Thursday, March 19, 2015

Day 1 - 2nd 2 games



Well, neither of these first two early games are blowouts that the pick distribution would lead to you believe that they should be.  Northeastern was down 4 points at half time to Notre Dame, and I just finished watching a very frustrating first half for Iowa State, where it seemed like they were trying to pull down each rebound without thumbs.  They are currently losing at halftime by 3 to a team that went into their conference tournament with a .500 overall record.

I guess that's the appeal of the tournament.  Virtually no one saw these results so far - but neither of the games is over, so there's still some chances for huge upsets, or for chalk to prevail.  Even if ISU loses, I can be happy knowing that it causes a lot of havoc in a lot of brackets. That always makes me smile.

As for the next two games, it seems like these should be blowouts as well, but it seems like no one knows anything based on the first games.

The next game is: Baylor vs. Georgia State
Baylor: 198
Georgia State: 8
Vegas line: Baylor -9

Considering the line on ISU was 14.5, it seems like more people would have been wise to pick Georgia State.   9 points doesn't seem like that much to overcome in the grand scheme of things.

The next game after that is possibly the biggest predicted blowout of the morning games: Arizona vs. Texas Southern.  The picks look like this:
Arizona: 206
Texas Southern: 1
Vegas Line: Arizona -24

The one brave soul to pick Texas Southern was my Mom.  I've always advocated to anyone that will listen that it doesn't make much sense to do from a cost/benefit analysis perspective.  If you win, you gain 1 point on the field, but if you lose, you could potentially lose a ton of points to the field.  Apparently, my words of wisdom didn't sink in for my Mom.  I hope she wins.  That would be great.
Next time I'll have initial points.  Hopefully those points will include an Iowa State victory.

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