Initial 2nd place probabilities

Well, that was quicker than I thought.

Here are the brackets that eliminated mathematically from 2nd place already:

Ally H.

April K.

Bella S.

Ben J. #3

Brad R. #2

Brandon H.

Brent E. #2

Brent E. #4

Brett K. #1

Chad L. #1

Chad L. #2

Chad L. #4

Chris L. #1

Chris L. #2

Chris M. #2

Damien R. #2

Dan S.

Eric R. #1

Harrell R. #1

Harrell R. #2

Harrell R. #4

Irene H. #2

Irene H. #5

Jason G. #2

Jay H. #2

Jay H. #3

Jeff S.

Jeremy C.

Jim K.

Joe D. #1

Joe D. #2

Joe K. #3

Joel B. #3

John E. #2

Jonathan V.

Kansas C. #1

Kirt R.

Larry G. #3

Lisa M.

Luis B. #1

Luis B. #2

Marissa O.

Michelle L. #1

Michelle L. #3

Mike S. #1

Mike S. #2

Missy W. #2

Paul W.

Pete J. #1

Presley J.

Ray W. #2

Ray W. #5

Ray W. #7

Ryan W.

Scott H. #2

Scott K. #1

Stephanie P. #2

Szecho L. #2

Taima B. #1

Taran B.

Todd K. #1

Todd K. #3

Virginia L. #1

Virginia L. #2

Wayne D. #3

William G. #1

Here are the initial probabilities for the 147 entries that are still alive for 2nd place:

1. Klei R. #2 : 4.6473%

2. Chun W. #3 : 4.3289%

3. Irene H. #1 : 3.8848%

4. Szecho L. #1 : 3.6026%

5. Brian K. : 3.2953%

6. Carl B. : 3.1066%

7. Rob I. #2 : 3.0204%

8. Brian S. : 2.9968%

9. Jonathan O. : 2.8504%

10. Danny H. : 2.8027%

11. Chun W. #2 : 2.7674%

12. William G. #2 : 2.7526%

13. Chris M. #4 : 2.6242%

14. Daisy N. #4 : 2.5306%

15. Joel B. #2 : 2.0579%

16. Julie S. : 2.0375%

17. Jason G. #1 : 2.01%

18. Dan Du. #1 : 1.9874%

19. Daisy N. #1 : 1.8452%

20. Daisy N. #5 : 1.7679%

21. Michelle R. : 1.6052%

22. Joe K. #2 : 1.4574%

23. Jackson I. : 1.3671%

24. Leslie S. : 1.3511%

25. Howard S. #1 : 1.2674%

26. Chun W. #1 : 1.2575%

27. Ben J. #4 : 1.2435%

28. Alyssa B. : 1.0843%

29. Ray W. #3 : 1.0823%

30. Dennis R. : 1.0717%

31. Tomas L. #2 : 1.0467%

32. Chris M. #5 : 1.0233%

33. Chrissy I. : 0.9933%

34. Klei R. #1 : 0.9658%

35. Kazelli1 : 0.9221%

36. Adam S. : 0.9104%

37. Kazelli3 : 0.8453%

38. Michelle L. #2 : 0.7609%

39. Daisy N. #3 : 0.7253%

40. Todd K. #2 : 0.7176%

41. Ron B. : 0.7019%

42. Mason A. #2 : 0.5996%

43. Dustin B. : 0.5973%

44. Joel B. #4 : 0.5889%

45. Daisy N. #2 : 0.5706%

46. Tim N. : 0.5221%

47. Michelle L. #4 : 0.5126%

48. Chris M. #1 : 0.5083%

49. Howard S. #2 : 0.4791%

49. Mike W. : 0.4791%

51. John E. #1 : 0.475%

52. Ray W. #1 : 0.4676%

53. Eric R. #2 : 0.4506%

54. Chris M. #3 : 0.4394%

55. Gigi I. : 0.4185%

56. Rob I. #1 : 0.415%

56. Scott K. #2 : 0.415%

58. Craig G. : 0.4002%

59. Carin C. : 0.3962%

60. Wayne D. #2 : 0.3936%

61. Jay H. #1 : 0.3814%

62. Matt N. : 0.3631%

63. Ray W. #8 : 0.3479%

64. Pete J. #2 : 0.3265%

65. Ben J. #1 : 0.3234%

66. Becky H. : 0.3214%

67. Larry G. #1 : 0.3082%

68. Roth W. : 0.3056%

69. Ava S. : 0.299%

70. Alex I. : 0.296%

71. Kazelli2 : 0.2848%

72. Steve H. : 0.2685%

73. Chad L. #3 : 0.267%

74. Stephanie P. #1 : 0.2639%

75. Jeff D. : 0.2507%

76. Chris T. : 0.2484%

77. Missy W. #1 : 0.2456%

78. Dan Dz : 0.2395%

79. Harrell R. #3 : 0.2304%

80. James R. : 0.2243%

81. Josh C. : 0.2222%

82. Ben J. #2 : 0.2207%

83. John M. #2 : 0.2141%

84. Ken P. : 0.2054%

85. Jim D. #2 : 0.1998%

85. Mike C. #1 : 0.1998%

87. Kristina H. : 0.1907%

88. Jim W. : 0.1902%

89. Hutch H. #3 : 0.1892%

90. John B. : 0.1772%

91. Pete J. #3 : 0.1647%

92. Jay K. : 0.1505%

93. Marc R. : 0.1485%

94. Ray W. #9 : 0.1464%

94. Stefan K. : 0.1464%

96. Irene H. #4 : 0.1444%

97. Bosun S. : 0.1342%

98. Wayne D. #1 : 0.1312%

99. John M. #1 : 0.1302%

100. Jenny E. : 0.1251%

101. Brad R. #1 : 0.122%

102. Daisy N. #6 : 0.121%

103. Irene H. #3 : 0.1113%

104. Gutless Kye : 0.1089%

104. Gutless Missy : 0.1089%

104. Gutless Ray : 0.1089%

107. Brent S. #2 : 0.1052%

108. Jim D. #3 : 0.1007%

109. Arianna S. : 0.1007%

110. Joe K. #1 : 0.0946%

111. Adam E. : 0.0935%

112. Scott H. #1 : 0.0895%

113. Ray W. #6 : 0.0808%

114. Tomas L. #1 : 0.0793%

115. Dave M. : 0.0752%

116. Gary W. : 0.0706%

117. Dan Du. #2 : 0.06%

118. Brett W. : 0.0549%

119. Mindi W. : 0.0534%

120. Mike C. #2 : 0.0518%

121. Kansas C. #2 : 0.0488%

122. Brent E. #3 : 0.0478%

123. Plsczor Team : 0.0396%

124. Karen C. : 0.0305%

125. Jim D. #1 : 0.0274%

126. Chun W. #4 : 0.0244%

126. Pete J. #4 : 0.0244%

128. Joel B. #1 : 0.0233%

129. Jim D. #4 : 0.0228%

130. Elizabeth N. : 0.0223%

131. Angie Bow. : 0.0223%

131. Kye G. #2 : 0.0223%

133. Hutch H. #1 : 0.0218%

134. Taima B. #2 : 0.0167%

135. Mason A. #1 : 0.0152%

136. Brent E. #1 : 0.0137%

136. Brett K. #2 : 0.0137%

138. Damien R. #3 : 0.0122%

138. Hutch H. #2 : 0.0122%

138. Joel B. #5 : 0.0122%

138. Larry G. #2 : 0.0122%

142. Damien R. #1 : 0.0101%

143. Angie B. : 0.0091%

143. Brent S. #1 : 0.0091%

145. Dylan B. : 0.0071%

146. Stan C. : 0.005%

147. Michelle D. : 0.003%