Thursday, March 24, 2016

NCAA Day 5 - Bloodbath of the lower seeds edition



Today was a pretty chalky day.  The brackets in the South and West finished 1-2 in both cases.  I don't think there was a lot of suspense in any of the games.  The only really good thing that happened tonight was that I had dinner and beers with last year's 3rd place finisher, Szecho L.  I was pulling for his brackets tonight, but it looked pretty bad at the end of the night.

Here are the eliminations for the 4 games that happened today:

Miami losing:

Ally H.  (3rd, 4th)
Angie B.  (2nd, 3rd)
Arianna S.  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Bosun S.  (1st)
Brad R. #1  (2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Brandon H.  (3rd, 4th)
Brent E. #4  (4th)
Brent S. #2  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Brett K. #1  (3rd, 4th)
Chris L. #1  (3rd, 4th)
Chris M. #4  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Chris M. #5  (1st, 2nd, 4th)
Chun W. #4  (1st)
Damien R. #1  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Dan Du. #2  (1st)
Dave M.  (2nd)
Dylan B.  (2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Gary W.  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Harrell R. #3  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Irene H. #3  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Irene H. #5  (3rd)
Jenny E.  (1st)
Joe K. #1  (1st)
Joel B. #1  (2nd, 3rd, 4th)
John E. #1  (1st)
John E. #2  (3rd)
John M. #1  (2nd)
Larry G. #2  (2nd, 3rd)
Luis B. #1  (3rd, 4th)
Marc R.  (1st)
Mason A. #1  (2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Mason A. #2  (1st)
Mike W.  (1st)
Mindi W.  (1st, 2nd)
Pete J. #3  (2nd)
Pete J. #4  (2nd)
Plsczor Team  (1st, 2nd)
Ray W. #3  (1st)
Roth W.  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Scott K. #1  (3rd)
Stan C.  (2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Tomas L. #2  (1st)
Virginia L. #1  (4th)
Wayne D. #1  (1st, 3rd)


Texas A&M losing:

Ben J. #2  (2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Bosun S.  (2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Brent E. #1  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Brent S. #1  (2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Brett K. #2  (2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Chris M. #1  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Chris M. #3  (1st, 2nd)
Chun W. #2  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Chun W. #4  (2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Daisy N. #3  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Daisy N. #6  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Damien R. #3  (2nd)
Dan Du. #2  (2nd)
Dave M.  (3rd, 4th)
Irene H. #5 (4th)
Joe K. #1  (2nd, 3rd)
Joe K. #3  (3rd, 4th)
Joel B. #5  (2nd, 3rd, 4th)
John M. #1  (3rd, 4th)
John M. #2  (1st)
Josh C.  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Kansas C. #2  (2nd, 3rd)
Kazelli1  (1st, 2nd)
Kazelli3  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Klei R. #2  (1st)
Kristina H.  (1st)
Larry G. #3  (3rd, 4th)
Marissa O.  (3rd)
Michelle D.  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Michelle L. #2  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Mindi W.  (3rd, 4th)
Pete J. #3  (3rd)
Plsczor Team  (3rd, 4th)
Ray W. #6  (2nd)
Scott K. #2  (1st)
Stephanie P. #1  (1st)
Wayne D. #2  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)


Maryland losing:

Alyssa B.  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Bella S.  (4th)
Ben J. #4  (1st)
Brent E. #3  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Chad L. #3  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Eric R. #2  (1st)
Jeff D.  (1st)
Jim W.  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Joe K. #1  (4th)
John E. #2  (4th)
John M. #2  (2nd, 3rd)
Kazelli1  (3rd, 4th)
Rob I. #1  (1st)
Rob I. #2  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Scott K. #2  (2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Stephanie P. #1  (2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Szecho L. #1  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Tim N.  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Todd K. #1  (3rd, 4th)


Duke losing:

Becky H.  (1st, 2nd)
Brian K.  (1st)
Brian S.  (2nd)
Carin C.  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Carl B.  (1st, 2nd)
Chun W. #1  (1st, 2nd, 3rd)
Chun W. #3  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Daisy N. #2  (2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Daisy N. #5  (2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Danny H.  (1st, 2nd)
Elizabeth N.  (4th)
Eric R. #2  (2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Howard S. #2  (1st)
Hutch H. #1  (2nd, 4th)
Hutch H. #2  (2nd)
Irene H. #2  (3rd, 4th)
Irene H. #4  (1st, 2nd, 3rd)
Jay K.  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Jeff D.  (4th)
Joel B. #4  (1st)
John B.  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
John E. #1  (2nd, 3rd, 4th)
John M. #2  (4th)
Karen C.  (1st, 2nd)
Kirt R.  (4th)
Klei R. #2  (2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Larry G. #1  (2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Larry G. #2  (4th)
Leslie S.  (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Lisa M.  (4th)
Marissa O.  (4th)
Mason A. #2  (2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Ray W. #1  (2nd, 3rd, 4th)
Ray W. #6  (3rd, 4th)
Rob I. #1  (3rd)
Scott H. #1  (1st, 2nd, 3rd)
Tomas L. #2  (2nd)
Wayne D. #1  (4th)

Well that was a bloodbath.  I guess with that many people still alive for spots, and a lot of common picks, it makes for a lot of carnage once one of the games is decided.  I think tomorrow's may not be as drastic.

It also means that 117 people are now fully eliminated from winning anything in the pool.  There are only 96 entries left for 4 spots.  Here are the points totals after today:

1. Matt N.: 62 (-50)
2. Chris T.: 62 (-94)
3. Kazelli2: 61 (-35)
4. Pete J. #2: 61 (-51)
5. Alex I.: 61 (-87)
6. Michelle R.: 60 (-28)
7. Ben J. #3: 60 (-96)
8. Ray W. #5: 59 (-53)
9. Jim D. #3: 59 (-61)
10. Dan Du. #1: 59 (-73)
11. Jim D. #2: 59 (-93)
12. Klei R. #1: 58 (-42)
13. Jeff S.: 58 (-54)
13. Missy W. #2: 58 (-54)
15. Gigi I.: 58 (-58)
16. Hutch H. #3: 57 (-31)
17. Mike C. #1: 57 (-35)
18. Jackson I.: 57 (-39)
19. Brian S.: 57 (-51)
20. Harrell R. #3: 57 (-55)
20. Angie Bow.: 57 (-55)
20. Kye G. #2: 57 (-55)
23. Daisy N. #1: 57 (-63)
24. Jay K.: 57 (-87)
25. Brent E. #2: 57 (-103)
26. Joel B. #2: 56 (-32)
26. Ken P.: 56 (-32)
28. Craig G.: 56 (-40)
29. Mike S. #1: 56 (-44)
30. Joe K. #2: 56 (-52)
31. Danny H.: 56 (-68)
32. Jim D. #4: 56 (-96)
33. Daisy N. #4: 55 (-29)
34. Gutless Kye: 55 (-33)
34. Gutless Missy: 55 (-33)
34. Gutless Ray: 55 (-33)
37. Dennis R.: 55 (-37)
38. Mike C. #2: 55 (-41)
38. Joel B. #4: 55 (-41)
38. Jim D. #1: 55 (-41)
41. Jay H. #1: 55 (-61)
42. John E. #1: 55 (-89)
43. Joe D. #2: 55 (-97)
43. Chris M. #3: 55 (-97)
45. Ryan W.: 55 (-105)
46. Joe K. #3: 55 (-113)
47. Kazelli3: 55 (-125)
48. Brett W.: 54 (-42)
48. Dustin B.: 54 (-42)
50. Jason G. #1: 54 (-46)
51. Daisy N. #2: 54 (-54)
52. Josh C.: 54 (-58)
52. Missy W. #1: 54 (-58)
54. Carl B.: 54 (-62)
55. Alyssa B.: 54 (-66)
55. Brian K.: 54 (-66)
57. Irene H. #1: 54 (-74)
58. Taima B. #2: 54 (-102)
59. Julie S.: 53 (-31)
60. Hutch H. #1: 53 (-43)
60. Elizabeth N.: 53 (-43)
62. Chun W. #1: 53 (-47)
63. Luis B. #1: 53 (-59)
64. Arianna S.: 53 (-67)
65. Adam E.: 53 (-79)
66. Ray W. #8: 53 (-87)
67. Brent S. #1: 53 (-111)
68. Brent E. #1: 53 (-115)
69. Adam S.: 52 (-32)
69. Howard S. #1: 52 (-32)
71. Wayne D. #1: 52 (-44)
71. Scott H. #2: 52 (-44)
73. Steve H.: 52 (-48)
74. Kansas C. #1: 52 (-60)
75. Wayne D. #3: 52 (-64)
76. Michelle L. #1: 52 (-68)
76. Michelle L. #2: 52 (-68)
76. John B.: 52 (-68)
76. Leslie S.: 52 (-68)
76. Chrissy I.: 52 (-68)
81. Ally H.: 52 (-92)
81. Scott H. #1: 52 (-92)
83. Becky H.: 52 (-100)
84. Harrell R. #2: 52 (-104)
85. Brandon H.: 52 (-108)
85. Joe D. #1: 52 (-108)
87. April K.: 52 (-112)
87. Mindi W.: 52 (-112)
87. Brett K. #2: 52 (-112)
90. Ben J. #1: 51 (-45)
90. James R.: 51 (-45)
92. Scott K. #1: 51 (-49)
93. Larry G. #1: 51 (-53)
94. Wayne D. #2: 51 (-73)
94. Mike W.: 51 (-73)
96. Michelle D.: 51 (-81)
97. Rob I. #2: 51 (-93)
97. Luis B. #2: 51 (-93)
97. Jenny E.: 51 (-93)
100. Joel B. #5: 51 (-101)
100. Kristina H.: 51 (-101)
102. Chad L. #2: 51 (-105)
102. Irene H. #2: 51 (-105)
104. Ava S.: 50 (-34)
105. Jeff D.: 50 (-46)
105. Tomas L. #2: 50 (-46)
105. Karen C.: 50 (-46)
108. Dan Dz: 50 (-50)
109. Kirt R.: 50 (-66)
109. Daisy N. #5: 50 (-66)
111. Daisy N. #3: 50 (-74)
112. Pete J. #1: 50 (-94)
113. Roth W.: 50 (-102)
113. Dylan B.: 50 (-102)
113. Mason A. #1: 50 (-102)
116. Eric R. #1: 50 (-106)
116. Ron B.: 50 (-106)
118. Lisa M.: 50 (-114)
119. Brent E. #3: 50 (-118)
120. Pete J. #4: 49 (-39)
120. Stefan K.: 49 (-39)
122. Angie B.: 49 (-47)
122. Pete J. #3: 49 (-47)
122. Ben J. #4: 49 (-47)
122. Tomas L. #1: 49 (-47)
126. Virginia L. #1: 49 (-51)
127. Chris M. #1: 49 (-55)
127. Rob I. #1: 49 (-55)
129. William G. #2: 49 (-59)
130. Gary W.: 49 (-63)
130. Taima B. #1: 49 (-63)
132. Plsczor Team: 49 (-67)
133. Bosun S.: 49 (-71)
134. Presley J.: 49 (-75)
134. Jason G. #2: 49 (-75)
136. Todd K. #2: 49 (-91)
137. Larry G. #2: 49 (-95)
138. Scott K. #2: 49 (-115)
139. Hutch H. #2: 48 (-48)
140. Howard S. #2: 48 (-60)
141. Jay H. #2: 48 (-64)
142. Joe K. #1: 48 (-68)
143. William G. #1: 48 (-96)
144. Taran B.: 48 (-104)
145. Brad R. #1: 48 (-116)
145. Joel B. #3: 48 (-116)
147. Daisy N. #6: 48 (-120)
148. Jonathan O.: 47 (-41)
149. Chad L. #3: 47 (-61)
150. Kansas C. #2: 47 (-77)
151. Dan S.: 47 (-97)
151. Damien R. #3: 47 (-97)
153. Carin C.: 46 (-46)
154. Irene H. #3: 46 (-50)
155. Irene H. #4: 46 (-62)
156. Stephanie P. #2: 46 (-66)
157. Chris L. #1: 46 (-70)
158. Marc R.: 46 (-74)
159. Chris L. #2: 46 (-102)
160. Brent S. #2: 46 (-106)
160. Joel B. #1: 46 (-106)
162. Bella S.: 46 (-110)
163. Brett K. #1: 46 (-118)
164. Chun W. #2: 46 (-130)
165. Ray W. #2: 45 (-51)
166. Damien R. #1: 45 (-59)
166. Larry G. #3: 45 (-59)
168. Ray W. #3: 45 (-63)
169. Michelle L. #3: 45 (-115)
170. Paul W.: 45 (-119)
171. Chris M. #4: 45 (-127)
172. Mike S. #2: 44 (-76)
173. Ben J. #2: 44 (-84)
174. Stephanie P. #1: 44 (-108)
175. Ray W. #7: 44 (-116)
176. Szecho L. #1: 44 (-120)
176. Chun W. #3: 44 (-120)
178. Todd K. #1: 44 (-140)
179. Michelle L. #4: 43 (-65)
180. Jim K.: 43 (-77)
181. Chad L. #1: 43 (-93)
182. Todd K. #3: 43 (-121)
183. Tim N.: 43 (-129)
184. Harrell R. #1: 42 (-58)
185. Stan C.: 42 (-82)
186. Ray W. #6: 42 (-106)
187. John M. #2: 42 (-118)
188. Mason A. #2: 41 (-59)
189. Ray W. #1: 41 (-67)
190. Chun W. #4: 41 (-79)
191. Dave M.: 41 (-83)
192. Brent E. #4: 41 (-91)
193. Klei R. #2: 41 (-111)
194. Harrell R. #4: 41 (-115)
195. Szecho L. #2: 41 (-147)
196. Ray W. #9: 40 (-44)
197. Irene H. #5: 40 (-64)
198. Kazelli1: 40 (-88)
198. John E. #2: 40 (-88)
198. John M. #1: 40 (-88)
201. Chris M. #5: 40 (-132)
202. Brad R. #2: 39 (-81)
203. Virginia L. #2: 39 (-85)
204. Damien R. #2: 39 (-113)
205. Eric R. #2: 39 (-141)
206. Chris M. #2: 39 (-145)
207. Dan Du. #2: 38 (-78)
208. Jay H. #3: 38 (-94)
209. Jim W.: 38 (-110)
210. Jonathan V.: 37 (-95)
211. Chad L. #4: 35 (-81)
212. Marissa O.: 33 (-119)
213. Jeremy C.: 33 (-127)


37 brackets managed to get all 4 games right today.  Unfortunately, the gutless brackets were among them.  Tomorrow, there will be some non 1-2 seeds winning, so hopefully that knocks those brackets down a little.

Here are the updated probabilities for winning:

1. Julie S. : 8.0078%
2. Daisy N. #4 : 7.9589%
3. Jackson I. : 6.9335%
4. Daisy N. #5 : 6.25%
4. Daisy N. #2 : 6.25%
4. Ray W. #1 : 6.25%
7. Jason G. #1 : 6.0139%
8. Daisy N. #1 : 5.4687%
9. Missy W. #1 : 4.1015%
10. Michelle R. : 4.0283%
11. Matt N. : 3.3691%
12. William G. #2 : 3.361%
13. Joe K. #2 : 2.9052%
14. Pete J. #2 : 2.1972%
15. Joel B. #2 : 1.8798%
16. Ken P. : 1.7089%
17. Ava S. : 1.5625%
17. Irene H. #1 : 1.5625%
17. Dan Du. #1 : 1.5625%
20. Ray W. #9 : 1.5136%
21. Adam S. : 1.4648%
22. Gigi I. : 1.4485%
23. Ray W. #8 : 1.3671%
23. Jay H. #1 : 1.3671%
25. Klei R. #1 : 1.2695%
26. Hutch H. #3 : 1.0742%
27. Alex I. : 0.9684%
28. Dustin B. : 0.9033%
29. Jonathan O. : 0.8789%
30. Dennis R. : 0.6835%
31. Howard S. #1 : 0.6347%
31. Dan Dz : 0.6347%
33. Kazelli2 : 0.5859%
33. Craig G. : 0.5859%
35. Brian S. : 0.3906%
36. Chrissy I. : 0.3662%
37. Gutless Kye : 0.3417%
37. Gutless Missy : 0.3417%
37. Gutless Ray : 0.3417%
40. Chris T. : 0.2441%
41. Mike C. #1 : 0.1953%
41. Jim D. #2 : 0.1953%
43. Todd K. #2 : 0.1627%
44. Ron B. : 0.1546%
45. Jim D. #1 : 0.1464%
45. Jim D. #4 : 0.1464%
47. Taima B. #2 : 0.122%
48. Adam E. : 0.0976%

Still a good day to be Daisy N.  She has 4 of the top 8 brackets in terms of probabilities of winning.  That is amazingly good.  It doesn't guarantee anything, but it's better to be there than just about anywhere else.

Here are the probabilities for 2nd place:

1. Daisy N. #4 : 6.5185%
2. Dan Du. #1 : 5.6152%
3. Michelle R. : 5.0292%
4. William G. #2 : 4.72%
5. Julie S. : 4.0039%
6. Steve H. : 3.6132%
7. Jason G. #1 : 3.247%
8. Joe K. #2 : 2.9785%
9. Daisy N. #1 : 2.832%
10. Pete J. #2 : 2.6855%
11. Gigi I. : 2.6692%
12. Matt N. : 2.6204%
13. Ray W. #3 : 2.539%
14. Kazelli2 : 2.4902%
15. Jackson I. : 2.4414%
16. Klei R. #1 : 2.3925%
17. Irene H. #1 : 2.1484%
18. Joel B. #2 : 2.0751%
19. Alex I. : 1.9856%
20. Jim D. #2 : 1.6357%
21. Howard S. #1 : 1.538%
22. Joel B. #4 : 1.4648%
23. Dan Dz : 1.3916%
24. Rob I. #1 : 1.3671%
24. Mike W. : 1.3671%
26. Mike C. #1 : 1.3183%
26. Dennis R. : 1.3183%
28. Craig G. : 1.2939%
29. Adam S. : 1.2695%
29. Ray W. #8 : 1.2695%
31. Dustin B. : 1.2451%
32. Stefan K. : 1.1718%
33. Todd K. #2 : 1.0579%
34. Jim D. #3 : 1.0253%
35. Missy W. #1 : 0.9765%
35. Jay H. #1 : 0.9765%
35. James R. : 0.9765%
35. Michelle L. #4 : 0.9765%
39. Brian K. : 0.9033%
40. Adam E. : 0.8789%
41. Jeff D. : 0.7812%
41. Wayne D. #1 : 0.7812%
43. Ava S. : 0.6835%
44. Chris T. : 0.6673%
45. Hutch H. #3 : 0.5859%
45. Brett W. : 0.5859%
47. Jonathan O. : 0.5371%
47. Ben J. #4 : 0.5371%
47. Jenny E. : 0.5371%
50. Gutless Kye : 0.5371%
50. Gutless Missy : 0.5371%
50. Gutless Ray : 0.5371%
53. Ron B. : 0.5126%
54. Ben J. #1 : 0.4882%
55. Chrissy I. : 0.472%
56. Ken P. : 0.4557%
57. Mike C. #2 : 0.4394%
58. Marc R. : 0.3906%
59. Jim D. #4 : 0.3662%
60. Taima B. #2 : 0.2685%
61. Angie Bow. : 0.2441%
61. Kye G. #2 : 0.2441%
63. Howard S. #2 : 0.1953%
63. Tomas L. #1 : 0.1953%
65. Jim D. #1 : 0.1464%
66. Elizabeth N. : 0.0976%
66. Kristina H. : 0.0976%
68. Ray W. #9 : 0.0488%


...and 3rd place:

1. Daisy N. #1 : 5.8105%
2. Jason G. #1 : 5.607%
3. Mike W. : 3.8085%
4. Brian K. : 3.0924%
5. William G. #2 : 2.6936%
6. Daisy N. #4 : 2.6611%
7. Jim D. #2 : 2.6123%
8. Kazelli2 : 2.539%
9. Pete J. #2 : 2.4902%
10. Julie S. : 2.3193%
11. Irene H. #1 : 2.2949%
12. Dan Du. #1 : 2.246%
13. Ben J. #4 : 2.2216%
14. Stefan K. : 2.1972%
15. Dan Dz : 2.1647%
16. Joel B. #2 : 2.0345%
17. Klei R. #1 : 2.0019%
18. Adam E. : 1.9531%
19. Gigi I. : 1.9205%
20. Matt N. : 1.9042%
20. Jim D. #3 : 1.9042%
22. Howard S. #1 : 1.6682%
23. Dustin B. : 1.6357%
24. Ray W. #3 : 1.5625%
25. Marc R. : 1.4648%
25. Chris M. #3 : 1.4648%
27. Ava S. : 1.416%
28. Alex I. : 1.3997%
29. Missy W. #1 : 1.3834%
30. Michelle R. : 1.3671%
30. Mike C. #1 : 1.3671%
30. Ray W. #5 : 1.3671%
33. Steve H. : 1.3183%
34. Jackson I. : 1.2939%
34. Joe K. #2 : 1.2939%
36. Dennis R. : 1.2207%
37. Craig G. : 1.0986%
38. Adam S. : 1.0742%
39. Mike C. #2 : 1.0253%
40. Jonathan O. : 0.83%
41. Todd K. #2 : 0.8138%
42. James R. : 0.7812%
42. Jeff D. : 0.7812%
42. Brett W. : 0.7812%
45. Ben J. #1 : 0.7324%
45. Chris T. : 0.7324%
47. Gutless Kye : 0.7161%
47. Gutless Missy : 0.7161%
47. Gutless Ray : 0.7161%
50. Jenny E. : 0.6835%
51. Angie Bow. : 0.6591%
51. Kye G. #2 : 0.6591%
51. Taima B. #2 : 0.6591%
54. Brian S. : 0.5859%
54. Scott H. #2 : 0.5859%
56. Kristina H. : 0.5371%
57. Ron B. : 0.5289%
58. Jim D. #4 : 0.5126%
59. Becky H. : 0.4882%
59. Ray W. #8 : 0.4882%
61. Joel B. #4 : 0.4394%
61. Tomas L. #2 : 0.4394%
63. Howard S. #2 : 0.3906%
63. Michelle L. #4 : 0.3906%
63. Pete J. #4 : 0.3906%
63. Karen C. : 0.3906%
67. Chrissy I. : 0.3336%
68. Elizabeth N. : 0.2929%
69. Ken P. : 0.2848%
70. Ray W. #9 : 0.2441%
71. Carl B. : 0.1953%
71. Hutch H. #2 : 0.1953%
71. Hutch H. #1 : 0.1953%
71. Hutch H. #3 : 0.1953%
71. Tomas L. #1 : 0.1953%
76. Jim D. #1 : 0.1464%
77. Danny H. : 0.0976%
77. Jay H. #1 : 0.0976%
77. Damien R. #3 : 0.0976%
77. Dan Du. #2 : 0.0976%


...and 4th place:

1. Steve H. : 4.4433%
2. Adam E. : 4.0039%
3. Irene H. #1 : 3.955%
4. Ray W. #3 : 3.4912%
5. Dan Du. #1 : 3.3854%
6. Chris M. #3 : 3.0273%
7. Stefan K. : 2.832%
8. Mike W. : 2.539%
8. Daisy N. #1 : 2.539%
10. Ben J. #4 : 2.1972%
11. Ray W. #5 : 2.1484%
12. Missy W. #1 : 2.1321%
13. Marc R. : 1.9775%
14. Kazelli2 : 1.8554%
15. Jim D. #3 : 1.8066%
16. Jonathan O. : 1.6601%
16. Craig G. : 1.6601%
18. William G. #2 : 1.5787%
19. Kansas C. #2 : 1.5625%
20. Brian K. : 1.5218%
21. Tomas L. #2 : 1.5136%
21. Angie Bow. : 1.5136%
21. Kye G. #2 : 1.5136%
24. Jim D. #2 : 1.4892%
25. Michelle R. : 1.4648%
26. Howard S. #1 : 1.4485%
27. Pete J. #2 : 1.2939%
27. Jenny E. : 1.2939%
29. Jason G. #1 : 1.2532%
30. Becky H. : 1.2207%
31. Mike C. #1 : 1.1718%
31. Mike C. #2 : 1.1718%
33. Dan Dz : 1.1311%
34. Adam S. : 1.123%
35. Klei R. #1 : 1.1067%
36. Ava S. : 1.0742%
36. Julie S. : 1.0742%
38. Joe K. #2 : 1.0009%
39. Ben J. #1 : 0.9765%
39. Irene H. #4 : 0.9765%
41. Gigi I. : 0.9765%
42. Dennis R. : 0.9472%
43. Ray W. #8 : 0.9277%
44. Dustin B. : 0.9033%
45. Danny H. : 0.8789%
46. Jim D. #4 : 0.83%
47. Kristina H. : 0.7812%
47. Scott H. #2 : 0.7812%
49. Joel B. #2 : 0.7649%
50. Daisy N. #4 : 0.7486%
51. Pete J. #4 : 0.6835%
51. James R. : 0.6835%
53. Gutless Kye : 0.638%
53. Gutless Missy : 0.638%
53. Gutless Ray : 0.638%
56. Hutch H. #3 : 0.6347%
57. Jackson I. : 0.6103%
58. Alex I. : 0.6022%
59. Matt N. : 0.6022%
60. Howard S. #2 : 0.5859%
60. Hutch H. #2 : 0.5859%
60. Scott K. #1 : 0.5859%
60. Mike S. #1 : 0.5859%
60. Jeff S. : 0.5859%
60. Missy W. #2 : 0.5859%
66. Damien R. #3 : 0.5533%
67. Taima B. #2 : 0.5126%
68. Chris T. : 0.5045%
69. Todd K. #2 : 0.4801%
70. Jim D. #1 : 0.4589%
71. Karen C. : 0.3906%
71. Tomas L. #1 : 0.3906%
71. Dan Du. #2 : 0.3906%
74. Ron B. : 0.3499%
75. Chun W. #1 : 0.2929%
75. Jay H. #1 : 0.2929%
75. Ben J. #3 : 0.2929%
78. Brett W. : 0.2766%
79. Pete J. #3 : 0.2441%
80. Ken P. : 0.236%
81. Carl B. : 0.2278%
82. Brian S. : 0.1953%
82. Michelle L. #4 : 0.1953%
82. Angie B. : 0.1953%
85. Chrissy I. : 0.1627%
86. Joel B. #4 : 0.1464%
86. Ray W. #9 : 0.1464%
88. Rob I. #1 : 0.0976%
89. Scott H. #1 : 0.0488%


But tomorrow promises even more blood-bath-ery.  Here are the single game eliminations:

Virginia / Iowa State

If Virginia wins:

Daisy N. #2 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Dustin B. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Gigi I. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Irene H. #1 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Jay H. #1 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Ron B. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Taima B. #2 is eliminated from 1st place contention.


If Iowa State wins:

Adam E. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Ava S. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Brian S. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Chrissy I. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Craig G. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Dan Du. #1 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Howard S. #1 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Jim D. #4 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Joel B. #2 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Ken P. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Ray W. #9 is eliminated from 1st place contention.

Notre Dame / Wisconsin

If Notre Dame wins:

Adam E. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Howard S. #1 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Jim D. #2 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Jim D. #4 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Taima B. #2 is eliminated from 1st place contention.


If Wisconsin wins:

Mike C. #1 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Ray W. #1 is eliminated from 1st place contention.

Syracuse / Gonzaga

If Syracuse wins:

Ray W. #8 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Todd K. #2 is eliminated from 1st place contention.


If Gonzaga wins:

Daisy N. #5 is eliminated from 1st place contention.


North Carolina / Indiana

If North Carolina wins:

Adam E. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Brian S. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Chris T. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Chrissy I. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Dan Du. #1 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Jackson I. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Joe K. #2 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Ron B. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Taima B. #2 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Todd K. #2 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
William G. #2 is eliminated from 1st place contention.


If Indiana wins:

Adam S. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Dan Dz is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Dennis R. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Jim D. #1 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Jim D. #2 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Jonathan O. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Kazelli2 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Klei R. #1 is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Mike C. #1 is eliminated from 1st place contention.


I decided that I'm only going to do 1st place eliminations at this point, since it's getting late and it's a bit of a pain to do 2nd, 3rd & 4th.  I will post what games eliminated what brackets at the end of the games tomorrow.  If you really want to see who you need to root for, you can go to your bracket in my "How to win" section.  That should give you a pretty good idea.

Congratulations to those that survived today.  Tomorrow is another 4 game gauntlet for your bracket to attempt to run through.

Good luck!!!!!

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