Saturday, March 25, 2017

After Gonzaga



That game was boring - unless you were rooting for Gonzaga, then it was fantastic.  There's not much time between games, so I'll go to the matrix and the updated probabilities and then the eliminations for the next game:

Name
1st Place
2nd Place
3rd Place
4th Place
Adam E.
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Adam S. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Adam S. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Alex N. #1
Michigan
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
Alex N. #2
Arizona
Arizona
Arizona
Arizona
Alex N. #3
Michigan
Xavier
Xavier
Xavier
Allie I.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ally H.
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Alyssa B.
Baylor
Baylor
Baylor
Baylor
Alyssa N.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Michigan
Arizona
April K.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Arianna S.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Michigan
Ashley D.
Baylor
Baylor
UCLA
UCLA
Ava S.
Sweet 16
Purdue


Barack O.
Sweet 16
Michigan
Michigan
W. Va.
Becky H.
Sweet 16
W. Va.
UCLA
UCLA
Bella S.
Sweet 16
Michigan
Michigan
Arizona
Ben J. #1
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Ben J. #2
Sweet 16
Michigan
Michigan
W. Va.
Ben J. #3
Michigan
Arizona
Arizona
Arizona
Ben J. #4
Michigan
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
Ben J. #5
Michigan
W. Va.
Purdue
Purdue
Ben S. #1
Arizona
Arizona
UCLA
UCLA
Ben S. #2
Sweet 16
Michigan
Arizona
Arizona
Bosun S.

UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
Brad E.
W. Va.
W. Va.
Purdue
Purdue
Brad R.
Michigan
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
Brandon H.
W. Va.
Arizona
Arizona
Arizona
Brayden R.
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
Brent E. #1
Arizona
Arizona
Arizona
Arizona
Brent E. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Brent E. #3
Michigan
Michigan
Michigan
Michigan
Brent E. #4
Baylor
Baylor
Baylor
Baylor
Brent S. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Brent S. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Brett K. #1
Sweet 16
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
Brett K. #2
Sweet 16
UCLA
UCLA
Xavier
Brett W.
Sweet 16
Michigan
Michigan
Michigan
Brian K.
Butler
Butler
Butler
Wisconsin
Carrie F.
Butler
Baylor
Baylor
Baylor
Chad L. #1
Sweet 16
Michigan
Purdue
Purdue
Chad L. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Chad L. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Chris L. #1
Arizona
UCLA
UCLA
Xavier
Chris L. #2
Arizona
Arizona
UCLA
UCLA
Chris L. #3
Arizona
Arizona
UCLA
UCLA
Chris M.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Chris T. #1
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
Chris T. #2
Arizona
Arizona
Butler
Butler
Chris T. #3




Chrissy I.
Arizona
Arizona
Arizona
Arizona
Cool Guy
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
Cory W.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
Craig G.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Daisy N. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Michigan

Daisy N. #10
Xavier
Xavier
Xavier

Daisy N. #11
Purdue
Butler
Butler
Butler
Daisy N. #12
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Daisy N. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Arizona

Daisy N. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16


Daisy N. #4
Butler
Butler
Butler
Butler
Daisy N. #5
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Daisy N. #6
W. Va.
Michigan
Purdue
W. Va.
Daisy N. #7
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Michigan
Daisy N. #8
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Daisy N. #9
Butler
Butler
Butler
Butler
Damien R. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Purdue
Arizona
Damien R. #2
Michigan
Michigan
Michigan
Arizona
Damien R. #3
UCLA
Wisconsin


Dan D. #1
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA

Dan D. #2
Wisconsin



Dan Dz.




Dan S.
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
David S.
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
Dennis R. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16

Dennis R. #2
Butler
Butler


Dustin B. #1
W. Va.
Arizona
Arizona
Arizona
Dustin B. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16


Dylan B.
Arizona
Arizona
Xavier
Xavier
Eleanor
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Elizabeth N.
Arizona
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
Emily W.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Eric R. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Eric R. #2
Sweet 16
Xavier
Xavier
Xavier
Eric V.


Xavier

Gigi I.
Butler
Butler
Butler
Butler
Gutless Jack

Baylor

UCLA
Hal R. #1
Wisconsin

Xavier

Hal R. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Hal R. #3




Howard S. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16

Howard S. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Howard S. #3
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
Hutch H. #1
Sweet 16
W. Va.
W. Va.
Arizona
Hutch H. #2
Arizona
Arizona
Baylor
UCLA
Irene H. #1
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Arizona
Irene H. #2


Xavier
Xavier
Irene H. #3
Arizona



Irene H. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Irene H. #5
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Jack K. #1
Sweet 16



Jack K. #2
Sweet 16



Jack K. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Michigan
James G. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Michigan
Arizona
James G. #2
Sweet 16
Purdue
Purdue
UCLA
James R.
Michigan
Michigan
W. Va.
Purdue
Jana T.
Arizona
Xavier
Xavier
Xavier
Jax I.
Butler
Butler
Butler
Wisconsin
Jaxon S.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Arizona
Jay H. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Jay H. #2
Butler
Butler
Butler
Baylor
Jay H. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Butler
Butler
Jeff S.




Jill M. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Jill M. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Jim D. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Jim D. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Jim D. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Jim D. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Jim K.
Sweet 16



Jim W.
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
Joe D. #1
Xavier
Xavier


Joe D. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Purdue
Joe D. #3
Xavier
Baylor
Xavier
Baylor
Joel B. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Baylor

Joel B. #2
Sweet 16
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
John E. #1
Sweet 16
Arizona
Arizona
Arizona
John E. #2




John M. #1
Sweet 16



John M. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Jon F.
Michigan
Michigan
Arizona
Purdue
Josh C.
UCLA

UCLA

Josh D.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
W. Va.
Josh S. #1
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Butler
Josh S. #2
Arizona
Xavier
Xavier
Xavier
Joshua R.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Purdue
Purdue
Julie S.
Michigan
Michigan
Michigan
Purdue
Kansas C. #1




Kansas C. #2
Baylor



Kansas C. #3



UCLA
Kansas C. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Karen C.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ken P.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16

Arizona
Kevin F. #1
W. Va.
Purdue
Butler
Butler
Kevin F. #2
Sweet 16
Purdue
Purdue
Arizona
Kevin F. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Kiah H.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Kirt R. #1




Kirt R. #2
Baylor
Baylor
Baylor

Klei R.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Kyle V.
Purdue


Wisconsin
Larry G. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Larry G. #2
Michigan
Michigan
Arizona
UCLA
Larry G. #3




Larry G. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Luis B. #1
W. Va.
Arizona
Arizona
Arizona
Luis B. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Luis B. #3
Sweet 16
Arizona
Arizona
Arizona
Luis B. #4
Sweet 16
Michigan
Arizona
Arizona
Luis B. #5
Sweet 16
Michigan
Michigan
W. Va.
Marc R.
Arizona
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
Matt M.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
W. Va.
Matt N.
Arizona
Arizona
Arizona
Arizona
Michelle D.
Michigan
Arizona
Butler
Butler
Michelle L. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Michelle L. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Michelle L. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Arizona
UCLA
Michelle L. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
UCLA
Michelle L. #5
Sweet 16
Arizona
Arizona
Arizona
Michelle R.
Arizona
Arizona
UCLA
UCLA
Mike C. #1
Xavier
Xavier
Xavier
Xavier
Mike C. #2
Butler
Butler
Wisconsin
Wisconsin
Mike McQ. #1
Michigan
W. Va.
Arizona
Arizona
Mike McQ. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Mike S. #1
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
Mike S. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
UCLA
Arizona
Mike W.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
UCLA
Mindi W.
Baylor
Baylor
UCLA
UCLA
Missy W. #1
Wisconsin
Wisconsin


Missy W. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Missy W. #3
W. Va.
Purdue
Purdue
UCLA
Molly R.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Xavier
Xavier
Nathan R.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Paul R. #1




Paul R. #2
Xavier
Xavier


Pete J. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Arizona
Pete J. #2
Sweet 16



Pete J. #3
Baylor
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
Pete J. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Pete J. #5
Arizona
Arizona
Arizona
Arizona
Pete J. #6
Baylor
Baylor
Butler
Baylor
Presley J.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ray W. #1
Sweet 16


Xavier
Ray W. #2
Xavier
Xavier
Xavier
Xavier
Ray W. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Richard Z.




Riley Y.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Rob I.
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
Ron KY




Ron V. #1
UCLA
UCLA


Ron V. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Michigan
Roth W. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Roth W. #2
Xavier
Xavier
Xavier
Xavier
Roth W. #3
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Roth W. #4
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Ryan S.
Butler
Butler
Baylor
Butler
Sanjay T.
Baylor
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
Scott H. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Scott H. #2
Baylor
Xavier
Xavier
Xavier
Scott Has.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Arizona
Arizona
Scott K. #1
Sweet 16
Arizona
UCLA
Baylor
Scott K. #2
Arizona
Xavier
Xavier
Xavier
Seth D.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Stefan K.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Szecho L. #1
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Szecho L. #2
Sweet 16
Purdue
Arizona
Purdue
Taima B.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Taylor F.
Purdue
UCLA
Xavier
UCLA
Tim N.
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Tim's Stepson
Purdue
Arizona


Todd K. #1
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Todd K. #2
Sweet 16
Purdue
Purdue
Purdue
Wayne D. #1
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
Xavier
Wayne D. #2
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Sweet 16
Zach V.
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA
UCLA


Probabilities for 1st place:

1. Kansas C. #3 (16.6666%)
2. Bosun S. (12.5%)
2. Ron KY (12.5%)
4. Paul R. #1 (10.9375%)
5. Dan Dz. (6.25%)
5. Kansas C. #1 (6.25%)
7. Larry G. #3 (4.6875%)
7. Chris T. #3 (4.6875%)
7. Eric V. (4.6875%)
10. Kirt R. #1 (4.1666%)
10. Jeff S. (4.1666%)
12. Irene H. #2 (3.125%)
12. John E. #2 (3.125%)
12. Richard Z. (3.125%)
15. Hal R. #3 (1.5625%)
15. Gutless Jack (1.5625%)


...2nd place...

1. Irene H. #3 (7.8125%)
1. Dan D. #2 (7.8125%)
1. Eric V. (7.8125%)
4. Josh C. (6.25%)
4. Jack K. #2 (6.25%)
4. Hal R. #1 (6.25%)
4. Ray W. #1 (6.25%)
8. Jim K. (5.4687%)
9. Jeff S. (4.9479%)
9. Kirt R. #1 (4.9479%)
11. Kansas C. #3 (4.1666%)
12. Dan Dz. (3.9062%)
12. Kansas C. #2 (3.9062%)
14. Paul R. #1 (3.125%)
14. Irene H. #2 (3.125%)
14. Jack K. #1 (3.125%)
14. Larry G. #3 (3.125%)
18. Chris T. #3 (2.3437%)
19. Ron KY (1.5625%)
19. Kyle V. (1.5625%)
19. Kansas C. #1 (1.5625%)
19. Hal R. #3 (1.5625%)
23. John M. #1 (0.7812%)
23. John E. #2 (0.7812%)
23. Richard Z. (0.7812%)
23. Pete J. #2 (0.7812%)


...3rd place...

1. Irene H. #3 (7.8125%)
1. Dan D. #2 (7.8125%)
3. Ray W. #1 (6.25%)
3. Ava S. (6.25%)
5. Jack K. #2 (4.6875%)
5. Ron V. #1 (4.6875%)
5. John M. #1 (4.6875%)
8. Richard Z. (3.9062%)
9. Paul R. #1 (3.125%)
9. Paul R. #2 (3.125%)
9. Larry G. #3 (3.125%)
9. Ken P. (3.125%)
9. Dustin B. #2 (3.125%)
9. Dennis R. #2 (3.125%)
15. Chris T. #3 (2.3437%)
15. John E. #2 (2.3437%)
15. Jim K. (2.3437%)
15. Hal R. #3 (2.3437%)
19. Kirt R. #1 (2.3437%)
19. Jeff S. (2.3437%)
21. Dan Dz. (2.0833%)
22. Tim's Stepson (1.5625%)
22. Missy W. #1 (1.5625%)
22. Kansas C. #1 (1.5625%)
22. Joe D. #1 (1.5625%)
22. Kyle V. (1.5625%)
22. Gutless Jack (1.5625%)
22. Ron KY (1.5625%)
22. Damien R. #3 (1.5625%)
22. Kansas C. #2 (1.5625%)
22. Pete J. #2 (1.5625%)
22. Daisy N. #3 (1.5625%)
33. Kansas C. #3 (1.0416%)
34. Jack K. #1 (0.7812%)


...4th place...

1. Dan D. #1 (12.5%)
2. Dennis R. #2 (6.25%)
3. Eric V. (4.6875%)
3. Jack K. #1 (4.6875%)
5. John E. #2 (3.9062%)
6. Joe D. #1 (3.125%)
6. Chris T. #3 (3.125%)
6. Kansas C. #1 (3.125%)
6. Paul R. #2 (3.125%)
6. Paul R. #1 (3.125%)
6. Daisy N. #2 (3.125%)
6. Kirt R. #2 (3.125%)
6. Hal R. #1 (3.125%)
6. Joel B. #1 (3.125%)
6. Dustin B. #2 (3.125%)
6. Hal R. #3 (3.125%)
6. Howard S. #1 (3.125%)
18. Dan Dz. (2.8645%)
19. Damien R. #3 (2.3437%)
19. Ron V. #1 (2.3437%)
21. Tim's Stepson (1.5625%)
21. Jack K. #2 (1.5625%)
21. Larry G. #3 (1.5625%)
21. Irene H. #3 (1.5625%)
21. Missy W. #1 (1.5625%)
21. Daisy N. #3 (1.5625%)
21. Daisy N. #1 (1.5625%)
21. Josh C. (1.5625%)
21. Dan D. #2 (1.5625%)
21. Dennis R. #1 (1.5625%)
31. Ron KY (0.7812%)
31. Jim K. (0.7812%)
31. Daisy N. #10 (0.7812%)
31. Ava S. (0.7812%)
31. Richard Z. (0.7812%)
31. Kansas C. #2 (0.7812%)
31. Pete J. #2 (0.7812%)
31. John M. #1 (0.7812%)
39. Kirt R. #1 (0.5208%)
39. Jeff S. (0.5208%)


That means that 178 brackets are out of all contention and 47 brackets can still win something with 6 games left to play.  That means that a lot will be decided on games like the next one.  Here are the eliminations:

If Kansas wins:

Ava S. is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
Daisy N. #3 is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
Dan D. #1 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Dan D. #2 is eliminated from 2nd, 3rd & 4th place contention.
Dan Dz. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Dustin B. #2 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Eric V. is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Hal R. #1 is eliminated from 2nd place contention.
Hal R. #3 is eliminated from 1st & 2nd place contention.
Irene H. #3 is eliminated from 2nd, 3rd & 4th place contention.
Jack K. #2 is eliminated from 2nd & 4th place contention.
Joel B. #1 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
John M. #1 is eliminated from 2nd place contention.
Kansas C. #3 is eliminated from 1st, 2nd & 3rd place contention.
Ken P. is eliminated from 3rd place contention.
Kyle V. is eliminated from 2nd & 3rd place contention.
Larry G. #3 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Missy W. #1 is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
Paul R. #2 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Ray W. #1 is eliminated from 3rd place contention.
Ron KY is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Tim's Stepson is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.




If Oregon wins:

Chris T. #3 is eliminated from 1st, 2nd, 3rd & 4th place contention.
Daisy N. #1 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Daisy N. #10 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Daisy N. #2 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Damien R. #3 is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
Dan Dz. is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Dennis R. #1 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Dennis R. #2 is eliminated from 3rd place contention.
Dustin B. #2 is eliminated from 3rd place contention.
Eric V. is eliminated from 1st place contention.
Gutless Jack is eliminated from 1st & 3rd place contention.
Hal R. #1 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Howard S. #1 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Irene H. #2 is eliminated from 1st & 2nd place contention.
Jack K. #1 is eliminated from 2nd & 3rd place contention.
Jeff S. is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Jim K. is eliminated from 2nd, 3rd & 4th place contention.
Joe D. #1 is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.
John E. #2 is eliminated from 1st, 2nd & 3rd place contention.
John M. #1 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Josh C. is eliminated from 2nd & 4th place contention.
Kansas C. #1 is eliminated from 1st, 2nd, 3rd & 4th place contention.
Kansas C. #2 is eliminated from 2nd, 3rd & 4th place contention.
Kirt R. #1 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Kirt R. #2 is eliminated from 4th place contention.
Paul R. #2 is eliminated from 3rd place contention.
Pete J. #2 is eliminated from 2nd, 3rd & 4th place contention.
Ray W. #1 is eliminated from 2nd place contention.
Richard Z. is eliminated from 1st, 2nd, 3rd & 4th place contention.
Ron KY is eliminated from 2nd & 3rd place contention.
Ron V. #1 is eliminated from 3rd & 4th place contention.

Good luck!!!!!

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