Initial 4th place porbabilities

Same drill for 4th place:

Here's who is eliminated (this also doubles as the complete list of everyone that is eliminated from all 4 payouts):

April K.

Brad R. #2

Brent E. #2

Chad L. #1

Chad L. #2

Chad L. #4

Chris L. #2

Chris M. #2

Damien R. #2

Dan S.

Eric R. #1

Harrell R. #1

Harrell R. #2

Harrell R. #4

Jason G. #2

Jay H. #2

Jay H. #3

Jeremy C.

Jim K.

Joe D. #1

Joe D. #2

Joel B. #3

Jonathan V.

Kansas C. #1

Luis B. #2

Michelle L. #1

Michelle L. #3

Mike S. #2

Paul W.

Pete J. #1

Presley J.

Ray W. #2

Ray W. #7

Ryan W.

Stephanie P. #2

Szecho L. #2

Taima B. #1

Taran B.

Todd K. #3

Virginia L. #2

Wayne D. #3

William G. #1

...and the initial probabilities for 4th place:

1. Alyssa B. : 4.3497%

2. Carl B. : 3.8954%

3. Irene H. #1 : 2.4598%

4. Daisy N. #5 : 2.278%

5. Daisy N. #4 : 2.2466%

6. Brian K. : 2.1923%

7. Jonathan O. : 2.0679%

8. Kazelli3 : 2.066%

9. Adam E. : 2.0512%

10. Brian S. : 1.9241%

11. Mike W. : 1.8402%

12. Chun W. #3 : 1.624%

13. Ray W. #3 : 1.6194%

14. Danny H. : 1.6091%

15. Tomas L. #2 : 1.568%

16. Dan Du. #1 : 1.5055%

17. Joel B. #2 : 1.4251%

18. Daisy N. #1 : 1.4241%

19. Rob I. #2 : 1.3829%

20. Chun W. #1 : 1.3765%

21. Tim N. : 1.3534%

22. Klei R. #2 : 1.3331%

23. Jackson I. : 1.3036%

24. Michelle L. #2 : 1.2959%

25. Joe K. #2 : 1.2639%

26. William G. #2 : 1.2059%

27. Ben J. #4 : 1.1881%

28. Howard S. #1 : 1.1861%

29. Klei R. #1 : 1.1205%

30. Howard S. #2 : 1.1202%

31. Leslie S. : 1.0952%

32. Ben J. #1 : 1.0708%

33. Chrissy I. : 1.0299%

34. Michelle R. : 1.0213%

35. Szecho L. #1 : 0.9609%

36. Chris M. #4 : 0.9457%

37. Ava S. : 0.9267%

38. Dave M. : 0.914%

39. Jason G. #1 : 0.8921%

40. Daisy N. #6 : 0.8646%

41. Steve H. : 0.8438%

42. Dennis R. : 0.8234%

43. Julie S. : 0.8204%

44. Dustin B. : 0.8033%

45. Ben J. #2 : 0.7901%

46. Adam S. : 0.7227%

47. Marc R. : 0.6886%

48. John E. #1 : 0.6785%

49. Kazelli1 : 0.6665%

50. Missy W. #1 : 0.6663%

51. Stefan K. : 0.6627%

52. Chris M. #5 : 0.6468%

53. Chris M. #3 : 0.6429%

54. Roth W. : 0.6347%

55. John B. : 0.6189%

56. Todd K. #2 : 0.6164%

57. Daisy N. #3 : 0.616%

58. Mason A. #2 : 0.6149%

59. Daisy N. #2 : 0.6139%

60. Stephanie P. #1 : 0.6022%

61. Kansas C. #2 : 0.5996%

62. Chun W. #2 : 0.575%

63. Larry G. #1 : 0.5427%

64. Craig G. : 0.5396%

65. Brad R. #1 : 0.5283%

66. Eric R. #2 : 0.5172%

67. Dan Dz : 0.5167%

68. John M. #1 : 0.5032%

69. James R. : 0.4994%

70. Wayne D. #2 : 0.4757%

71. Jim D. #2 : 0.4694%

72. Joel B. #4 : 0.4648%

73. Jim W. : 0.4523%

74. Gigi I. : 0.4511%

75. Chris T. : 0.4371%

76. Pete J. #4 : 0.4211%

77. Ray W. #8 : 0.417%

78. Becky H. : 0.4089%

79. Carin C. : 0.4032%

80. Jay H. #1 : 0.3784%

81. Kazelli2 : 0.3748%

82. Kristina H. : 0.3733%

83. Chris M. #1 : 0.371%

84. Ray W. #6 : 0.3606%

85. Alex I. : 0.3545%

86. Ron B. : 0.3484%

87. Chad L. #3 : 0.329%

88. Pete J. #2 : 0.3229%

89. Scott K. #2 : 0.3184%

90. Pete J. #3 : 0.3079%

91. Matt N. : 0.2936%

92. Jeff D. : 0.2838%

93. Joe K. #1 : 0.2746%

94. Harrell R. #3 : 0.2737%

95. Jim D. #3 : 0.2716%

96. Hutch H. #3 : 0.266%

97. Todd K. #1 : 0.2609%

98. Brent S. #2 : 0.2608%

99. Dan Du. #2 : 0.2538%

100. Jenny E. : 0.2502%

101. Mike C. #1 : 0.2482%

102. Irene H. #4 : 0.2344%

103. John M. #2 : 0.2138%

104. Brent E. #3 : 0.2136%

104. Tomas L. #1 : 0.2136%

106. Mindi W. : 0.2095%

107. John E. #2 : 0.1953%

108. Ray W. #1 : 0.194%

109. Mike C. #2 : 0.1907%

110. Ray W. #5 : 0.1892%

111. Josh C. : 0.1883%

112. Wayne D. #1 : 0.1851%

113. Gutless Kye : 0.1828%

113. Gutless Missy : 0.1828%

113. Gutless Ray : 0.1828%

116. Ken P. : 0.1808%

117. Bosun S. : 0.1795%

118. Ray W. #9 : 0.1764%

119. Hutch H. #2 : 0.1742%

120. Scott K. #1 : 0.1724%

121. Scott H. #1 : 0.1708%

122. Brett W. : 0.1546%

123. Angie Bow. : 0.1506%

123. Kye G. #2 : 0.1506%

125. Damien R. #3 : 0.1505%

126. Irene H. #5 : 0.1469%

127. Plsczor Team : 0.1313%

128. Rob I. #1 : 0.1312%

129. Irene H. #3 : 0.1182%

130. Jay K. : 0.1083%

131. Gary W. : 0.1068%

132. Arianna S. : 0.1062%

133. Brett K. #2 : 0.1012%

134. Michelle D. : 0.0976%

134. Mike S. #1 : 0.0976%

136. Chun W. #4 : 0.0946%

137. Joel B. #1 : 0.0859%

138. Larry G. #3 : 0.0854%

139. Jim D. #4 : 0.0829%

140. Irene H. #2 : 0.0793%

141. Jim D. #1 : 0.079%

142. Hutch H. #1 : 0.0717%

143. Karen C. : 0.0701%

144. Scott H. #2 : 0.0671%

145. Brent E. #1 : 0.0579%

146. Ally H. : 0.0574%

147. Dylan B. : 0.0569%

148. Larry G. #2 : 0.0564%

149. Joel B. #5 : 0.0544%

150. Angie B. : 0.0518%

151. Marissa O. : 0.0518%

152. Elizabeth N. : 0.0508%

152. Luis B. #1 : 0.0508%

154. Brett K. #1 : 0.0488%

155. Brandon H. : 0.0478%

156. Jeff S. : 0.0437%

156. Missy W. #2 : 0.0437%

158. Michelle L. #4 : 0.0427%

158. Taima B. #2 : 0.0427%

160. Lisa M. : 0.0274%

161. Joe K. #3 : 0.0213%

162. Brent S. #1 : 0.0198%

163. Ben J. #3 : 0.0183%

164. Damien R. #1 : 0.0172%

165. Stan C. : 0.0124%

166. Brent E. #4 : 0.0122%

166. Chris L. #1 : 0.0122%

166. Virginia L. #1 : 0.0122%

169. Mason A. #1 : 0.0081%

170. Kirt R. : 0.004%

171. Bella S. : 0.003%