Recap of 12/23 Games

 Make of this what you will – Of the 6 people who are currently in the top 10 in BOTH points and net points, 4 are women, one is Moochi the Man, and one is a colloquial expression: “Slave to Trends”.  Also, of the 7 games played today, only one went to the favorite according to the Vegas line.  So far, of the top 8 games that have been played in terms of points wagered, 6 of them went to the underdog.  I’m guessing that all the player movement is making these games very hard to predict.  I remember in years’ past, hoping that 1 in 3 games would end in an upset.  Then again, I remember when players who played in the regular season would actually play in their teams Bowl games, so the landscape of college athletics is definitely changing.

Because of what I said above, it’s not hard to believe that the average sheet today garnered a -38.43 points.  It was some pretty tough sledding out there in the Bowl pool.  Only 14 people won more points than they lost today.  If you were one of those, you are looking really good right now.  If anything, it looks like there are a lot more people in the running today than there were at the start of the day, and that’s a good thing.  One bad thing about this pool sometimes is that someone jumps out to a huge lead and the later games don’t really mean anything.  If things keep going as they are, all games should be relevant, and I like that a lot.

As I mentioned, there were not a lot of points picked up today.  The average person only got 2.65 games correct all day.  The best anyone did was 5-2, and that was 3 people (Ryan W., “Slave to Trends” and Charlotte N.).  If you remember yesterday, I said I was particularly worried about Charlotte N., since she may or may not be the reincarnated mathematician John Nash from “A Beautiful Mind”.

Anyway, here’s who did the best just over the 7 games played today:

In point alone:

1. Slave to Trends: 137 (-40)

2. Charlotte N.: 129 (-59)

3. Klei R.: 115 (-91)

4. Amber the Beast: 95 (-85)

5. Steve M. #1: 92 (-78)

6. Steve M. #2: 89 (-69)

7. Sally R.: 88 (-46)

8. Pete J. #2: 88 (-78)

9. Jason S.: 87 (-99)

10. Damien R.: 84 (-105)

In Net points:

1. Slave to Trends: 97

2. Charlotte N.: 70

3. Sally R.: 42

4. Dennis R.: 37

5. Matt Mal.: 29

6. Klei R.: 24

7. Steve M. #2: 20

8. Steve M. #1: 14

9. Amber the Beast: 10

9. Pete J. #2: 10

Like I said, net 10 points puts you in the top 10 for the day.  That’s how hard it was.

Here are the overall rankings:

1. Moochi the Man: 277 (-107)

2. Ally H.: 271 (-70)

3. Sally R.: 260 (-133)

4. Steve M. #2: 254 (-200)

5. Amber the Beast: 248 (-167)

6. Slave to Trends: 247 (-143)

7. Jay H. #2: 242 (-191)

8. Mike S.: 241 (-191)

9. Charlotte N.: 239 (-98)

10. Jason S.: 238 (-184)

11. Dennis R.: 232 (-64)

12. Klei R.: 227 (-135)

13. Hutch H. #2: 217 (-175)

14. Matt N.: 216 (-182)

15. Brian K.: 213 (-98)

16. Steve Dz.: 210 (-184)

17. Dylan B.: 210 (-189)

18. Brent E. #1: 208 (-100)

19. Josaih T. #1: 208 (-145)

20. Steve M. #1: 205 (-134)

21. Marc R. #1: 203 (-136)

22. Jon F.: 203 (-182)

23. Josaih T. #2: 200 (-153)

24. Michelle L. #2: 200 (-211)

25. Daniel E.: 195 (-186)

26. Brent E. #4: 194 (-189)

27. Matt Mal.: 193 (-136)

28. Larry G.: 193 (-178)

29. Brent E. #2: 192 (-171)

29. Brent E. #3: 192 (-171)

31. Damien R.: 174 (-151)

32. Hutch H. #1: 171 (-221)

33. CAAT #1: 168 (-188)

33. CAAT #3: 168 (-188)

33. CAAT #4: 168 (-188)

36. Sports Illustrated: 168 (-195)

37. Pete J. #2: 167 (-183)

38. Scott H. #2: 166 (-181)

39. Michelle L. #1: 165 (-200)

40. Matt Mei.: 165 (-202)

41. Max A. #1: 164 (-253)

42. Rich F.: 161 (-204)

43. Mike N.: 160 (-176)

44. Jay H. #1: 158 (-132)

45. Howard S.: 156 (-198)

46. Jim W.: 155 (-168)

47. CAAT #2: 154 (-188)

48. Scott H. #1: 150 (-80)

49. Max A. #2: 147 (-270)

50. Mario M.: 145 (-150)

51. Ryan W.: 142 (-177)

52. Pete J. #1: 141 (-209)

53. Andrew D.: 139 (-148)

54. Brett W.: 138 (-126)

55. Faye N.: 137 (-188)

56. Jim D.: 135 (-125)

57. Adam E.: 135 (-191)

58. CAAT #5: 133 (-222)

59. Carrie F.: 126 (-164)

60. Becky H.: 118 (-134)

61. Mike W.: 118 (-181)

62. Paul Kr.: 114 (-132)

63. Henry A.: 98 (-148)

64. Kirt R.: 91 (-207)

65. Tim N.: 87 (-101)

66. Brad R.: 86 (-224)

67. Jaxon S.: 82 (-89)

68. Eric G.: 81 (-90)

68. Marc R. #2: 81 (-90)

70. Dan Du.: 68 (-183)

…and the net points:

1. Ally H.: 201

2. Moochi the Man: 170

3. Dennis R.: 168

4. Charlotte N.: 141

5. Sally R.: 127

6. Brian K.: 115

7. Brent E. #1: 108

8. Slave to Trends: 104

9. Klei R.: 92

10. Amber the Beast: 81

11. Steve M. #1: 71

12. Scott H. #1: 70

13. Marc R. #1: 67

14. Josaih T. #1: 63

15. Matt Mal.: 57

16. Steve M. #2: 54

16. Jason S.: 54

18. Jay H. #2: 51

19. Mike S.: 50

20. Josaih T. #2: 47

21. Hutch H. #2: 42

22. Matt N.: 34

23. Steve Dz.: 26

23. Jay H. #1: 26

25. Damien R.: 23

26. Dylan B.: 21

26. Jon F.: 21

26. Brent E. #2: 21

26. Brent E. #3: 21

30. Larry G.: 15

31. Brett W.: 12

32. Jim D.: 10

33. Daniel E.: 9

34. Brent E. #4: 5

35. Mario M.: -5

36. Jaxon S.: -7

37. Andrew D.: -9

37. Eric G.: -9

37. Marc R. #2: -9

40. Michelle L. #2: -11

41. Jim W.: -13

42. Tim N.: -14

43. Scott H. #2: -15

44. Pete J. #2: -16

44. Mike N.: -16

44. Becky H.: -16

47. Paul Kr.: -18

48. CAAT #1: -20

48. CAAT #3: -20

48. CAAT #4: -20

51. Sports Illustrated: -27

52. CAAT #2: -34

53. Michelle L. #1: -35

53. Ryan W.: -35

55. Matt Mei.: -37

56. Carrie F.: -38

57. Howard S.: -42

58. Rich F.: -43

59. Hutch H. #1: -50

59. Henry A.: -50

61. Faye N.: -51

62. Adam E.: -56

63. Mike W.: -63

64. Pete J. #1: -68

65. Max A. #1: -89

65. CAAT #5: -89

67. Dan Du.: -115

68. Kirt R.: -116

69. Max A. #2: -123

70. Brad R.: -138

We are getting to the point where probabilities are about to show up.  Since the structure of the games is different than March Madness, I don’t have to wait until there are 15 games left.  If I only do it with Excel, I can probably do it before the games on the 28^th.  That would be 17 games to go.  That’s not too bad.  I was able to get my AWS Workspace working, and Python loaded on it, so with any luck I can work on that over the next few days and be able to get probabilities earlier.  We will see.  Either way, I will keep you posted.

We are off from football for a few days (at least NCAA football).  Next games are on Boxing Day, so enjoy your holidays and check back in on 12/26 for more updates.

Merry Christmas everyone!!!!