2nd place probabilities

So I was able to get the probabilities for 2nd place.  First, here are the people that are mathematically eliminated from 2nd place contention:

Adam S. #1

Adam S. #2

Allie I.

Alyssa N.

April K.

Arianna S.

Brent E. #2

Brent S. #1

Brent S. #2

Chad L. #2

Chad L. #3

Chris M.

Craig G.

Daisy N. #1

Daisy N. #12

Daisy N. #2

Daisy N. #3

Daisy N. #5

Daisy N. #7

Daisy N. #8

Damien R. #1

Dennis R. #1

Dustin B. #2

Eleanor

Emily W.

Eric R. #1

Hal R. #2

Howard S. #1

Howard S. #2

Irene H. #4

Irene H. #5

Jack K. #4

James G. #1

Jaxon S.

Jay H. #1

Jay H. #3

Jill M. #1

Jill M. #2

Jim D. #1

Jim D. #2

Jim D. #3

Jim D. #4

Joe D. #2

Joel B. #1

John M. #2

Josh D.

Joshua R.

Kansas C. #4

Karen C.

Ken P.

Kevin F. #3

Kiah H.

Klei R.

Larry G. #1

Larry G. #4

Luis B. #2

Michelle L. #1

Michelle L. #2

Michelle L. #3

Michelle L. #4

Mike McQ. #2

Mike S. #2

Mike W.

Missy W. #2

Molly R.

Nathan R.

Pete J. #1

Pete J. #4

Presley J.

Ray W. #3

Riley Y.

Ron V. #2

Roth W. #1

Roth W. #3

Roth W. #4

Scott H. #1

Scott Has.

Seth D.

Stefan K.

Szecho L. #1

Taima B.

Tim N.

Wayne D. #2

...and here are the initial probabilities for 2nd place:

1. Irene H. #2 (5.3856%)

2. Brad E. (4.8645%)

3. Alyssa B. (4.7393%)

4. Julie S. (4.6808%)

5. Daisy N. #11 (3.9988%)

6. Kansas C. #3 (3.538%)

7. Kevin F. #1 (3.0804%)

8. Brent E. #4 (2.849%)

9. Dan Dz. (2.7371%)

10. Irene H. #3 (2.4926%)

11. Paul R. #1 (2.4881%)

12. Mike C. #1 (2.3362%)

13. Paul R. #2 (2.1799%)

14. Sanjay T. (1.9457%)

15. Kirt R. #1 (1.597%)

16. Daisy N. #9 (1.4633%)

17. Zach V. (1.33%)

18. Eric V. (1.2954%)

19. Dan D. #1 (1.27%)

20. Dan D. #2 (1.2523%)

21. Kirt R. #2 (1.2034%)

22. Ashley D. (1.1409%)

23. Josh C. (1.1215%)

24. Michelle D. (1.0965%)

25. Ben J. #4 (1.0742%)

26. Damien R. #3 (1.0386%)

27. Pete J. #3 (1.0243%)

28. Jack K. #2 (1.0215%)

29. Larry G. #3 (1.0172%)

30. Hal R. #1 (0.9539%)

31. Todd K. #1 (0.9534%)

32. Scott K. #2 (0.9429%)

33. David S. (0.9394%)

34. Josh S. #2 (0.9185%)

35. Irene H. #1 (0.9183%)

36. Cool Guy (0.888%)

37. Ron KY (0.8829%)

38. Mindi W. (0.7827%)

39. Joe D. #1 (0.7761%)

40. Alex N. #1 (0.7593%)

41. Jay H. #2 (0.7542%)

42. Jeff S. (0.7441%)

43. Jon F. (0.7273%)

44. Taylor F. (0.7263%)

45. Ben J. #1 (0.6027%)

46. Howard S. #3 (0.5762%)

47. Chris T. #3 (0.5575%)

48. Michelle R. (0.5465%)

49. Ally H. (0.5465%)

50. Matt M. (0.5401%)

51. Larry G. #2 (0.5381%)

52. Carrie F. (0.532%)

53. Dennis R. #2 (0.5228%)

54. Ryan S. (0.5126%)

55. Mike S. #1 (0.5126%)

56. Tim's Stepson (0.5035%)

57. Kansas C. #1 (0.4985%)

58. Jim W. (0.4943%)

59. Adam E. (0.4824%)

60. Roth W. #2 (0.4629%)

61. Pete J. #6 (0.4506%)

62. Bosun S. (0.4391%)

63. John M. #1 (0.4333%)

64. Brian K. (0.4222%)

65. Ben S. #1 (0.4209%)

66. Marc R. (0.4089%)

67. Missy W. #3 (0.3982%)

68. Hal R. #3 (0.3753%)

69. Kansas C. #2 (0.3662%)

70. Wayne D. #1 (0.3621%)

71. Missy W. #1 (0.3499%)

72. Brayden R. (0.3489%)

72. Chris T. #1 (0.3489%)

74. John E. #1 (0.328%)

75. Becky H. (0.3255%)

76. Brett K. #1 (0.3234%)

77. Jax I. (0.3206%)

78. Luis B. #3 (0.3173%)

79. Matt N. (0.3082%)

80. Ron V. #1 (0.299%)

81. Alex N. #2 (0.2919%)

82. Mike C. #2 (0.2798%)

83. Pete J. #5 (0.2563%)

84. Jack K. #1 (0.2517%)

85. Brad R. (0.2507%)

86. Daisy N. #10 (0.2436%)

87. Brandon H. (0.238%)

88. Chrissy I. (0.2319%)

89. Josh S. #1 (0.2309%)

90. Ben J. #5 (0.2146%)

91. Dan S. (0.2131%)

92. John E. #2 (0.2108%)

93. Jim K. (0.2105%)

94. Joel B. #2 (0.2003%)

95. Rob I. (0.178%)

96. Ben J. #3 (0.1724%)

96. Joe D. #3 (0.1724%)

98. Dustin B. #1 (0.1722%)

99. Szecho L. #2 (0.1708%)

100. Cory W. (0.1485%)

101. James R. (0.1429%)

102. Mike McQ. #1 (0.1342%)

103. Luis B. #1 (0.1256%)

104. Ray W. #1 (0.1068%)

105. Hutch H. #1 (0.0961%)

106. Ava S. (0.09%)

107. Ben S. #2 (0.0869%)

108. Chris T. #2 (0.0773%)

109. Gutless Jack (0.0712%)

110. Scott H. #2 (0.0663%)

111. Kyle V. (0.0656%)

112. Daisy N. #6 (0.0651%)

113. Richard Z. (0.064%)

114. Dylan B. (0.0549%)

115. Damien R. #2 (0.0518%)

116. Brent E. #1 (0.0488%)

117. Chris L. #1 (0.0467%)

118. Alex N. #3 (0.0462%)

119. Ben J. #2 (0.0442%)

120. Brett K. #2 (0.0427%)

120. Gigi I. (0.0427%)

122. Daisy N. #4 (0.0376%)

123. Kevin F. #2 (0.0335%)

124. Ray W. #2 (0.0325%)

125. Scott K. #1 (0.0305%)

126. Jana T. (0.0295%)

127. Pete J. #2 (0.0284%)

128. James G. #2 (0.0279%)

129. Chad L. #1 (0.0267%)

130. Hutch H. #2 (0.0152%)

131. Todd K. #2 (0.0127%)

132. Luis B. #5 (0.0125%)

133. Barack O. (0.0122%)

133. Brett W. (0.0122%)

133. Luis B. #4 (0.0122%)

136. Brent E. #3 (0.0096%)

137. Elizabeth N. (0.0096%)

138. Bella S. (0.0091%)

139. Eric R. #2 (0.009%)

140. Chris L. #2 (0.0071%)

140. Chris L. #3 (0.0071%)

142. Michelle L. #5 (0.0045%)