Champ pick distributions

 Here are some fun distributions for everyone:

To win it all:

Connecticut	75
Houston	44
Purdue	38
North Carolina	28
Arizona	19
Tennessee	13
Iowa State	9
Kentucky	8
Auburn	7
Illinois	5
Marquette	4
Creighton	3
Kansas	3
San Diego State	2
Alabama	2
Nebraska	2
James Madison	1
Wisconsin	1
Texas Tech	1
Howard / Wagner	1
South Carolina	1
Duke	1
Texas A&M	1
Oregon	1
Washington State	1
Gonzaga	1
NC State	1
Long Beach State	1

That is a very broad distribution.  You can also see that some of these teams have already lost.

To win the East:

Connecticut	160
Iowa State	48
Auburn	25
Illinois	24
San Diego State	10
Washington State	3
BYU	2
Duquesne	1
Morehead State	1

See what I said about Auburn?!

To win the West:

Arizona	112
North Carolina	99
Baylor	22
Alabama	17
Michigan State	6
St. Mary's	5
New Mexico	3
Grand Canyon	3
Clemson	2
Nevada	1
Long Beach State	1
Mississippi State	1
Dayton	1
Howard / Wagner	1

14 of the 16 teams had someone pick them.  Crazy.

To win the South:

Houston	151
Kentucky	48
Marquette	35
Duke	17
Wisconsin	8
NC State	4
Nebraska	3
Texas Tech	2
Florida	2
Texas A&M	2
James Madison	1
Oakland	1

Not a lot of love for Marquette or Duke.

To win the Midwest:

Purdue	121
Tennessee	68
Creighton	48
Kansas	12
Gonzaga	10
Oregon	6
South Carolina	5
UVA / CSU	2
St. Peter's	1
Texas	1

This seems a little more reasonable.

Finals Matchup:

Connecticut vs Purdue	38
Connecticut vs Houston	33
Connecticut vs Tennessee	17
Arizona vs Houston	15
North Carolina vs Houston	12
Connecticut vs Kentucky	12
Arizona vs Purdue	11
Iowa State vs Houston	9
North Carolina vs Purdue	8
North Carolina vs Tennessee	7
North Carolina vs Kentucky	7
Connecticut vs Creighton	6
Arizona vs Tennessee	6
North Carolina vs Marquette	5
Auburn vs Purdue	5
Auburn vs Houston	4
Arizona vs Kentucky	3
Iowa State vs Kentucky	3
Iowa State vs Tennessee	3
Arizona vs Creighton	3
Illinois vs Houston	3
Baylor vs Houston	3
Illinois vs Purdue	3
Alabama vs Purdue	3
Connecticut vs Marquette	3
North Carolina vs NC State	2
Illinois vs Marquette	2
Alabama vs Houston	2
Auburn vs Creighton	2
Arizona vs Marquette	2
Michigan State vs Houston	2
Baylor vs Purdue	2
Illinois vs Kentucky	2
North Carolina vs Kansas	2
Connecticut vs Wisconsin	2
Howard / Wagner vs Duke	1
North Carolina vs Oregon	1
Connecticut vs South Carolina	1
Illinois vs Florida	1
San Diego State vs Kansas	1
Auburn vs Kentucky	1
North Carolina vs Duke	1
Connecticut vs Duke	1
Connecticut vs Texas A&M	1
Auburn vs Marquette	1
Grand Canyon vs Nebraska	1
Illinois vs Oregon	1
San Diego State vs Tennessee	1
Connecticut vs Kansas	1
North Carolina vs Creighton	1
Illinois vs Tennessee	1
Auburn vs Wisconsin	1
Iowa State vs Creighton	1
Arizona vs Kansas	1
Arizona vs Wisconsin	1
Washington State vs Oregon	1
Auburn vs Tennessee	1
Arizona vs Texas Tech	1
Iowa State vs Purdue	1
San Diego State vs Duke	1
Iowa State vs South Carolina	1
San Diego State vs Purdue	1
Connecticut vs NC State	1
Washington State vs Gonzaga	1
Long Beach State vs Houston	1
Connecticut vs Nebraska	1
Dayton vs James Madison	1

All right, I’m going to figure out odds off winning a region.  I realized that there’s no way that you can be mathematically eliminated out of the gate.  At the very worst, you are alive if you get every game right to tie for 1^st.  That seems obvious now.  Not sure why I didn’t realize that before.

Good luck!!!!