I put together a regional picks spreadsheet. It has the points and picks for all games within a region. It gives some additional context to who can win what in what region. It also illustrates why some people have higher odds of winning a region than others.
First, let’s break down who is at the top by points in each
region.
In the East region, we had only one person go 8/8 in the
first round. That person was April
K. The average amount of points we got
in that region was 4.69 correct out of 8.
In the West region, we had 7 people that went 8/8 in the
first round. The average amount of
points we won in that region was 5.52 correct out of 8.
In the South region, no one went 8/8. The best anyone did was 11 people that went
7/8, including 2 people (Chun W. #1, Gigi I.) whose only missed pick was
Kentucky, who they had winning the region.
That’s rough…. Those picks show
as being knocked out by Western Kentucky.
That is because they could have still won the region if chaos broke out
everywhere. When Marquette won, the chaos
was limited and they were knocked out. The
average amount of points we won in that region was 4.71 correct out of 8. I would have thought this was the hardest
region to predict, but apparently the East is the toughest.
In the Midwest region, 15 people went 8/8. The average amount of points we won in that
region was 6.08 correct out of 8, making it the most predictable bracket so
far.
For the East Region, here are the brackets that are alive
right now, their points won/lost, the Elite 8 and Final 4 picks along with the
percent chances of winning:
Display |
Total |
Marshmellow (Nik B.): 6 (-4) - Northwestern / Duquesne /
Duquesne |
21.0938% |
April K.: 8 (0) - Connecticut / Illinois / Illinois |
13.2813% |
Becky H.: 7 (-1) - Connecticut / Washington State /
Connecticut |
12.5000% |
Dan Dug. #2: 7 (-1) - Connecticut / Iowa State / Iowa
State |
10.1563% |
Kim F.: 7 (-1) - San Diego State / Iowa State / Iowa
State |
10.1563% |
Constance McA.: 5 (-7) - San Diego State / Washington
State / Washington State |
8.5938% |
Jackson I.: 7 (-3) - Connecticut / Iowa State / Iowa
State |
6.2500% |
Matt W.: 7 (-3) - Connecticut / Iowa State / Iowa State |
6.2500% |
Legend of Zelli: 5 (-3) - San Diego State / Illinois /
San Diego State |
6.2500% |
DESGRU8 (Dan Dz.): 6 (-2) - Connecticut / Illinois /
Illinois |
5.4688% |
Connor W.: 7 (-1) - Connecticut / Iowa State /
Connecticut |
4.6875% |
Bryce O.: 7 (-7) - Auburn / Iowa State / Iowa State |
4.6875% |
Def Efficiency: 7 (-7) - Auburn / Iowa State / Iowa State |
4.6875% |
Dylan B.: 6 (-2) - San Diego State / Iowa State / San
Diego State |
4.6875% |
Marc R.: 6 (-2) - Connecticut / Iowa State / Connecticut |
3.9063% |
Mark B.: 6 (-2) - Connecticut / Iowa State / Connecticut |
3.9063% |
Moochie #4: 5 (-3) - Connecticut / Illinois / Connecticut |
3.9063% |
Scott K. #2: 7 (-3) - Connecticut / Iowa State /
Connecticut |
3.1250% |
Paul W.: 4 (-4) - San Diego State / Iowa State / San
Diego State |
3.1250% |
Amanda R.: 7 (-15) - Auburn / Illinois / Auburn |
2.3438% |
Ali A. #2: 4 (-12) - Auburn / Washington State /
Washington State |
2.3438% |
Brad R.: 6 (-2) - Connecticut / Illinois / Connecticut |
1.5625% |
Kirt R. #2: 6 (-2) - San Diego State / Illinois /
Illinois |
1.5625% |
Greg R.: 6 (-4) - Connecticut / Iowa State / Connecticut |
1.5625% |
Stephen C.: 6 (-4) - Connecticut / Iowa State /
Connecticut |
1.5625% |
John N.: 5 (-3) - San Diego State / Illinois / San Diego
State |
1.5625% |
Szecho L.: 5 (-3) - San Diego State / Illinois / Illinois |
1.5625% |
Dan Dug. #1: 7 (-3) - Connecticut / Illinois /
Connecticut |
0.7813% |
Brandon B. #2: 6 (-2) - Connecticut / Illinois /
Connecticut |
0.7813% |
Brooklynn B.: 6 (-2) - Connecticut / Illinois /
Connecticut |
0.7813% |
Mike N.: 6 (-2) - Connecticut / Illinois / Connecticut |
0.7813% |
…and the West Region:
Display |
Total |
Moochie #3: 6 (-10) - Mississippi State / Dayton / Dayton |
11.7188% |
Daisy N. #2: 5 (-5) - North Carolina / Clemson / Clemson |
10.9375% |
Finn D.: 5 (-5) - Grand Canyon / Clemson / Grand Canyon |
7.8125% |
Brent E. #1: 8 (0) - Michigan State / Arizona / Michigan
State |
7.0313% |
Howard S. #2: 7 (-1) - Alabama / Clemson / Alabama |
6.2500% |
Kiah H. #1: 6 (-2) - Alabama / Dayton / Alabama |
5.4688% |
Moochie #2: 5 (-11) - Mississippi State / Clemson /
Clemson |
5.4688% |
Szecho L.: 8 (0) - North Carolina / Baylor / Baylor |
4.6875% |
Mason A. #1: 7 (-1) - Michigan State / Baylor / Baylor |
4.6875% |
Brandie H.: 5 (-7) - Grand Canyon / Arizona / Grand
Canyon |
4.6875% |
Chris M.: 7 (-1) - Michigan State / Baylor / Michigan
State |
3.1250% |
Off Efficiency: 7 (-1) - Alabama / Baylor / Alabama |
3.1250% |
D. Mag #1: 7 (-1) - Alabama / Arizona / Alabama |
3.1250% |
Legend of Zelli: 6 (-4) - Michigan State / Arizona /
Arizona |
3.1250% |
Kristina H.: 6 (-2) - North Carolina / Clemson / North
Carolina |
3.1250% |
Brent E. #2: 8 (0) - North Carolina / Arizona / North
Carolina |
2.3438% |
Dawn T.: 8 (0) - North Carolina / Arizona / North
Carolina |
2.3438% |
Daisy N. #7: 8 (0) - North Carolina / Arizona / North
Carolina |
2.3438% |
Ryan G.: 7 (-7) - Michigan State / Nevada / Michigan
State |
2.3438% |
Steve Dz. #2: 7 (-1) - North Carolina / Baylor / North
Carolina |
2.3438% |
Ryan Green: 6 (-4) - North Carolina / Arizona / North
Carolina |
2.3438% |
Brent E. #3: 8 (0) - North Carolina / Arizona / Arizona |
1.5625% |
Brent E. #4: 8 (0) - North Carolina / Arizona / Arizona |
1.5625% |
Kristin G.: 7 (-3) - Grand Canyon / Arizona / Arizona |
1.5625% |
John Mack #1: 7 (-1) - North Carolina / Arizona / North
Carolina |
1.5625% |
Alyssa B.: 7 (-1) - Alabama / Arizona / Arizona |
1.5625% |
Irene H. #4: 7 (-1) - North Carolina / Arizona / Arizona |
1.5625% |
Dave A.: 7 (-1) - North Carolina / Arizona / Arizona |
1.5625% |
Elizabeth N. #1: 7 (-1) - Alabama / Arizona / Arizona |
1.5625% |
Melissa M.: 7 (-1) - North Carolina / Arizona / North
Carolina |
1.5625% |
Tim Dz. #1: 6 (-4) - Alabama / Baylor / Baylor |
1.5625% |
John N.: 6 (-6) - Michigan State / Arizona / Arizona |
1.5625% |
Missy W. #1: 6 (-4) - North Carolina / Clemson / North
Carolina |
1.5625% |
Michelle L. #1: 6 (-2) - North Carolina / Baylor / Baylor |
1.5625% |
D. Mag #3: 6 (-2) - North Carolina / Baylor / North
Carolina |
1.5625% |
Brandon H. #1: 6 (-2) - Grand Canyon / Arizona / Arizona |
1.5625% |
Wayne D. #2: 6 (-2) - North Carolina / Baylor / Baylor |
1.5625% |
Harrell R. #2: 6 (-2) - North Carolina / Baylor / North
Carolina |
1.5625% |
Harrell R. #1: 6 (-2) - North Carolina / Baylor / North
Carolina |
1.5625% |
Harrell R. #3: 6 (-2) - North Carolina / Baylor / North
Carolina |
1.5625% |
Paul K. #2: 6 (-2) - North Carolina / Baylor / Baylor |
1.5625% |
Harrell R. #4: 6 (-2) - North Carolina / Baylor / North
Carolina |
1.5625% |
Irene H. #5: 6 (-2) - North Carolina / Baylor / Baylor |
1.5625% |
Pete J. #1: 5 (-3) - Alabama / Arizona / Alabama |
1.5625% |
Jared V.: 5 (-3) - Alabama / Baylor / Baylor |
1.5625% |
Noah G.: 7 (-3) - North Carolina / Arizona / Arizona |
0.7813% |
Gigi I.: 7 (-3) - North Carolina / Arizona / Arizona |
0.7813% |
Ally H.: 7 (-1) - Alabama / Arizona / Arizona |
0.7813% |
Dan Dug. #1: 7 (-1) - Alabama / Arizona / Arizona |
0.7813% |
Deanna T.: 7 (-1) - North Carolina / Baylor / North
Carolina |
0.7813% |
Moochie #1: 7 (-1) - North Carolina / Baylor / North
Carolina |
0.7813% |
Joe C.: 7 (-1) - North Carolina / Baylor / North Carolina |
0.7813% |
Kim F.: 6 (-2) - North Carolina / Arizona / Arizona |
0.7813% |
Matt W.: 6 (-2) - North Carolina / Arizona / Arizona |
0.7813% |
Dan Mck.: 6 (-2) - North Carolina / Arizona / Arizona |
0.7813% |
Moochie #5: 6 (-2) - North Carolina / Arizona / North
Carolina |
0.7813% |
Brent S. #1: 6 (-2) - North Carolina / Arizona / Arizona |
0.7813% |
Luis B. #3: 6 (-2) - North Carolina / Arizona / Arizona |
0.7813% |
Seth D.: 6 (-2) - North Carolina / Arizona / Arizona |
0.7813% |
Patrick McC. #2: 4 (-6) - Michigan State / Arizona /
Arizona |
0.7813% |
..and the South region:
Display |
Total |
Charlotte N.: 6 (-4) - Texas A&M / Marquette / Texas
A&M |
14.0625% |
Moochie #3: 5 (-5) - James Madison / NC State / James
Madison |
12.5000% |
Faye N.: 6 (-8) - Texas A&M / Kentucky / Texas
A&M |
10.9375% |
Ali A. #1: 3 (-7) - Texas A&M / Oakland / Oakland |
10.1563% |
Mark A.: 7 (-3) - Houston / BSU / Colo / Houston |
9.3750% |
Harrell R. #2: 6 (-2) - Houston / NC State / NC State |
7.8125% |
Derek H.: 6 (-4) - Duke / BSU / Colo / Duke |
7.0313% |
Daisy N. #8: 6 (-2) - Duke / NC State / NC State |
6.2500% |
Shawn D.: 6 (-4) - Houston / Oakland / Houston |
5.4688% |
Nick I.: 6 (-4) - James Madison / Marquette / Marquette |
4.6875% |
Bryce S.: 5 (-5) - Houston / BSU / Colo / Houston |
4.6875% |
Kirt R. #2: 6 (-2) - Duke / Marquette / Duke |
3.9063% |
Ryan G.: 6 (-2) - Duke / Marquette / Duke |
3.9063% |
Daniel E.: 6 (-2) - Duke / Marquette / Duke |
3.9063% |
Ryan Green: 5 (-5) - Houston / Marquette / Houston |
3.9063% |
Derek B.: 7 (-1) - Duke / Marquette / Marquette |
3.1250% |
Daisy N. #4: 7 (-1) - Duke / NC State / Duke |
3.1250% |
Jim W.: 7 (-1) - Houston / Marquette / Houston |
3.1250% |
David F. #2: 5 (-5) - Texas A&M / Marquette /
Marquette |
3.1250% |
Roth W.: 7 (-3) - Houston / Marquette / Houston |
1.5625% |
Dirk F.: 7 (-3) - Duke / Marquette / Marquette |
1.5625% |
Adam E.: 7 (-1) - Houston / NC State / Houston |
1.5625% |
Dan Dug. #2: 6 (-4) - Houston / Marquette / Marquette |
1.5625% |
Scott H. #1: 6 (-4) - Houston / Marquette / Marquette |
1.5625% |
Chris T.: 6 (-4) - Houston / Marquette / Marquette |
1.5625% |
Rob I.: 6 (-4) - Houston / Marquette / Marquette |
1.5625% |
John Mack #1: 6 (-2) - Duke / NC State / NC State |
1.5625% |
Wayne D. #3: 5 (-5) - Houston / Marquette / Marquette |
1.5625% |
Paul W.: 4 (-4) - Houston / NC State / NC State |
1.5625% |
Marshmellow (Nik B.): 6 (-8) - Duke / Texas Tech / Duke |
0.7813% |
Daisy N. #3: 6 (-2) - Houston / NC State / Houston |
0.7813% |
Michael S. #2: 6 (-2) - Houston / NC State / Houston |
0.7813% |
Henry A.: 5 (-17) - Wisconsin / BSU / Colo / Wisconsin |
0.7813% |
Brandon H. #1: 5 (-5) - Houston / Marquette / Houston |
0.7813% |
Brett W.: 5 (-5) - Houston / Marquette / Houston |
0.7813% |
Zach V.: 5 (-5) - Houston / Marquette / Houston |
0.7813% |
Scott H. #2: 5 (-5) - Houston / Marquette / Houston |
0.7813% |
Wayne D. #4: 5 (-5) - Houston / Marquette / Houston |
0.7813% |
Tim N.: 5 (-5) - Houston / Marquette / Marquette |
0.7813% |
Eric S. #2: 5 (-3) - Duke / NC State / Duke |
0.7813% |
…and the Midwest:
Display |
Total |
Tomas L.: 7 (-1) - Gonzaga / Texas / Texas |
13.2813% |
Alyssa B.: 8 (0) - Gonzaga / Creighton / Gonzaga |
7.8125% |
Connor W.: 7 (-1) - Utah State / Tennessee / Tennessee |
7.0313% |
Chris E.: 6 (-2) - Utah State / Creighton / Creighton |
6.2500% |
Elizabeth N. #2: 7 (-1) - Kansas / Texas / Kansas |
5.4688% |
Ali A. #1: 5 (-5) - Utah State / Oregon / Oregon |
5.4688% |
Dianna A.: 7 (-1) - Kansas / Oregon / Kansas |
3.9063% |
Daisy N. #11: 6 (-2) - Purdue / Oregon / Oregon |
3.9063% |
Dan Dug. #2: 7 (-1) - Kansas / Creighton / Kansas |
3.1250% |
Kirt R. #2: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Texas / Purdue |
3.1250% |
Missy W. #1: 7 (-1) - Gonzaga / Tennessee / Gonzaga |
3.1250% |
Mike V.: 7 (-1) - Kansas / Creighton / Creighton |
3.1250% |
Damien R. #3: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Texas / Purdue |
3.1250% |
Mustard (Nikolajs B.): 6 (-4) - Kansas / Oregon / Oregon |
3.1250% |
Jackson I.: 8 (0) - Kansas / Tennessee / Tennessee |
1.5625% |
Damien R. #2: 8 (0) - Purdue / Tennessee / Purdue |
1.5625% |
Kevin F. #1: 7 (-3) - Purdue / Oregon / Oregon |
1.5625% |
Steve Dz. #2: 7 (-3) - Kansas / Creighton / Kansas |
1.5625% |
Christopher K.: 7 (-3) - Kansas / Creighton / Kansas |
1.5625% |
Becky H.: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Creighton / Purdue |
1.5625% |
Chun W. #1: 7 (-1) - Gonzaga / Tennessee / Tennessee |
1.5625% |
Brent E. #2: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Creighton / Purdue |
1.5625% |
Dave A.: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Oregon / Purdue |
1.5625% |
Ryan Green: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Oregon / Purdue |
1.5625% |
Vang L.: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Oregon / Purdue |
1.5625% |
Brad R.: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Oregon / Purdue |
1.5625% |
Moochie #5: 7 (-1) - Gonzaga / Creighton / Creighton |
1.5625% |
Chris T.: 7 (-1) - Gonzaga / Creighton / Creighton |
1.5625% |
Mason A. #2: 7 (-1) - Gonzaga / Tennessee / Tennessee |
1.5625% |
Rich F.: 7 (-1) - Gonzaga / Tennessee / Tennessee |
1.5625% |
Carlo G.: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Creighton / Purdue |
1.5625% |
Kyle V.: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Oregon / Purdue |
1.5625% |
Brooklynn B.: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Creighton / Purdue |
1.5625% |
Off Efficiency: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Creighton / Purdue |
1.5625% |
David F. #1: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Creighton / Purdue |
1.5625% |
Andrew D. #2: 7 (-1) - Kansas / Tennessee / Kansas |
1.5625% |
Melody K.: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Creighton / Purdue |
1.5625% |
Scott H. #2: 7 (-1) - Gonzaga / Tennessee / Tennessee |
1.5625% |
Brian K.: 7 (-1) - Gonzaga / Creighton / Creighton |
1.5625% |
Mitchell S.: 7 (-1) - Gonzaga / Tennessee / Tennessee |
1.5625% |
Matt H.: 6 (-2) - Gonzaga / Tennessee / Gonzaga |
1.5625% |
Hutch H. #1: 6 (-2) - Kansas / Tennessee / Kansas |
1.5625% |
Ryan G.: 5 (-3) - Purdue / Oregon / Purdue |
1.5625% |
D. Mag #4: 4 (-6) - Utah State / Oregon / Oregon |
1.5625% |
Mark A.: 8 (0) - Purdue / Creighton / Purdue |
0.7813% |
Daisy N. #3: 8 (0) - Purdue / Tennessee / Tennessee |
0.7813% |
Michelle L. #1: 8 (0) - Purdue / Creighton / Creighton |
0.7813% |
Michelle L. #3: 8 (0) - Purdue / Creighton / Creighton |
0.7813% |
Michelle L. #4: 8 (0) - Purdue / Tennessee / Purdue |
0.7813% |
Patrick McC. #1: 8 (0) - Purdue / Creighton / Purdue |
0.7813% |
Irene H. #4: 8 (0) - Purdue / Tennessee / Tennessee |
0.7813% |
Michelle L. #2: 8 (0) - Purdue / Creighton / Purdue |
0.7813% |
Daisy N. #9: 8 (0) - Kansas / Tennessee / Tennessee |
0.7813% |
Damien R. #1: 8 (0) - Purdue / Tennessee / Tennessee |
0.7813% |
Daisy N. #8: 8 (0) - Purdue / Tennessee / Tennessee |
0.7813% |
Dennis R.: 8 (0) - Purdue / Tennessee / Tennessee |
0.7813% |
Kevin F. #2: 7 (-3) - Purdue / Oregon / Purdue |
0.7813% |
Daisy N. #1: 7 (-3) - Purdue / Oregon / Purdue |
0.7813% |
Nick I.: 7 (-3) - Purdue / Creighton / Purdue |
0.7813% |
Brent E. #3: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Tennessee / Purdue |
0.7813% |
Brent E. #4: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Tennessee / Purdue |
0.7813% |
Niren D.: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Tennessee / Purdue |
0.7813% |
Colston W.: 7 (-1) - Kansas / Tennessee / Tennessee |
0.7813% |
John A. #2: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Tennessee / Purdue |
0.7813% |
Pete J. #1: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Tennessee / Tennessee |
0.7813% |
CAAT #3: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Tennessee / Tennessee |
0.7813% |
CAAT #4: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Tennessee / Tennessee |
0.7813% |
Moochie #1: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Creighton / Creighton |
0.7813% |
Gutless Bracket: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Tennessee / Purdue |
0.7813% |
Mary Lou H.: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Tennessee / Purdue |
0.7813% |
Dan L. #1: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Tennessee / Tennessee |
0.7813% |
Dustin B.: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Creighton / Creighton |
0.7813% |
Chris L. #4: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Tennessee / Tennessee |
0.7813% |
Larry G. #2: 7 (-1) - Purdue / Tennessee / Purdue |
0.7813% |
D. Mag #1: 7 (-1) - Gonzaga / Creighton / Creighton |
0.7813% |
Craig G.: 6 (-4) - Purdue / Texas / Purdue |
0.7813% |
Dan Dug. #1: 6 (-2) - Purdue / Tennessee / Purdue |
0.7813% |
There you go. Root
accordingly…..
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