duke team is playing about as good as anybody in the tournament right now, so it makes some sense they are picked in the way they are.  This is also a very important game given that Purdue is no longer a potential matchup in the next game.  It’s a real opportunity for one of these teams.

I also want to comment on how the NCAA people pick the seeds.  In years past, they used to look at “recent games” as a factor.  They stopped doing that a few years ago.  If they still had that criteria, I douby Duke would have been a 5, and I also doubt Tennessee would have been a 4.  If you assume every game is the same over the course of the year, this seeding makes sense.  As of right now, it doesn’t.  Then again, maybe they can play the disrespect card all the way to victory today.  We will see.

I was curious yesterday after FDU beat Purdue as a 23 point underdog.  Was that the biggest upset of the season?  Well, given the timing of it, probably.  Based on the numbers, it wasn’t.  First, it’s good to know just how many games this season even had a point spread of 23 points or more.  There were 182 games where the line was 24 points or more.  Only 9 of those games were in 2023.  Almost all of them were in the nonconference part of the season. 

So, in those games, only 3 times did the underdog actually win the game.  The biggest upset of the season was Iowa on 12/21.  They were at home playing against Eastern Illinois.  They were 31.5 point favorites and they lost by 9.  Ouch….  The second biggest upset of the season was TCU on 11/14.  I would argue that this is the game that knocked TCU out of its lofty pre-season ranking.  They played Northwestern State at home and were 24.5 point favorites.  They lost by 1.  Northwestern State finished the season 22-11 and finished 2nd in their conference to TAMUCC, so this maybe shouldn’t have been a 24.5 point line anyway.

Third was FDU vs. Purdue yesterday.  It was the most impactful, that’s for sure.  Lets hope for more craziness today!!!

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