Kansas in the Final 4

 I think that second half of basketball from Kansas was about as good as I’ve seen them play all season.  That’s got to make the rest of the field a little nervous.  They look really strong.  Of course, that was one half, and they looked average or below average in the first half, so there’s always a chance to beat them.  Of course there’s a chance.  Anytime you throw the ball up there’s a chance.

Oddly, for Matt H. and Kristina H., who were way ahead in the percent chances to win, the win by Kansas, even though they had Kansas in the Final 4 made their chances go down.  The reason is because they have Villanova in the Finals.  If Kansas had lost that game, all the people that have Kansas in the finals would have been knocked out and nobody would have got points for Miami if they made the finals.  So, this is somewhat counterintuitive, but those two would have been better off sacrificing those 8 points.  I tell you, things get strange as get closer to the last few games.

Here is the Matrix again:

Name	1st Place	2nd Place	3rd Place	4th Place
Kristina H. - Duke	31.2500%	18.7500%	Miami-Florida	Houston
Matt H. - Duke	Arizona	18.7500%	18.7500%	12.5000%
Ryan W. - Kansas	12.5000%	6.2500%	Miami-Florida	18.7500%
Mike W. - Kansas	15.6250%	14.5833%	5.2083%	2.0833%
Craig G. - Kansas	3.1250%	14.5833%	11.4583%	2.0833%
Amber W. - Villanova	6.2500%	12.5000%	6.2500%	2.0833%
Becky H. - Villanova	6.2500%	12.5000%	6.2500%	2.0833%
Brent S. #1 - Duke	Arizona	Arizona	Purdue	25.0000%
John M. #2 - Duke	12.5000%	UCLA	12.5000%	Miami-Florida
April K. - Villanova	Initial	Gonzaga	6.2500%	6.2500%
Daisy N. #2 - Gonzaga	Arizona	Arkansas	6.2500%	6.2500%
Dustin B. - Kansas	Arkansas	Arkansas	Arkansas	12.5000%
John M. #3 - North Carolina	12.5000%	Miami-Florida	Houston	Houston
Lindsay R. - Villanova	Initial	Gonzaga	6.2500%	6.2500%
Stefon K. - Kansas	Initial	Gonzaga	12.5000%	Purdue
Daisy N. #1 - Gonzaga	Arkansas	2.0833%	2.0833%	2.0833%
Kristin G. - Gonzaga	Arkansas	Arkansas	6.2500%	Miami-Florida
Shawn M. - Baylor	Gonzaga	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	2.0833%
Adalyn H. - Auburn	Tx. Tech	Providence	Tx. Tech	Providence
Adam E. - Kentucky	Initial	Gonzaga	Providence	UCLA
Adam O. #1 (CAAT I) - Arizona	Initial	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Michigan
Adam O. #2 (CAAT II) - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Adam O. #3 (CAAT III) - Kentucky	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Adam O. #4 (CAAT IV) - Kansas	Initial	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga
Alex I - Arizona	Initial	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech
Ally H. - Arizona	Tx. Tech	Arizona	Arizona	Arizona
Alyssa B. - Arizona	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Amanda R. - Ohio State	Arkansas	Houston	Houston	Houston
Andrew D. #1 - Gonzaga	Michigan	Michigan	Michigan	Michigan
Andrew D. #2 - Gonzaga	Houston	Houston	Houston	Houston
Avery S. - Kansas	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Baily T. - Gonzaga	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech
Ben S. - Arizona	Tx. Tech	Arizona	Arizona	Arizona
Brad R. - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga
Brandon H. - Kentucky	Initial	Gonzaga	Michigan	Initial
Brent E. #1 - Michigan State	Michigan	Michigan	Michigan	Michigan
Brent E. #2 - Houston	Houston	Houston	Houston	Houston
Brent E. #3 - Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Michigan
Brent E. #4 - Kentucky	Michigan	Michigan	Michigan	Arizona
Brent E. #5 - Kansas	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Arizona
Brent E. #6 - Arizona	Arizona	Arizona	UCLA	UCLA
Brent S. #2 - Arizona	Arizona	Arizona	Arizona	Arizona
Bret K. #1 - Gonzaga	Tx. Tech	Houston	Houston	Houston
Bret K. #2 - Gonzaga	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	UCLA
Bret K. #3 - Arizona	Arizona	Providence	Providence	Providence
Brett G. #1 - Tennessee	Initial	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Michigan
Brett G. #2 - Arizona	Gonzaga	Arizona	Tx. Tech	Arizona
Brett G. #3 - Duke	Arizona	UCLA	Miami-Florida	Miami-Florida
Brett G. #4 - Kentucky	Michigan	Michigan	Arizona	Arizona
Brett W. - UCLA	Michigan	Arizona	Purdue	Purdue
Brian K. - Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Michigan	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech
Chalk for Charity - Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Arizona	Arizona
Charlotte N. - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Chris E. - Arizona	Initial	Arizona	Arizona	Arizona
Chris L. #1 - Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Michigan	Arizona	Arizona
Chris L. #2 - Arizona	Michigan	Arizona	Arizona	Arizona
Chris L. #3 - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga
Chris L. #4 - Arizona	Initial	Gonzaga	Michigan	Michigan
Chris L. #5 - Arizona	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Chris T. - Arizona	Initial	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga
Chrissy S - USC	Initial	Michigan	Houston	Houston
Christian C. - Gonzaga	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Arizona
Cicely K. - Auburn	Initial	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga
Colonel S. - Kentucky	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Colston W. - Arizona	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Connor W. - Arizona	Initial	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Arizona
Creighton H. - Arizona	Purdue	Purdue	Purdue	Purdue
Daisy N. #10 - Tennessee	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Daisy N. #3 - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Daisy N. #4 - Kansas	Initial	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga
Daisy N. #5 - Duke	Arizona	UCLA	UCLA	UCLA
Daisy N. #6 - Arizona	Initial	Arizona	Arizona	Arizona
Daisy N. #7 - UCLA	UCLA	UCLA	UCLA	UCLA
Daisy N. #8 - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Daisy N. #9 - Arizona	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Damien R #1 - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Damien R #2 - Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Michigan	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech
Dan Du. #1 - Duke	Purdue	Purdue	Providence	Purdue
Dan Du. #2 - Duke	Houston	Houston	Houston	Houston
Dan Du. #3 - Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga
Dan McK. #1 - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Dan McK. #2 - Kentucky	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga
Dan P. - Baylor	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Arizona
Daniel E. #1 - Purdue	Purdue	Purdue	Purdue	Purdue
Daniel E. #2 - UCLA	Providence	Providence	UCLA	UCLA
Daryl J. - Arizona	Tx. Tech	Arizona	Arizona	Arizona
Derek H. - Tennessee	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Michigan
Diana A. - Auburn	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Dustin D. #1 - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga
Dustin D. #2 - Kansas	Gonzaga	Tx. Tech	Arkansas	Arkansas
Dustin D. #3 - Auburn	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech
Dustin D. #4 - Arizona	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Dylan B. #1 - Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Michigan
Dylan B. #2 - Tennessee	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga
Elizabeth N. #1 - Kentucky	Michigan	Michigan	Michigan	Arizona
Elizabeth N. #2 - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Elliot N. - Arizona	Initial	Tx. Tech	Arizona	Arizona
Eric G. #1 - Arizona	Michigan	Arizona	Arizona	Purdue
Eric G. #2 - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga
Eric S. - Arizona	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Eric V. - Arizona	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Tx. Tech	Arizona
Gary W. - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Gigi I - Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Arizona
Harrell R. # 1 - Virginia Tech	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Harrell R. # 2 - Tennessee	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Harrell R. # 3 - Kentucky	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Hero R. - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Purdue	Providence
Howard S. #1 - Auburn	Initial	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga
Howard S. #2 - UCLA	UCLA	UCLA	UCLA	UCLA
Howie G. #1 - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Arizona	Arizona
Hutch H. #1 - Arizona	Arizona	Arizona	Arizona	Arizona
Hutch H. #2 - Kansas	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech
Hutch H. #3 - Gonzaga	Gonzaga	UCLA	UCLA	Arkansas
Irene H. #1 - Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Michigan
Irene H. #2 - Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Michigan
Irene H. #3 - Kentucky	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Irene H. #4 - Arizona	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Irene H. #5 - Auburn	Arizona	UCLA	Miami-Florida	Miami-Florida
Irene H. #6 - Kentucky	Tx. Tech	Arizona	Arizona	Arizona
Jace D. - Ohio State	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Jackson I - UCLA	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Purdue	Purdue
Jared B. - Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Michigan	Michigan
Jason S. - Duke	Purdue	Purdue	Providence	UCLA
Jaxon S. - Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga
Jay H. #1 - Kansas	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Houston	Houston
Jay H. #2 - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga
Jeremy W. (SI) - Arizona	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Jim D. #1 - Kentucky	Initial	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Michigan
Jim D. #2 - Arizona	Arizona	Arizona	Arizona	Arizona
Jim D. #3 - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga
Jim W. - Arizona	Arizona	Arizona	Arizona	Arizona
John M. #1 - Connecticut	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
JoJo D. - Kansas	UCLA	UCLA	Houston	Houston
Josh Ch. - UCLA	Initial	Arizona	Purdue	Providence
Josiah T. #1 - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga
Josiah T. #2 - Kentucky	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Josiah T. #3 - Arizona	Gonzaga	Michigan	Michigan	Michigan
Kansas C. - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga
Karen Ch. - Kansas	Gonzaga	Purdue	UCLA	UCLA
Kealoah G. - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech
Ken Pom - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Michigan	Michigan
Kiah H. #1 - Kentucky	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Kiah H. #2 - Kentucky	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga
Kirt R. #1 - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Kirt R. #2 - Arizona	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Klei R. - Arizona	Initial	Michigan	Michigan	Arizona
Kyle V. - UCLA	Tx. Tech	UCLA	UCLA	UCLA
Kylee T. - Villanova	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Arizona
Luis B. #1 - Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Michigan	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech
Luis B. #2 - Arizona	Gonzaga	Michigan	Michigan	Michigan
Luis B. #3 - Arizona	Arizona	Purdue	Purdue	Purdue
Mary Lou H. - Arizona	Arizona	Arizona	Arizona	Arizona
Mason A. - Arizona	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech
Matt M. - Kentucky	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Matt N. - Gonzaga	Arizona	Arizona	Purdue	Purdue
Max A. #1 - Gonzaga	Initial	Tx. Tech	Michigan	Tx. Tech
Max A. #2 - Kansas	Tx. Tech	Arizona	Arizona	Purdue
Michael S. #1 (Cluck Norris) - Gonzaga	Michigan	Michigan	Michigan	Michigan
Michael S. #2 (Hank the Tank) - Arizona	Gonzaga	Tx. Tech	Arizona	Arizona
Michelle L. #1 - Arizona	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga
Michelle L. #2 - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Michelle L. #3 - Baylor	Houston	Houston	Houston	Houston
Michelle L. #4 - Kansas	UCLA	UCLA	Houston	Houston
Michelle L. #5 - Kentucky	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Mike N  - Kansas	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech
Mindi W. - Kentucky	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Missy W. - Tennessee	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Nathan R. - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga
Nick I - USC	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Nick V. - Kentucky	Initial	Michigan	Michigan	Michigan
Niren D. - Gonzaga	Tx. Tech	Arizona	Arizona	Tx. Tech
Noah N. - Arizona	Initial	Gonzaga	Michigan	Michigan
Otis L. - Arizona	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Arizona
Owen R. - Jacksonville State	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Paul K. - Arizona	Initial	Gonzaga	Arizona	Arizona
Paul W. - Villanova	Arizona	Arizona	UCLA	UCLA
Pete J. #1 - Tennessee	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Pete J. #2 - Kentucky	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga
Pete J. #3 - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Pete J. #4 - Arizona	Michigan	Tx. Tech	Arizona	Arizona
Pete J. #5 - Kansas	Gonzaga	Michigan	UCLA	UCLA
Pete J. #6 - Wisconsin	Gonzaga	Michigan	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech
Ray Min. #1 - Baylor	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Ray Min. #2 - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Reid D. - Duke	Initial	Michigan	Iowa State	Iowa State
Rex C. - Arizona	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Rich F. - Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga
Rob I #1 - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Rob I #2 - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Roth W. - Arizona	Arizona	Tx. Tech	Arizona	Arizona
Scarlett H. - Wisconsin	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Scott He. #1 - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga
Scott He. #2 - Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Michigan
Scott K. #1 - Kansas	Arizona	Purdue	Purdue	Purdue
Scott K. #2 - Kentucky	Initial	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Michigan
Stephen C. - Auburn	Initial	Purdue	Purdue	Purdue
Steve Dz. #1 - Houston	Initial	Houston	UCLA	Houston
Steve Dz. #2 - Purdue	Purdue	Purdue	Arizona	Purdue
Taima B. #1 - Arizona	Arizona	UCLA	Houston	Houston
Taima B. #2 - Gonzaga	Arizona	Arizona	Arizona	Arizona
Tim K. - Tennessee	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Tisa S. - Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Arizona	Arizona	Arizona
Tomas L. - Baylor	Initial	Houston	Houston	Houston
TommyJoe V. #1 - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
TommyJoe V. #2 - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
TommyJoe V. #3 - Kansas	Initial	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga
TommyJoe V. #4 - Arizona	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Tucker D. - Alabama	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial
Valerie D. - Gonzaga	Arizona	Iowa State	Iowa State	Iowa State
William G. #1 - Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Gonzaga	Purdue
William G. #2 - Villanova	Initial	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech	Tx. Tech
Zach V. - Gonzaga	Initial	Gonzaga	Initial	Initial

…and the eliminations for the last Final 4 game:

If North Carolina wins:

Result	Pick
Amber W. is eliminated from 4th place contention.	Baylor
Becky H. is eliminated from 4th place contention.	Purdue
Craig G. is eliminated from 1st & 4th place contention.	Purdue
Daisy N. #1 is eliminated from 2nd, 3rd & 4th place contention.	Baylor
Daisy N. #2 is eliminated from 3rd place contention.	Baylor
Mike W. is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.	North Carolina
Ryan W. is eliminated from 1st place contention.	Baylor
Shawn M. is eliminated from 4th place contention.	Baylor

If St. Peter’s Wins:

Result	Pick
Daisy N. #2 is eliminated from 4th place contention.	Baylor
John M. #3 is eliminated from 1st place contention.	North Carolina
Kristin G. is eliminated from 3rd palce contention.	North Carolina
Ryan W. is eliminated from 2nd place contention.	Baylor

Not much up for grabs here.  One strange thing to notice is that Mike W. will be knocked out for 3^rd if the team he picked to win actually wins, and that Ryan W. is eliminated from something regardless of how this game ends.  Strange times.