Friday, March 18, 2022

Only 4 games left!!!!

 Technically an upset, Iowa State beat LSU for the only lower seeded team in the last 4 to beat a higher seeded team.  I was really hoping for Chattanooga.  They were winning most of the game against Illinois.  The thing about the upsets today is that none of them have been particularly damaging.  At least according to the seeds, every one of the upsets today was supposed to lose in the next round anyway.  That’s kind of the key to winning these things.  You can take a few losses on upset picks in the 1st round, and as long as your Final 4 teams are still alive or even your Elite 8 or Sweet 16 teams, you probably still have a good shot.

To prove that point, three people have gone 12/12 so far today.  The average has been about 9/12 so far, so this was a good day to pick up points apparently.

Here are the standings:

1. Max A. #2: 24 (-8) - Kansas

2. Irene H. #6: 24 (-72) - Kentucky

3. Dustin D. #3: 23 (-23) - Auburn

4. Dustin D. #2: 23 (-25) - Kansas

4. Valerie D.: 23 (-25) - Gonzaga

6. Ally H.: 22 (-12) - Arizona

6. Craig G.: 22 (-12) - Kansas

6. Niren D.: 22 (-12) - Gonzaga

9. William G. #1: 22 (-18) - Gonzaga

10. Bret K. #1: 22 (-24) - Gonzaga

11. Bret K. #2: 22 (-34) - Gonzaga

12. Ray Min. #1: 22 (-40) - Baylor

13. Scott He. #2: 22 (-50) - Gonzaga

14. Kiah H. #1: 22 (-76) - Kentucky

15. Harrell R. # 3: 22 (-78) - Kentucky

16. Bret K. #3: 21 (-11) - Arizona

17. Brian K.: 21 (-13) - Gonzaga

17. Creghton H.: 21 (-13) - Arizona

17. Scott K. #1: 21 (-13) - Kansas

20. Becky H.: 21 (-15) - Villanova

20. Daisy N. #2: 21 (-15) - Gonzaga

20. Irene H. #1: 21 (-15) - Gonzaga

20. Jason S.: 21 (-15) - Duke

24. Josiah T. #3: 21 (-17) - Arizona

24. Stephen C.: 21 (-17) - Auburn

26. Brett G. #2: 21 (-21) - Arizona

27. Jared B.: 21 (-25) - Gonzaga

28. Alyssa B.: 21 (-29) - Arizona

28. Dustin D. #1: 21 (-29) - Gonzaga

30. Harrell R. # 2: 21 (-41) - Tennessee

31. Jay H. #1: 21 (-47) - Kansas

32. Daisy N. #3: 21 (-51) - Gonzaga

33. Baily T.: 20 (-14) - Gonzaga

33. Karen Ch.: 20 (-14) - Kansas

33. Luis B. #1: 20 (-14) - Gonzaga

33. Mary Lou H.: 20 (-14) - Arizona

33. Matt H.: 20 (-14) - Duke

33. Nathan R.: 20 (-14) - Gonzaga

39. Mason A.: 20 (-16) - Arizona

39. Taima B. #1: 20 (-16) - Arizona

41. Andrew D. #2: 20 (-18) - Gonzaga

41. Brett G. #3: 20 (-18) - Duke

41. Chris L. #1: 20 (-18) - Gonzaga

41. Chris L. #2: 20 (-18) - Arizona

41. Daisy N. #5: 20 (-18) - Duke

41. Dylan B. #2: 20 (-18) - Tennessee

47. Avery S.: 20 (-20) - Kansas

47. Pete J. #5: 20 (-20) - Kansas

49. Chris E.: 20 (-22) - Arizona

49. Kylee T.: 20 (-22) - Villanova

49. Pete J. #3: 20 (-22) - Gonzaga

52. Andrew D. #1: 20 (-24) - Gonzaga

53. Chris L. #3: 20 (-26) - Gonzaga

53. Hutch H. #3: 20 (-26) - Gonzaga

53. Jim D. #2: 20 (-26) - Arizona

53. Kansas C.: 20 (-26) - Gonzaga

57. Pete J. #1: 20 (-28) - Tennessee

58. Daisy N. #10: 20 (-30) - Tennessee

58. Jaxon S.: 20 (-30) - Gonzaga

60. Chris L. #4: 20 (-42) - Arizona

60. Derek H.: 20 (-42) - Tennessee

62. Chris L. #5: 20 (-54) - Arizona

62. Eric S.: 20 (-54) - Arizona

62. Tim K.: 20 (-54) - Tennessee

65. Colonel S.: 20 (-76) - Kentucky

65. Harrell R. # 1: 20 (-76) - Virginia Tech

67. Nick I: 20 (-78) - USC

68. Jim D. #1: 20 (-86) - Kentucky

69. Mindi W.: 20 (-88) - Kentucky

70. Dustin B.: 19 (-13) - Kansas

70. Irene H. #5: 19 (-13) - Auburn

70. Pete J. #4: 19 (-13) - Arizona

73. Brent E. #1: 19 (-15) - Michigan State

73. Brent E. #2: 19 (-15) - Houston

73. Chalk for Charity: 19 (-15) - Gonzaga

73. Ryan W.: 19 (-15) - Kansas

73. Tomas L.: 19 (-15) - Baylor

78. Ben S.: 19 (-17) - Arizona

78. Daisy N. #1: 19 (-17) - Gonzaga

78. Dustin D. #4: 19 (-17) - Arizona

78. Hutch H. #1: 19 (-17) - Arizona

82. Daniel E. #2: 19 (-19) - UCLA

82. Jim D. #3: 19 (-19) - Gonzaga

82. Max A. #1: 19 (-19) - Gonzaga

82. Scarlett H.: 19 (-19) - Wisconsin

86. Brent E. #6: 19 (-21) - Arizona

86. Brett W.: 19 (-21) - UCLA

86. Irene H. #4: 19 (-21) - Arizona

86. Scott He. #1: 19 (-21) - Gonzaga

90. Kristina H.: 19 (-23) - Duke

90. Kyle V.: 19 (-23) - UCLA

92. Cicely K.: 19 (-25) - Auburn

92. Shawn M.: 19 (-25) - Baylor

94. Brent E. #3: 19 (-27) - Gonzaga

94. Dan P.: 19 (-27) - Baylor

94. Elizabeth N. #2: 19 (-27) - Gonzaga

94. Itene H. #2: 19 (-27) - Gonzaga

94. Kirt R. #1: 19 (-27) - Gonzaga

94. Missy W.: 19 (-27) - Tennessee

94. Pete J. #6: 19 (-27) - Wisconsin

101. Amber W.: 19 (-29) - Villanova

101. Damien R #1: 19 (-29) - Gonzaga

101. Howard S. #1: 19 (-29) - Auburn

101. Ken Pom: 19 (-29) - Gonzaga

101. Stefon K.: 19 (-29) - Kansas

106. Paul W.: 19 (-31) - Villanova

107. April K.: 19 (-33) - Villanova

107. Eric V.: 19 (-33) - Arizona

107. John M. #3: 19 (-33) - North Carolina

110. Rex C.: 19 (-39) - Arizona

111. Brent E. #5: 19 (-41) - Kansas

111. Zach V.: 19 (-41) - Gonzaga

113. Dan Du. #3: 19 (-43) - Gonzaga

114. Otis L.: 19 (-45) - Arizona

115. William G. #2: 19 (-59) - Villanova

116. Scott K. #2: 19 (-75) - Kentucky

117. Josiah T. #2: 19 (-77) - Kentucky

118. Brett G. #4: 19 (-81) - Kentucky

119. Brandon H.: 19 (-85) - Kentucky

120. Brent E. #4: 19 (-87) - Kentucky

121. Matt N.: 18 (-12) - Gonzaga

122. Mike N : 18 (-14) - Kansas

122. Tisa S.: 18 (-14) - Gonzaga

124. Amanda R.: 18 (-16) - Ohio State

124. Daniel E. #1: 18 (-16) - Purdue

126. Klei R. #1: 18 (-18) - Arizona

126. Ray Min. #2: 18 (-18) - Gonzaga

128. Dylan B. #1: 18 (-20) - Gonzaga

128. Michael S. #1 (Cluck Norris): 18 (-20) - Gonzaga

128. Roth W.: 18 (-20) - Arizona

131. Michael S. #2 (Hank the Tank): 18 (-22) - Arizona

131. Rob I #2: 18 (-22) - Gonzaga

133. Josiah T. #1: 18 (-24) - Gonzaga

134. Gary W.: 18 (-26) - Gonzaga

134. Kirt R. #2: 18 (-26) - Arizona

134. Luis B. #3: 18 (-26) - Arizona

137. Daisy N. #4: 18 (-28) - Kansas

137. Howie G. #1: 18 (-28) - Gonzaga

137. Jay H. #2: 18 (-28) - Gonzaga

137. John M. #2: 18 (-28) - Duke

141. Connor W.: 18 (-30) - Arizona

141. Kealoah G.: 18 (-30) - Gonzaga

143. Rich F.: 18 (-32) - Gonzaga

144. Eric G. #2: 18 (-34) - Gonzaga

144. Lindsay R.: 18 (-34) - Villanova

144. Steve Dz. #1: 18 (-34) - Houston

147. Brent S. #2: 18 (-42) - Arizona

147. Brett G. #1: 18 (-42) - Tennessee

147. Luis B. #2: 18 (-42) - Arizona

150. Daryl J.: 18 (-46) - Arizona

151. Diana A.: 18 (-48) - Auburn

152. Elizabeth N. #1: 18 (-78) - Kentucky

152. Irene H. #3: 18 (-78) - Kentucky

152. John M. #1: 18 (-78) - Connecticut

155. Matt M.: 18 (-80) - Kentucky

156. Chrissy S: 18 (-82) - USC

157. Kiah H. #2: 18 (-88) - Kentucky

158. Owen R.: 18 (-114) - Jacksonville State

159. Damien R #2: 17 (-15) - Gonzaga

160. Brent S. #1: 17 (-17) - Duke

160. Steve Dz. #2: 17 (-17) - Purdue

162. Christian C.: 17 (-19) - Gonzaga

163. Kristin G.: 17 (-21) - Gonzaga

164. Mike W.: 17 (-23) - Kansas

165. Dan Du. #1: 17 (-25) - Duke

166. Alex I: 17 (-27) - Arizona

167. Chris T.: 17 (-29) - Arizona

167. Elliot N.: 17 (-29) - Arizona

167. Jackson I: 17 (-29) - UCLA

167. Josh Ch.: 17 (-29) - UCLA

167. Noah N.: 17 (-29) - Arizona

172. Adam O. #1 (CAAT I): 17 (-31) - Arizona

172. Adam O. #2 (CAAT II): 17 (-31) - Gonzaga

172. Adam O. #4 (CAAT IV): 17 (-31) - Kansas

172. Hero R.: 17 (-31) - Gonzaga

176. Jeremy W. (SI): 17 (-35) - Arizona

177. Reid D.: 17 (-39) - Duke

178. Dan McK. #1: 17 (-43) - Gonzaga

179. Dan McK. #2: 17 (-75) - Kentucky

180. Pete J. #2: 17 (-77) - Kentucky

181. Adam O. #3 (CAAT III): 17 (-79) - Kentucky

182. Adam E.: 17 (-97) - Kentucky

183. Daisy N. #7: 16 (-20) - UCLA

183. Howard S. #2: 16 (-20) - UCLA

183. TommyJoe V. #2: 16 (-20) - Gonzaga

183. TommyJoe V. #3: 16 (-20) - Kansas

183. TommyJoe V. #4: 16 (-20) - Arizona

188. Hutch H. #2: 16 (-22) - Kansas

188. Michelle L. #3: 16 (-22) - Baylor

190. JoJo D.: 16 (-24) - Kansas

191. Adalyn H.: 16 (-26) - Auburn

192. Taima B. #2: 16 (-28) - Gonzaga

192. TommyJoe V. #1: 16 (-28) - Gonzaga

194. Dan Du. #2: 16 (-32) - Duke

195. Brad R.: 16 (-34) - Gonzaga

195. Paul K.: 16 (-34) - Arizona

197. Colston W.: 16 (-42) - Arizona

197. Michelle L. #2: 16 (-42) - Gonzaga

199. Daisy N. #6: 16 (-46) - Arizona

199. Daisy N. #9: 16 (-46) - Arizona

199. Gigi I: 16 (-46) - Gonzaga

202. Nick V.: 16 (-82) - Kentucky

203. Eric G. #1: 15 (-19) - Arizona

204. Daisy N. #8: 15 (-25) - Gonzaga

204. Jim W.: 15 (-25) - Arizona

206. Michelle L. #1: 14 (-32) - Arizona

206. Michelle L. #4: 14 (-32) - Kansas

208. Rob I #1: 14 (-68) - Gonzaga

209. Michelle L. #5: 14 (-94) - Kentucky

210. Charlotte N.: 13 (-33) - Gonzaga

211. Jace D.: 13 (-57) - Ohio State

212. Tucker D.: 13 (-97) - Alabama

and the net points rankings:

1. Max A. #2 (16)

2. Ally H. (10)

2. Craig G. (10)

2. Niren D. (10)

2. Bret K. #3 (10)

6. Brian K. (8)

6. Creghton H. (8)

6. Scott K. #1 (8)

9. Becky H. (6)

9. Daisy N. #2 (6)

9. Irene H. #1 (6)

9. Jason S. (6)

9. Baily T. (6)

9. Karen Ch. (6)

9. Luis B. #1 (6)

9. Mary Lou H. (6)

9. Matt H. (6)

9. Nathan R. (6)

9. Dustin B. (6)

9. Irene H. #5 (6)

9. Pete J. #4 (6)

9. Matt N. (6)

23. William G. #1 (4)

23. Josiah T. #3 (4)

23. Stephen C. (4)

23. Mason A. (4)

23. Taima B. #1 (4)

23. Brent E. #1 (4)

23. Brent E. #2 (4)

23. Chalk for Charity (4)

23. Ryan W. (4)

23. Tomas L. (4)

23. Mike N  (4)

23. Tisa S. (4)

35. Andrew D. #2 (2)

35. Brett G. #3 (2)

35. Chris L. #1 (2)

35. Chris L. #2 (2)

35. Daisy N. #5 (2)

35. Dylan B. #2 (2)

35. Ben S. (2)

35. Daisy N. #1 (2)

35. Dustin D. #4 (2)

35. Hutch H. #1 (2)

35. Amanda R. (2)

35. Daniel E. #1 (2)

35. Damien R #2 (2)

48. Dustin D. #3 (0)

48. Brett G. #2 (0)

48. Avery S. (0)

48. Pete J. #5 (0)

48. Daniel E. #2 (0)

48. Jim D. #3 (0)

48. Max A. #1 (0)

48. Scarlett H. (0)

48. Klei R. #1 (0)

48. Ray Min. #2 (0)

48. Brent S. #1 (0)

48. Steve Dz. #2 (0)

60. Dustin D. #2 (-2)

60. Valerie D. (-2)

60. Bret K. #1 (-2)

60. Chris E. (-2)

60. Kylee T. (-2)

60. Pete J. #3 (-2)

60. Brent E. #6 (-2)

60. Brett W. (-2)

60. Irene H. #4 (-2)

60. Scott He. #1 (-2)

60. Dylan B. #1 (-2)

60. Michael S. #1 (Cluck Norris) (-2)

60. Roth W. (-2)

60. Christian C. (-2)

74. Jared B. (-4)

74. Andrew D. #1 (-4)

74. Kristina H. (-4)

74. Kyle V. (-4)

74. Michael S. #2 (Hank the Tank) (-4)

74. Rob I #2 (-4)

74. Kristin G. (-4)

74. Daisy N. #7 (-4)

74. Howard S. #2 (-4)

74. TommyJoe V. #2 (-4)

74. TommyJoe V. #3 (-4)

74. TommyJoe V. #4 (-4)

74. Eric G. #1 (-4)

87. Chris L. #3 (-6)

87. Hutch H. #3 (-6)

87. Jim D. #2 (-6)

87. Kansas C. (-6)

87. Cicely K. (-6)

87. Shawn M. (-6)

87. Josiah T. #1 (-6)

87. Mike W. (-6)

87. Hutch H. #2 (-6)

87. Michelle L. #3 (-6)

97. Alyssa B. (-8)

97. Dustin D. #1 (-8)

97. Pete J. #1 (-8)

97. Brent E. #3 (-8)

97. Dan P. (-8)

97. Elizabeth N. #2 (-8)

97. Itene H. #2 (-8)

97. Kirt R. #1 (-8)

97. Missy W. (-8)

97. Pete J. #6 (-8)

97. Gary W. (-8)

97. Kirt R. #2 (-8)

97. Luis B. #3 (-8)

97. Dan Du. #1 (-8)

97. JoJo D. (-8)

112. Daisy N. #10 (-10)

112. Jaxon S. (-10)

112. Amber W. (-10)

112. Damien R #1 (-10)

112. Howard S. #1 (-10)

112. Ken Pom (-10)

112. Stefon K. (-10)

112. Daisy N. #4 (-10)

112. Howie G. #1 (-10)

112. Jay H. #2 (-10)

112. John M. #2 (-10)

112. Alex I (-10)

112. Adalyn H. (-10)

112. Daisy N. #8 (-10)

112. Jim W. (-10)

127. Bret K. #2 (-12)

127. Paul W. (-12)

127. Connor W. (-12)

127. Kealoah G. (-12)

127. Chris T. (-12)

127. Elliot N. (-12)

127. Jackson I (-12)

127. Josh Ch. (-12)

127. Noah N. (-12)

127. Taima B. #2 (-12)

127. TommyJoe V. #1 (-12)

138. April K. (-14)

138. Eric V. (-14)

138. John M. #3 (-14)

138. Rich F. (-14)

138. Adam O. #1 (CAAT I) (-14)

138. Adam O. #2 (CAAT II) (-14)

138. Adam O. #4 (CAAT IV) (-14)

138. Hero R. (-14)

146. Eric G. #2 (-16)

146. Lindsay R. (-16)

146. Steve Dz. #1 (-16)

146. Dan Du. #2 (-16)

150. Ray Min. #1 (-18)

150. Jeremy W. (SI) (-18)

150. Brad R. (-18)

150. Paul K. (-18)

150. Michelle L. #1 (-18)

150. Michelle L. #4 (-18)

156. Harrell R. # 2 (-20)

156. Rex C. (-20)

156. Charlotte N. (-20)

159. Chris L. #4 (-22)

159. Derek H. (-22)

159. Brent E. #5 (-22)

159. Zach V. (-22)

159. Reid D. (-22)

164. Dan Du. #3 (-24)

164. Brent S. #2 (-24)

164. Brett G. #1 (-24)

164. Luis B. #2 (-24)

168. Jay H. #1 (-26)

168. Otis L. (-26)

168. Dan McK. #1 (-26)

168. Colston W. (-26)

168. Michelle L. #2 (-26)

173. Scott He. #2 (-28)

173. Daryl J. (-28)

175. Daisy N. #3 (-30)

175. Diana A. (-30)

175. Daisy N. #6 (-30)

175. Daisy N. #9 (-30)

175. Gigi I (-30)

180. Chris L. #5 (-34)

180. Eric S. (-34)

180. Tim K. (-34)

183. William G. #2 (-40)

184. Jace D. (-44)

185. Irene H. #6 (-48)

186. Kiah H. #1 (-54)

186. Rob I #1 (-54)

188. Harrell R. # 3 (-56)

188. Colonel S. (-56)

188. Harrell R. # 1 (-56)

188. Scott K. #2 (-56)

192. Nick I (-58)

192. Josiah T. #2 (-58)

192. Dan McK. #2 (-58)

195. Elizabeth N. #1 (-60)

195. Irene H. #3 (-60)

195. John M. #1 (-60)

195. Pete J. #2 (-60)

199. Brett G. #4 (-62)

199. Matt M. (-62)

199. Adam O. #3 (CAAT III) (-62)

202. Chrissy S (-64)

203. Jim D. #1 (-66)

203. Brandon H. (-66)

203. Nick V. (-66)

206. Mindi W. (-68)

206. Brent E. #4 (-68)

208. Kiah H. #2 (-70)

209. Adam E. (-80)

209. Michelle L. #5 (-80)

211. Tucker D. (-84)

212. Owen R. (-96)

There are still 4 games to go, and some of them are almost at half time right now, so here’s the last of the previews:

Vegas Line: Houston -8

Picks for Houston: 168

Picks for UAB: 44

I’ve mentioned over and over again how I keep a ranking of teams all season long.  As part of that, I wind up with some favorite teams.  Teams that my rankings have really high, but the actual rankings have lower.  I had 3 teams that I really liked.  I really liked Arizona, who I thought was the #1 team in the country for the last 2 months.  My second favorite team was about one tier below them – and I was excited about taking them a few rounds further than their seed, as I was sure they would be underseeded.  That team is Houston (who I had ranked a solid #3).  Unfortunately for me, Houston would face Arizona in the 3rd round if they win.  D’oh!  But wait, it gets worse.  There was a team that I had as a borderline ranked team virtually all season.  I was going to pick them to make the Sweet 16, but that team was UAB, and they play Houston in the first round.  So, all three of my favorite teams are in the same eighth of the bracket.  Just my luck….  I’m going to be very disappointed one of my teams will go out on this one, but that’s how it crumbles, cookie-wise.

Vegas Line: Michigan State PK

Picks for Michigan State: 110

Picks for Davidson: 102

That distribution seems to be about right.  Michigan State used to be about as reliable a tournament team as there was.  You used to be able to count on them to go a round or two further than their seed would tell you.  However, they haven’t been as good in recent years.  About 3 weeks ago, I was saying MSU shouldn’t even be a tournament team.  It was only a few wins late in the season that put them in for me.  I still like Davidson though.  I watched them a few times this year, and they are pretty tough.

Vegas Line: Wisconsin -7.5

Picks for Wisconsin: 196

Picks for Colgate: 16

This is actually going to be the last game played in the first round.  It’s also the last chance to have a serious upset.  The fact that Wisconsin is playing in the state of Wisconsin should help quite a bit.  Look out for Colgate though.  They are very good.

Vegas Line: Seton Hall -1.5

Picks for Seton Hall: 111

Picks for TCU: 101

Another 8/9 game.  If there’s any balance in the world, the 8 seed will win, giving the 8 seeds a 2-2 record.  I think that is pretty much what they are historically (.500).  I don’t have a horse in this race, with the exception of the winner playing Arizona in the next round, so I hope they play a triple-OT game.

Good luck to everyone!!!!!

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