Friday, March 18, 2016

NCAA Day 2 - Random stats edition




Good morning again everyone!!  The first games aren't finished yet, but I thought I'd take this time to pull together some stats so far:

192/213 (90.14%) of entries had all 4 of their Final 4 teams survive the first day.  Obviously, some of those teams didn't even play, so that makes a difference.

127/213 (59.62%) of entries had all 8 of the Elite 8 teams survive the first day.

32/213 (15.02%) of entries had all 16 of their Sweet 16 teams survive the first day.

Of those 32 entries that have all Sweet 16 teams survive, 3 of them were the gutless brackets.  The nice thing about that, is that of those 32 entries, they are in last place.  No one had as few as 9 wins yesterday and still managed to not lose a Sweet 16 team.

Poor Jeremy C. was the only person to lose 2 Final 4 teams yesterday (Arizona & Purdue).   He also was one of the 4 entries to lose their champion yesterday (Arizona).  I haven't done the math, so I'm not 100% on this, but I think that Jeremy C. is already mathematically eliminated from winning this one.  Tough day, Jeremy.

Speaking of losing their champion, Chris M. managed to lose his champion in 2 of his 5 entries yesterday.  I guess that's why you enter 5 times.

If I look at all the individual entries, 121 different people entered this year.  Not sure what the correlation is here, but the 2 people that entered the most brackets (Ray W. - 9, Daisy N. - 6) are both former champions.

Of the people that entered multiple brackets, Howard S. has the best average score so far (14 points).  The person with the lowest is Damien R. (9.67 points).

I'll send out more interesting stats as I think of them.  In the mean time, there are games going off pretty soon.  Here's the breakdown:

Oregon State / VCU

Oregon State: 89
VCU: 124

You wouldn't know that Oregon State was the 7 seed in this matchup looking at this distribution.  Further proof that the committee didn't know what it was doing this year.  I think VCU is something like a 4.5 point favorite in Vegas.  Oregon State has virtually no track record in the tournament, while VCU went to the Final 4 a few years ago.

California / Hawaii

California: 183
Hawaii: 30

I have a theory that most of the PAC-12 teams are overseeded.  I think Cal may fit that category.  I'm really pulling for the upset here.  Plus, for some reason I saw a lot of Hawaii games this season.  Probably because I am on the West Coast, and they are almost always the only game on TV late on Saturday night.  I think my lone entrant who actually lives in Hawaii is at least 4 of the 30 people that picked Hawaii.  Plus, it would be the first upset of a team that was seeded to go more than one round.  We need to start seeing those types of upsets.  This would be a good place to start that trend.

Good luck everyone!!!!!!

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