Initial Probabilities of winning 2nd place

There are only 40 entries that mathematically eliminated from 2^nd place.  Still the worst case scenario is a 5-way tie.  Here are the 40 unlucky brackets:

Alexander N. #2

Andy P.

Ben J. #3

Ben P.

Ben W. #1

Bhav R. #1

Bhav R. #2

Bret K. #1

Bret K. #3

Brett W.

Bryce S.

Chad L.

Chris T. #3

Craig G.

Craig McG.

Daisy N. #3

Dan D. #2

Dennis R. #1

Hutch H. #1

J. Mack #1

J. Mack #3

Jackson I

Jacob A.

James G. #2

Jaxon S.

Joel B. #3

Josiah T. #1

Kate G.

Kevin F. #2

Kiah H.

Luis B. #2

Michelle L. #1

Mike N.

Nick I

Tim N.

Tristan E.

Veronica A.

Wayne D. #1

William G. #2

Zach T.

…and the initial probabilities of winning 2^nd place:

1.: Nikolajs B. (3.9655%) - LSU

2.: Chris M. (3.6743%) - Virginia

3.: E. Rucker #2 (2.785%) - LSU

4.: Tomas L. (2.6459%) - Houston

5.: Klei R. #2 (2.5258%) - Texas Tech

6.: Daisy N. #17 (2.4221%) - Michigan

7.: Jason S. (2.2252%) - Duke

8.: Daisy N. #6 (2.1835%) - Houston

9.: Ben J. #4 (2.1027%) - Texas Tech

10.: Irene H. #7 (2.0081%) - Tennessee

11.: Dan D. #1 (1.9577%) - Oregon

12.: Ben S. #2 (1.9353%) - Texas Tech

13.: Steve Dz. (1.917%) - Florida State

14.: Daisy N. #12 (1.8194%) - Houston

15.: Ben S. #3 (1.7832%) - Gonzaga

16.: Brent S. #2 (1.7161%) - Kentucky

17.: Szecho L. #1 (1.6671%) - Duke

18.: Josh D. #3 (1.6149%) - Kentucky

19.: Joel B. #1 (1.2884%) - Michigan State

20.: Irene H. #4 (1.2417%) - Michigan State

21.: Ryan P. (1.1871%) - Michigan

22.: Dustin B. (1.1429%) - Tennessee

23.: Harrell R. #3 (1.123%) - Duke

24.: Irene H. #6 (1.0597%) - Kentucky

25.: Brian K. (1.0574%) - Tennessee

26.: Joe D. #2 (1.0504%) - Duke

27.: David W. (1.0483%) - North Carolina

28.: Irene H. #3 (1.0419%) - Kentucky

29.: Mike W. (1.0305%) - Virginia

30.: Stefon K. (1.0284%) - Virginia

31.: Max A. #2 (1.0106%) - Gonzaga

32.: Jay K. (0.9839%) - Michigan State

32.: Washington Post (0.9839%) - Michigan State

34.: Joel B. #4 (0.97%) - Duke

35.: Mike S. #2 (0.9684%) - Gonzaga

36.: Kevin F. #3 (0.9555%) - Kentucky

37.: Alexander N. #5 (0.9527%) - Michigan

38.: Klei R. #1 (0.8982%) - Virginia

39.: Brent S. #4 (0.8792%) - Duke

40.: William G. #1 (0.8789%) - Michigan

41.: Dylan B. (0.843%) - North Carolina

42.: Josh S. #2 (0.8403%) - Kentucky

43.: Jim W. (0.8317%) - Michigan State

44.: Michelle L. #3 (0.7884%) - Gonzaga

45.: Harrell R. #2 (0.768%) - Tennessee

46.: Chris T. #2 (0.7467%) - North Carolina

47.: Jay H. #2 (0.7324%) - Duke

48.: Alyssa B. (0.7243%) - Duke

49.: Carlos B. #1 (0.6955%) - Michigan

50.: Adam E. #2 (0.6851%) - Virginia

51.: Stephen H. (0.6821%) - Michigan State

52.: Szecho L. #2 (0.6648%) - Gonzaga

53.: Ally H. (0.6571%) - North Carolina

54.: Chris T. #4 (0.6541%) - Gonzaga

55.: Elizabeth N. #1 (0.6444%) - Gonzaga

56.: Daisy N. #10 (0.6297%) - Tennessee

57.: Daisy N. #5 (0.6134%) - Virginia

58.: Scott Her. #1 (0.6116%) - Duke

59.: Joel B. #5 (0.5981%) - North Carolina

60.: Damien R. #3 (0.5925%) - North Carolina

61.: Rob I #2 (0.592%) - Tennessee

62.: Ben S. #4 (0.5839%) - North Carolina

63.: Ben J. #1 (0.5788%) - Virginia

64.: Todd K. #3 (0.562%) - Michigan State

65.: Alex P. (0.5376%) - Auburn

66.: Kirt R. #1 (0.5371%) - Gonzaga

67.: Alexander N. #4 (0.524%) - Virginia

68.: Daisy N. #9 (0.5213%) - Gonzaga

69.: Gigi I (0.5112%) - Virginia

70.: Ben W. #2 (0.502%) - Duke

71.: Daisy N. #7 (0.4379%) - Virginia

72.: Regina L. (0.4272%) - Tennessee

73.: Pete J. #4 (0.4255%) - Gonzaga

74.: J. Mack #2 (0.4026%) - Kentucky

75.: Janahan A. (0.3916%) - Duke

76.: Josh D. #2 (0.3748%) - North Carolina

77.: Ken Pom (0.3713%) - Virginia

78.: Daisy N. #16 (0.3688%) - Michigan State

79.: Irene H. #5 (0.3682%) - North Carolina

80.: Mike S. #1 (0.355%) - North Carolina

81.: Brent S. #3 (0.3448%) - North Carolina

82.: Taima B. #1 (0.3443%) - Duke

83.: Michelle L. #4 (0.3423%) - North Carolina

84.: Brent E. #4 (0.3403%) - Michigan State

85.: Jay H. #1 (0.3387%) - Virginia

86.: Sagarin Plus (0.3336%) - North Carolina

87.: Joe D. #1 (0.3296%) - Duke

88.: Ray W. #4 (0.3265%) - Tennessee

89.: E. Rucker #1 (0.3189%) - Duke

90.: Dennis R. #2 (0.3176%) - Michigan State

91.: Brent E. #2 (0.2899%) - Michigan State

92.: Taima B. #2 (0.2703%) - North Carolina

93.: Ray W. #3 (0.2518%) - Duke

94.: Daisy N. #13 (0.2482%) - North Carolina

95.: Scott Her. #2 (0.248%) - Duke

96.: Becky H. (0.2472%) - Michigan State

97.: Daisy N. #11 (0.2431%) - Duke

98.: Ray W. #2 (0.2426%) - Virginia

99.: Daisy N. #8 (0.2406%) - Virginia

100.: Joel B. #7 (0.238%) - Virginia

101.: Scott K. #2 (0.2335%) - North Carolina

102.: David S. (0.2288%) - North Carolina

103.: Niren D. (0.2258%) - Duke

104.: Daisy N. #14 (0.2243%) - Kentucky

105.: Ben J. #2 (0.2154%) - Duke

106.: Joel B. #2 (0.2151%) - Duke

107.: Jessica McG. (0.2075%) - Gonzaga

108.: Michelle R. (0.2035%) - North Carolina

109.: Molly R. (0.2004%) - Gonzaga

110.: Scott K. #1 (0.2004%) - Virginia

111.: Ben S. #1 (0.1816%) - North Carolina

111.: Mason A. #1 (0.1816%) - Duke

113.: Pete J. #3 (0.1752%) - North Carolina

114.: Tim D. (0.1706%) - Duke

115.: Todd K. #1 (0.1678%) - Michigan State

116.: Ray W. #5 (0.1629%) - Duke

117.: Josh D. #1 (0.1597%) - Duke

118.: Jim P. (0.1495%) - North Carolina

119.: Max A. #1 (0.1475%) - Gonzaga

120.: Irene H. #2 (0.1424%) - Virginia

121.: Jim D. #2 (0.1411%) - North Carolina

122.: Dan C. (0.1404%) - Duke

123.: Howard S. (0.1399%) - Virginia

124.: Daisy N. #2 (0.1373%) - Duke

124.: Matt M. (0.1373%) - Virginia

126.: Daisy N. #1 (0.1221%) - Duke

127.: Michelle L. #2 (0.116%) - Virginia

128.: Chrissy I (0.1114%) - Virginia

129.: Brent E. #3 (0.1073%) - North Carolina

130.: Josiah T. #2 (0.0946%) - North Carolina

131.: Kevin F. #1 (0.09%) - Duke

132.: Nate S. - 538 (0.0865%) - Duke

133.: Nick V. (0.0839%) - Duke

134.: Wayne D. #2 (0.0829%) - Duke

135.: Daisy N. #4 (0.0825%) - Virginia

136.: Jim D. #1 (0.0717%) - Duke

137.: Alexander N. #3 (0.0712%) - Virginia

138.: Carlos B. #2 (0.0658%) - Duke

139.: Brad R. (0.061%) - Gonzaga

139.: Jeff Sagarin (0.061%) - Duke

141.: James G. #1 (0.0595%) - Duke

142.: Mason A. #2 (0.0565%) - North Carolina

143.: Alexander N. #1 (0.0559%) - Virginia

144.: Adam S. (0.0509%) - Duke

145.: Luis B. #1 (0.0494%) - Duke

146.: Jared B. (0.0488%) - Duke

147.: Adam E. #1 (0.0427%) - Virginia

147.: Irene H. #1 (0.0427%) - Duke

147.: Mark D. (0.0427%) - North Carolina

150.: Brent S. #1 (0.0397%) - Duke

150.: Bret K. #2 (0.0397%) - Michigan State

152.: Rich W. (0.0389%) - Kentucky

153.: Elizabeth N. #3 (0.0381%) - Virginia

154.: Daisy N. #15 (0.0376%) - Virginia

155.: Brent E. #1 (0.0366%) - Michigan State

155.: Damien R. #4 (0.0366%) - Duke

155.: Josiah T. #4 (0.0366%) - Duke

155.: Michelle L. #5 (0.0366%) - Kentucky

159.: Todd K. #4 (0.0331%) - Virginia

160.: Elizabeth N. #2 (0.0305%) - Duke

161.: Valerie D. (0.029%) - Duke

162.: Chris T. #1 (0.0271%) - Duke

163.: Karim D. (0.0244%) - Duke

164.: Harrell R. #1 (0.0214%) - North Carolina

164.: Joel B. #6 (0.0214%) - Michigan State

164.: Marc R. (0.0214%) - Duke

164.: Pete J. #1 (0.0214%) - Duke

164.: Wayne D. #3 (0.0214%) - North Carolina

169.: Rob I #1 (0.0183%) - Gonzaga

170.: Pete J. #5 (0.0178%) - Virginia

171.: Noah N. (0.0163%) - Duke

172.: Kirt R. #2 (0.0155%) - Duke

173.: Hutch H. #2  (0.0153%) - North Carolina

174.: Stephanie P. (0.0142%) - Michigan

175.: Josh S. #1 (0.0122%) - Duke

175.: Ray W. #1 (0.0122%) - Duke

177.: Damien R. #1 (0.0102%) - Duke

177.: Ryan W. (0.0102%) - Duke

179.: Alex I (0.0092%) - Virginia

179.: Jason L. (0.0092%) - Duke

179.: Pete J. #2 (0.0092%) - Duke

182.: Dan D. (0.0061%) - Duke

182.: Jay Bilas (0.0061%) - North Carolina

182.: Matt N. (0.0061%) - North Carolina

182.: Todd K. #2 (0.0061%) - Michigan State

186.: Damien R. #2 (0.0031%) - Duke

187.: Josiah T. #3 (0.002%) - Gonzaga