Can we get just one upset please? edition

I saw a graphic during these games that said that the higher seed has won something like 18 straight games.  That sounds about right.  It sucks and I hate it.  62 people went 4/4 in these last set of games.  18 people have gone 12/12 today so far.  That also sucks because it takes exactly zero guts to pick by the seeds.  I've said that there are 3 days that I love during the tournament:  Selection Sunday, Rex Manning Day and the day any bracket that picks only by the seeds is mathematically eliminated from all contention.  Sadly, that looks like it's gonna be later this year than most year.  God help us all if it doesn't happen....

Here are the standings.  We have a new leader as John M. #1 picked Davidson and Oklahoma State and dropped to 15th.  The new leader is Bret K. #1.  Congrats (for what it's worth).

1. Bret K. #1: 25 (-9)

2. Daisy N. #1: 25 (-11)

3. Brent E. #4: 24 (-8)

3. Daisy N. #4: 24 (-8)

3. Irene H. #2: 24 (-8)

3. Kye G. #1: 24 (-8)

7. Ben S. #1: 24 (-10)

7. Bhav R. #1: 24 (-10)

7. Steve H. #1: 24 (-10)

10. Mike W.: 24 (-12)

10. Peter J. #6: 24 (-12)

12. Ron B.: 24 (-18)

13. Bret K. #2: 24 (-36)

14. Marissa W. #1: 23 (-5)

15. John M. #1: 23 (-7)

16. Brandon B.: 23 (-9)

16. Brent E. #2: 23 (-9)

16. Brent S. #2: 23 (-9)

16. Chun W. #3: 23 (-9)

16. Gigi Q.: 23 (-9)

16. James G. #2: 23 (-9)

16. Jonathan M. #2: 23 (-9)

16. Ken P.: 23 (-9)

16. Kirt R. #1: 23 (-9)

16. Larry G. #2: 23 (-9)

16. Steve K. #1: 23 (-9)

16. Szecho L.: 23 (-9)

28. Kolton D.: 23 (-11)

29. Chris La. #3: 23 (-13)

29. Hutch H. #2: 23 (-13)

31. Dylan B.: 23 (-37)

31. Peter J. #2: 23 (-37)

33. Michelle R. #2: 23 (-99)

34. Kai Q.: 22 (-8)

35. Angie B.: 22 (-10)

35. Ben S. #2: 22 (-10)

35. Christy K. #1: 22 (-10)

35. James G. #1: 22 (-10)

35. Larry G. #1: 22 (-10)

35. Mark N. #1: 22 (-10)

35. Steve H. #2: 22 (-10)

35. Todd K. #2: 22 (-10)

35. Todd K. #3: 22 (-10)

44. Dan S.: 22 (-12)

44. Jessica B.: 22 (-12)

44. Kansas C.: 22 (-12)

47. Chad L. #2: 22 (-14)

47. Harrell R. #2: 22 (-14)

47. James G. #3: 22 (-14)

47. Jeff W.: 22 (-14)

47. Justin L.: 22 (-14)

47. Rich F. #1: 22 (-14)

47. Rich F. #2: 22 (-14)

47. Steve K. #2: 22 (-14)

55. Bobby H.: 22 (-18)

56. Amber W.: 22 (-22)

56. Daisy N. #2: 22 (-22)

56. James R.: 22 (-22)

56. Missy W. #1: 22 (-22)

60. Ben J. #1: 22 (-24)

61. Ben J. #4: 22 (-38)

61. Chun W. #2: 22 (-38)

61. Harrell R. #1: 22 (-38)

61. Shane B.: 22 (-38)

65. Mindi W.: 22 (-40)

66. Bhav R. #2: 21 (-7)

67. Larry G. #4: 21 (-9)

67. Scottt #1: 21 (-9)

67. Scottt #2: 21 (-9)

70. Ally H.: 21 (-11)

70. Bret K. #3: 21 (-11)

70. Dave M.: 21 (-11)

70. Eric V. #3: 21 (-11)

70. Scott H. #2: 21 (-11)

70. Todd K. #1: 21 (-11)

70. Veronica A.: 21 (-11)

77. Brad E.: 21 (-13)

77. Jonathan M. #1: 21 (-13)

79. April K.: 21 (-15)

79. Ben J. #3: 21 (-15)

79. Chad L. #3: 21 (-15)

79. Dennis R. #1: 21 (-15)

79. Irene H. #1: 21 (-15)

79. Jay K.: 21 (-15)

79. Jim D. #1: 21 (-15)

79. Scott H. #1: 21 (-15)

87. Alyssa B.: 21 (-19)

88. Hutch H. #1: 21 (-23)

89. Chun W. #1: 21 (-27)

90. Gary W.: 21 (-39)

90. Julie S.: 21 (-39)

92. Paul W.: 21 (-41)

93. Kirt R. #2: 20 (-10)

94. Chun W. #4: 20 (-12)

94. Dennis R. #2: 20 (-12)

94. Jack Q. #3: 20 (-12)

94. Jay H. #3: 20 (-12)

94. Joe R.: 20 (-12)

94. Joseph H.: 20 (-12)

94. Kye G. #2: 20 (-12)

94. Steve D.: 20 (-12)

94. Todd K. #4: 20 (-12)

103. Alex Q.: 20 (-14)

103. Jack Q. #4: 20 (-14)

103. Jim D. #2: 20 (-14)

106. Carl B.: 20 (-16)

106. Chris La. #2: 20 (-16)

106. Damian M. #2: 20 (-16)

106. John B.: 20 (-16)

106. Larry G. #3: 20 (-16)

111. Andrew D. #2: 20 (-18)

111. Chris La. #4: 20 (-18)

111. Eric V. #2: 20 (-18)

111. Michelle L. #3: 20 (-18)

115. Matt N.: 20 (-20)

115. Virginia L. #1: 20 (-20)

117. Jason G.: 20 (-22)

118. Chad L. #1: 20 (-24)

118. Daisy N. #3: 20 (-24)

118. Dan D. #2: 20 (-24)

118. Sue L.: 20 (-24)

122. Tomas L. #1: 20 (-26)

122. Tomas L. #2: 20 (-26)

124. Peter J. #1: 20 (-30)

125. John E.: 20 (-40)

125. Jonathan M. #3: 20 (-40)

125. Mike G.: 20 (-40)

128. Ben J. #2: 19 (-11)

128. Dan D. #1: 19 (-11)

128. Jim K.: 19 (-11)

128. Marissa W. #2: 19 (-11)

132. Becky H.: 19 (-13)

132. Brent S. #1: 19 (-13)

132. Brent S. #3: 19 (-13)

132. Daisy N. #5: 19 (-13)

132. Marissa W. #3: 19 (-13)

132. Michelle R. #1: 19 (-13)

132. William G. #2: 19 (-13)

139. Brent E. #3: 19 (-15)

139. Dustin B.: 19 (-15)

139. Taima B #2: 19 (-15)

142. Chris L. #1: 19 (-17)

142. Chris Lu. #1: 19 (-17)

142. Daryl J.: 19 (-17)

142. Jenny E.: 19 (-17)

142. John M. #2: 19 (-17)

142. Ryan W.: 19 (-17)

142. Scott K. #2: 19 (-17)

149. Brent E. #1: 19 (-19)

149. Brett W.: 19 (-19)

149. Damien R. #2: 19 (-19)

149. Seth D.: 19 (-19)

153. Andrew D. #1: 19 (-21)

153. Jack Q. #1: 19 (-21)

155. Taima B. #1: 19 (-25)

156. Jack Q. #2: 19 (-27)

156. William G. #4: 19 (-27)

158. Hutch H. #3: 19 (-29)

158. William G. #1: 19 (-29)

160. Mason A. #1: 19 (-41)

161. Brian G. #1: 19 (-43)

162. Jay H. #1: 19 (-75)

163. Brandon H.: 18 (-12)

163. Missy W. #2: 18 (-12)

165. Eric V. #1: 18 (-14)

166. Howard S. #2: 18 (-16)

166. Luis B. #1: 18 (-16)

166. Mark N. #2: 18 (-16)

166. Peter J. #4: 18 (-16)

170. Chris Lu. #2: 18 (-18)

170. John M. #3: 18 (-18)

170. Peter J. #3: 18 (-18)

173. Damian M. #1: 18 (-20)

173. Damian M. #3: 18 (-20)

173. Jim W.: 18 (-20)

173. Joe K. #1: 18 (-20)

173. Michelle L. #2: 18 (-20)

173. Ray R.: 18 (-20)

179. Mason A. #2: 18 (-22)

180. Mike S. #2: 18 (-42)

181. Scott K. #1: 18 (-46)

182. Irene H. #3: 18 (-74)

182. Virginia L. #2: 18 (-74)

184. Mike S. #1: 17 (-15)

185. Luis B. #2: 17 (-17)

185. Luis B. #3: 17 (-17)

187. Damien R. #1: 17 (-19)

187. Roth W.: 17 (-19)

189. Brad R.: 17 (-21)

189. Joe K. #2: 17 (-21)

191. Michelle L. #1: 17 (-33)

192. Klei R. #1: 17 (-45)

193. Jay H. #2: 17 (-67)

194. Jax Q.: 16 (-16)

195. Adam E.: 16 (-20)

196. Peter J. #5: 16 (-22)

197. Christy K. #2: 16 (-30)

197. Howard S. #1: 16 (-30)

199. Joe K. #3: 16 (-32)

200. William G. #3: 15 (-19)

201. Brian G. #2: 15 (-39)

202. Jonathan O.: 15 (-43)

203. Michelle L. #4: 15 (-49)

204. Marc R.: 13 (-33)

205. Tim N.: 13 (-53)

206. Sally R.: 12 (-52)

Here are the final 4 games of the day:

Wisconsin / Coastal Carolina:

Wisconsin: 205

Coastal Carolina: 1 (Jonathan O. this time - deserving of his own post at some point today.  He went 4/4 last time to raise his total for the day to 5.)

Vegas line: Wisconsin -19.5

San Diego State / St. John's

San Diego State: 149

St. John's: 57

Vegas Line: SDSU -4

This pick is skewed even more than the MSU - for obvious reasons.  If anyone that lives near me picked St. John's, you should be deeply ashamed of yourself. Are you seriously going to root against San Diego State?  I hope you can live with yourselves....

Gonzaga / North Dakota State

Gonzaga: 205

North Dakota State: 1 (The infamous Jonathan O. again!)

Vegas line: Gonzaga -18

I think I remember Jonathan's entry now.  If I remember correctly, he's not from this country.  If that's the case, someone did a bad job of explaining "seeding".

Providence / Dayton

Providence: 125

Dayton: 81

Vegas line: Providence -3

Maybe the last chance for an upset based on how the SDSU game is going.  I also want it to be an upset because I want the play-in streak to remain intact.  It's one of my favorite statistics in this tournament.

At some point I want to write something about the logical fallacy at the center of the Allstate Good Driver discount commercial where the guys girlfriend gets a discount check.  This bugs me from a logic standpoint, as well as a statistical one.

All right.  Good luck to Dayton.  You might be our last best chance, unless North Dakota State has something up their sleeve that I am not expecting.