Monday, March 21, 2016

3rd place probabilities



Here are the probabilities for 3rd place.  Before you scoff at 3rd place, remember that it's still $159.75.  That ain't nothin'.

Here's who is eliminated from 3rd place already:

April K.
Bella S.
Ben J. #3
Brad R. #2
Brent E. #2
Brent E. #4
Chad L. #1
Chad L. #2
Chad L. #4
Chris L. #2
Chris M. #2
Damien R. #2
Dan S.
Eric R. #1
Harrell R. #1
Harrell R. #2
Harrell R. #4
Jason G. #2
Jay H. #2
Jay H. #3
Jeff S.
Jeremy C.
Jim K.
Joe D. #1
Joe D. #2
Joel B. #3
Jonathan V.
Kansas C. #1
Kirt R.
Lisa M.
Luis B. #2
Michelle L. #1
Michelle L. #3
Mike S. #1
Mike S. #2
Missy W. #2
Paul W.
Pete J. #1
Presley J.
Ray W. #2
Ray W. #7
Ryan W.
Stephanie P. #2
Szecho L. #2
Taima B. #1
Taran B.
Todd K. #3
Virginia L. #1
Virginia L. #2
Wayne D. #3
William G. #1


...and the probabilities:

1. Chun W. #3 : 3.6595%
2. Carl B. : 3.6584%
3. Rob I. #2 : 3.3462%
4. Szecho L. #1 : 3.3442%
5. Daisy N. #5 : 2.7521%
6. Jonathan O. : 2.7449%
7. Brian K. : 2.6697%
8. Irene H. #1 : 2.5095%
9. Danny H. : 2.4454%
10. Brian S. : 2.2969%
11. Joel B. #2 : 2.0385%
12. Jason G. #1 : 2.0167%
13. Julie S. : 1.9185%
14. William G. #2 : 1.8976%
15. Kazelli3 : 1.8859%
16. Daisy N. #4 : 1.7862%
17. Mike W. : 1.7486%
18. Klei R. #2 : 1.6952%
19. Daisy N. #1 : 1.6866%
20. Alyssa B. : 1.6535%
21. Dan Du. #1 : 1.6153%
22. Howard S. #1 : 1.5131%
23. Chris M. #4 : 1.4564%
24. Tomas L. #2 : 1.3839%
25. Chun W. #1 : 1.3504%
26. Leslie S. : 1.3117%
27. Joe K. #2 : 1.2374%
28. Chrissy I. : 1.2034%
29. Michelle R. : 1.1861%
30. Howard S. #2 : 1.1683%
31. Ben J. #4 : 1.1067%
32. Klei R. #1 : 1.0841%
33. Michelle L. #2 : 1.0228%
34. Ray W. #3 : 0.9206%
35. Daisy N. #2 : 0.9038%
36. Dennis R. : 0.8972%
37. Jackson I. : 0.8316%
38. Dustin B. : 0.812%
39. Adam S. : 0.796%
40. Chris M. #5 : 0.7954%
41. Ava S. : 0.7237%
42. Daisy N. #6 : 0.6968%
43. Dave M. : 0.6764%
44. Eric R. #2 : 0.6434%
45. Scott K. #2 : 0.6011%
46. Dan Dz : 0.5935%
47. Adam E. : 0.5844%
48. Daisy N. #3 : 0.5792%
49. Todd K. #2 : 0.5783%
50. Ben J. #1 : 0.5706%
51. John E. #1 : 0.5701%
52. Marc R. : 0.563%
53. Craig G. : 0.5411%
54. Roth W. : 0.516%
55. Mason A. #2 : 0.505%
56. Steve H. : 0.4974%
57. Ben J. #2 : 0.4882%
58. Kristina H. : 0.4776%
59. Stephanie P. #1 : 0.4577%
60. Pete J. #2 : 0.4552%
61. Joel B. #4 : 0.4531%
62. Chris T. : 0.4463%
63. Kazelli1 : 0.4419%
64. Becky H. : 0.4394%
65. Jeff D. : 0.4124%
66. Chris M. #3 : 0.4074%
66. Missy W. #1 : 0.4074%
68. Chun W. #2 : 0.4066%
69. Larry G. #1 : 0.4043%
70. Jim D. #2 : 0.4018%
71. Carin C. : 0.3987%
72. Brad R. #1 : 0.3952%
73. Kazelli2 : 0.3926%
74. Gigi I. : 0.385%
75. Stefan K. : 0.3784%
76. James R. : 0.3707%
77. Tim N. : 0.3646%
78. Ron B. : 0.3631%
79. Jay H. #1 : 0.3616%
80. Pete J. #3 : 0.3509%
81. John M. #1 : 0.3489%
82. Chris M. #1 : 0.3405%
83. John B. : 0.3178%
84. Alex I. : 0.3051%
85. Hutch H. #2 : 0.2909%
86. Chad L. #3 : 0.2807%
87. Wayne D. #2 : 0.2743%
88. Ray W. #8 : 0.267%
89. Ray W. #6 : 0.2619%
90. Harrell R. #3 : 0.2599%
91. Brent S. #2 : 0.2534%
92. Matt N. : 0.2451%
93. Michelle L. #4 : 0.2441%
94. John M. #2 : 0.238%
95. Mike C. #1 : 0.2268%
96. Ken P. : 0.2166%
97. Jim W. : 0.2136%
98. Mike C. #2 : 0.2075%
99. Ray W. #1 : 0.2047%
100. Jenny E. : 0.2044%
101. Joe K. #1 : 0.2034%
102. Irene H. #3 : 0.1922%
103. Hutch H. #3 : 0.1876%
104. Gutless Kye : 0.1834%
104. Gutless Missy : 0.1834%
104. Gutless Ray : 0.1834%
107. Josh C. : 0.181%
108. Jim D. #3 : 0.18%
109. Scott H. #1 : 0.1586%
110. Kansas C. #2 : 0.1525%
111. Brent E. #3 : 0.1523%
112. Rob I. #1 : 0.1495%
113. Brett W. : 0.1464%
114. Dan Du. #2 : 0.1439%
115. Todd K. #1 : 0.1413%
116. Mindi W. : 0.1408%
117. Plsczor Team : 0.1391%
118. Arianna S. : 0.1261%
119. Larry G. #3 : 0.122%
120. Irene H. #4 : 0.1108%
121. Ray W. #9 : 0.1088%
122. Pete J. #4 : 0.1037%
122. Ray W. #5 : 0.1037%
124. John E. #2 : 0.0976%
125. Hutch H. #1 : 0.0971%
126. Bosun S. : 0.0885%
127. Gary W. : 0.0768%
128. Jay K. : 0.0747%
129. Angie Bow. : 0.0714%
129. Kye G. #2 : 0.0714%
131. Elizabeth N. : 0.0671%
132. Joel B. #1 : 0.062%
133. Wayne D. #1 : 0.0539%
134. Brett K. #2 : 0.0528%
135. Karen C. : 0.0488%
135. Tomas L. #1 : 0.0488%
137. Damien R. #3 : 0.0467%
138. Jim D. #4 : 0.0457%
138. Michelle D. : 0.0457%
140. Chun W. #4 : 0.0427%
141. Taima B. #2 : 0.0411%
142. Irene H. #5 : 0.0371%
143. Jim D. #1 : 0.0366%
143. Scott H. #2 : 0.0366%
145. Larry G. #2 : 0.035%
146. Ally H. : 0.035%
147. Luis B. #1 : 0.0345%
148. Angie B. : 0.0335%
149. Joel B. #5 : 0.0305%
150. Brent E. #1 : 0.0244%
150. Brent S. #1 : 0.0244%
150. Brett K. #1 : 0.0244%
150. Scott K. #1 : 0.0244%
154. Brandon H. : 0.0233%
155. Dylan B. : 0.0233%
156. Irene H. #2 : 0.0213%
157. Stan C. : 0.0203%
158. Joe K. #3 : 0.0152%
159. Marissa O. : 0.0137%
160. Mason A. #1 : 0.0101%
161. Chris L. #1 : 0.0061%
162. Damien R. #1 : 0.004%

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